1.Predictive value of clinical radiomics model based on nnU-Net for prognosis of gallbladder carcinoma
Zhechuan JIN ; Qi LI ; Dong ZHANG ; Chen CHEN ; Jian ZHANG ; Min YANG ; Qiuping WANG ; Zhimin GENG
Chinese Journal of Digestive Surgery 2022;21(5):656-664
Objective:To investigate the predictive value of clinical radiomics model based on nnU-Net for the prognosis of gallbladder carcinoma (GBC).Methods:The retrospective cohort study was conducted. The clinicopathological data of 168 patients who underwent curative-intent radical resection of GBC in the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University from January 2012 to December 2020 were collected. There were 61 males and 107 females, aged (64±11)years. All the 168 patients who underwent preoperative enhanced computed tomography (CT) examina-tion were randomly divided into 126 cases in training set and 42 cases in test set according to the ratio of 3:1 based on random number table. For the portal venous phase images, 2 radiologists manually delineated the region of interest (ROI), and constructed a nnU-net model to automatically segment the images. The 5-fold cross-validation and Dice similarity coefficient were used to evaluate the generalization ability and predictive performance of the nnU-net model. The Python software (version 3.7.10) and Pyradiomics toolkit (version 3.0.1) were used to extract the radiomics features, the R software (version 4.1.1) was used to screen the radiomics features, and the variance method, Pearson correlation analysis, one-way COX analysis and random survival forest model were used to screen important radiomics features and calculate the Radiomics score (Radscore). X-tile software (version 3.6.1) was used to determine the best cut-off value of Radscore, and COX proportional hazard regression model was used to analyze the independent factors affecting the prognosis of patients. The training set data were imported into R software (version 4.1.1) to construct a clinical radiomics nomogram model of survival prediction for GBC. Based on the Radscore and the independent clinical factors affecting the prognosis of patients, the Radscore risk model and the clinical model for predicting the survival of GBC were constructed respectively. The C-index, calibration plot and decision curve analysis were used to evaluate the predictive ability of different survival prediction models for GBC. Observation indicators: (1) segmentation results of portal venous phase images in CT examination of GBC; (2) radiomic feature screening and Radscore calculation; (3) prognostic factors analysis of patients after curative-intent radical resection of GBC; (4) construction and evaluation of different survival prediction models for GBC. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented by Mean± SD. Count data were expressed as absolute numbers or percentages, and comparison between groups was analyzed using the chi-square test. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using the COX proportional hazard regression model. The postoperative overall survival rate was calculated by the life table method. Results:(1) Segmentation results of portal venous phase images in CT examination of GBC: the Dice similarity coefficient of the ROI based on the manual segmentation and nnU-Net segmentation models was 0.92±0.08 in the training set and 0.74±0.15 in the test set, respectively. (2) Radiomic feature screening and Radscore calculation: 1 502 radiomics features were finally extracted from 168 patients. A total of 13 radiomic features (3 shape features and 10 high-order features) were screened by the variance method, Pearson correlation analysis, one-way COX analysis and random survival forest model. Results of random survival forest model analysis and X-tile software analysis showed that the best cut-off values of the Radscore were 6.68 and 25.01. A total of 126 patients in the training set were divided into 41 cases of low-risk (≤6.68), 72 cases of intermediate-risk (>6.68 and <25.01), and 13 cases of high-risk (≥25.01). (3) Prognostic factors analysis of patients after curative-intent radical resection of GBC: the 1-, 2-, and 3-year overall survival rates of 168 patients were 75.8%, 54.9% and 45.7%, respectively. The results of univariate analysis showed that preopera-tive jaundice, serum CA19-9 level, Radscore risk (medium risk and high risk), extent of surgical resection, pathological T staging, pathological N staging, tumor differentiation degree (moderate differentiation and low differentiation) were related factors affecting prognosis of patients in the training set ( hazard ratio=3.28, 3.00, 3.78, 6.34, 4.48, 6.43, 3.35, 7.44, 15.11, 95% confidence interval as 1.91?5.63, 1.76?5.13, 1.76?8.09, 2.49?16.17, 2.30?8.70, 1.57?26.36, 1.96?5.73, 1.02?54.55, 2.04?112.05, P<0.05). Results of multivariate analysis showed that preoperative jaundice, serum CA19-9 level, Radscore risk as high risk and pathological N staging were independent influencing factors for prognosis of patients in the training set ( hazard ratio=2.22, 2.02, 2.89, 2.07, 95% confidence interval as 1.20?4.11, 1.11?3.68, 1.04?8.01, 1.15?3.73, P<0.05). (4) Construction and evaluation of different survival prediction models for GBC. Clinical radiomics model, Radscore risk model and clinical model were established based on the independent influencing factors for prognosis, the C-index of which was 0.775, 0.651 and 0.747 in the training set, and 0.759, 0.633, 0.739 in the test set, respectively. The calibration plots showed that the Radscore risk model, clinical model and clinical radiomics model had good predictive ability for prognosis of patients. The decision curve analysis showed that the prognostic predictive ability of the clinical radiomics model was better than that of the Radscore risk and clinical models. Conclusion:The clinical radiomics model based on the nnU-Net has a good predictive performance for prognosis of GBC.
