Risk factors and nomogram construction of permanent hypoparathyroidism after total thyroidectomy
- VernacularTitle:甲状腺全切术后并发永久性甲状旁腺功能减退的危险因素及列线图建立
- Author:
Pengyong LIU
1
;
Mengyou LIU
;
Yu ZHOU
;
Hai GUAN
;
Zhen TIAN
;
Hao HU
;
Xiaosong YUE
;
Qiannan GUAN
Author Information
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords: thyroid neoplasms; thyroidectomy; hypoparathyroidism; risk factors; nomograms
- From: Tianjin Medical Journal 2025;53(8):850-855
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
- Abstract: Objective To analyze the risk factors of permanent hypoparathyroidism(pHPP)after total thyroidectomy in patients with thyroid cancer and establish a nomogram prediction model.Methods A total of 245 patients with thyroid cancer who received total thyroidectomy in our hospital were enrolled between January 2020 and January 2024.According to presence or absence of postoperative pHPP,patients were divided into the pHPP group and the non-pHPP group.The influencing factors of postoperative pHPP in patients with thyroid cancer were analyzed by univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analysis.The nomogram prediction model for postoperative pHPP in patients with thyroid cancer was constructed and varified,and efficiency of the model was evaluated.Results In 245 patients with thyroid cancer,the incidence of pHPP within 6 months after surgery was 10.20%(25/245).Univariate analysis showed that there were significant differences in tumor size,surgical method,central lymph node dissection,use of nano carbon tracer,envelope invasion,parathyroid excision by mistake,Hashimoto thyroiditis,serum calcium and parathyroid hormone at 1 d after surgery between the two groups(P＜0.05),but there were no significant differences in gender,age,smoking,drinking,extraglandular invasion,parathyroid autologous transplantation,preoperative vitamin D or serum phosphorus at 1 d after surgery between the two groups(P＞0.05).Multivariate analysis showed that maximum tumor diameter≥4 cm,routine and open total thyroidectomy,central lymph node dissection,no use of nano carbon tracer and parathyroid excision by mistake were all independent risk factors for postoperative pHPP in patients with thyroid cancer(P＜0.05).Results of nomogram prediction model showed that C-index was 0.921,the corrected curve was close to ideal curve,and AUC of nomogram model for predicting postoperative pHPP was 0.926(95%CI:0.871-0.981).Conclusion The nomogram prediction model constructed based on independent risk factors of postoperative pHPP has good predictive efficiency in patients with thyroid cancer.
