1.Construction and validation of an in-hospital mortality risk prediction model for patients receiving VA-ECMO:a retrospective multi-center case-control study
Yue GE ; Jianwei LI ; Hongkai LIANG ; Liusheng HOU ; Liuer ZUO ; Zhen CHEN ; Jianhai LU ; Xin ZHAO ; Jingyi LIANG ; Lan PENG ; Jingna BAO ; Jiaxin DUAN ; Li LIU ; Keqing MAO ; Zhenhua ZENG ; Hongbin HU ; Zhongqing CHEN
Journal of Southern Medical University 2024;44(3):491-498
Objective To investigate the risk factors of in-hospital mortality and establish a risk prediction model for patients receiving venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation(VA-ECMO).Methods We retrospectively collected the data of 302 patients receiving VA-ECMO in ICU of 3 hospitals in Guangdong Province between January,2015 and January,2022 using a convenience sampling method.The patients were divided into a derivation cohort(201 cases)and a validation cohort(101 cases).Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to analyze the risk factors for in-hospital death of these patients,based on which a risk prediction model was established in the form of a nomogram.The receiver operator characteristic(ROC)curve,calibration curve and clinical decision curve were used to evaluate the discrimination ability,calibration and clinical validity of this model.Results The in-hospital mortality risk prediction model was established based the risk factors including hypertension(OR=3.694,95%CI:1.582-8.621),continuous renal replacement therapy(OR=9.661,95%CI:4.103-22.745),elevated Na2+ level(OR=1.048,95%CI:1.003-1.095)and increased hemoglobin level(OR=0.987,95%CI:0.977-0.998).In the derivation cohort,the area under the ROC curve(AUC)of this model was 0.829(95%CI:0.770-0.889),greater than those of the 4 single factors(all AUC<0.800),APACHE Ⅱ Score(AUC=0.777,95%CI:0.714-0.840)and the SOFA Score(AUC=0.721,95%CI:0.647-0.796).The results of internal validation showed that the AUC of the model was 0.774(95%CI:0.679-0.869),and the goodness of fit test showed a good fitting of this model(χ2=4.629,P>0.05).Conclusion The risk prediction model for in-hospital mortality of patients on VA-ECMO has good differentiation,calibration and clinical effectiveness and outperforms the commonly used disease severity scoring system,and thus can be used for assessing disease severity and prognostic risk level in critically ill patients.
2.Construction and validation of an in-hospital mortality risk prediction model for patients receiving VA-ECMO:a retrospective multi-center case-control study
Yue GE ; Jianwei LI ; Hongkai LIANG ; Liusheng HOU ; Liuer ZUO ; Zhen CHEN ; Jianhai LU ; Xin ZHAO ; Jingyi LIANG ; Lan PENG ; Jingna BAO ; Jiaxin DUAN ; Li LIU ; Keqing MAO ; Zhenhua ZENG ; Hongbin HU ; Zhongqing CHEN
Journal of Southern Medical University 2024;44(3):491-498
Objective To investigate the risk factors of in-hospital mortality and establish a risk prediction model for patients receiving venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation(VA-ECMO).Methods We retrospectively collected the data of 302 patients receiving VA-ECMO in ICU of 3 hospitals in Guangdong Province between January,2015 and January,2022 using a convenience sampling method.The patients were divided into a derivation cohort(201 cases)and a validation cohort(101 cases).Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to analyze the risk factors for in-hospital death of these patients,based on which a risk prediction model was established in the form of a nomogram.The receiver operator characteristic(ROC)curve,calibration curve and clinical decision curve were used to evaluate the discrimination ability,calibration and clinical validity of this model.Results The in-hospital mortality risk prediction model was established based the risk factors including hypertension(OR=3.694,95%CI:1.582-8.621),continuous renal replacement therapy(OR=9.661,95%CI:4.103-22.745),elevated Na2+ level(OR=1.048,95%CI:1.003-1.095)and increased hemoglobin level(OR=0.987,95%CI:0.977-0.998).In the derivation cohort,the area under the ROC curve(AUC)of this model was 0.829(95%CI:0.770-0.889),greater than those of the 4 single factors(all AUC<0.800),APACHE Ⅱ Score(AUC=0.777,95%CI:0.714-0.840)and the SOFA Score(AUC=0.721,95%CI:0.647-0.796).The results of internal validation showed that the AUC of the model was 0.774(95%CI:0.679-0.869),and the goodness of fit test showed a good fitting of this model(χ2=4.629,P>0.05).Conclusion The risk prediction model for in-hospital mortality of patients on VA-ECMO has good differentiation,calibration and clinical effectiveness and outperforms the commonly used disease severity scoring system,and thus can be used for assessing disease severity and prognostic risk level in critically ill patients.