2.Analysis of related factors for gallstones related gallbladder intraepithelial neoplasia and establishment of prediction models
Qi LI ; Jian ZHANG ; Jingbo SU ; Zhechuan JIN ; Yuhan WU ; Zhiqiang CAI ; Shubin SI ; Yuan DENG ; Dong ZHANG ; Zhimin GENG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2021;59(4):272-278
Objective:To evaluate the related factors of gallstones related gallbladder intraepithelial neoplasia(GBIN) and establish the prediction models for gallstones related GBIN.Methods:The clinicopathological data of 750 patients who underwent cholecystectomy for gallstones at Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi′an Jiaotong University from January 2013 to December 2018 and the postoperative pathological examination showed chronic cholecystitis or GBIN were analyzed retrospectively,including 150 cases of gallstones with GBIN and 600 cases of gallstones with chronic cholecystitis.There were 264 males and 486 females with age of (51.3±14.5) years (range: 18 to 90 years).The related factors for gallstones related GBIN were screened by χ 2 test and Logistic regression model,and the prediction models were established based on independent related factors and internal validation was conducted.The original data were randomly divided into a training cohort(526 cases) and a validation cohort(224 cases) at a ratio of 7∶3,and the nomogram and tree augmented na?ve Bayes were conducted to establish the prediction model for gallstones related GBIN.The consistency index(C-index),calibration chart,area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC) and confusion matrix were used to evaluate the prediction performance of the two models. Results:Univariate analysis showed that age,gallstones history(years),gallbladder size,whether the gallbladder mucosa smooth or not,whether the gallbladder wall thickened or not,gallstones diameter,and number of gallstones were related factors for the occurrence of gallstones related GBIN (χ2=19.957,8.599,9.724,9.301,8.341,15.288,9.169,all P<0.05).Multivariate analysis showed that age ( OR=2.23,95% CI:1.50-3.31, P<0.01),gallbladder size ( OR=2.11,95% CI:1.17-3.80, P=0.013),whether the gallbladder mucosa smooth or not ( OR=1.80,95% CI:1.13-2.88, P=0.014),gallstones diameter( OR=2.98,95% CI:1.71-5.21, P<0.01),and number of gallstones ( OR=2.14,95% CI:1.34-3.42, P<0.01) were independent related factors for the occurrence of gallstones related GBIN; the C-index of the nomogram in training cohort and validation cohort were 0.708 and 0.696,respectively.The AUC of the two models in training cohort were 70.60% and 70.73%,and in validation cohort were 68.14% and 67.47%,respectively.The accuracy of the two models in training cohort were 69.96% and 70.72%,and in validation cohort were 66.96% and 67.41%,respectively. Conclusion:Age,gallbladder size,whether the gallbladder mucosa smooth or not,gallstones diameter and number of gallstones are independent related factors for the occurrence of gallstones related GBIN,and the nomogram and tree augmented na?ve Bayes prediction models based on the above factors can be used to predict the occurrence of GBIN.
