Risk factors and their predictive efficacy for preoperative heart failure in elderly patients with intertrochanteric femur fracture
10.3760/cma.j.cn501098-20241227-00726
- VernacularTitle:老年股骨转子间骨折患者术前心力衰竭的相关危险因素及其预测效能分析
- Author:
Xiwen QIAN
1
;
Xiao MENG
;
Weihao MENG
;
Yuhe LI
;
Chenghua HAN
;
Zitao ZHANG
Author Information
1. 南京中医药大学鼓楼临床医学院骨科，南京 210008
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Femoral fractures;
Heart failure;
Natriuretic peptide, brain;
Risk factors
- From:
Chinese Journal of Trauma
2025;41(3):267-273
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:To investigate the risk factors associated with preoperative heart failure in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fracture and evaluate their predictive efficacy.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of 163 elderly patients with intertrochanteric fracture admitted to the Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital of Nanjing University School of Medicine from July 2018 to July 2022, including 57 males and 106 females, aged 63-98 years [83.3(78.0, 87.0)years]. The patients were divided into high-risk heart failure group ( n=66) and non-high-risk group ( n=97) based on whether the serum B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) level within 24 hours on admission was greater than 100 pg/ml. The following data in the two groups were collected, including gender, age, AO/OTA fracture classification, fracture laterality, associated underlying comorbidities (diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, cerebral infarction), past history of fracture, history of surgeries, time from injury to hospitalization less than 48 hours, first blood pressure on admission, first routine blood test on admission [leukocyte count (WBC), neutrophil count (NEUT), lymphocyte count, platelet (PLT), hemoglobin (Hb)], first blood biochemistry on admission [alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), albumin, glucose, serum calcium, creatinine, glomerular filtration rate (GFR), and first other related tests on admission [D-dimer, prothrombin time (PT), C-reactive protein (CRP)]. Independent risk factors for preoperative heart failure in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fracture were identified through univariate analysis and binary logistic regression analysis. The predictive efficacy of each indicator or two combined indicators for preoperative heart failure in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures was assessed by plotting the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calculating the area under the curve (AUC). Results:Univariate analysis demonstrated that age, associated cardiovascular diseases, history of fracture, time from injury to hospitalization less than 48 hours, Hb, creatinine and GFR were significantly correlated with the preoperative heart failure ( P<0.05), while gender, AO/OTA fracture classification, fracture laterality, diabetes, cerebral infarction, history of surgeries, blood pressure, WBC, NEUT, lymphocyte count, PLT, CRP, ALT, AST, LDH, albumin, glucose, serum calcium, D-dimer, PT, and CRP were not correlated with the preoperative heart failure in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures ( P>0.05). Logistic regression analysis revealed that age (95% CI 1.02, 1.15, P<0.05), associated cardiovascular disease (95% CI 1.31, 5.88, P<0.01), Hb (95% CI 0.96, 1.00, P<0.05), and GFR (95% CI 0.97, 1.00, P<0.05) were independent risk factors for heart failure in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fracture. ROC curve analysis demonstrated that age, associated cardiovascular diseases, Hb, and GFR could predict preoperative heart failure in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fractures, with the combination of associated cardiovascular disease and GFR showing a relatively higher predictive ability (AUC=0.76, 95% CI 0.68, 0.84). Conclusions:Age, associated cardiovascular diseases, Hb and GFR are independent risk factors for preoperative heart failure in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fracture. Moreover, the combination of associated cardiovascular diseases and GFR possesses a relatively higher predictive value for preoperative heart failure in elderly patients with intertrochanteric fracture.
