Objective To establish a predictive model for inpatients of cardio-cerebrovascular disease in rural areas of Wugang through time series analysis, and predict the changing trend of cardio-cerebrovascular disease, so as to offer guidance for the health care resources allocation and prevention and control of cardio-cerebrovascular disease. Methods The seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average model (SARIMA) was constructed based on the monthly number of cases of cardio-cerebrovascular disease in rural areas from January 2013 to December 2016 by Stata 14.0 software, and the predictive effect of the model was verified with the monthly number of inpatients of cardio-cerebrovascular disease in 2017. Results The final fitting model of inpatients of cardio-cerebrovascular disease was SARIMA (2, 1, 1)×(0, 1, 0)12. The residual sequence of the model was diagnosed. Results of Ljung-Box Q test showed that the residual sequence was white noise sequence (Q=11.12, P=0.68). In addition, the 2017 forecast was basically consistent with the observations, the overall relative error was around -1.2%. The results showed that the summer was the peak period of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular hospitalization. Conclusion SARIMA model can accurately predict the number of inpatients of cardio-cerebrovascular disease in Wugang, which can provide data support for the hospital administrator to rationally allocate medical resources in the cardiovascular according to the needs of cardio-cerebrovascular treatment in different months.

Objective To investigate the value of serum levels of peroxisome proliferater-activated receptor (PPAR)γin patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and to explore the associations between serum PPARγwith disease activity of RA and RA-associated osteoporosis (OP).Methods One hundred and one cases of hospitalized patients with RA were enrolled.A total of 88 normal subjects during the same period were recruited as the control group.Levels of serum PPARγwere detected by enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA).Bone mineral density (BMD) was measured by dual energy X-ray absortiometry.All the clinical and laboratory indexes of RA patients were recorded in detail.T-test (or t'-test) was used for comparison of measurement data between the two groups,non-parametric test was applied for skewed distribution data.Comparison of incidence was analyzed with x2 test,correlation analysis was represented ascorrelation coefficient (r).Results Binary logistic regression analysis was used for multivariate regression analysis.Serum levels of PPARγ(3.38/4.00 ng/ml) in RA patients were higher than thosein normal subjects (2.63/1.76) ng/ml (Z=3.204,P=0.001).The positive rate of serum levels of PPARγin RA was 35.6％ (36/101),while the positive rate in the controls was (2.3％,2/88,x2=32.602,P＜0.01).The incidence of OP in RA was 34.7％(35/101;while the levels of serum PPARγ in RA without OP at femur area (femoral neck,total hip) and lumbar spine (L1,L1-4) were higher than that in RA with OP (P＜0.05).Serum levels of PPARγ between groups with different disease activity had no significant difference (P＞0.05).Serum levels of PPARγ in RA with negative RF or negative anti-CCP were higher than thosetin the RA group with positive RF or positive anti-CCP(P＜0.05).Serum levels of PPARγ in RA were negatively correlated with serum RF,anti-CCP,hemoglobin (P ＜0.05-0.001),and positively correlated with erythrocyte sedimentation rate,platelet,BMD at sites of femur neck andWard (P＜0.05-0.001).Results of binary logistic regression analysis showed that levels of serum PPARγwere protective factors in RA for OP at femurneck [OR=0.577,P=0.005,95％CI (0.394-0.846)],and total hip [OR=0.754,P=0.033,95％CI (0.581-0.978)].Condusion Serum levels of PPARγ in patients with RA are significantly increased,and negatively correlate with autoantibodies.Serum levels of PPARγare protective factors for OP in RA.

To explore the antagonistic effect of gingerols against the inflammation induced by lectin from Pinellia ternata. In this study, ELISA method was used to determine the effect of different extracts from gingerols on the release of inflammatory factor TNF-α from macrophages induced by lectin from P. ternata. The fluorescence probe was used to determine the effect of gingerols on the changes in ROS of macrophages induced by lectin from P. ternata. The western-blot method was applied to study the effect of gingerols on the increase in expression of cell receptor interacting protein RIP3 in macrophages induced by lectin from P. ternata. The scanning electron microscope (SEM) was used to study the effect of gingerols on morphological changes in macrophages induced by lectin from P. ternata. According to the results, gingerols can significantly inhibit the release of inflammatory factor from macrophages induced by lectin from P. ternata, ROS overproduction and increase in RIP3 expression. SEM results showed that gingerols can inhibit the cytomorphosis and necrocytosis induced by lectin from P. ternata. Fresh ginger's detoxication may be related to gingerols' effects in inhibiing release of inflammatory factor, ROS overproduction and increase in RIP3 expression caused by macrophages induced by lectin from P. ternata, which are mainly inflammatory development.
Animals ; Catechols ; pharmacology ; Cells, Cultured ; Drug Antagonism ; Fatty Alcohols ; pharmacology ; Ginger ; chemistry ; Lectins ; toxicity ; Macrophages ; drug effects ; metabolism ; Male ; Mice ; Mice, Inbred ICR ; Pinellia ; chemistry ; toxicity ; Reactive Oxygen Species ; metabolism ; Receptor-Interacting Protein Serine-Threonine Kinases ; genetics ; metabolism ; Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha ; genetics ; metabolism

OBJECTIVETo analysis the early complications of tibial fracture and its related factors, and propose a solution.