3.Analysis of perineural invasion with clinicopathological factors and prognosis for curatively resected gallbladder carcinoma
Jianjun LEI ; Jian ZHANG ; Chen CHEN ; Qi LI ; Jingbo SU ; Dong ZHANG ; Rui ZHANG ; Zhechuan JIN ; Zhimin GENG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2022;60(7):695-702
Objective:To examine the correlation between perineural invasion and clinicopathological factors and the role of perineural invasion on the prognosis of patients with curatively resected gallbladder carcinoma.Methods:The clinicopathological and follow-up data of 548 patients with gallbladder carcinoma who underwent radical surgery from the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi′an Jiaotong University from January 2013 to December 2020 were analyzed retrospectively. There were 173 males and 375 females,with age( M(IQR)) of 62(14)years(range:30 to 88 years). The correlations between perineural invasion and the clinicopathological features were analyzed. The relationship between prognosis and clinicopathological factors were further analyzed. The survival curve was drawn using the Kaplan-Meier method. The univariate analysis and multivariate analysis were done using the Log-rank test and Cox proportional hazard model respectively. Results:Radical resection was performed in 548 cases,including 59 cases(10.8%) with perineural invasion. The results of univariate analysis showed that perineural invasion was related to serum bilirubin level,serum carcinoembryonic antigen(CEA) level,CA19-9 level,T stage,lymph node metastasis,liver invasion,vessel invasion and tumor location(all P<0.05).The results of multivariate analysis showed that jaundice,high-level serum CA19-9,high-level serum CEA,T4 stage,vessel invasion and tumor located in the neck or cystic duct of the gallbladder were independent risk factors of perineural invasion in gallbladder carcinoma. Survival of 367 patients in T3-T4 stages were analyzed. The prognosis of gallbladder carcinoma patients with perineural invasion was significantly worse than that of patients without perineural invasion(median survival time:12.0 months vs. 34.7 months, P<0.01). Univariate analysis showed that perineural invasion,gallbladder stones,gallbladder polyps,CA125,CEA,CA19-9,serum bilirubin level,tumor location,N stage,liver invasion and pathological differentiation were independent risk factors affecting prognosis of patients with gallbladder carcinoma(all P<0.05). The results of Cox proportional hazard model showed that perineural invasion,N stage,liver invasion,gallbladder stones,pathological differentiation were independent risk factors affecting prognosis of patients with gallbladder carcinoma(all P<0.05). Conclusions:Jaundice,high-level serum CA19-9,high-level serum CEA,T4 stage,vessel invasion and tumor located in the neck or cystic duct of the gallbladder are independent risk factors for perineural invasion of gallbladder carcinoma. Perineural invasion is one of the independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of T3-T4 stage gallbladder carcinoma.
4.Analysis of related factors for gallstones related gallbladder intraepithelial neoplasia and establishment of prediction models
Qi LI ; Jian ZHANG ; Jingbo SU ; Zhechuan JIN ; Yuhan WU ; Zhiqiang CAI ; Shubin SI ; Yuan DENG ; Dong ZHANG ; Zhimin GENG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2021;59(4):272-278
Objective:To evaluate the related factors of gallstones related gallbladder intraepithelial neoplasia(GBIN) and establish the prediction models for gallstones related GBIN.Methods:The clinicopathological data of 750 patients who underwent cholecystectomy for gallstones at Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery of the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi′an Jiaotong University from January 2013 to December 2018 and the postoperative pathological examination showed chronic cholecystitis or GBIN were analyzed retrospectively,including 150 cases of gallstones with GBIN and 600 cases of gallstones with chronic cholecystitis.There were 264 males and 486 females with age of (51.3±14.5) years (range: 18 to 90 years).The related factors for gallstones related GBIN were screened by χ 2 test and Logistic regression model,and the prediction models were established based on independent related factors and internal validation was conducted.The original data were randomly divided into a training cohort(526 cases) and a validation cohort(224 cases) at a ratio of 7∶3,and the nomogram and tree augmented na?ve Bayes were conducted to establish the prediction model for gallstones related GBIN.The consistency index(C-index),calibration chart,area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC) and confusion matrix were used to evaluate the prediction performance of the two models. Results:Univariate analysis showed that age,gallstones history(years),gallbladder size,whether the gallbladder mucosa smooth or not,whether the gallbladder wall thickened or not,gallstones diameter,and number of gallstones were related factors for the occurrence of gallstones related GBIN (χ2=19.957,8.599,9.724,9.301,8.341,15.288,9.169,all P<0.05).Multivariate analysis showed that age ( OR=2.23,95% CI:1.50-3.31, P<0.01),gallbladder size ( OR=2.11,95% CI:1.17-3.80, P=0.013),whether the gallbladder mucosa smooth or not ( OR=1.80,95% CI:1.13-2.88, P=0.014),gallstones diameter( OR=2.98,95% CI:1.71-5.21, P<0.01),and number of gallstones ( OR=2.14,95% CI:1.34-3.42, P<0.01) were independent related factors for the occurrence of gallstones related GBIN; the C-index of the nomogram in training cohort and validation cohort were 0.708 and 0.696,respectively.The AUC of the two models in training cohort were 70.60% and 70.73%,and in validation cohort were 68.14% and 67.47%,respectively.The accuracy of the two models in training cohort were 69.96% and 70.72%,and in validation cohort were 66.96% and 67.41%,respectively. Conclusion:Age,gallbladder size,whether the gallbladder mucosa smooth or not,gallstones diameter and number of gallstones are independent related factors for the occurrence of gallstones related GBIN,and the nomogram and tree augmented na?ve Bayes prediction models based on the above factors can be used to predict the occurrence of GBIN.
