Cost-utility analysis of multiple sequential treatment regimens for HER-2 positive advanced gastric cancer
- VernacularTitle:HER-2阳性晚期胃癌多种序贯治疗方案的成本-效用分析
- Author:
Nana LIU
1
;
Xin GUAN
1
;
Xia HU
1
Author Information
1. School of International Pharmaceutical Business,China Pharmaceutical University,Nanjing 211198,China
- Publication Type:Journal Article
- Keywords:
HER-2 positive advanced gastric cancer;
chemotherapy;
paclitaxel;
trastuzumab;
sequential therapy;
cost-utility
- From:
China Pharmacy
2025;36(13):1629-1634
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of different sequential treatment regimens for human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER-2)-positive advanced gastric cancer from the perspective of the Chinese health system. METHODS Survival data were obtained from the ToGA, WJOG 4007 and RAINBOW-Asia trials, and adjusted using network meta-analysis. A four-state Markov model was constructed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of six treatment sequences, with a lifetime simulation horizon and a cycle period of 4 weeks (28 d), and the main output parameters of the model included total costs, quality-adjusted life year (QALY), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Sensitivity analysis was conducted to test the robustness of the basic analysis results, and a price reduction scenario analysis for trastuzumab was performed. RESULTS Compared with chemotherapy sequentially treated with paclitaxel, the ICER of trastuzumab combined with chemotherapy sequentially treated with paclitaxel, or irinotecan, or ramucirumab plus paclitaxel were 349 845.25, 772 410.64, and 2 510 470.39 yuan/QALY, respectively, all exceeding three times China’s 2023 per capita gross domestic product (GDP) (268 074 yuan/QALY) as the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold. This indicated that chemotherapy sequential paclitaxel was the optimal treatment regimen. The sensitivity analysis confirmed the robustness of the basic analysis. The scenario analysis showed that when trastuzumab was reduced by more than 20%, trastuzumab combined with chemotherapy sequentially treated with paclitaxel became cost-effective under this study’s WTP threshold. CONCLUSIONS When using three times China’s 2023 per capita GDP as the WTP threshold, chemotherapy sequentially treated with paclitaxel is the optimal regimen for HER-2 positive advanced gastric cancer, with trastuzumab combined with chemotherapy sequentially treated with paclitaxel as the second best option. With enhanced medical insurance optimization, trastuzumab combined with chemotherapy sequentially treated with paclitaxel is expected to become the most cost-effective treatment regimen.