1.Clinical Characteristics and Prognosis of Patients with IgD Multiple Myeloma.
Yong-Qian ZHANG ; Ji-Sheng ZHAO ; Xiao-Fang WEI ; You-Fan FENG ; Yuan FU ; Qiao-Lin CHEN ; Qi-Ke ZHANG
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2025;33(2):437-441
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the clinical characteristics and prognosis of patients with IgD multiple myeloma (MM).
METHODS:
The clinical data of 8 patients with IgD MM admitted to Gansu Provincial Hospital from September 2013 to February 2023 were collected, and their clinical characteristics and prognosis were retrospectively analyzed and summarized.
RESULTS:
Among the 8 enrolled patients, there were 4 males and 4 females, with a median age of 60 (44-74) years. All patients had symptoms of renal insufficiency and anemia. There were 3 cases of bone invasion, 3 cases of splenomegaly, 7 cases of IgD-λ type, and 1 case of IgD-κ type. FISH examination was performed in 7 cases, and 6 of them were positive for 1q21 . There were 6 cases in DS stage III and 2 cases in DS stage II; According to ISS staging, there were 6 cases in stage III, 1 case in stage II, and 1 case in stage I; According to R-ISS staging, there were 5 cases in stage III and 3 cases in stage II. All patients received bortezomib-based combination chemotherapy, with 1 case undergoing autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) and 2 cases receiving daratumumab in combination. The median treatment period was 6 (1-15) cycles. The short-term efficacy was evaluated after 4-6 courses of treatment. Among the 6 patients with assessable efficacy, 1 case experienced disease progression (PD), and 5 cases achieved complete remission (CR). The median follow-up time was 26 (11-33) months, and the median progression-free survival (PFS) and median overall survival (OS) of the patients were 11.25 (3-26) months and 18.5 (4-33) months, respectively. Among the 8 patients, 4 cases died. Among the deceased patients, 3 cases were in R-ISS stage III and 3 cases were 1q21 positive. 2 of the 5 patients with early CR died due to disease progression.
CONCLUSION
The incidence of IgD MM is low, the symptoms of early renal damage, blood system damage and bone erosion in IgD MM patients are obvious, and the median survival time is short. ASCT and / or daratumumab may bring lasting relief for IgD MM patients, but large-scale clinical studies are still needed.
Humans
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Multiple Myeloma/therapy*
;
Middle Aged
;
Male
;
Female
;
Aged
;
Prognosis
;
Immunoglobulin D
;
Adult
;
Retrospective Studies
2.Clinical Characteristics and Prognosis of 7 Patients with T-Cell Large Granular Lymphocytic Leukemia.
Yong-Qian ZHANG ; Yuan-Yuan ZHANG ; Xiao-Fang WEI ; You-Fan FENG ; Yuan FU ; Qiao-Lin CHEN ; Qi-Ke ZHANG ; Ji-Sheng ZHAO
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2025;33(3):706-710
OBJECTIVE:
To analyze the clinical characteristics and prognosis of patients with T-cell large granular lymphocytic leukemia (T-LGLL).
METHODS:
The clinical data of 7 patients with T-LGLL in Gansu Provincial Hospital from March 2016 to June 2023 were analyzed retrospectively.
RESULTS:
Among the 7 patients, 5 were male and 2 were female, with a median age of 51(28-83) years old. At the onset of illness, 6 cases showed symptoms of fatigue and anemia, 4 cases had enlarged lymph nodes, and 5 cases had splenomegaly. Examination showed that 4 cases were antinuclear antibody(ANA) positive, 5 cases were anemia. The median hemoglobin (Hb) level was 83(61-151) g/L, the median white blood cell count (WBC) was 5.6(2.0-8.7)×109 /L, and the median percentage of lymphocytes in peripheral blood was 66.2(13.9-89.1)%. There were 3 cases with extremely active bone marrow hyperplasia, 2 cases with active hyperplasia, and 2 cases with decreased hyperplasia. There were 5 cases with mild myelofibrosis (MF-1), and 1 case with moderate myelofibrosis (MF-2). The median percentage of T cells was 64.3 (31.5-80.6)%. 5 cases showed the classic immunophenotype (CD3 + CD4- CD8 +), 6 cases were CD57 +, 3 cases were TCRα/β +, and 3 cases were TCRγ/δ +. TCRG rearrangement was detected in 5 cases.The median follow-up time was 55(4-87) months, one patient died of heart disease, and the other 6 patients are surviving.
