Analysis of Global and Regional Lifetime Risk of Develo-ping and Dying from Lung Cancer in 2022
10.11735/j.issn.1004-0242.2025.02.A001
- VernacularTitle:2022年全球肺癌终生罹患风险和死亡风险分析
- Author:
Zhen GUO
1
;
Wei WANG
;
Hong WANG
;
Hongwei LIU
;
Yin LIU
;
Lijuan CHEN
;
Shaokai ZHANG
;
Qiong CHEN
Author Information
1. 郑州大学附属胸科医院(河南省胸科医院),河南郑州 450008
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
lung cancer;
lifetime risk of disease;
lifetime risk of death;
the whole world
- From:
China Cancer
2025;34(2):81-88
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
[Purpose]To analyze the lifetime risk of developing and dying from lung cancer at global and regional levels.[Methods]Data of lung cancer incidence and mortality were obtained from GLOBOCAN 2022 and the population and all-cause mortality data were obtained from the United Nations.The lifetime risk of developing and dying from lung cancer globally and across different regions was estimated by multiple primary adjustment method.[Results]The global lifetime risk of developing lung cancer was 3.59％[95％confidence interval(CI):3.58％～3.59％],ranking third among all cancer types.There were significant gender and regional differences in lifetime risk values.The risk for male was 4.43％(95％CI:4.42％～4.44％),which was higher than that for female(2.71％,95％CI:2.70％～2.72％),with a male-to-female ratio of 1.63.Among regions with varying human development index(HDI)levels,the risk increased with HDI levels,in very high HDI re-gions risk was 5.36％(95％CI:5.34％～5.37％),while in low HDI regions the risk was 0.34％(95％CI:0.33％～0.34％).Among the 20 global regions,East Asia had the highest lifetime risk of 7.53％(95％CI:7.52％～7.55％),while West Africa had the lowest risk of 0.16％(95％CI:0.16％～0.17％).The global lifetime risk of dying from lung cancer was 2.78％(95％CI:2.78％～2.78％),ranking the first among all cancer types.There were significant sex and regional differ-ences in lifetime death risk values.The risk for male was 3.64％(95％CI:3.63％～3.64％),which was higher than that for female(1.89％,95％CI:1.89％～1.90％),with a male-to-female ratio of 1.93.Among regions with varying HDI levels,the risk increased with HDI levels,in very high HDI re-gions the risk was 3.98％(95％CI:3.97％～3.99％),while in low HDI regions the risk was 0.31％(95％CI:0.31％～0.31％).Among the 20 global regions,the Federated States of Micronesia/Poly-nesia had the highest death risk of 5.80％(95％CI:4.98％～6.62％),while West Africa had the lowest risk of 0.15％(95％CI:0.15％～0.16％).The lifetime risk of developing and dying from lung cancer in China was 7.54％(95％CI:7.52％～7.56％)and 5.88％(95％CI:5.87％～5.90％),respec-tively,both ranking the first among all cancer types.[Conclusion]The lifetime risk of developing and dying from lung cancer remains high globally and across different regions,with a particularly heavy burden in high-HDI areas.In China,both the lifetime risk of developing and dying from lung cancer are higher than the global average.This highlights the need for continued enhance-ment of comprehensive prevention and control measures,including addressing lung cancer-related risk factors,as well as improving screening,early diagnosis,and treatment efforts to reduce the lung cancer burden.
