1.Interactive effects of loss of the only child and childhood trauma on brain structure and function
Jiayan YIN ; Yifeng LUO ; Zhihong CAO ; Yuefeng LI ; Jiyuan GE ; Qingyue LAN ; Rongfeng QI ; Luoan WU ; Li ZHANG ; Guangming LU
Chinese Journal of Neuromedicine 2025;24(10):1025-1035
Objective:To investigate the interactive effects of loss of the only child and childhood trauma on brain structure, function, and structure-function coupling, and to analyze their association with clinical symptom.Methods:A total of 112 parents who lost their only child and participated in the psychological aid project organized by Local Civil Affairs Department in Sunan aear of Jiangsu Province in China from April 2021 to July 2021 and 36 healthy controls recruited from the community during the same period were selected. Based on childhood trauma questionnaire scores, parents who had lost their only child were divided into those with childhood trauma (group A, n=55) and those without childhood trauma (group B, n=57); similarly, the healthy controls were divided into a group with childhood trauma (group C, n=12) and a group without childhood trauma (group D, n=24). All participants were evaluated by clinical scales such as Hamilton Depression Scale (HAMD), Hamilton Anxiety Scale (HAMA), and Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE). MRI 3D-T1 structural images and resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging data were collected; gray matter volume (GMV) and degree centrality (DC) were calculated by standardized image preprocessing procedure, and ratio of DC to GMV within each voxel was computed to obtain the structure-function coupling map. A two-factor analysis of variance was used to analyze the independent effect and interactive effect of loss of the only child and childhood trauma on GMV, DC, and DC/GMV coupling value. Spearman rank correlation analysis was used to evaluate the associations of above indicators in brain regions with significant difference in independent effect and interactive effect with clinical scale scores. Results:(1) Compared with the participants without childhood trauma (group B+group D), the participants with childhood trauma (group A+group C) showed significantly reduced GMV in the left middle temporal gyrus and right dorsolateral superior frontal gyrus (voxel-level P<0.01, cluster-level P<0.05, Gaussian random field [GRF] corrected). A significant interactive effect of loss of the only child and childhood trauma on GMV in the right precuneus was observed (voxel-level P<0.01, cluster-level P<0.05, GRF corrected). (2) Compared with the healthy controls, parents who had lost their only child exhibited significantly increased DC in the left middle frontal gyrus (voxel-level P<0.01, cluster-level P<0.05, GRF corrected). Compared with participants without childhood trauma, participants with childhood trauma showed significantly increased DC in the right thalamus (voxel-level P<0.01, cluster-level P< 0.05, GRF corrected). A significant interactive effect of loss of the only child and childhood trauma on DC in the left dorsolateral superior frontal gyrus was observed (voxel-level P<0.01, cluster-level P<0.05, GRF corrected). (3) Compared with the healthy controls, parents who had lost their only child showed significantly decreased DC/GMV coupling value in the left middle frontal gyrus (voxel-level P<0.01, cluster-level P<0.05, GRF corrected). Compared with participants without childhood trauma, participants with childhood trauma showed significantly increased DC/GMV coupling value in the right thalamus (voxel-level P<0.01, cluster-level P<0.05, GRF corrected). A significant interactive effect of loss of the only child and childhood trauma on DC/GMV coupling value in the left dorsolateral superior frontal gyrus was observed (voxel-level P<0.01, cluster-level P<0.05, GRF corrected). (4) Correlation analysis revealed that GMV in the right precuneus with significant interactive effect of loss of the only child and childhood trauma was positively correlated with MMSE score ( r s=0.317, P=0.010, Bonferroni corrected). GMV in the left middle temporal gyrus with significant independent effect of childhood trauma was positively correlated with both HAMD score and HAMA score ( r s=0.362, P=0.006; r s= 0.349, P=0.008, Bonferroni corrected). Conclusion:Loss of the only child and childhood trauma can interact to jointly affect the brain structure, function, and structure-function coupling; and some of these brain structure alterations are closely associated with clinical symptoms.
2.Phenotypic and genotypic analysis of five fetuses with Harlequin ichthyosis due to variants of ABCA12 gene.
Yimo ZENG ; Juan ZHU ; Jing WU ; Chen LI ; Yiming QI ; Jiaqi LU ; Ruiman LI ; Aihua YIN
Chinese Journal of Medical Genetics 2025;42(11):1302-1307
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the clinical and genetic characteristics of five fetuses with Harlequin ichthyosis (HI).
