Risk factors for postoperative premature epiphyseal closure in pediatric patients with distal tibial epiphyseal fractures and their predictive efficacy
10.3760/cma.j.cn501098-20250327-00164
- VernacularTitle:胫骨远端骨骺骨折患儿术后骨骺早闭的危险因素及其预测效能
- Author:
Xiaofei XIE
1
;
Xiaobo JING
;
Wei MEI
;
Yi SHEN
;
Fuli CHENG
;
Chenhui YANG
;
Yi XIE
;
Zilong SHEN
;
Tenglong HU
;
Bingbing ZHENG
Author Information
1. 郑州市骨科医院小儿骨科Ⅰ科，郑州 450052
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Tibial fractures;
Epiphyses;
Child;
Risk factors
- From:
Chinese Journal of Trauma
2025;41(7):669-674
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To investigate the risk factors and their predictive efficacy for postoperative premature epiphyseal closure in pediatric patients with distal tibial epiphyseal fractures.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 216 pediatric patients with distal tibial epiphyseal fractures admitted to Zhengzhou Orthopedics Hospital from January 2018 to December 2023, including 136 males and 80 females, aged 2-16 years [11.8(9.8, 13.3)years]. Among them, 112 patients were affected on the left side and 104 on the right. According to the Salter-Harris fracture classification, the fracture was classified as type I in 14 patients, type II in 97, type III in 38, type IV in 64 and type VI in 3. According to the presence of premature epiphyseal closure after surgery, the patients were divided into premature epiphyseal closure group ( n=38) and normal epiphyseal group ( n=178). Age, gender, body mass index (BMI), injury mechanism, side of injury, Salter-Harris classification of fracture, initial displacement distance of the fracture end, medial malleolar involvement by the fracture line surgical fixation method, operation duration, reduction method, and reduction quality were recorded in the two groups. Univariate analysis and binary Logistic regression analysis were used to evaluate and determine the independent risk factors for postoperative premature physeal closure in pediatric patients with distal tibial epiphyseal fracture. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted and area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the predictive efficacy of each risk factor for the occurrence of premature physeal closure in pediatric patients with distal tibial epiphyseal fractures. Results:Univariate analysis showed the occurrence of postoperative premature epiphyseal closure of the distal tibia was associated with age, Salter-Harris fracture classification, medial malleolar involvement by the fracture line, surgical fixation method, reduction method, and reduction quality ( P<0.05), while it was not correlated with gender, BMI, injury mechanism, side of injury, initial displacement distance of the fracture end, and operation duration ( P>0.05). Multivariate binary Logistic regression analysis showed that medial malleolar involvement by the fracture line ( OR=0.18, 95% CI 0.04, 0.76, P<0.05) and reduction quality ( OR=43.18,95% CI 10.71, 174.05, P<0.01) were significantly correlated with the occurrence of postoperative premature epiphyseal closure of the distal tibia. The results of ROC curve analysis showed that medial malleolar involvement by the fracture line had limited predictive efficiency (AUC=0.53, 95% CI 0.43, 0.63), reduction quality had moderate predictive efficacy (AUC=0.81, 95% CI 0.72, 0.91), while their combination demonstrated even higher predictive efficacy (AUC=0.83, 95% CI 0.74, 0.91). Conclusions:Medial malleolar involvement by the fracture line and reduction quality are independent risk factors for postoperative premature epiphyseal closure in pediatric patients with distal tibial epiphyseal fractures. Reduction quality demonstrates good predictive efficacy, while medial malleolar involvement by the fracture line shows limited predictive value. The combination of both factors achieves even better predictive performance.
