Trends of Cervical Cancer Incidence in Qidong City of Jiangsu Province from 1977 to 2021
10.11735/j.issn.1004-0242.2025.02.A004
- VernacularTitle:1977-2021年江苏省启东市宫颈癌发病趋势分析
- Author:
Jianguo CHEN
1
;
Jian ZHU
;
Yonghui ZHANG
;
Jun WANG
;
Yongsheng CHEN
;
Lulu DING
;
Yuanyou XU
Author Information
1. 启东市人民医院/启东肝癌防治研究所/南通大学附属启东医院,江苏启东 226200;南通市肿瘤医院/南通大学附属肿瘤医院,江苏南通 226361
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
cervical cancer;
incidence;
trend;
epidemiology;
Jiangsu
- From:
China Cancer
2025;34(2):108-115
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
[Purpose]To analyze the trends of cervical cancer incidence in Qidong City of Jiangsu Province from 1977 to 2021.[Methods]Based on the cervical cancer registration database in Qi-dong City from 1977 to 2021,the crude incidence rate,the age-standardized rate by the standard Chinese standard population and the world standard population(ASRC and ASRW),the truncated rate of 35～64 years old,the cumulative rate of 0～74 years old,and the cumulative risk were cal-culated;the incidence rates of birth cohorts were analyzed.Joinpoint regression analysis was per-formed with Joinpoint 4.9.0.0 software to calculate the annual percentage change(APC)and the average annual percentage change(AAPC)of cervical cancer incidence.[Results]A total of 2 253 new cases of cervical cancer registered in Qidong City from 1977 to 2021,accounting for 1.62％of the total case numbers of cancer in the whole population,and for 4.03％of the total number of cancers in women.The crude incidence rate was 8.75/105,the ASRC was 4.54/105,the ASRW was 6.01/105,the truncated rate(35～64 years old)was 15.09/105,the cumulative rate(0～74 years old)was 0.63％,and the cumulative risk was 0.63％.The incidence of cervical cancer increased with age from 1977 to 2021.The average incident age was 55.36 years old,with the lowest age of 47.51 years old in 2010.Secular trend analysis showed that the AAPC of the crude incidence of cervical cancer was 6.010％(95％CI:4.951％～7.081％)(P＜0.001),among which the trend decreased from 1977 to 1999,with an APC of-2.507％;and then the trend increased from 1999 to 2017,with an APC of 14.436％(P＜0.001).The rising and falling trend curves of the AS-RC and ASRW were similar to that of the crude incidence.The age group and time period analysis showed that the peak incidence was in the older age groups before 2006,while the peak inci-dence appeared in the age groups of 45～54 years old from 2007 to 2021.The AAPCs in age groups of 25～64 years old demonstrated upward trends(all P＜0.05).The birth cohort analysis showed that the cervical cancer incidence in the 1937-1941 birth cohort was the lowest,and the birth cohort-specific rates in all age groups showed"V-shape"trends.[Conclusion]Long-term monitoring of cervical cancer incidence in Qidong has shown a trend of initially slow decline fol-lowed by a rapid increase,with the peak incident shifting towards younger ages.The rising trends of cervical cancer incidence in last two decades may be associated with the increased HPV infection,suggesting that measures to reduce HPV infection and enhance vaccination should be strengthened.