CONCLUSION
The incidence of T-LGLL is low. The initial symptoms of T-LGLL include anemia, fatigue, lymph node enlargement, splenomegaly, and higher percentage of lymphocytes in peripheral blood, the percentage of abnormal T cells in bone marrow was significantly increased. Analysis of flow cytometric immunophenotyping, TCR gene rearrangement, and hot spot genes such as STAT3 and STAT5b, can improve the diagnostic accuracy.
Humans
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Leukemia, Large Granular Lymphocytic/diagnosis*
;
Male
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Middle Aged
;
Female
;
Aged
;
Prognosis
;
Adult
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Retrospective Studies
3.Safety and efficacy of domestically produced novel bioabsorbable vascular scaff old in the treatment of complex coronary artery lesions for 3 years
Deng-Shuang ZHOU ; Qiong YOU ; Hai-Liang MO ; Zi-Jun WU ; Yu-Biao LIN ; Lu-Jun CHEN ; Jun-Yu FAN ; Yong-Jian LIN ; Rui-Sheng ZHANG ; Pei-Shan WAN ; Wei-Guo ZHOU ; Keng WU
Chinese Journal of Interventional Cardiology 2024;32(9):509-515
Objective To investigate the safety and efficacy of novel bioabsorbable vascular scaffold(BVS)in the treatment of patients with complex coronary artery disease.Methods This was a retrospective,matched,single-center observational study.45 patients with coronary atherosclerotic cardiopathy received BVS treatment in the cardiovascular medicine department Department of the Affiliated Hospital of Guangdong Medical University from June 2020 to June 2021(BVS),and 45 patients treated with drug-eluting stents(DES)group were selected according to matching study requirements during the same period.Baseline,surgical,and follow-up data were compared between the two groups to evaluate safety and efficacy.The main measures of safety were:surgical time,intraoperative adverse events,etc.,and the end point of efficacy was target lesion failure(TLF),including cardiac death,target vessel myocardial infarction,and ischa-driven target lesion revascularization.Results A total of 90 patients were enrolled in this study,all of whom were followed up for at least 3 years.There were 20 cases of bifurcation lesions and 25 cases of diffuse long lesions in the two groups,and 50 cases of imaging were reviewed among the 90 patients.The proportion of stable coronary heart disease,history of diabetes,history of hypertension,history of smoking,pre-dilated balloon pressure and postoperative diastolic blood pressure in BVS group was higher than that in DES group,and the proportion of family history was lower than that in DES group(all P<0.05).There were no statistically significant differences in the rates of cardiac death,target vessel myocardial infarction,and ischemia-driven revascularization of target lesions between the two groups(all P>0.05).Binary Logistic regression model analysis showed that the diameter stenosis ratio of target lesions was an independent risk factor for intrastent restenosis(OR 2.786,95%CI 1.096-7.081,P=0.031).Conclusions Compared with traditional DES,BVS implantation has consistent safety and efficacy in the treatment of complex coronary artery disease within 3 years.The diameter stenosis ratio of target lesions was an independent risk factor for intrastent restenosis.