3.Study on the Mechanism of Quercetin Intervention in Breast Cancer with Depressive Characteristics Based on Network Pharmacology and Animal Experiments
Ying-Chao WU ; Yu-Qi LIANG ; Yu-Yu HU ; Liu-Shan CHEN ; Peng WU ; Qian ZUO ; Qian-Jun CHEN
Journal of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;41(10):2795-2803
Objective To explore the mechanism of quercetin in the treatment of breast cancer with depressive features using network pharmacology and animal experiments.Methods Network pharmacology and bioinformatics methods were used to predict the key targets and mechanisms of quercetin in the treatment of breast cancer with depressive characteristics.The predicted results were verified by animal experiments.A mouse model of breast cancer with depressive characteristics was constructed,and quercetin intervention was performed after grouping.The depression of mice was evaluated by open field test.The tumor volume and tumor mass were measured.The expression of Ki-67 in tumor tissue was detected by immunohistochemical staining.The expressions of tumor necrosis factor α(TNF-α),interleukin 6(IL-6),p53,Caspase-3 and B-cell lymphoma/leukemia 2(Bcl-2)in tumor tissue were detected by Western Blot.Terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase-mediated dUTP nick end labeling(TUNEL)method was used to detect the apoptosis of tumor cells.Results In the breast cancer model group with depressive characteristics,the total movement distance in the open field test and the ratio of residence time in the central area of the open field test were decreased,the tumor volume and tumor mass were significantly increased,and Ki-67 expression level in the tumor tissue was significantly increased,the expression levels of TNF-α,IL-6,p53 and Caspase-3 in the tumor tissue were decreased and the expression level of Bcl-2 was increased,as well as the rate of TUNEL positive cells was decreased,the differences being statistically significant compared with the control group(P<0.01 or P<0.001).Compared with the model group,the above indexes were significantly reversed in the quercetin group(P<0.01 or P<0.001).Conclusion Quercetin can effectively inhibit the progression of breast cancer with depressive characteristics in mice,and its mechanism is related to the regulation of TNF,IL6,TP53,CASP3,BCL2 and other targets to promote tumor cell apoptosis.
4.Diagnostic efficacy of brush cytology and biopsy forceps under the guidance of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography to differentiate between benign and malignant biliary strictures
Zheng LIANG ; Yongqiu WEI ; Guo ZHANG ; Haoxi LIU ; Jiaxuan ZUO ; Peng LI ; Shutian ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Digestive Endoscopy 2024;41(11):857-863
Objective:To evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of brush cytology and transpapillary biopsy sampling under the guidance of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) in distinguishing between benign and malignant biliary strictures.Methods:A total of 470 patients with unknown biliary strictures who underwent ERCP at Department of Gastroenterology, Beijing Friendship Hospital from January 2013 to January 2022 were enrolled. Brush cytology was performed before biopsy in a single procedure, and with multiple ERCP brush cytologies or biopsy performed for challenging cases. Clinical data, ERCP procedures, pathological results, and follow-up data were collected. With the final diagnosis as the golden standard, the diagnostic efficacy of brush cytology and biopsy sampling were calculated.Results:The final diagnosis showed 251 cases of malignant and 219 cases of benign biliary strictures. All 470 patients received brush cytology, among whom, 37 patients underwent multiple brush cytologies. Additionally, 114 patients were treated with biopsy sampling. The single brush cytology showed a sensitivity of 49.40% (124/251) and a specificity of 99.09% (217/219) for diagnosing malignant biliary strictures. Multiple brush cytologies showed a sensitivity of 68.42% (13/19) and a specificity of 100.00% (18/18). Biopsy sampling showed a sensitivity of 68.18% (45/66) and a specificity of 97.92% (47/48). Among the 114 patients who underwent both brush cytology and biopsy sampling, the results showed that the diagnostic sensitivity of brush cytology combined with biopsy sampling [77.27% (51/66)] and the sensitivity of single biopsy sampling [68.18% (45/66)] were significantly higher than that of single brush cytology [43.94% (29/66), χ 2=13.99, P<0.001; χ 2=6.92, P=0.009]. Conclusion:Combining brush cytology and biopsy forceps during ERCP enhances diagnostic sensitivity in identifying malignant biliary strictures. Biopsy sampling stands out as more sensitive compared with single brush cytology, emphasizing its role in improving diagnostic capabilities.
