Analysis of risk factors on 90-day mortality in critically ill patients undergoing continuous renal replacement therapy
10.3760/cma.j.cn441217-20241008-01001
- VernacularTitle:接受连续性肾脏替代治疗重症患者90 d死亡的风险因素分析
- Author:
Renli MAO
1
;
Xue TANG
;
Zhiwen CHEN
;
Yingying YANG
;
Bo WANG
;
Zhongwei ZHANG
;
Ling ZHANG
Author Information
1. 四川大学华西医院肾脏内科 四川大学华西肾脏病研究所,成都 610041
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Continuous renal replacement therapy;
Hypotension;
Mortality
- From:
Chinese Journal of Nephrology
2025;41(7):507-515
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To investigate the risk factors associated with 90-day mortality in critically ill patients receiving continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT), with a particular focus on the association between hypotension within the first hour of CRRT initiation and 90-day mortality after hospital admission.Methods:This study was a post hoc analysis of a prospective cohort study investigating the impact of colloid versus crystalloid priming solutions on early hemodynamics in critically ill patients undergoing CRRT. The study enrolled intensive care unit patients who received CRRT at West China Hospital of Sichuan University from January 2024 to May 2024. The data were collected including demographic characteristics, laboratory tests, CRRT-related parameters, blood pressure, heart rate, sequential organ failure assessment scores, and vasoactive-inotropic score, etc. The 90-day survival outcome after hospital admission of critically ill patients aged 18-80 years who received continuous veno-venous hemodiafiltration was used as the primary outcome indicator. A Cox proportional hazards model analysis was conducted, and the predictive ability of the model was evaluated along with the test of the proportional hazards assumption. The risk factors associated with the 90-day mortality after hospital admission of critically ill patients receiving CRRT were explored, with a particular focus on whether hypotension occurring within the first hour of CRRT initiation was one of these risk factors.Results:A total of 208 patients were included in this study. Within 90 days after hospital admission, 141 patients (67.8%) died, among whom 102 were male (72.3%) and the median age was 61.0 (50.0, 71.5) years; 67 patients (32.2%) survived, among whom 53 were males (79.1%) and the median age was 56.0 (47.0, 68.0) years. The incidence of hypotension within the first hour of CRRT initiation was significantly higher in the death group than in the survival group [29.8% (42/141) vs. 16.4% (11/67), χ2=4.275, P=0.039]. Moreover, The mortality rate of the group with hypotension within the first hour of CRRT initiation was higher than that of the group without hypotension [79.2% (42/53) vs. 63.9% (99/155), χ2=4.275, P=0.039]. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the median survival time of patients without hypotension within the first hour of CRRT initiation [39.0 d (95% CI 23.2-54.8)] was longer than that of patients with hypotension [26.0 d (95% CI 18.9-33.1)], and the 90-day cumulative survival rate after hospital admission of patients without hypotension was significantly higher than that of patients with hypotension (Log-rank test, χ2=5.100, P=0.024). Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses demonstrated that serum albumin ( HR=0.964, 95% CI 0.933-0.997, P=0.030), sequential organ failure assessment score ( HR=1.064, 95% CI 1.012-1.118, P=0.015), and the use of mechanical ventilation ( HR=8.272, 95% CI 1.145-59.743, P=0.036) were significantly associated with 90-day mortality in critically ill patients undergoing CRRT. In contrast, the vasoactive-inotropic score ( HR=1.004, 95% CI 0.999-1.008, P=0.079) and the presence of hypotension within the first hour of CRRT initiation ( HR=1.236, 95% CI 0.833-1.835, P=0.293) were not significantly associated with 90-day mortality in critically ill patients undergoing CRRT. The consistency index of this model was 0.654 (95% CI 0.617-0.691), the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.724 (95% CI 0.658-0.800), and the calibration curve showed that the predicted values of the model were well fitted to the actual observations, suggesting that the predictive effect of this model was relatively ideal. Conclusions:In critically ill patients undergoing CRRT, the occurrence of hypotension within the first hour of CRRT initiation was not significantly associated with 90-day mortality after hospital admission. Lower serum albumin levels, higher sequential organ failure assessment scores, and the use of mechanical ventilation may be the risk factors for 90-day mortality in this population.