4.Clinical characteristics of 267 children with eosinophilic gastrointestinal disease:a multicenter study
Chun-Lei ZHAN ; Jie-Yu YOU ; Xiao-Qin LI ; Yong WANG ; Xian-Qin MEI ; Sheng-Hua WAN
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2024;26(2):139-144
Objective To explore the clinical manifestations,endoscopic findings,histopathological changes,treatment,and prognosis of eosinophilic gastrointestinal disease(EGID)in children,with the aim of enhancing awareness among pediatricians about this condition.Methods Data of 267 children with EGID were prospectively collected from January 2019 to July 2022 at Jiangxi Children's Hospital,Hunan Children's Hospital,and Henan Children's Hospital.The age of onset,symptoms,physical signs,laboratory examination results,endoscopic findings,histopathological changes,and treatment outcomes were observed.Results Among the 267 children with EGID,the majority had mild(164 cases,61.4% )or moderate(96 cases,35.6% )clinical severity.The disease occurred at any age,with a higher prevalence observed in school-age children(178 cases).The main symptoms in infants were vomiting and hematemesis,while in toddlers,vomiting and bloody stools were prominent.Abdominal pain and vomiting were the primary symptoms in preschool and school-age children.Nearly half(49.4% )of the affected children showed elevated platelet counts on hematological examination,but there was no significant difference in platelet counts among children with mild,moderate,and severe EGID(P>0.05).Endoscopic findings in EGID children did not reveal significant specificity,and histopathological examination showed no specific structural damage.Among them,85.0% (227 cases)received acid suppression therapy,34.5% (92 cases)practiced dietary avoidance,20.9% (56 cases)received anti-allergic medication,and a small proportion(24 cases,9.0% )were treated with prednisone.Clinical symptoms were relieved in all patients after treatment,but three cases with peptic ulcers experienced recurrence after drug discontinuation.Conclusions Mild and moderate EGID are more common in children,with no specific endoscopic findings.Dietary avoidance,acid suppression therapy,and anti-allergic medication are the main treatment methods.The prognosis of EGID is generally favorable in children.[Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics,2024,26(2):139-144]
5.Screening of rpsL mutations in streptomycin resistance gene of 104 strains of Yersinia pestis strains in south area of Qinghai Province by TaqMan-MGB fluorescent probe
BAI Ji-xiang ; XIN You-quan ; LI Sheng ; JIN Juan ; ZHANG Qi ; YANG Xiao-yan ; JIN Yong ; PENG Wen-xuan ; DAI Rui-xia ; HE Jian
China Tropical Medicine 2023;23(6):662-
Abstract: Objective To investigate the current status of streptomycin resistance of Yersinia pestis caused by point mutations of rpsL gene in Qinghai, so as to provide theoretical basis for precise clinical medication and prevention of drug resistance of human plague outbreak in South area of Qinghai Province in the future. Methods A total of 104 representative strains of Yersinia pestis collected from plague patients, vector insects and intermediate hosts in South area of Qinghai Province from 1957 to 2009 were screened, isolated and cultured by Hiss agar plates. The DNA of representative Yersinia pestis was extracted by sodium dodecyl sulfate lysis and phenol-chloroform method. The primers forward primer and reverse primer and TaqMan-MGB probes probe1 [FAM] and probe2 [VIC] were designed for the rpsL gene of streptomycin resistance gene in China. Real-time PCR with TaqMan-MGB fluorescent probe was used to detect the mutations of rpsL gene in streptomycin resistance locus of 104 strains of Yersinia pestis in South area of Qinghai Province. Results The FAM test results of 104 strains in South area of Qinghai Province were positive, corresponding to the detection of rpsL (128 : A ), RFU peak >1 000,negative <200. VIC test results of all tested strains were negative, corresponding to the detection of rpsL (128:G), RFU peak <200, positive >1 000. That is, no strains with rpsL gene mutation related to streptomycin resistance were found in the 104 strains of Yersinia pestis in Qingnan Province. Conclusion This study provides basic data on the distribution of streptomycin resistance of Yersinia pestis in South area of Qinghai Province, and lays a foundation for preventing the occurrence of drug resistance and clinical treatment of Yersinia pestis in South area of Qinghai Province.
6.Mid-term effectiveness of hip preservation in the reconstruction of ultrashort bone segments in the proximal femur with three-dimensional printed customized cementless intercalary endoprosthesis with an intra-neck curved stem.
