Objective To measure the value of orthopedic physiological and operative severity score for the enumeration of mortality and morbidity (POSSUM) and Portsmouth modified POSSUM (P-POSSUM) scoring systems in predicting operative risks in aged hip fracture patients.Methods Orthopedic POSSUM and P-POSSUM were performed to predict complication incidence and mortality for 164 aged patients operated for hip fracture.Validation of the scoring systems was tested by assessing observed to expected ratio,discrimination,and calibration.Discriminative ability and calibration of both scores were estimated using receiver operation characteristic curve (ROC) and Hosmer-Lemeshow test respectively.Results Orthopedic POSSUM score performed in predicting incidence of postoperative complications showed overall observed to expected ratio of 0.86,area under the curve of 0.82,and good calibration (H2 =3.66,df=8,P ＞ 0.05).P-POSSUM performed in predicting mortality showed overall observed to expected ratio of 0.80,area under the curve of 0.93 and good calibration (H2 =3.21,df =4,P ＞ 0.05).While orthopedic POSSUM overestimated postoperative mortality (overall observed to expected ratio =0.27).Conclusion Orthopedic POSSUM and P-POSSUM scores are respectively accurate in predicting postoperative complication incidence and mortality in aged hip fracture patients,but orthopedic POSSUM score overestimates the mortality.

Objeetive To evaluate the performance characteristics of the second trimester double test for the detection of fetal Down's syndrome(DS)in women of advanced maternal age(AMA).Methods We undertook a prospective nation-wide multi-centered study and chose alpha-fetoprotein(AFP))and free β-subunit of human chorionic gonadotrophin(free β-hCG)as the serum markers.Between May 2004 and September 2006,12 centers participated in the collection and analysis of maternal serum AFP and free β-hCG.Patients with an iuereaged risk of DS(≥1/270)wero offered generic sunniocentesis.Follow up of the outcome of all pregnancies was obtained.Patients were divided into two groups,the AMA group and the non-AMA group and the screening efficiency Was evaluated in beth groups.Results A total of 66 132 singleton pregnancies were included in the study.and there were 36 10(5.46%)AMA women.The median maternal age of AMA women was 36.8years(35-47 years).At a cut-off of 1/270,in the AMA group,the number of positive cases screened was 727 and 22 cases of fetal DS were detected:the number of negative cases screened was 2883,and no fetal DS was found.In the non-AMA group,the number of positive cases screened was 4743 and 69 cases of fetal DS were detected:the number of negative cases screened was 57 779,and 6 cases of fetal DS were diagnosed postnatally.In AMA group,the detection rate(DR),false positive rate(FPR)and odds of being affected given a positive result(OAPR)were 100%,19.7%and 3.0%respectively.In the non-AMA group,the DR,FPR and OAPR were 92.0%.7.5%and 1.5%respectively.Conclusion The double-marker test using AFP and free β-hCG is an effective screen strategy for second-trimester detection of Down syndrome in AMA women.

Objective:To analyze the expression and correlation of programmed death receptor ligand 1 (PD-L1) and matrix metalloproteinase-3 (MMP-3) in elderly esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, in order to provide an effective basis for early disease diagnosis, treatment plan formulation and prognosis evaluation of elderly patients with esophageal cancer.Methods:The clinical data of 83 elderly patients with esophageal squamous carcinoma who admitted in Qinghai Provincial Traffic Hospital from October 2018 to October 2019 were retrospectively analyzed and included in the esophageal squamous carcinoma group. Another 46 patients with para-carcinoma tissue were included in the para-carcinoma group. The immunohistochemistry was used to compare the positive rate of PD-L1 and MMP-3 expression in the two groups of tissues, and the relationship between PD-L1 and MMP-3 expression in esophageal squamous carcinoma tissues and clinical pathology was explored. Bivariate Pearson correlation test was used to analyze the correlation between the two and the clinical pathological features of elderly patients with esophageal squamous carcinoma.Results:The positive expression rates of PD-L1 and MMP-3 in the esophageal squamous carcinoma group (55.42%, 67.47%) were higher than those in the para-carcinoma group (23.91%, 30.43%) ( P<0.05); Pearson correlation analysis found that PD-L1 expression was positively correlated with the differentiated degree of esophageal squamous carcinoma ( r=0.449, P<0.001), and MMP-3 expression was positively correlated with the infiltration degree of esophageal squamous carcinoma, tumor node metastasis (TNM) stage, and lymph node metastasis ( r=0.255, 0.367, 0.361, P=0.020, 0.001, 0.001). Conclusions:PD-L1 and MMP-3 are highly expressed in elderly esophageal squamous carcinoma. PD-L1 expression can indicate the degree of differentiation of esophageal squamous carcinoma, and MMP-3 expression can indicate different infiltration degrees of esophageal squamous carcinoma, TNM stage, and lymph node metastasis. PD-L1 and MMP-3 can be used as clinical markers for the development of esophageal squamous carcinoma treatment plans and prognostic evaluation.