METHODS:
Five fetuses with HI diagnosed at Guangdong Women and Children Hospital between 2017 and 2024 were selected as study subjects. Clinical and laboratory data were collected and reviewed. Whole exome sequencing (WES) was carried out, and candidate variants were verified by bioinformatic analysis. This study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of the hospital (Ethics No.: 202401024).
RESULTS:
The five fetuses had presented with ectropion, eclabium and contracture and flexion of fingers and toes. WES revealed that all had harbored compound heterozygous or homozygous variants of the ABCA12 gene. Among the eight types of variants, five were unreported previously.
CONCLUSION
The compound heterozygous or homozygous variants of the ABCA12 gene probably underlay the HI in the five fetuses. Clinicians should be vigilant about the possibility of HI in fetus with ectropion, eclabium, and contracture and flexion of fingers and toes.
Humans
;
Ichthyosis, Lamellar/genetics*
;
Female
;
ATP-Binding Cassette Transporters/genetics*
;
Pregnancy
;
Genotype
;
Phenotype
;
Exome Sequencing
;
Fetus
;
Mutation
;
Male
;
Adult
3.Explanation and interpretation of blood transfusion provisions for children undergoing cardiac surgery in the national health standard "Guideline for pediatric transfusion".
Rong HUANG ; Qing-Nan HE ; Ming-Yan HEI ; Ming-Hua YANG ; Xiao-Fan ZHU ; Jun LU ; Xiao-Jun XU ; Tian-Ming YUAN ; Rong ZHANG ; Xu WANG ; Jing WANG ; Zhi-Li SHAO ; Ming-Yi ZHAO ; Yong-Jian GUO ; Xin-Yin WU ; Jia-Rui CHEN ; Qi-Rong CHEN ; Jia GUO ; Rong GUI ; Jin-Ping LIU
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(7):778-785
To guide clinical blood transfusion practices in pediatric patients, the National Health Commission has issued the health standard "Guideline for pediatric transfusion" (WS/T 795-2022). Children undergoing cardiac surgery are at high risk of bleeding, and the causes of perioperative anemia and coagulation disorders in neonates and children are complex and varied, often necessitating the transfusion of allogeneic blood components. This guideline provides direction and recommendations for specific measures in blood management for children undergoing cardiac surgery before, during, and after surgery. This article interprets the background and evidence for the formulation of the blood transfusion provisions for children undergoing cardiac surgery, hoping to facilitate the understanding and implementation of this guideline.
Humans
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Cardiac Surgical Procedures
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Blood Transfusion/standards*
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Child
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Practice Guidelines as Topic
4.Discovery of a potential hematologic malignancies therapy: Selective and potent HDAC7 PROTAC degrader targeting non-enzymatic function.
Yuheng JIN ; Xuxin QI ; Xiaoli YU ; Xirui CHENG ; Boya CHEN ; Mingfei WU ; Jingyu ZHANG ; Hao YIN ; Yang LU ; Yihui ZHOU ; Ao PANG ; Yushen LIN ; Li JIANG ; Qiuqiu SHI ; Shuangshuang GENG ; Yubo ZHOU ; Xiaojun YAO ; Linjie LI ; Haiting DUAN ; Jinxin CHE ; Ji CAO ; Qiaojun HE ; Xiaowu DONG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(3):1659-1679
HDAC7, a member of class IIa HDACs, plays a pivotal regulatory role in tumor, immune, fibrosis, and angiogenesis, rendering it a potential therapeutic target. Nevertheless, due to the high similarity in the enzyme active sites of class IIa HDACs, inhibitors encounter challenges in discerning differences among them. Furthermore, the substitution of key residue in the active pocket of class IIa HDACs renders them pseudo-enzymes, leading to a limited impact of enzymatic inhibitors on their function. In this study, proteolysis targeting chimera (PROTAC) technology was employed to develop HDAC7 drugs. We developed an exceedingly selective HDAC7 PROTAC degrader B14 which showcased superior inhibitory effects on cell proliferation compared to TMP269 in various diffuse large B cell lymphoma (DLBCL) and acute myeloid leukemia (AML) cells. Subsequent investigations unveiled that B14 disrupts BCL6 forming a transcriptional inhibition complex by degrading HDAC7, thereby exerting proliferative inhibition in DLBCL. Our study broadened the understanding of the non-enzymatic functions of HDAC7 and underscored the importance of HDAC7 in the treatment of hematologic malignancies, particularly in DLBCL and AML.