Hongtao SHENG ; Yuqi ZHANG ; Qi YOU ; Taojun GONG ; Zhuangzhuang LI ; Xuanhong HE ; Fan TANG ; Yong ZHOU ; Yitian WANG ; Minxun LU ; Yi LUO ; Li MIN ; Chongqi TU
Chinese Journal of Reparative and Reconstructive Surgery 2023;37(8):970-977
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the design points of a three-dimensional (3D) printed customized cementless intercalary endoprosthesis with an intra-neck curved stem and to evaluate the key points and mid-term effectiveness of its application in the reconstruction of ultrashort bone segments in the proximal femur.
METHODS:
Between October 2015 and January 2021, 17 patients underwent reconstruction with a 3D printed-customized cementless intercalary endoprosthesis with an intra-neck curved stem. There were 11 males and 6 females, the age ranged from 10 to 76 years, with an average of 30.1 years. There were 9 cases of osteosarcoma, 4 cases of Ewing sarcoma, 2 cases of chondrosarcoma, 1 case of liposarcoma, and 1 case of myofibroblastoma. The disease duration was 5-14 months, with an average of 9.5 months. Enneking staging included 16 cases of stage ⅡB and 1 case of stage ⅢB. The distances from the center of the femoral head to the body midline and the acetabular apex were measured preoperatively on X-ray images. Additionally, the distances from the tip of the intra-neck curved stem to the body midline and the acetabular apex were measured at immediate postoperatively and last follow-up. The neck-shaft angle was also measured preoperatively, at immediate postoperatively, and at last follow-up. The status of osseointegration at the bone-prosthesis interface and bone growth into the prosthesis surface were assessed by X-ray films, CT, and Tomosynthesis-Shimadzu metal artefact reduction technology (T-SMART). The survival status of the patients, presence of local recurrence or distant metastasis, and occurrence of postoperative complications were assessed. The recovery of lower limb function was evaluated pre- and post-operatively using the Musculoskeletal Tumor Society (MSTS) scoring system, and pain relief was evaluated using the visual analogue scale (VAS) scores.
RESULTS:
The patient's femoral resection length was (163.1±57.5) mm, the remaining proximal femoral length was (69.6±9.3) mm, and the percentage of femoral resection length/total femoral length was 38.7%±14.6%. All 17 patients were followed up 25-86 months with an average of 58.1 months. During the follow-up, 1 patient died of lung metastasis at 46 months postoperatively, and the remaining 16 patients survived tumor-free. There was no complication such as periprosthetic infection, delayed incision healing, aseptic loosening, prosthesis fracture, or periprosthetic fracture. No evidence of micromotion or wear around the implanted stem of the prosthesis was detected in X-ray and T-SMART evaluations. There was no significant radiolucent lines, and radiographic evidence of bone ingrowth into the bone-prosthesis interface was observed in all stems. There was no significant difference in the distance from the tip of the curved stem to the body midline and the apex of the acetabulum at immediate postoperatively and last follow-up compared with the distance from the center of the femoral head to the body midline and the apex of the acetabulum before operation, respectively (P>0.05), and there was no significant difference in the above indexes between immediate postoperatively and last follow-up (P>0.05). The differences in the neck-shaft angle at various time points before and after operation were also not significant (P>0.05). At last follow-up, the MSTS score was 26.1±1.2 and the VAS score was 0.1±0.5, which were significantly improved when compared with those before operation [19.4±2.1 and 5.7±1.0, respectively] (t=14.735, P<0.001; t=21.301, P<0.001). At last follow-up, none of the patients walked with the aid of crutches or other walkers.
CONCLUSION
The 3D printed customized cementless intercalary endoprosthesis with an intra-neck curved stem is an effective method for reconstructing ultrashort bone segments in the proximal femur following malignant tumor resection. The operation is reliable, the postoperative lower limb function is satisfactory, and the incidence of complications is low.