Objective To evaluate the performance characteristics of the second trimester double-marker test for the detection of fetal Down's syndrome in mainland China. Methods This prospective national multi-centered study used alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and free β-subunit of human chorionic gonadotrophin( free β-hCG)as the serum markers. From May 2004 to September 2006, 11 centers participated in the collection and analysis of maternal serum AFP and free β-hCG between 14 and 20+6 weeks of pregnancy. The screening results were calculated using the standard algorithm based on the standard database provided with the analytic software. Patients with an increased risk of Down's syndrome pregnancy (≥1/270) were offered genetic anmiocentesis. Outcomes of all pregnancies were obtained.Results A total of 66 132 singleton pregnancies were included in the study. The median maternal age was 27 years. At a cut-eft of 1 in 270, the detection rate (DR) based on a Caucasian database was 72% corresponding to a false positive rate (FPR) of 5%, and the DR based on the Chinese database was raised to 76% corresponding to an FPR of 5%. Conclusion The double-marker test using AFP and free β-hCG is an effective screen strategy for second-trimester detection of fetal Down's syndrome in mainland China. Ethnic variance exists between the Caucasian and Chinese populations. The accuracy of screening is increased by the use of race-specific medians.

Objective:To investigate the clinical characteristics of choledocholithiasis com-bined with periampullary diverticulum and influencing factor for difficult cannulation of endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP).Methods:The retrospective case-control study was conducted. The clinical data of 1 920 patients who underwent ERCP for choledocholithiasis in 15 medical centers, including the First Hospital of Lanzhou University, et al, from July 2015 to December 2017 were collected. There were 915 males and 1 005 females, aged (63±16)years. Of 1 920 patients, there were 228 cases with periampullary diverticulum and 1 692 cases without periampullary diverticulum. Observation indicators: (1) clinical characteristics of patients with choledocholithiasis; (2) intraoperative and postoperative situations of patients undergoing ERCP for choledocholithiasis; (3) influencing factor analysis for difficult cannulation in patients undergoing ERCP for choledocholithiasis. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as Mean±SD, and comparison between groups was conducted using the independent sample t test. Measurement data with skewed distribution were represented as M(range) or M( Q1, Q3), and com-parison between groups was conducted using the Wilcoxon rank sum test. Count data were described as absolute numbers or percentages, and comparison between groups was conducted using the chi-square test or Fisher exact probability. The Logistic regression model was used for univariate and multivariate analyses. Results:(1) Clinical characteristics of patients with choledocholithiasis. Age, body mass index, cases with complications as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diameter of common bile duct, cases with diameter of common bile duct as <8 mm, 8?12 mm, >12 mm, diameter of stone, cases with number of stones as single and multiple were (69±12)years, (23.3±3.0)kg/m 2, 16, (14±4)mm, 11, 95, 122, (12±4)mm, 89, 139 in patients with choledocholithiasis combined with periampullary diverticulum, versus (62±16)years, (23.8±2.8)kg/m 2, 67, (12±4)mm, 159, 892, 641, (10±4)mm, 817, 875 in patients with choledocholithiasis not combined with periampullary diver-ticulum, showing significant differences in the above indicators between the two groups ( t=?7.55, 2.45, χ2=4.54, t=?4.92, Z=4.66, t=?7.31, χ2=6.90, P<0.05). (2) Intraoperative and postoperative situations of patients undergoing ERCP for choledocholithiasis. The balloon expansion diameter, cases with intraoperative bleeding, cases with hemorrhage management of submucosal injection, hemostatic clip, spray hemostasis, electrocoagulation hemostasis and other treatment, cases with endoscopic plastic stent placement, cases with endoscopic nasal bile duct drainage, cases with mechanical lithotripsy, cases with stone complete clearing, cases with difficult cannulation, cases with delayed intubation, cases undergoing >5 times of cannulation attempts, cannulation time, X-ray exposure time, operation time were 10.0(range, 8.5?12.0)mm, 56, 6, 5, 43, 1, 1, 52, 177, 67, 201, 74, 38, 74, (7.4±3.1)minutes, (6±3)minutes, (46±19)minutes in patients with choledocholithiasis combined with periampullary diverticulum, versus 9.0(range, 8.0?11.0)mm, 243, 35, 14, 109, 73, 12, 230, 1 457, 167, 1 565, 395, 171, 395, (6.6±2.9)minutes, (6±5)minutes, (41±17)minutes in patients with choledocholithiasis not combined with periampullary diverticulum, showing significant differences in the above indicators between the two groups ( Z=6.31, χ2=15.90, 26.02, 13.61, 11.40, 71.51, 5.12, 9.04, 8.92, 9.04, t=?3.89, 2.67, ?3.61, P<0.05). (3) Influencing factor analysis for difficult cannulation in patients undergoing ERCP for choledocholithiasis. Results of multivariate analysis showed total bilirubin >30 umol/L, number of stones >1, combined with periampullary diverticulum were indepen-dent risk factors for difficult cannulation in patients with periampullary diverticulum who underwent ERCP for choledocholithiasis ( odds ratio=1.31, 1.48, 1.44, 95% confidence interval as 1.06?1.61, 1.20?1.84, 1.06?1.95, P<0.05). Results of further analysis showed that, of 1 920 patients undergoing ERCP for choledocholithiasis, the incidence of postoperative pancreatitis was 17.271%(81/469) and 8.132%(118/1 451) in the 469 cases with difficult cannulation and 1 451 cases without difficult cannula-tion, respectively, showing a significant difference between them ( χ2=31.86, P<0.05). In the 1 692 patients with choledocholithiasis not combined with periampullary diverticulum, the incidence of postopera-tive pancreatitis was 17.722%(70/395) and 8.250%(107/1 297) in 395 cases with difficult cannula-tion and 1 297 cases without difficult cannulation, respectively, showing a significant difference between them ( χ2=29.00, P<0.05). In the 228 patients with choledocholithiasis combined with peri-ampullary diverticulum, the incidence of postoperative pancreatitis was 14.865%(11/74) and 7.143%(11/154) in 74 cases with difficult cannulation and 154 cases without difficult cannulation, respectively, showing no significant difference between them ( χ2=3.42, P>0.05). Conclusions:Compared with patients with choledocholithiasis not combined with periampullary divertioulum, periampullary divertioulum often occurs in choledocholithiasis patients of elderly and low body mass index. The proportion of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease is high in choledocholithiasis patients with periampullary diverticulum, and the diameter of stone is large, the number of stone is more in these patients. Combined with periampullary diverticulum will increase the difficult of cannulation and the ratio of patient with mechanical lithotripsy, and reduce the ratio of patient with stone complete clearing without increasing postoperative complications of choledocholithiasis patients undergoing ERCP. Total bilirubin >30 μmol/L, number of stones >1, combined with periampullary diverticulum are independent risk factors for difficult cannulation in patients of periampullary diverticulum who underwent ERCP for choledocholithiasis.