5.Astrocytic dopamine D1 receptor modulates glutamatergic transmission and synaptic plasticity in the prefrontal cortex through d-serine.
Yanan YIN ; Jian HU ; Haipeng WU ; Xinyu YANG ; Jingwen QI ; Lang HUANG ; Zhengyi LUO ; Shiyang JIN ; Nengyuan HU ; Zhoucai LUO ; Tong LUO ; Hao CHEN ; Xiaowen LI ; Chunhua YUAN ; Shuji LI ; Jianming YANG ; Yihua CHEN ; Tianming GAO
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(9):4692-4710
The prefrontal cortex (PFC) plays a pivotal role in orchestrating higher-order emotional and cognitive processes, a function that depends on the precise modulation of synaptic activity. Although pharmacological studies have demonstrated that dopamine signaling through dopamine D1 receptor (DRD1) in the PFC is essential for these functions, the cell-type-specific and molecular mechanisms underlying the neuromodulatory effects remain elusive. Using cell-type-specific knockout mice and patch-clamp recordings, we investigated the regulatory role of DRD1 on neurons and astrocytes in synaptic transmission and plasticity. Furthermore, we explored the mechanisms by which DRD1 on astrocytes regulate synaptic transmission and plasticity at the cellular level, as well as emotional and cognitive functions at the behavioral level, through two-photon imaging, microdialysis, high-performance liquid chromatography, transcriptome sequencing, and behavioral testing. We found that conditional knockout of the Drd1 in astrocytes (CKOAST) increased glutamatergic synaptic transmission and long-term potentiation (LTP) in the medial prefrontal cortex (mPFC), whereas Drd1 deletion in pyramidal neurons did not affect synaptic transmission. The elevated level of d-serine in the mPFC of CKOAST mice increased glutamatergic transmission and LTP through NMDA receptors. In addition, CKOAST mice exhibited abnormal emotional and cognitive function. Notably, these behavioral changes in CKOAST mice could be reversed through the administration of d-serine degrease to the mPFC. These results highlight the critical role of the astrocytic DRD1 in modulating mPFC synaptic transmission and plasticity, as well as higher brain functions through d-serine, and may shed light on the treatment of mental disorders.
6.Medicinal properties and compatibility application of aromatic traditional Chinese medicine monomer components based on action of volatile components against viral pneumonia.
Yin-Ming ZHAO ; Lin-Yuan WANG ; Jian-Jun ZHANG ; Chun WANG ; Yi LI ; Xiao-Fang WU ; Qi ZHANG ; Xing-Yu ZHAO ; Lin-Ze LI ; Rui-Lin LYU
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(8):2013-2021
Aromatic traditional Chinese medicine(TCM) has played an important role against epidemics and viruses, and volatile components are the main components that exert the pharmacological effects of aromatic TCM. By screening the related monomer components in aromatic TCM against epidemic and viruses and analyzing and endowing TCM with medicinal properties based on its clinical application and pharmacological research according to the theoretical thinking of TCM, the key technical issues of compatibility of TCM monomer components were solved from a theoretical perspective, providing new ideas and methods for screening raw materials and formulas for the development of new TCM drugs. Based on the conditions of antiviral activity, clinical application foundation, definite therapeutic effect, and high safety, a gradient screening of aromatic TCM was carried out. Firstly, 30 aromatic TCM were screened from anti-epidemic literature and clinical trial formulas, and seven volatile monomers were further screened from them. Then, four monomer components with significant effects, namely patchouli alcohol, carvacrol, p-cymene, and eucalyptol were screened. By adopting the "four-step method for a systematic study of TCM properties", the four monomer components were endowed with medicinal properties, and compatibility and combination studies were conducted to explore the theoretical basis of monomer formulas and form monomer formulas guided by TCM theory. The screening results of volatile monomers in aromatic TCM against viral pneumonia included patchouli alcohol, carvacrol, p-cymene, and eucalyptol. The medicinal properties and compatibility theory of volatile monomer components in TCM were explored. Patchouli alcohol was the main herb, with a cool and pungent nature. It entered the lung meridian to dispel evil Qi and has the effects of aromatization, detoxification, and epidemic prevention. Carvacrol was a minister drug with a cool and pungent taste. It had the effects of aromatizing, moistening, and dissolving the exterior, as well as strengthening the spleen and stomach. p-Cymene was an adjunctive medicine with a mild and pungent nature. It entered the lungs and kidneys and had the effects of aromatic purification, cough relief, and asthma relief. Eucalyptol was also an adjunctive medicine with a pungent and warm taste. It had the functions of aromatic purification, cough relief, phlegm reduction, and pain relief. The combination of the four medicines had the effects of aromatizing, moistening, detoxifying, and epidemic prevention, as well as relieving cough and asthma and strengthening the spleen and stomach. They were used to treat viral pneumonia caused by upper respiratory tract viral infections, with symptoms such as chest tightness, cough, wheezing, fatigue, nasal congestion, runny nose, nausea, and vomiting. This study has laid a literature and theoretical foundation for further drug efficacy verification experiments, compatibility efficacy experiments, and subsequent product development and clinical applications, and it serves as an innovative practice that combines literature research, theoretical research, experimental research, and clinical practice to develop new products.
