Study on the influencing factors and the relationship between public risk perception and evacuation behavior decision in typhoon disaster
10.3760/cma.j.cn114656-20250903-00635
- VernacularTitle:台风灾害公众风险感知与撤离行为决策之间的关系及影响因素研究
- Author:
Ping WEI
1
;
Zhenyu ZHAO
;
Yajuan ZHAO
;
Na ZHANG
;
Baichao XU
;
Fang BAI
;
Hua ZHANG
Author Information
1. 海南医科大学护理学院，海口 571199
- Keywords:
Typhoon;
Disasters;
Risk perception;
Evacuation behavior;
Structural equation modeling
- From:
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine
2025;34(11):1538-1545
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective:This study aims to determine the risk perception, evacuation decision-making, and influencing factors related to typhoon disasters among public.Methods:A cross-sectional study will be conducted in residents of Hainan from September 2024 to January 2025. The study will employ chi-square tests, t-tests, and binary logistic regression analysis to examine factors influencing evacuation behavior decisions. Furthermore, structural equation modeling based on ordered choice model will be constructed to validate the mechanisms through which risk perception affects evacuation decision-making processes.Results:Among 517 respondents from 11 administrative districts (counties) in Hainan Province, 62.09% of the residents were willing to evacuate. The decision of public evacuation behavior was significantly related to disaster knowledge, official trust, risk perception, source of warning information and some demographic characteristics. Structural equation modeling demonstrated that warning information sources positively correlated with disaster knowledge and official trust (path coefficients: 0.363, 0.315, both P < 0.001). Both disaster knowledge and official trust showed positive correlations with risk perception (path coefficients: 0.157, 0.165, both P < 0.001), while risk perception positively influenced evacuation decisions (path coefficient: 0.137, P = 0.003). Moreover, source of warning information, disaster knowledge and official trust further positively affect evacuation behavior decision through risk perception, a key mediating variable. Conclusions:Disaster knowledge, official trust, risk perception and other factors can directly or indirectly affect the evacuation behavior of the public following the typhoon disaster. In typhoon-prone areas, it is recommended to enhance public risk perception through strategies such as authoritative training, diversified early warning channels, and improving government credibility, thereby promoting disaster preparedness and evacuation behaviors.