5.Analysis of perineural invasion with clinicopathological factors and prognosis for curatively resected gallbladder carcinoma
Jianjun LEI ; Jian ZHANG ; Chen CHEN ; Qi LI ; Jingbo SU ; Dong ZHANG ; Rui ZHANG ; Zhechuan JIN ; Zhimin GENG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2022;60(7):695-702
Objective:To examine the correlation between perineural invasion and clinicopathological factors and the role of perineural invasion on the prognosis of patients with curatively resected gallbladder carcinoma.Methods:The clinicopathological and follow-up data of 548 patients with gallbladder carcinoma who underwent radical surgery from the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi′an Jiaotong University from January 2013 to December 2020 were analyzed retrospectively. There were 173 males and 375 females,with age( M(IQR)) of 62(14)years(range:30 to 88 years). The correlations between perineural invasion and the clinicopathological features were analyzed. The relationship between prognosis and clinicopathological factors were further analyzed. The survival curve was drawn using the Kaplan-Meier method. The univariate analysis and multivariate analysis were done using the Log-rank test and Cox proportional hazard model respectively. Results:Radical resection was performed in 548 cases,including 59 cases(10.8%) with perineural invasion. The results of univariate analysis showed that perineural invasion was related to serum bilirubin level,serum carcinoembryonic antigen(CEA) level,CA19-9 level,T stage,lymph node metastasis,liver invasion,vessel invasion and tumor location(all P<0.05).The results of multivariate analysis showed that jaundice,high-level serum CA19-9,high-level serum CEA,T4 stage,vessel invasion and tumor located in the neck or cystic duct of the gallbladder were independent risk factors of perineural invasion in gallbladder carcinoma. Survival of 367 patients in T3-T4 stages were analyzed. The prognosis of gallbladder carcinoma patients with perineural invasion was significantly worse than that of patients without perineural invasion(median survival time:12.0 months vs. 34.7 months, P<0.01). Univariate analysis showed that perineural invasion,gallbladder stones,gallbladder polyps,CA125,CEA,CA19-9,serum bilirubin level,tumor location,N stage,liver invasion and pathological differentiation were independent risk factors affecting prognosis of patients with gallbladder carcinoma(all P<0.05). The results of Cox proportional hazard model showed that perineural invasion,N stage,liver invasion,gallbladder stones,pathological differentiation were independent risk factors affecting prognosis of patients with gallbladder carcinoma(all P<0.05). Conclusions:Jaundice,high-level serum CA19-9,high-level serum CEA,T4 stage,vessel invasion and tumor located in the neck or cystic duct of the gallbladder are independent risk factors for perineural invasion of gallbladder carcinoma. Perineural invasion is one of the independent risk factors affecting the prognosis of T3-T4 stage gallbladder carcinoma.
6.Establishment and application value of a radiomics prediction model for lymph node metas-tasis of gallbladder carcinoma based on dual-phase enhanced CT
Qi LI ; Zhechuan JIN ; Dong ZHANG ; Chen CHEN ; Jian ZHANG ; Jingwei ZHANG ; Zhiqiang CAI ; Shubin SI ; Min YANG ; Qiuping WANG ; Zhimin GENG ; Qingguang LIU
Chinese Journal of Digestive Surgery 2022;21(7):931-940
Objective:To investigate the establishment and application value of a radio-mics prediction model for lymph node metastasis of gallbladder carcinoma based on dual-phase enhanced computed tomography (CT).Methods:The retrospective cohort study was conducted. The clinicopathological data of 194 patients with gallbladder carcinoma who were admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University from January 2012 to December 2020 were collected. There were 70 males and 124 females, aged (64±10)years. All patients underwent curative-intent resection of gallbladder carcinoma. A total of 194 patients were randomly divided into 156 cases in training set and 38 cases in test set according to the ratio of 8:2 based on random number method in R software. The training set was used to establish a diagnostic model, and the test set was used to validate the diagnostic model. After the patients undergoing CT examination, image analysis was performed, radiomics features were extracted, and a radiomics model was established. Based on clinicopathological data, a nomogram prediction model was established. Observation indicators: (1) lymph node dissection and histopathological examination results; (2) establishment and characteristic analysis of a radiomics prediction model; (3) analysis of influencing factors for lymph node metastasis of gallbladder carcinoma; (4) establishment of a nomogram prediction model for lymph node metastasis; (5) comparison of the predictive ability between the radiomics prediction model and nomogram prediction model for lymph node metastasis. