Monitoring analysis and model prediction of HFMD in Liangqing District,Nanning City from 2012 to 2023
10.3969/j.issn.1673-9701.2025.20.010
- VernacularTitle:2012-2023年南宁市良庆区手足口病监测分析及模型预测
- Author:
Shu WEI
1
;
Fengyi WANG
;
Zhenbo HUANG
;
Renyang ZHAO
;
Caiyan WU
;
Chunli LIU
;
Junjun JIANG
Author Information
1. 广西医科大学公共卫生学院,广西南宁 530021;南宁市第二人民医院公共卫生科,广西南宁 530031
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
Hand-foot-mouth disease;
Monitor;
Epidemiological characteristics;
Model prediction
- From:
China Modern Doctor
2025;63(20):40-43
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective To analyze the epidemiological and etiological characteristics of hand,foot and mouth disease(HFMD)in Nanning City,Liangqing District from 2012 to 2023.Methods Descriptive epidemiological methods were used to describe the three distribution characteristics of HFMD,and to predict the incidence trend of HFMD.Results From 2012 to 2023,Liangqing District of Nanning City reported a total of 19 715 cases of HFMD.The incidence rates varied significantly across different years,with statistically significant differences(P＜0.01).The urban area reported the highest number of cases.The disease primarily occurred from April to October,with the highest incidence among children aged 6 months to 5 years,mainly among children in daycare and preschools.From 2012 to 2023,a total of 588 cases were diagnosed through laboratory tests,with the highest detection rate of other enteroviruses,and a relatively lower detection rate of EV71.Predictions indicate that the incidence of HFMD in Liangqing District of Nanning City will decrease in 2025 compared to 2023.Conclusion Incidence of HFMD in Liangqing District,Nanning is high,especially among children aged 6 months to 5 years.It is suggested to strengthen the epidemic surveillance,continue to carry out pathogen surveillance.
