Progress in application of compartment model-related combined models in infectious disease prediction
10.3760/cma.j.cn112338-20241128-00756
- VernacularTitle:结合仓室模型的组合模型在传染病预测中的应用进展
- Author:
Weihua HU
1
;
Huimin SUN
;
Yikun CHANG
;
Jinwei CHEN
;
Zhicheng DU
;
Yongyue WEI
;
Yuantao HAO
Author Information
1. 北京大学公共卫生学院流行病与卫生统计学系，北京 100191
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Infectious disease;
Prediction;
Combined models;
Compartment models
- From:
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology
2025;46(7):1289-1296
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Methods such as compartmental models, agent-based models, time series models, and machine learning can be used for the prediction of infectious disease incidence. When disease epidemics are complex, it is often difficult to use a single model to comprehensively and accurately capture the multi dimensional nature of the disease. Exploring the combined application of different models has gradually become a research trend and hotspot in recent years, and the prediction performance of combined models is often better than that of single ones. Current research related to combined models mainly focus on machine learning or compartmental models. In this review, we focus on the combination of compartmental models and other models, and summarize their combination principles, application progress, and advantages or disadvantages for the purpose of promoting the innovation and application of combined models for infectious disease incidence prediction, and establishing a more intelligent and efficient early warning and prediction method or systems for the prevention and control of infectious disease.