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/therapeutic use*
;
Antiviral Agents/pharmacology*
;
Humans
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Pneumonia, Viral/virology*
;
Medicine, Chinese Traditional
;
Volatile Organic Compounds/pharmacology*
;
Animals
7.Influence of eucalyptol on biological effects of spleen cold and spleen heat syndromes in rats and mechanism of regulating spleen channel with its warm nature based on TRP ion channel.
Xing-Yu ZHAO ; Yi LI ; Xiao-Fang WU ; Qi ZHANG ; Lin-Ze LI ; Yin-Ming ZHAO ; Chun WANG ; Jian-Jun ZHANG ; Lin-Yuan WANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(8):2022-2031
This paper aims to investigate the influence of eucalyptol on the biological effects of spleen cold and spleen heat syndromes in rats and its regulation of transient receptor potential vanilloid 1(TRPV1), transient receptor potential melastatin 8(TRPM8), and uncoupling protein 1(UCP1), so as to explore the cold-heat properties of eucalyptol. Rats were randomly divided into groups as follows: blank group, spleen cold syndrome model group, spleen cold syndrome+Atractylodis Rhizoma group, spleen cold syndrome + low-dose eucalyptol group, and spleen cold syndrome+high-dose eucalyptol group, as well as blank group, spleen heat syndrome model group, spleen heat syndrome+Coptidis Rhizoma group, spleen heat syndrome + low-dose eucalyptol group, and spleen heat syndrome + high-dose eucalyptol group. Spleen cold and spleen heat syndromes were induced by disorders of hunger and satiety combined with bitter cold drugs, as well as a high-fat diet combined with liquor. Except for the blank and model groups, the other groups were administered once a day during the modeling process for 14 consecutive days. The general condition and body weight of rats in each group were observed, and the histopathological morphology of the gastric antrum and small intestine was observed by hematoxylin-eosin(HE) staining. The contents of cyclic adenosine monophosphate(cAMP), cyclic guanosine monophosphate(cGMP), triiodothyronine(T3), thyroxine(T4), Na~+-K~+-ATPase, total cholesterol(TC), triglyceride(TG), gastrin(GAS), motilin(MTL), D-xylose, and other related indices were detected in rats. The expression levels of TRPV1, TRPM8, and UCP1 in small intestine tissue of rats with spleen cold syndrome were detected. The results showed that eucalyptol had a certain degree of improvement in the overall state and body weight of rats with spleen cold syndrome. Compared with the spleen cold syndrome model group, high-dose eucalyptol significantly increased the levels of serum cAMP, cAMP/cGMP, TG, and TC in rats with spleen cold syndrome(P<0.05, P<0.01), decreased the content of cGMP, and significantly elevated the levels of gastrointestinal function-related indicators GAS, MTL, and D-xylose(P<0.05, P<0.01). Low-dose eucalyptol significantly increased the level of cAMP/cGMP in the serum and Na~+-K~+-ATPase levels in hepatic tissue(P<0.05, P<0.01), and significantly increased the levels of GAS and D-xylose(P<0.01). Eucalyptol showed similar effects to Atractylodis Rhizoma with a warm nature on rats with spleen cold syndrome. Compared with the spleen heat syndrome model group, the high-dose and low-dose eucalyptol groups showed a trend of increase in gastrointestinal indicators, with no significant changes in other indicators. In addition, high-dose eucalyptol increased the expression of TRPV1 and UCP1 and decreased the expression of TRPM8 in the small intestine tissue of rats with spleen cold syndrome. Eucalyptol could affect the cyclic nucleotide and material energy metabolism levels of rats with spleen cold syndrome and had a certain improvement effect on their gastrointestinal digestion and absorption function, thereby improving spleen cold syndrome. Eucalyptol had no significant improvement effect on rats with spleen heat syndrome, suggesting that eucalyptol may have a warm nature and regulate spleen meridians. It is speculated that eucalyptol may exhibit its medicinal properties by activating the TRPV1 pathway, promoting the expression of UCP1, and inhibiting the TRPM8 channel.