Female
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Male
;
Humans
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Child
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Adolescent
;
Young Adult
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Adult
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Femur/surgery*
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Lower Extremity
;
Bone-Implant Interface
;
Femur Head
;
Artificial Limbs
7.Long-term trend analysis of liver cancer survival rate in Qidong region, Jiangsu Province, 1972-2019.
Yong Sheng CHEN ; Jun WANG ; Lu Lu DING ; Yuan You XU ; Yong Hui ZHANG ; Jian Guo CHEN ; Jian ZHU ; Jian FAN
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2023;31(6):634-639
Objective: To analyze the incidence and survival rate of liver cancer cases in the entire population in the Qidong region from 1972 to 2019, so as to provide a basis for prognosis evaluation, prevention, and treatment. Methods: The observed survival rate (OSR) and relative survival rate (RSR) of 34 805 cases of liver cancer in the entire Qidong region population from 1972 to 2019 were calculated using Hakulinen's method with SURV3.01 software. Hakulinen's likelihood ratio test was used for statistical analysis. Age-standardized relative survival (ARS) was calculated using the International Cancer Survival Standard. The Joinpoint regression analysis was performed with Joinpoint 4.7.0.0 software to calculate the average annual percentage change (AAPC) of the liver cancer survival rate. Results: 1-ASR increased from 13.80% in 1972-1977 to 50.20% in 2014-2019, while 5-ASR increased from 1.27% in 1972-1977 to 27.64% in 2014-2019. The upward trend of RSR over eight periods was statistically significant (χ (2) = 3045.29, P < 0.001). Among them, male 5-ASR was 0.90%, 1.80%, 2.33%, 4.92%, 5.43%, 7.05%, 10.78%, and 27.78%, and female 5-ASR was 2.33%, 1.51%, 3.35%, 3.92%, 3.84%, 7.18%, 11.45%, and 29.84%, respectively. There was a statistically significant difference in RSR between males and females (χ (2) = 45.68, P < 0.001). The 5-RSR for each age group of 25-34 years old, 35-44 years old, 45-54 years old, 55-64 years old, 65-74 years old, and 75 years old were 4.92%, 5.29%, 8.17%, 11.70%, 11.63%, and 9.60%, respectively. There were statistically significant differences in RSR among different age groups (χ (2) = 501.29, P < 0.001). The AAPC in Qidong region from 1972 to 2019 for 1-ARS, 3-ASR, and 5-ARS were 5.26% (t = 12.35, P < 0.001), 8.10% (t = 15.99, P < 0.001), and 8.96 % (t = 16.06, P < 0.001), respectively. The upward trend was statistically significant in all cases. The AAPC of 5-ARS was 9.82% in males (t = 14.14, P < 0.001), and 8.79% in females (t = 11.48, P < 0.001), and the upward trend was statistically significant in both. The AAPC of 25-34 years old, 35-44 years old, 45-54 years old, 55-64 years old, 65-74 years old, and 75 years old were 5.37% (t = 5.26, P = 0.002), 5.22% (t = 5.66, P = 0.001), 7.20% (t = 6.88, P < 0.001), 10.00% (t = 12.58, P < 0.001), 9.96% (t = 7.34, P < 0.001) and 8.83% (t = 3.51, P = 0.013), and the upward trend was statistically significant. Conclusion: The overall survival rate of registered cases of liver cancer in the Qidong region's entire population has greatly improved, but there is still much room for improvement. Hence, constant attention should be paid to the study on preventing and treating liver cancer.
Male
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Humans
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Female
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Adult
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Survival Rate
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Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology*
;
Prognosis
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Incidence
;
Software
;
China/epidemiology*
8.Risk factors for neonatal asphyxia and establishment of a nomogram model for predicting neonatal asphyxia in Hubei Enshi Tujia and Miao Autonomous Prefecture: a multicenter study.