5.HPLC fingerprint,content determination and transferring patterns of index components of Xintongshu spray
Wanhui LIANG ; Shuyue TAO ; Chijing ZUO ; Jie WANG ; Yan LIU ; Weidong YU ; Can PENG ; Qian WANG
China Pharmacy 2023;34(23):2861-2867
OBJECTIVE To establish the HPLC fingerprint of Xintongshu spray, determine the contents of identified components, and investigate the transferring patterns of the index components of decoction pieces, intermediates and spray, so as to provide scientific reference for technology management and quality control of Xintongshu spray. METHODS HPLC fingerprints of 13 batches of Xintongshu spray were established by the Similarity Evaluation System for Chromatographic Fingerprints of TCM (2012 edition), and common peaks were identified; the contents of identified components were determined by HPLC. The paeonol in Moutan Cortex and ferulic acid in Chuanxiong Rhizoma were used as index components to investigate the transferring patterns of them in decoction pieces, intermediates and spray. RESULTS There were a total of 33 common peaks in the fingerprints of 13 batches of Xintongshu spray, and the similarities were more than 0.994. Eight components were identified, i.e. gallic acid (peak 5), oxypaeoniflorin (peak 9), chlorogenic acid(peak 10), caffeic acid (peak 14), paeoniflorin (peak 17), ferulic acid (peak 21), senkyunolide Ⅰ (peak 27) and paeonol (peak 31). The contents of 8 components ranged from 0.590 3- 0.719 7, 0.565 7-0.851 3, 0.279 4-0.368 1, 0.080 6-0.106 1, 1.922 5-3.033 5, 0.151 3-0.191 6, 0.250 6-0.336 0, 3.056 7-4.161 0 mg/mL, respectively. The average transfer rates of paeonol and ferulic acid from decoction pieces to sprays were 63.76% and 38.06%, respectively. It was also found that the process in which the loss of paeonol was more than 30% was the extraction by percolation and negative pressure concentration of Moutan Cortex. The process in which the loss of ferulic acid was more than 50% was the steam distillation extraction process of Chuanxiong Rhizoma. CONCLUSIONS The established HPLC fingerprint and content determination method of Xintongshu spray are reproducible and specific. The key processes that cause a decrease in the average transfer rates of the index components are the extraction by percolation and negative pressure concentration of Moutan Cortex and steam distillation extraction of Chuanxiong Rhizoma.
6.Effect of Shugan Tiaoshen acupuncture combined with western medication on depression-insomnia comorbidity due to COVID-19 quarantine: a multi-central randomized controlled trial.
Lu-da YAN ; Zhong-Xian LI ; Yu ZHANG ; Xue-Song LIANG ; Jing-Jing LI ; Miao WU ; Guo-Ao SHI ; Rui-Ming CHEN ; Xiang JI ; Si-Yao ZUO ; Shi-Yun CHEN ; Peng ZHOU ; Wen-Bin FU
Chinese Acupuncture & Moxibustion 2023;43(3):255-260
OBJECTIVE:
To observe the effect of Shugan Tiaoshen acupuncture (acupuncture for soothing the liver and regulating the mentality) combined with western medication on depression and sleep quality in the patients with depression-insomnia comorbidity due to COVID-19 quarantine, and investigate the potential mechanism from the perspective of cortical excitability.
