Weight Change and Mortality Risk of Esophageal Cancer Analysis:a Follow-Up Study in Linxian General Popula-tion Nutrition Intervention Cohort
10.11735/j.issn.1004-0242.2025.04.A010
- VernacularTitle:体重变化与食管癌死亡风险分析:基于林县普通人群营养干预试验随访结果
- Author:
Huan YANG
1
;
Yuting WANG
;
Jinhu FAN
;
Youlin QIAO
Author Information
1. 国家癌症中心/国家肿瘤临床医学研究中心/中国医学科学院北京协和医学院肿瘤医院,北京 100021
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
weight;
esophageal cancer;
mortality;
cohort study;
Henan
- From:
China Cancer
2025;34(4):319-325
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
[Purpose]To explore the association between body weight change and long-term risk of esophageal cancer mortality based on Linxian General Population Nutrition Intervention study.[Methods]A total of 21 028 healthy residents aged 40~69 years old at baseline in Linxian of Henan Province were recruited as the study cohort,their body weight were measured in late 1985 and early 1991,and the esophageal cancer mortality was prospectively followed up until March 2016.The cohort was divided into four groups according to weight difference between the two measure-ments,the body weight maintenance group(change<2 kg)was used as the reference group.The Cox proportional risk model was used to estimate the hazard ratio(HR)and 95%confidence inter-val(CI)for death from esophageal cancer in the weight loss ≥2 kg group,weight gain 2~5 kg group and weight gain ≥5 kg group.[Results]A total of 1 681 esophageal cancer deaths oc-curred during the follow-up after the last weight measurement.After adjusting for baseline age and sex,the risk of esophageal cancer death was 13%(HR=0.87,95%CI:0.77~1.00)and 16%(HR=0.84,95%CI:0.72~1.00)lower in the weight gain 2~5 kg and ≥5 kg groups compared to the weight maintenance group,respectively.The risk of esophageal cancer death was 23%higher in the weight loss ≥2 kg group than in the weight maintenance group(HR=1.23,95%CI:1.09~1.38).After adjusting for age,sex,baseline BMI group,smoking status,alcohol consumption,family history of cancer,education level,commune and nutritional intervention arms,weight loss ≥2 kg was still associated with a significantly increased risk of esophageal cancer death(HR=1.19,95%CI:1.06~1.34).Subgroup analysis showed there was no statistically significant interaction between changes in body weight and age,sex,and baseline BMI status on the risk of esophageal cancer death.[Conclusion]Weight loss is associated with an increased risk of esophageal cancer death.People in the high incidence area of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma should maintain their current weight or gain weight appropriately while maintaining a healthy weight state to reduce the risk of esophageal cancer death.