Trends in pedestrian injuries in Mongolia: An interrupted time-series analysis
- VernacularTitle:Монгол Улс дахь замын хөдөлгөөний оролцогч болох явган зорчигчийн гэмтлийн өөрчлөлт: тасалдсан хугацааны цуваа шинжилгээ
- Author:
Bayanzul B
1
;
Tumen-Ulzii B
1
;
Galbadrakh E
1
;
Gerelmaa G G
2
Author Information
1. National Center for Traumatology and Orthopedics, Department of Statistics and Surveillance
2. Department of Global Public Health, Institute of Medicine, University of Tsukuba
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- From:Mongolian Medical Sciences
2025;213(3):32-39
- CountryMongolia
- Language:Mongolian
-
Abstract:
Introduction:Following the COVID-19 lockdown, the introduction of powered mopeds and scooters into
urban mobility in Mongolia, without basic traffic regulatory frameworks such as vehicle
classification, participation rules, age limits for riders, or parking regulations may have
contributed to an increased risk of pedestrian injuries.
Objective:To examine temporal trends in pedestrian injuries in Mongolia and to assess the impact
of the emergence of micro mobility, while accounting for COVID-19 lockdowns, using an
interrupted time-series analysis.
Methods:We conducted an interrupted time-series analysis using national data on pedestrian injuries in
Mongolia from January 2016 to December 2024. Monthly pedestrian injury rates per 10,000
population were calculated and stratified by age groups, regressing it on the number of
months after January 2016 (the beginning of the study), after November 2020 (the lockdowns
started), after May 2021 (the lockdown lifted and new mode of urban transportation started
to release).
Results:During the 9-year study period, there were 41,063 pedestrians, of whom 51.5% were
male. The monthly rate of overall pedestrian injury started to decrease after the COVID-19
lockdowns possibly due to reduced traffic activity. However, following the lifting of restrictions,
the trend started to increase among the age groups under 10 years (1.8%, 95% CI: 0.8–2.8),
10–19 years (1.6%, 95% CI: 0.3–2.9), 50–59 years (0.6%, 95% CI: 0.1–1.2), and 60–69
years (1.3%, 95% CI: 0.4–2.2).
Conclusion:The increase in pedestrian injuries suggests that the emergence of micromobility may have
contributed to higher injury risk for pedestrians in Mongolia. This highlights the urgent need
for change in infrastructure and regulations governing micromobility usage to enhance
pedestrian safety.
- Full text:2025122318160531941MAUS-2025-213(3)-32-39.pdf