METHODS:
Sixty patients with depression-insomnia comorbidity due to COVID-19 quarantine were randomly divided into an acupuncture group and a sham-acupuncture group, 30 cases in each one. The patients of both groups were treated with oral administration of sertraline hydrochloride tablets. In the acupuncture group, Shugan Tiaoshen acupuncture was supplemented. Body acupuncture was applied to Yintang (GV 24+), Baihui (GV 20), Hegu (LI 4), Zhaohai (KI 6), Qihai (CV 6), etc. The intradermal needling was used at Xin (CO15), Gan (CO12) and Shen (CO10). In the sham-acupuncture group, the sham-acupuncture was given at the same points as the acupuncture group. The compensatory treatment was provided at the end of follow-up for the patients in the sham-acupuncture group. In both groups, the treatment was given once every two days, 3 times a week, for consecutive 8 weeks. The self-rating depression scale (SDS) and insomnia severity index (ISI) scores were compared between the two groups before and after treatment and 1 month after the end of treatment (follow-up) separately. The cortical excitability indexes (resting motor threshold [rMT], motor evoked potential amplitude [MEP-A], cortical resting period [CSP]) and the level of serum 5-hydroxytryptamine (5-HT) were measured before and after treatment in the two groups.
RESULTS:
After treatment and in follow-up, SDS and ISI scores were decreased in both groups compared with those before treatment (P<0.05), and the scores in the acupuncture group were lower than those in the sham-acupuncture group (P<0.05), and the decrease range in the acupuncture group after treatment was larger than that in the sham-acupuncture group (P<0.05). After treatment, rMT was reduced (P<0.05), while MEP-A and CSP were increased (P<0.05) in the acupuncture group compared with that before treatment. The levels of serum 5-HT in both groups were increased compared with those before treatment (P<0.05). The rMT in the acupuncture group was lower than that in the sham-acupuncture group, while MEP-A and CSP, as well as the level of serum 5-HT were higher in the acupuncture group in comparison with the sham-acupuncture group (P<0.05).
CONCLUSION
Shugan Tiaoshen acupuncture combined with western medication can relieve depression and improve sleep quality in the patients with depression-insomnia comorbidity due to COVID-19 quarantine, which is probably related to rectifying the imbalanced excitatory and inhibitory neuronal functions.
Humans
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Depression
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Quarantine
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Serotonin
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Sleep Initiation and Maintenance Disorders
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COVID-19
;
Acupuncture Therapy
;
Comorbidity
7.Metagenomic data-analysis reveals enrichment of lipopolysaccharide synthesis in the gut microbiota of atrial fibrillation patients.
Kun ZUO ; Jing ZHANG ; Chen FANG ; Yu Xing WANG ; Li Feng LIU ; Ye LIU ; Zheng LIU ; Yan Jiang WANG ; Liang SHI ; Ying TIAN ; Xian Dong YIN ; Xing Peng LIU ; Xiao Qing LIU ; Jiu Chang ZHONG ; Kui Bao LI ; Jing LI ; Xin Chun YANG
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2022;50(3):249-256
Objective: To investigate the functional changes of key gut microbiota (GM) that produce lipopolysaccharide (LPS) in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients and to explore their potential role in the pathogenesis of AF. Methods: This was a prospective cross-sectional study. Patients with AF admitted to Beijing Chaoyang Hospital of Capital Medical University were enrolled from March 2016 to December 2018. Subjects with matched genetic backgrounds undergoing physical examination during the same period were selected as controls. Clinical baseline data and fecal samples were collected. Bacterial DNA was extracted and metagenomic sequencing was performed by using Illumina Novaseq. Based on metagenomic data, the relative abundances of KEGG Orthology (KO), enzymatic genes and species that harbored enzymatic genes were acquired. The key features were selected via the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analysis. The role of GM-derived LPS biosynthetic feature in the development of AF was assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) and logistic regression analysis. Results: Fifty nonvalvular AF patients (mean age: 66.0 (57.0, 71.3), 32 males(64%)) were enrolled as AF group. Fifty individuals (mean age 55.0 (50.5, 57.5), 41 males(82%)) were recruited as controls. Compared with the controls, AF patients showed a marked difference in the GM genes underlying LPS-biosynthesis, including 20 potential LPS-synthesis KO, 7 LPS-biosynthesis enzymatic genes and 89 species that were assigned as taxa harbored nine LPS-enzymatic genes. LASSO regression analysis showed that 5 KO, 3 enzymatic genes and 9 species could be selected to construct the KO, enzyme and species scoring system. Genes enriched in AF group included 2 KO (K02851 and K00972), 3 enzymatic genes (LpxH, LpxC and LpxK) and 7 species (Intestinibacter bartlettii、Ruminococcus sp. JC304、Coprococcus catus、uncultured Eubacterium sp.、Eubacterium sp. CAG:251、Anaerostipes hadrus、Dorea longicatena). ROC curve analysis revealed the predictive capacity of differential GM-derived LPS signatures to distinguish AF patients in terms of above KO, enzymatic and species scores: area under curve (AUC)=0.957, 95%CI: 0.918-0.995, AUC=0.940, 95%CI 0.889-0.991, AUC=0.972, 95%CI 0.948-0.997. PLS-SEM showed that changes in lipopolysaccharide-producing bacteria could be involved in the pathogenesis of AF. The key KO mediated 35.17% of the total effect of key bacteria on AF. After incorporating the clinical factors of AF, the KO score was positively associated with the significantly increased risk of AF (OR<0.001, 95%CI:<0.001-0.021, P<0.001). Conclusion: Microbes involved in LPS synthesis are enriched in the gut of AF patients, accompanied with up-regulated LPS synthesis function by encoding the LPS-enzymatic biosynthesis gene.