Animals
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Rats
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Spleen/metabolism*
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Male
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TRPV Cation Channels/genetics*
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Rats, Sprague-Dawley
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Eucalyptol/administration & dosage*
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TRPM Cation Channels/genetics*
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Uncoupling Protein 1/genetics*
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Humans
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/administration & dosage*
;
Cold Temperature
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Cyclic GMP/metabolism*
8.Medicinal properties and mechanisms of p-cymene with mild and warm nature based on deficiency-cold and deficiency-heat syndrome models.
Xiao-Fang WU ; Yi LI ; Xing-Yu ZHAO ; Lin-Ze LI ; Qi ZHANG ; Yin-Ming ZHAO ; Ying-Li ZHU ; Chun WANG ; Jian-Jun ZHANG ; Lin-Yuan WANG
China Journal of Chinese Materia Medica 2025;50(8):2032-2040
This paper aims to study the effect of p-cymene on mice with deficiency-cold syndrome induced by hydrocortisone and deficiency-heat syndrome induced by dexamethasone and explore the medicinal properties and mechanism of p-cymene with mild and warm nature based on the dominant characteristics of the two-way applicable conditions of mild drugs. A total of 80 KM mice were randomly divided into blank group, deficiency-cold syndrome model group, deficiency-cold syndrome + ginseng group, and deficiency-cold syndrome + low-dose and high-dose p-cymene groups, as well as blank group, deficiency-heat syndrome model group, deficiency-heat syndrome + American ginseng group, and deficiency-heat syndrome + low-dose and high-dose p-cymene groups. Hydrocortisone and dexamethasone solution were intragastrically administered for 14 consecutive days to prepare deficiency-cold syndrome and deficiency-heat syndrome models. Except for the blank group and the model group intragastrically administered with normal saline, the other groups were intragastrically administrated with drugs for 14 days. The levels of cyclic adenosine monophosphate(cAMP), cyclic guanosine monophosphate(cGMP), triiodothyronine(T3), thyroxine(T4), total cholesterol(TC), triglyceride(TG), immunoglobin G(IgG), and immunoglobin M(IgM) in serum, as well as the activity of Na~+-K~+-ATPase in liver tissue were detected. The expression of transient receptor potential melastatin 8(TRPM8), transient receptor potential vanilloid 1(TRPV1), and uncoupling protein 1(UCP1) in brown adipose tissue of deficiency-cold syndrome model after intervention with p-cymene was studied. The results showed that p-cymene could effectively improve the levels of cAMP, cAMP/cGMP, TC, IgM, and IgG in serum and the activity of Na~+-K~+-ATPase in liver tissue of mice with deficiency-cold syndrome and reduce the content of cGMP. The effects on T3, T4, and TG were not statistically significant. At the same time, p-cymene could reduce the levels of cAMP, cAMP/cGMP, and T4 in serum and the activity of Na~+-K~+-ATPase in liver tissue of mice with deficiency-cold syndrome and increase the levels of cGMP, IgM, and IgG, and it had no effect on T3, TC, and TG. In addition, p-cymene could up-regulate the expression of TRPV1 and UCP1 in brown fat of mice with deficiency-cold syndrome and down-regulate the expression of TRPM8. In summary, p-cymene could significantly regulate the syndrome indexes of mice with deficiency-cold syndrome, and some indexes of mice with deficiency-heat syndrome could be improved, but the effects on lipid metabolism and energy metabolism indexes were not obvious, indicating that the regulation effect of p-cymene on deficiency-cold syndrome model was more prominent and that the medicinal properties of p-cymene were mild and warm. The regulation of TRPV1/TRPM8/UCP1 channel expression may be the molecular biological mechanism of p-cymene with mild and warm nature affecting the energy metabolism of the body.
