Risk factors and their predictive efficacy for early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture
10.3760/cma.j.cn501098-20241016-00605
- VernacularTitle:老年髋部骨折患者术后早期并发症发生的危险因素及其预警效能
- Author:
Deen WAN
1
;
Yongzhou YAN
;
Feng SHUANG
;
Hao LI
;
Zhi ZENG
;
Mudan HUANG
;
Lu HAN
;
Xiang PENG
;
Di YANG
;
Ming CHEN
;
Qixin LIU
Author Information
1. 中国人民解放军联勤保障部队第九〇八医院骨科，南昌 330002
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Hip fractures;
Aged;
Postoperative complications;
Risk factors
- From:
Chinese Journal of Trauma
2025;41(3):274-281
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To investigate the risk factors and their predictive efficacy for early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted on the clinical data of 203 elderly patients with hip fracture admitted to the 908th Hospital of the Joint Logistics Support Force of the PLA and the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University from January 2022 to December 2023, including 54 males and 149 females, aged 65-100 years [(80.5±7.7)years]. There were 96 patients with femoral neck fracture and 107 patients with intertrochanteric fracture. According to the AO/OTA classification, the fracture was classified as type 31A in 107 patients and type 31B in 96. Among them, 81 patients were treated with proximal femoral nail antirotation (PFNA), 65 with semi-hip arthroplasty, 52 with total hip arthroplasty (THA), and 5 with closed reduction and cannulated nail internal fixation. The patients were divided into complication group ( n=65) and non-complication group ( n=138) according to whether complications (mainly including delirium, lung infection, stress ulcer, and deep vein thrombosis of the lower limbs) occurred within 15 days after surgery. The gender, age, age stage, educational level, cause of injury, associated underlying diseases before surgery, AO/OTA classification, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification, 5-factor modified frailty index (mFI-5) score, prognostic nutritional index (PNI), anesthesia method, operation method, operation time, intraoperative blood loss, length of hospital stay, etc., were recorded in the two groups. Univariate analysis and multivariate binary logistic regression analysis were used to evaluate the correlation between the above indexes and the occurrence of early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture and to determine their independent risk factors. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the predictive efficacy of each risk factor for the occurrence of early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture. Results:Univariate analysis showed a certain correlation between age, age stage, associated underlying diseases before surgery, AO/OTA classification, ASA classification, mFI-5 score, PNI, operation method, and length of hospital stay and the occurrence of early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture ( P<0.05), while gender, educational level, cause of injury, anesthesia method, operation time, and intraoperative blood loss were not correlated with the occurrence of early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture ( P>0.05). The results of multivariate binary logistic regression analysis showed that the associated underlying diseases before surgery ( OR=5.46, 95% CI 1.33, 22.39, P<0.05), mFI-5 score ( OR=15.90, 95% CI 5.36, 47.15, P<0.01), and PNI ( OR=0.70, 95% CI 0.60, 0.81, P<0.01) were significantly correlated with the occurrence of early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture. The results of ROC curve analysis showed that mFI-5 score (AUC=0.85, 95% CI 0.80, 0.91) and PNI (AUC=0.87, 95% CI 0.82, 0.93) had moderate predictive efficacy, while the early warning efficacy of associated underlying diseases was low (AUC=0.54, 95% CI 0.45, 0.62). The combination of the above risk factors was more effective in predicting early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture (AUC=0.95, 95% CI 0.92, 0.98). Conclusions:The mFI-5 score, PNI, and associated underlying diseases before surgery are independent risk factors for early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture. The mFI-5 score and PNI have a higher predictive efficacy than associated diseases before surgery on the occurrence of early postoperative complications in elderly patients with hip fracture, while the combination of the above risk factors provides a significantly better predictive performance.