Fang JIN ; Yu CHEN ; Yi-Xun LIU ; Su-Ying WU ; Chao-Ce FANG ; Yong-Fang ZHANG ; Lu ZHENG ; Li-Fang ZHANG ; Xiao-Dong SONG ; Hong XIA ; Er-Ming CHEN ; Xiao-Qin RAO ; Guang-Quan CHEN ; Qiong YI ; Yan HU ; Lang JIANG ; Jing LI ; Qing-Wei PANG ; Chong YOU ; Bi-Xia CHENG ; Zhang-Hua TAN ; Ya-Juan TAN ; Ding ZHANG ; Tie-Sheng YU ; Jian RAO ; Yi-Dan LIANG ; Shi-Wen XIA
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2023;25(7):697-704
OBJECTIVES:
To investigate the risk factors for neonatal asphyxia in Hubei Enshi Tujia and Miao Autonomous Prefecture and establish a nomogram model for predicting the risk of neonatal asphyxia.
METHODS:
A retrospective study was conducted with 613 cases of neonatal asphyxia treated in 20 cooperative hospitals in Enshi Tujia and Miao Autonomous Prefecture from January to December 2019 as the asphyxia group, and 988 randomly selected non-asphyxia neonates born and admitted to the neonatology department of these hospitals during the same period as the control group. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify risk factors for neonatal asphyxia. R software (4.2.2) was used to establish a nomogram model. Receiver operator characteristic curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis were used to assess the discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness of the model for predicting the risk of neonatal asphyxia, respectively.
RESULTS:
Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that minority (Tujia), male sex, premature birth, congenital malformations, abnormal fetal position, intrauterine distress, maternal occupation as a farmer, education level below high school, fewer than 9 prenatal check-ups, threatened abortion, abnormal umbilical cord, abnormal amniotic fluid, placenta previa, abruptio placentae, emergency caesarean section, and assisted delivery were independent risk factors for neonatal asphyxia (P<0.05). The area under the curve of the model for predicting the risk of neonatal asphyxia based on these risk factors was 0.748 (95%CI: 0.723-0.772). The calibration curve indicated high accuracy of the model for predicting the risk of neonatal asphyxia. The decision curve analysis showed that the model could provide a higher net benefit for neonates at risk of asphyxia.
CONCLUSIONS
The risk factors for neonatal asphyxia in Hubei Enshi Tujia and Miao Autonomous Prefecture are multifactorial, and the nomogram model based on these factors has good value in predicting the risk of neonatal asphyxia, which can help clinicians identify neonates at high risk of asphyxia early, and reduce the incidence of neonatal asphyxia.
Infant, Newborn
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Humans
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Male
;
Pregnancy
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Female
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Nomograms
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Retrospective Studies
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Cesarean Section
;
Risk Factors
;
Asphyxia Neonatorum/etiology*
9.PK2/PKR1 signaling pathway participates in geniposide protection against diabetic nephropathy in mice.
Sheng-Jie DAI ; Qiao-Yun ZHANG ; Qing LAN ; Yong CHEN ; You-Zhi ZHANG ; Qi HUANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2022;47(6):1611-1617
This study aimed to investigate the effects of geniposide(GP) on the expression of prokineticin(PK2) and prokineticin receptor 1(PKR1) in db/db mice with diabetic nephropathy(DN), so as to explore how the PK2 signaling pathway participated in the pathological changes of DN and whether GP exerted the therapeutic effect through this signaling pathway. Male mice were randomly divided into four groups, namely db/m, db/db, db/db+GP, and db/m+GP groups, with five in each group. The mice in the db/db+GP and db/m+GP groups were gavaged with 150 mg·kg~(-1) GP for eight successive weeks. Afterwards, all the mice were sacrificed and the renal tissues were embedded. The morphological changes in glomerulus and renal tubules were observed by Masson and PAS staining. The expression levels of PK2, PKR1, and Wilm's Tumor Protein 1(WT_1) in podocytes were detected by immunohistochemistry, and the protein expression levels of PK2 and PKR1 in mouse kidney by Western blot. The morphological results showed serious glomerular and tubular fibrosis(Masson), high glomerular and tubular injury score(PAS), increased glomerular mesangial matrix, thickened basement membrane, exfoliated brush border of renal tubules, decreased WT_1 in glomerular podocytes, and massive loss of podocytes in the db/db group. After administration with GP, the glomerular and tubular fibrosis was alleviated, accompanied by improved glomerular basement membrane and renal tubule brush edge, and up-regulated WT_1. As revealed by further protein detection, in the db/db group, the expression levels of PK2 and PKR1 and p-Akt/Akt ratio declined, whereas the ratio of Bax/Bcl-2 rose. Ho-wever, PKR2 and p-ERK/ERK ratio did not change significantly. After administration with GP, the PK2 and PKR1 expression was elevated, and p-Akt/Akt ratio was increased. There was no obvious change in PKR2, Bax/Bcl-2 ratio, or p-ERK/ERK ratio. All these have demonstrated that GP improves the renal damage in DN mice, and PK2/PKR1 signaling pathway may be involved in such protection, which has provided reference for clinical treatment of DN with GP.
