Risk prediction of cardiogenic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation using quantitative CT features of early left atrial appendage blood stasis
10.3760/cma.j.cn112149-20240605-00308
- VernacularTitle:基于左心耳早期血流淤滞CT特征定量预测心房颤动患者发生心源性脑卒中的风险
- Author:
Hairong GU
1
;
Qi XU
;
Yuanchao LIU
;
Lei LI
;
Jialei MING
;
Koulong ZHENG
;
Guohua SHENG
;
Linsheng SHI
;
Rongxing QI
Author Information
1. 南通大学第二附属医院影像科，南通 226001
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Stroke;
Atrial fibrillation;
Atrial appendage;
Forecasting
- From:
Chinese Journal of Radiology
2025;59(3):299-306
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To assess the predictive value for the risk of cardiogenic stroke (CS) in patients with paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) using quantification of left atrial appendage early blood stasis (LAA-BS) signs derived from left atrium-pulmonary vein CT examination.Methods:A retrospective analysis of 187 patients with PAF, who were confirmed to have LAA-BS by left atrium-pulmonary vein CT examinations, was conducted at Second Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University from January 2019 to December 2021. The ratio of LAA-BS CT values to ascending aorta (AA) CT values (HU BS/HU AA) and the ratio of LAA-BS volume to LAA volume (V BS/V LAA) were measured at the peak time of AA enhancement, which were used as characteristic quantitative indicators of LAA-BS. Using the median values of HU BS/HU AA and V BS/V LAA as cut-off points for grouping, the differences between the high-ratio and low-ratio groups were compared in terms of general information, clinical characteristics, and imaging characteristics. All enrolled patients were followed up with the primary outcome event of CS occurrence. The differences in the proportion of CS occurrence between the high-ratio and low-ratio groups were compared. The risk stratification analysis of the occurrence of CS in PAF patients was performed using Kaplan-Meier curves. Additionally, the predictive value of HU BS/HU AA, V BS/V LAA and other imaging indices for the risk of CS occurrence was assessed using Cox proportional risk regression models. Results:The incidence of hypertension and the proportion of patients with atrial fibrillation-stroke risk score (CHA 2DS 2-VASc)≥3 in the high V BS/V LAA group were higher than that in the low V BS/V LAA group, and the difference was statistically significant ( P=0.041, P=0.011). The left atrial volume (LAV) in patients in the low HU BS/HU AA group was greater than in the high HU BS/HU AA group, and the difference was statistically significant ( P=0.040). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a higher incidence of CS in the low HU BS/HU AA group than in the high HU BS/HU AA group ( P=0.012). Similarly, the high V BS/V LAA group had a higher incidence of CS compared with the low V BS/V LAA group ( P=0.019). Subgroup analysis revealed a significantly higher incidence of CS in the subgroup with low HU BS/HU AA and high V BS/V LAA compared to other subgroups (all P<0.05). The Cox proportional hazards regression model, adjusting for confounding factors, identified low HU BS/HU AA and high V BS/V LAA as independent risk factors for CS occurrence in PAF patients ( P=0.005 and P=0.029). Conclusion:The HU BS/HU AA and V BS/V LAA quantified using left atrium-pulmonary vein CT imaging are predictive factors for CS occurrence in patients with PAF. These ratios synergistically contribute to the risk assessment of CS.
