Survival analysis of patients with Kashin-Beck disease in Shaanxi Province: a real-world study
10.3760/cma.j.cn231583-20241115-00387
- VernacularTitle:陕西省大骨节病患者生存分析：一项真实世界研究
- Author:
Peirong YANG
1
;
Zhengjun YANG
;
Gangyao XU
;
Hong CHANG
Author Information
1. 陕西省宝鸡市疾病预防控制中心地方病预防控制科，宝鸡 721006
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Kashin-Beck disease;
Survival analysis;
Survival rate;
Risk factors
- From:
Chinese Journal of Endemiology
2025;44(5):352-358
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To conduct survival analysis of patients with Kashin-Beck disease (KBD) and explore influencing factors of mortality in KBD patients.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on data on management services and deaths of KBD patients from January 1, 2023 to August 31, 2024 in Shaanxi Province, which were collected from the "Shaanxi Provincial Endemic Disease Information Platform", and death of KBD patients was considered as the outcome event. The direct method was used to calculate standardized mortality rates. The survival rate, and cumulative survival rate of KBD patients were calculated using the life table method. Kaplan-Meier method and Log-rank test were used to plot and compare survival curves, respectively, with residential area as the time-dependent covariate, and stratified by gender for multivariate analysis using time-dependent Cox proportional hazards regression model.Results:A total of 54 957 KBD patients were included, with females accounting for 51.66% (28 390/54 957), the age [ M( Q1, Q3)] was 66 (59, 72) years. Patients with gradeⅠ,Ⅱ, and Ⅲ KBD accounted for 63.90% (35 120/54 957), 31.16% (17 125/54 957), and 4.93% (2 712/54 957), respectively. During the observation period, 2 989 deaths (5.44%) occurred, with an age standardized mortality rate of 1.94%. The cumulative survival rates at 6th, 12th, and 18th months were 97.63%, 96.11%, and 94.64%, respectively. The standardized mortality rate of gradeⅠKBD patients was lower than that of gradeⅡandⅢ KBD patients in all, female, and male KBD patients, and their cumulative survival rate was higher than that of gradeⅡand Ⅲ KBD patients ( P < 0.001). Age, education level, residential area, severity of illness, poverty, and relocation were influencing factors for mortality in KBD patients ( P < 0.05). Conclusions:The standardized mortality rate of gradeⅠKBD patients in Shaanxi Province is lower than that of gradeⅡand Ⅲ KBD patients, and their cumulative survival rate is higher than that of grade Ⅱand Ⅲ KBD patients. The influencing factors for mortality in KBD patients include age, education level, residential area, severity of illness, poverty, and relocation.