Aged
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Atrial Fibrillation/complications*
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Cross-Sectional Studies
;
Gastrointestinal Microbiome
;
Humans
;
Lipopolysaccharides
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Prospective Studies
8.Kang-Ai Injection Inhibits Gastric Cancer Cells Proliferation through IL-6/STAT3 Pathway.
Chun-Lei ZHENG ; Ke-Zuo HOU ; An-Qi WANG ; Wan-Xia FANG ; Shi-Tong YU ; Jin-E LIANG ; Hai-Yan QI ; Xiu-Juan QU ; Yun-Peng LIU ; Xiao-Fang CHE
Chinese journal of integrative medicine 2022;28(6):524-530
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the mechanisms underlying the proliferative inhibition of Chinese herbal medicine Kang-Ai injection (KAI) in gastric cancer cells.
METHODS:
Gastric cancer cell lines MGC803 and BGC823 were treated by 0, 0.3%, 1%, 3% and 10% KAI for 24, 48 and 72 h, respectively. The cell proliferation was evaluated by 3-(4,5-dimethyl-2-thiazolyl)-2,5-diphenyl-2-H-tetrazolium bromide (MTT) assay. The apoptosis and cell cycle were evaluated by flow cytometry. Interleukin (IL)-6 mRNA and protein expression levels were detected by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) and enzyme-linked immune sorbent assay (ELISA), respectively. The protein expression levels of cyclin A, cyclin E, cyclin B1, cyclin D1, p21, retinoblastoma (RB), protein kinase B (AKT), extracellular regulated protein kinases (ERK), signal transducer and activator of transcription (STAT) 1 and STAT3 were detected by Western blot.
RESULTS:
KAI inhibited the proliferation of MGC803 and BGC823 gastric cancer cells in dose- and time-dependent manner. After treated with KAI for 48 h, the proportion of G1 phase was increased, expression level of cyclin D1 and phosphorylation-RB were down-regulated, whereas the expression of p21 was up-regulated (all P<0.01). Furthermore, 48-h treatment with KAI decreased the phosphorylation level of STAT3, inhibited the mRNA and protein expressions of IL-6 (all P<0.01). IL-6 at dose of 10 ng/mL significantly attenuated the proliferative effect of both 3% and 10% KAI, and recovered KAI-inhibited STAT3 phosphorylation and cyclin D1 expression level (all P<0.01).
CONCLUSION
KAI exerted an anti-proliferative function by inhibiting IL-6/STAT3 signaling pathway followed by the induction of G1 phase arrest in gastric cancer cells.