METHODSFrom December 2003 to December 2013,38 patients with early complications of tibial plateau fracture after operation were retrospectively analyzed. There were 35 males and 3 females, aged from 37 to 69 years old (averaged 42.3 years). According to Schatzker classification, 3 cases were classified as type II, 2 cases as type III, 2 cases as type IV, 19 cases as type V, 12 cases as type VI. The intervals between injury and operation ranged from 9 hours to 9 days, 26 cases within 3 days. Fifteen cases were treated with internal fixation of plates and 23 were treated by plate fixation and bone transplantation. Early complications included skin necrosis in 15 cases, infection in 6 cases, osteofascial compartment syndrome in 3 cases, common peroneal nerve injury in 2 cases, the superficial peroneal nerve injury in 3 cases, popliteal artery injury in 2 cases, loss of reduction in 7 cases.

RESULTSThe wound of 14 cases healed at the first stage and 24 cases healed delay. Hospitalization days ranged from 7 to 67 days (averaged 25.6 days). All patients were followed up for 12 to 36 months with an average of 16.4 months. The fracture healing time ranged from 3 to 9 months (averaged 6.9 months). According to Merchant knee function evaluation criteria, the results were excellent in 19 cases, good in 12, fair in 5 and poor in 2.

CONCLUSIONEarly complications of tibial fracture after operation is closely associated with the severe fracture complexity and related with preoperative preparation, surgical timing, operation incision selection and surgical technique. Early detection and timely processing reduce damage.

Adult ; Aged ; Female ; Humans ; Length of Stay ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Postoperative Complications ; therapy ; Tibial Fractures ; surgery

OBJECTIVETo evaluate the effect of perioperative imatinib mesylate (IM) therapy for patients with initial resectable primary local advanced gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) at intermediate or high risk on R0 resection rate and the prognosis.

METHODSForty-eight above GIST patients between December 2001 and February 2012 were divided into 2 groups: neoadjuvant group (15 cases, pre- and post-operation IM therapy) and adjuvant group (33 cases, post-operative IM therapy). R0 resection rate, complication rate, disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed and compared between the two groups.

RESULTSThe maximal tumor diameter and average tumor diameter were larger in neoadjuvant group as compared to adjuvant group (11.2 cm vs. 7.7 cm, P=0.005; 9.1 cm vs. 6.2 cm, P=0.014). The response rate of preoperative IM therapy was 93.3% (14/15). The R0 resection rate was 86.7% and 84.8% (P=1.000), and the complication rate was 13.3% and 9.1% (P=0.642) in neoadjuvant and adjuvant group respectively. The 3-year DFS was 55% and 41% (P=0.935), and 5-year OS was 83% and 75% (P=0.766) in neoadjuvant and adjuvant group respectively.

CONCLUSIONSResectable primary local advanced GIST at intermediate or high risk with larger tumor diameter receiving perioperative IM therapy can achieve the same R0 resection rate, complication rate, DFS and OS as the GIST with smaller diameter receiving operation first. Perioperative IM therapy has potential advantage.

Adult ; Aged ; Benzamides ; therapeutic use ; Chemotherapy, Adjuvant ; Female ; Gastrointestinal Neoplasms ; drug therapy ; Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumors ; drug therapy ; Humans ; Imatinib Mesylate ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Perioperative Care ; Piperazines ; therapeutic use ; Prognosis ; Pyrimidines ; therapeutic use ; Retrospective Studies

OBJECTIVETo perform Multiple Linear Regression analysis of X-ray measurement and WOMAC scores of knee osteoarthritis, and to analyze their relationship with clinical and biomechanical concepts.

METHODSFrom March 2011 to July 2011, 140 patients (250 knees) were reviewed, including 132 knees in the left and 118 knees in the right; ranging in age from 40 to 71 years, with an average of 54.68 years. The MB-RULER measurement software was applied to measure femoral angle, tibial angle, femorotibial angle, joint gap angle from antero-posterir and lateral position of X-rays. The WOMAC scores were also collected. Then multiple regression equations was applied for the linear regression analysis of correlation between the X-ray measurement and WOMAC scores.

RESULTSThere was statistical significance in the regression equation of AP X-rays value and WOMAC scores (P<0.05), while there was no statistical significance in the regression equation of lateral X-ray value and WOMAC scores (P>0.05).

CONCLUSION1) X-ray measurement of knee joint can reflect the WOMAC scores to a certain extent. 2) It is necessary to measure the X-ray mechanical axis of knee, which is important for diagnosis and treatment of osteoarthritis. 3) The correlation between tibial angle,joint gap angle on antero-posterior X-ray and WOMAC scores is significant, which can be used to assess the functional recovery of patients before and after treatment.

Adult ; Aged ; Humans ; Linear Models ; Middle Aged ; Osteoarthritis, Knee ; diagnostic imaging ; Radiography ; X-Rays