Predictive value of the Japanese nutritional risk index for 1-year all-cause mortality risk in elderly hemodialysis patients
10.3760/cma.j.issn.0254-9026.2025.09.005
- VernacularTitle:日本营养风险指数对老年血液透析患者1年全因死亡风险的预测价值
- Author:
Yifan YANG
1
;
Huayu YANG
;
Zongli DIAO
;
Xu LIU
;
Xiaotian SHI
;
Qing MA
Author Information
1. 首都医科大学附属北京友谊医院老年医学科，北京 100050
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Malnutrition;
Hemodialysis;
Nutritional risk index;
Mortality
- From:
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics
2025;44(9):1240-1245
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To investigate the predictive value of the Japanese nutritional risk index(NRI)for one-year all-cause mortality risk among elderly maintenance hemodialysis (MHD)patients.Additionally, it seeks to compare the predictive abilities of NRI with those of the geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI)and the mini nutritional assessment short-form(MNA-SF).Methods:This research was conducted as a prospective cohort study.Elderly patients(aged ≥60 years)who underwent hemodialysis treatment at Beijing Friendship Hospital of Capital Medical University for more than three months between July and October 2019 were selected for inclusion.The NRI score was utilized to evaluate the nutritional status of the participants, with the maximum point of the Jordan index designated as the cut-off value, thereby categorizing patients into high-risk and low-risk groups.The follow-up period concluded in August 2020, with all-cause mortality serving as the primary outcome measure.Kaplan-Meier methods were employed to construct survival curves, and the Cox proportional hazards model was applied to analyze the association between NRI and all-cause mortality.Furthermore, area under the curve(AUC) of receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves were utilized to compare the predictive values of the three nutritional assessment methods(NRI, GNRI, and MNA-SF)regarding mortality risk.Results:A total of 150 patients were included in the study, with a median age of 69(64.75) years.The cohort comprised 73 males(48.7%)and 77 females(51.3%). Based on the NRI, patients were categorized into a low-risk group(NRI<5; n=81, 54.0%)and a high-risk group(NRI ≥ 5; n=69, 46.0%). Of the 150 patients, 147 completed the follow-up.During the follow-up period, 15 patients died, with 13 from the high-risk group and 2 from the low-risk group.The Kaplan-Meier survival curve indicated that the 1-year cumulative survival rate for patients in the high-risk group was significantly lower than the low-risk group (log-rank χ2=11.71, P<0.001). Furthermore, multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed a significant association between NRI and 1-year all-cause mortality in elderly patients undergoing MHD ( HR=3.779, 95% CI: 1.036-13.783, P=0.044). Additionally, NRI demonstrated a high predictive value for 1-year all-cause mortality risk in elderly MHD patients, with an AUC of 0.755(95% CI: 0.654-0.855), a sensitivity of 86.7%, and a specificity of 59.1%.Its predictive capability was slightly superior to that of the GNRI(AUC=0.691, 95% CI: 0.548-0.835)and the MNA-SF(AUC=0.634, 95% CI: 0.475-0.793), although no statistically significant differences were observed( Z=0.880, 1.177, P=0.379, 0.239). Conclusions:The NRI score demonstrates effective predictive capability for one-year all-cause mortality risk in elderly MHD patients and may serve as a more suitable nutritional assessment method for this population.