Animals
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Diabetes Mellitus
;
Diabetic Nephropathies/genetics*
;
Iridoids
;
Kidney
;
Male
;
Mice
;
Signal Transduction
10.Long-term trend of colorectal cancer survival rate in Qidong, 1972-2016.
Ming Bo JIANG ; Yong Sheng CHEN ; Jun WANG ; Yuan You XU ; Lu Lu DING ; Yong Hui ZHANG ; Jian Guo CHEN ; Jian ZHU
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2022;44(12):1357-1361
Objective: The survival of colorectal cancer in Qidong City, Jiangsu Province from 1972 to 2016 was analyzed to provide a basis for the evaluation of prognosis and the formulation of prevention and control measures. Methods: Colorectal cancer data were obtained from the Qidong Cancer Registration and Reporting System, and the follow-up was up to December 31, 2021. The observed survival rate (OSR) and relative survival rate (RSR) were calculated by SURV 3.01 software, and the trend test was performed by Hakulinen's likelihood ratio test. The Joinpoint regression model was used to calculate the average annual percentage change (AAPC) of survival, and the ARIMA model was used to predict the trend of colorectal cancer survival. Results: There were 8 637 new cases of colorectal cancer in Qidong from 1972 to 2016. Dividing 1972-2016 into 9 periods at 5-year intervals, the 5-year OSR from 1972-1976 to 2012-2016 increased from 21.86% to 48.86%, and the 5-year RSR increased from 26.45% to 59.91%. The increasing trend of RSR was statistically significant (χ(2)=587.47, P<0.001). From 1972 to 2016, the survival rates of colorectal cancer in different sexes in Qidong were similar, and the 5-year RSR was 44.63% for men and 44.07% for women. Since the 1990s, the 5-year OSR and RSR for men have been lower than those for women. From 1972 to 2016, the 5-year RSR of colorectal cancer in Qidong was significantly improved in the 65-74 and ≥75-year-old groups, but the survival rate of the ≥75-year-old group was still the lowest (36.78%), followed by the 35-44-year-old group ( 43.04%). The time trend showed that the overall AAPC of colorectal cancer 5-year RSR in Qidong from 1972 to 2016 was 2.50% (t=16.45, P<0.001). The upward trend of different sexes was consistent, and the increase was greater in women (AAPC for males=2.18%, AAPC for females=2.54%, both P<0.05). The 5-year RSR of colorectal cancer in each age group showed an upward trend, and the AAPCs of the 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, 65-74, and ≥75-year-old groups were 1.54%, 1.83%, 2.00%, 3.51% and 4.35%, respectively (all P<0.05). The prediction results of colorectal cancer survival rate showed that the 5-year RSR of colorectal cancer in Qidong will increase to 71.62% by 2026. Conclusions: The overall survival rate of colorectal cancer patients in Qidong has been greatly improved, but there is still room for improvement. We should continue to pay attention to the early diagnosis and early treatment of colorectal cancer.
Male
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Humans
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Female
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Aged
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Adult
;
Survival Rate
;
Prognosis
;
Software
;
Likelihood Functions
;
Colorectal Neoplasms
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Incidence

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