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as Mean± SD, and measurement data with skewed distribution were represented as M(range). Count data were expressed as absolute numbers, and comparison between groups was performed by the chi-square test. Univariate analysis was conducted by the chi-square test, and multivariate analysis was performed by the Logistic regression model forward method. The receiver operating characteristic curve was drawn, and the area under curve, decision curve, confusion matrix were used to evaluate the predictive ability of prediction models. Results:(1) Lymph node dissection and histopathological examination results. Of the 194 patients, 182 cases underwent lymph node dissection, with the number of lymph node dissected as 8(range, 1?34) per person and the number of positive lymph node as 0(range, 0?11) per person. Postoperative histopathological examination results of 194 patients: 122 patients were in stage N0, with the number of lymph node dissected as 7(range, 0?27) per person, 48 patients were in stage N1, with the number of lymph node dissected as 8(range, 2?34) per person and the number of positive lymph node as 1(range, 1?3) per person, 24 patients were in stage N2, with the number of lymph node dissected as 11(range, 2?20) per person and the number of positive lymph node as 5(range, 4?11) per person. (2) Establishment and characteristic analysis of a radiomics prediction model. There were 107 radiomics features extracted from 194 patients, including 18 first-order features, 14 shape features and 75 texture features. According to the intra-group correlation coefficient and absolute median difference of each radiomics feature, mutual information, Select K-Best, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression were conducted to further reduce dimensionality. By further combining 5 different machine learning algorithms including random forest, gradient boosting secession tree, support vector machine (SVM), K-Nearest Neighbors and Logistic regression, the result showed that the Select K-Best_SVM model had the best predictive performance after analysis, with the area under receiver operating characteristic curve as 0.76 in the test set. (3) Analysis of influencing factors for lymph node metastasis of gallbladder carcinoma. Results of univariate analysis showed that systemic inflammation response index, carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), CA19-9, CA125, radiological T staging and radiological lymph node status were related factors for lymph node metastasis of patients with gallbladder cancer ( χ2=4.20, 11.39, 5.68, 11.79, 10.83, 18.58, P<0.05). Results of multivariate analysis showed that carcinoembryonic antigen, CA125, radiological T staging (stage T3 versus stage T1?2, stage T4 versus stage T1?2), radiological lymph node status were independent influencing factors for lymph node metastasis of patients with gallbladder carcinoma [ hazard ratio=2.79, 4.41, 5.62, 5.84, 3.99, 95% confidence interval ( CI) as 1.20?6.47, 1.81?10.74, 1.50?21.01, 1.02?33.31, 1.87?8.55, P<0.05]. (4) Establishment of a nomogram prediction model for lymph node metastasis. A nomogram prediction model was established based on the 4 independent influencing factors for lymph node metastasis of gallbladder carcinoma, including CEA, CA125, radiological T staging and radiological lymph node status. The concordance index of the nomogram model was 0.77 (95% CI as 0.75?0.79) in the training set and 0.73 (95% CI as 0.68?0.72) in the test set, respectively. (5) Comparison of the predictive ability between the radiomics predic-tion model and nomogram prediction model for lymph node metastasis. The receiver operating characteristic curve showed that the areas under the curve of Select K-Best_SVM radiomics model were 0.75 (95% CI as 0.74?0.76) in the training set and 0.76 (95% CI as 0.75?0.78) in the test set, respectively. The areas under the curve of nomogram prediction model were 0.77 (95% CI as 0.76?0.78) in the training set and 0.70 (95% CI as 0.68?0.72) in the test set, respectively. The decision curve analysis showed that Select K-Best_SVM radiomics model and nomogram prediction model had a similar ability to predict lymph node metastasis. The confusion matrix showed that Select K-Best_SVM radiomics model had the sensitivity as 64.29% and 75.00%, the specificity as 73.00% and 59.09% in the training set and test set, respectively. The nomogram had the sensitivity as 51.79% and 50.00%, the specificity as 80.00% and 72.27% in the training set and test set, respectively. Conclusion:A dual-phase enhanced CT imaging radiomics prediction model for lymph node metastasis of gallbladder carcinoma is successfully established, and its predictive ability is good and consistent with that of nomogram.