Apoptosis
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Cell Line, Tumor
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Cell Proliferation
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Cyclin D1/pharmacology*
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Humans
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Interleukin-6/metabolism*
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RNA, Messenger/metabolism*
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STAT3 Transcription Factor/metabolism*
;
Stomach Neoplasms/genetics*
9.Protective Effect of Linggui Zhugantang Medicated Serum Against H2O2-induced Injury in H9c2 Cells by Regulating PI3K/Akt Signaling Pathway
Tongjuan TANG ; Xiang WANG ; Mengyu ZUO ; Juan YAO ; Xiangyang LI ; Peng ZHOU ; Liang WANG ; Jinling HUANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2022;28(13):1-9
ObjectiveTo investigate the protective effect of Linggui Zhugantang (LGZGT)-medicated serum against H2O2-induced injury in H9c2 cells and its relationship with the phosphatidylinositol 3- kinase/protein kinase B (PI3K/Akt) signaling pathway. MethodThe LGZGT-medicated serum and blank serum were prepared based on serum pharmacology. H9c2 cells were cultured in vitro and divided into a normal group, an H2O2 group, a 20% blank serum group, and a 20% LGZGT-medicated serum group. The cells were treated with corresponding drugs for 12 h and cultured with 100 μmol·L-1 H2O2 for another 6 h. The effect of 20% LGZGT-medicated serum on the proliferation activity of H9c2 cells induced by H2O2 was detected by cell counting kit-8 (CCK-8) assay. Mitochondrial reactive oxygen species (ROS) level was detected by the fluorescence probe. The levels of malondialdehyde (MDA), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), catalase (CAT), and glutathione peroxidase (GSH-Px) were detected by colorimetry. Western blot was used to detect the protein expression levels of phosphoinositide 3-kinase (PI3K), phosphorylated-PI3K (p-PI3K), protein kinase B (Akt), and phosphorylated-Akt (p-Akt). Real-time fluorescence-based quantitative polymerase chain reaction (Real-time PCR) was used to detect mRNA expression of PI3K and Akt. Flow cytometry was used to detect the apoptosis rate. After the addition of PI3K inhibitor LY294002, the levels of mitochondrial ROS, LDH, and GSH-Px, protein expression of PI3K, p-PI3K, Akt, and p-Akt, and cell apoptosis rate were detected. ResultCompared with the normal group, the H2O2 group showed blunted cell viability (P<0.01), increased levels of mitochondrial ROS, MDA, and LDH (P<0.01), decreased levels of CAT and GSH-Px (P<0.01), reduced phosphorylation and mRNA expression of PI3K and Akt (P<0.05, P<0.01), and increased apoptosis rate (P<0.01). Compared with the H2O2 group, the 20% LGZGT-medicated serum group showed potentiated cell viability, reduced levels of mitochondrial ROS, MDA, and LDH (P<0.01), increased levels of CAT and GSH-Px (P<0.01), up-regulated phosphorylation and mRNA expression of PI3K and Akt (P<0.05, P<0.01), and decreased apoptosis rate (P<0.01). The combined use of LGZGT-medicated serum and inhibitor LY294002 reversed the above-mentioned effects of LGZGT-medicated serum on H9c2 cells (P<0.05, P<0.01). ConclusionThe protective effect of LGZGT-medicated serum on H2O2-induced H9c2 cell injury may be related to the regulation of the PI3K/Akt signaling pathway to reduce oxidative stress and apoptosis.
10.Assessment of the Benefits of Targeted Interventions for Pandemic Control in China Based on Machine Learning Method and Web Service for COVID-19 Policy Simulation.
Jie Wen WU ; Xiao Kang JIAO ; Xin Hui DU ; Zeng Tao JIAO ; Zuo Ru LIANG ; Ming Fan PANG ; Han Ran JI ; Zhi Da CHENG ; Kang Ning CAI ; Xiao Peng QI
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2022;35(5):412-418
Taking the Chinese city of Xiamen as an example, simulation and quantitative analysis were performed on the transmissions of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) and the influence of intervention combinations to assist policymakers in the preparation of targeted response measures. A machine learning model was built to estimate the effectiveness of interventions and simulate transmission in different scenarios. The comparison was conducted between simulated and real cases in Xiamen. A web interface with adjustable parameters, including choice of intervention measures, intervention weights, vaccination, and viral variants, was designed for users to run the simulation. The total case number was set as the outcome. The cumulative number was 4,614,641 without restrictions and 78 under the strictest intervention set. Simulation with the parameters closest to the real situation of the Xiamen outbreak was performed to verify the accuracy and reliability of the model. The simulation model generated a duration of 52 days before the daily cases dropped to zero and the final cumulative case number of 200, which were 25 more days and 36 fewer cases than the real situation, respectively. Targeted interventions could benefit the prevention and control of COVID-19 outbreak while safeguarding public health and mitigating impacts on people's livelihood.
COVID-19/prevention & control*
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China/epidemiology*
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Humans
;
Machine Learning
;
Pandemics/prevention & control*
;
Policy
;
Reproducibility of Results
;
SARS-CoV-2

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