Predictive value of serum IL-36 family cytokines for prognosis of patients with Guillain-Barre syndrome
10.3969/j.issn.1009-0126.2024.06.017
- VernacularTitle:血清白细胞介素36相关因子水平对吉兰-巴雷综合征患者预后的预测价值
- Author:
Xiaochun TANG
1
;
Pengfei HU
;
Xin LIU
Author Information
1. 415000 湘雅常德医院神经内科
- Keywords:
interleukins;
Guillain-Barre syndrome;
prognosis;
forecasting;
logistic models;
IL-36
- From:
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases
2024;26(6):674-677
- CountryChina
- Language:Chinese
-
Abstract:
Objective To explore the prognostic value of serum interleukin-36(IL-36)family cyto-kines in patients with Guillain-Barre syndrome(GBS).Methods A retrospective trial was conduc-ted on 176 GBS patients admitted to our hospital from December 2020 to January 2023.According to their Hughes score at 6 months'follow-up,they were divided into good prognosis group(n=92)and poor prognosis group(n=84).Their general data were collected,and the levels of IL-36 family cytokines,such as IL-36α,IL-36β,IL-36γ and IL-36Ra were detected.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was employed to identify the influencing factors for poor prognosis of GBS patients,and ROC curve was plotted to analyze the predictive values of related factors.Results There were significant differences in age,injury types by electromyography(EMG),length of hospital stay and respiratory assisted ventilation between the two groups(P＜0.05,P＜0.01).The levels of IL-36α,IL-36β and IL-36γ were obviously higher while that of IL-36Ra was notably low-er in the poor prognosis group than the good prognosis group(P＜0.01).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age,respiratory assisted ventilation,EMG injury types(myelin sheath and axon are damaged),and serum IL-36γ and IL-36Ra levels were independent influen-cing factors for poor prognosis of GBS patients(P＜0.05,P＜0.01).ROC curve analysis indicated that the AUC value of IL-36γ,IL-36Ra and their combination was 0.674(95％CI:0.599-0.742),0.862(95％CI:0.80 3-0.910)and 0.888(95％CI:0.832-0.931),respectively.Calibration positive curve analysis showed that the combined model of IL-36γ and IL-36Ra levels presented good con-sistency with the actual risk in predicting the risk of poor prognosis in GBS patients.Conclusion Age,respiratory assisted ventilation,EMG injury types(myelin sheath and axon are damaged),and IL-36γ and IL-36Ra levels are independently risk factors for poor prognosis of GBS patients.The combination of IL-36γ and IL-36Ra levels has a good predictive value for poor prognosis of GBS patients,and can be used as an effective indicator for the prediction.
