Trend analysis of breast cancer burden in China and the United States from 1990 to 2021
10.12354/j.issn.1000-8179.2025.20250776
- VernacularTitle:1990年至2021年中国和美国乳腺癌疾病负担趋势分析
- Author:
Mao YUN
1
;
Zhang WANHUI
1
;
Deng QIANLING
1
;
Ding ZHIXUN
1
;
Fu LING
1
;
Hu BEIER
1
;
Cao WEN
1
Author Information
1. 湖南中医药大学第二附属医院肿瘤血液科(长沙市 410005)
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
breast cancer;
China;
the United States(US);
incidence;
mortality
- From:
Chinese Journal of Clinical Oncology
2025;52(17):884-891
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To investigate the disparities in breast cancer burden and changing epidemiological trends between China and the United States(US)from 1990 to 2021 and identify the key driving factors.Methods:The Global Burden of Disease database(1990-2021)was utilized to analyze breast cancer incidence,mortality,and disability adjusted life years(DALYs)in China and the US;we also assessed the as-sociations with risk factors(e.g.,obesity and smoking)through regression models and spatiotemporal analysis.Results:China's breast can-cer age-standardized incidence rate(ASIR)surged from 9.08/100,000 in 1990 to 19.36/100,000 in 2021,whereas the US ASIR declined from 44.37/100,000 to 37.49/100,000.Regarding the age-standardized mortality rate(ASMR),China saw a marginal reduction from 4.70/100,000 to 4.40/100,000,whereas the US experienced a significant decline from 13.03/100,000 to 9.28/100,000,narrowing the mortality gap from 2.8-fold to 2.1-fold.Key risk factors contributing to mortality and DALYs included smoking,exposure to secondhand smoke,low physical activity,high red meat and alcohol intake,elevated fasting blood glucose levels,and high body mass index.The rising cancer incidence in China is associated with the westernization of lifestyles and changes in fertility patterns,whereas the United States has achieved a dual de-cline in both incidence and mortality rates through widespread screening and control of hormone replacement therapy.Conclusions:Both the incidence and mortality rates of breast cancer in China rank among the highest globally,with incidence rates still increasing,indicating severe issues in prevention and control.In contrast,although the incidence rate in the US is higher than that in China,it shows a declining trend.To alleviate the growing burden of breast cancer,China must further enhance the intensity and coverage of breast cancer screening.