Background::Although overnight fasting is recommended prior to endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP), the benefits and safety of high-carbohydrate fluid diet (CFD) intake 2 h before ERCP remain unclear. This study aimed to analyze whether high-CFD intake 2 h before ERCP can be safe and accelerate patients’ recovery.Methods::This prospective, multicenter, randomized controlled trial involved 15 tertiary ERCP centers. A total of 1330 patients were randomized into CFD group ( n = 665) and fasting group ( n = 665). The CFD group received 400 mL of maltodextrin orally 2 h before ERCP, while the control group abstained from food/water overnight (>6 h) before ERCP. All ERCP procedures were performed using deep sedation with intravenous propofol. The investigators were blinded but not the patients. The primary outcomes included postoperative fatigue and abdominal pain score, and the secondary outcomes included complications and changes in metabolic indicators. The outcomes were analyzed according to a modified intention-to-treat principle. Results::The post-ERCP fatigue scores were significantly lower at 4 h (4.1 ± 2.6 vs. 4.8 ± 2.8, t = 4.23, P <0.001) and 20 h (2.4 ± 2.1 vs. 3.4 ± 2.4, t= 7.94, P <0.001) in the CFD group, with least-squares mean differences of 0.48 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.26–0.71, P <0.001) and 0.76 (95% CI: 0.57–0.95, P <0.001), respectively. The 4-h pain scores (2.1 ± 1.7 vs. 2.2 ± 1.7, t = 2.60, P = 0.009, with a least-squares mean difference of 0.21 [95% CI: 0.05–0.37]) and positive urine ketone levels (7.7% [39/509] vs. 15.4% [82/533], χ2 = 15.13, P <0.001) were lower in the CFD group. The CFD group had significantly less cholangitis (2.1% [13/634] vs. 4.0% [26/658], χ2 = 3.99, P = 0.046) but not pancreatitis (5.5% [35/634] vs. 6.5% [43/658], χ2 = 0.59, P = 0.444). Subgroup analysis revealed that CFD reduced the incidence of complications in patients with native papilla (odds ratio [OR]: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.39–0.95, P = 0.028) in the multivariable models. Conclusion::Ingesting 400 mL of CFD 2 h before ERCP is safe, with a reduction in post-ERCP fatigue, abdominal pain, and cholangitis during recovery.Trail Registration::ClinicalTrials.gov, No. NCT03075280.