Animals
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Cymenes
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Mice
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Drugs, Chinese Herbal/administration & dosage*
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Male
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Disease Models, Animal
;
Humans
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Cyclic AMP/metabolism*
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Monoterpenes/administration & dosage*
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Liver/metabolism*
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Cyclic GMP/metabolism*
;
TRPV Cation Channels/genetics*
;
Uncoupling Protein 1/genetics*
9.Percutaneous endoscopic discectomy with lateral approach and dual-channel method for the treatment of highly free lumbar disc herniation.
Qi-Ming CHEN ; Chun-Hua YU ; Gang CHEN ; Han-Rong XU ; Yi-Biao JING ; Yin-Jiang LU ; Shan-Chun TAO ; Jian-Bo WU
China Journal of Orthopaedics and Traumatology 2025;38(9):924-929
OBJECTIVE:
To explore clinical efficacy of percutaneous endoscopic discectomy with a lateral approach and dual-channel method in treating highly free lumbar disc herniation(LDH).
METHODS:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on 54 patients with highly free LDH who were treated with spinal endoscopic techniques from January 2021 to December 2022. Twenty-seven patients were treated with lateral approach dual-channel(lateral approach dual-channel group), including 16 males and 11 females, with an average age of (54.6±10.5) years old. Twenty-seven patients were treated with unilateral biportal endoscopic (UBE group), including 17 males and 10 females, with an average age of (52.9±12.3) years old. The number of intraoperative fluoroscopy, operation time and hospital stay, as well as visual analogue scale (VAS) and Oswestry diability index (ODI) of low back and leg pain between two patients before operation, 1 day, 1, 3, and 12 months after operation, and the efficacy was evaluated by the modified MacNab criteria at 12 mohths after operation.
RESULTS:
All patients were successfully completed surgical and were followed up, the time raged from 12 to 22 months with an average of (13.57±4.12) months. There was no statistically significant difference in operation time between two groups (P>0.05). The hospital stay of lateral approach dual-channel group was (3.9±1.1) days, which was shorter than that of UBE group (6.5±1.4) days, the number of intraoperative fluoroscopy in lateral approach dual-channel group was (12.7±2.1) times, which was more than that in UBE group (6.6±1.3) times, the differences were statistically significant (t=5.197, -7.532;P<0.05). VAS and ODI for low back pain at 1 day and 1 month after operation, and VAS for leg pain at 1 day after operation of lateral approach dual-channel group were superior to those of UBE group, and the differences were statistically significant (P<0.05). However, there were no statistically significant differences in VAS and ODI for low back and leg pain between two groups before operation and 3 and 12 months after operation (P>0.05). VAS and ODI of low back and leg pain were significantly improved at each time point before and after operation in both groups, and the difference were statistically significant (P<0.05). At 12 months after operation, according to the modified MacNab criteria, the excellent and good rates of therapeutic effects between lateral approach dual-channel group and UBE group were 92.6% (25/27) and 88.9% (24/27), respectively, and the difference was not statistically significant (χ2=0.22, P>0.05).
CONCLUSION
For patients with highly free lumbar intervertebral disc protrusion, both of lateral approach dual-channel method and UBE endoscopic surgery are safe and effective. Endoscopic surgery with lateral approach and dual-channel method could be performed under local anesthesia, allowing for the removal of the nucleus pulposus under direct vision. It is simpler, more efficient.
Humans
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Male
;
Female
;
Intervertebral Disc Displacement/surgery*
;
Middle Aged
;
Diskectomy, Percutaneous/methods*
;
Lumbar Vertebrae/surgery*
;
Endoscopy/methods*
;
Adult
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Aged
10.Development of a nomogram-based risk prediction model for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease incidence in community-dwelling population aged 40 years and above in Shanghai
Yixuan ZHANG ; Yiling WU ; Jinxin ZANG ; Xuyan SU ; Xin YIN ; Jing LI ; Wei LUO ; Minjun YU ; Wei WANG ; Qi ZHAO ; Qin WANG ; Genming ZHAO ; Yonggen JIANG ; Na WANG
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(8):669-675
ObjectiveTo develop a nomogram-based risk prediction model for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) incidence among the community-dwelling population aged 40 years old and above, so as to provide targeted references for the screening and prevention of COPD. MethodsBased on a natural population cohort in suburban Shanghai, a total of 3 381 randomly selected participants aged ≥40 years underwent pulmonary function tests between July and October 2021. Cox stepwise regression analysis was used to develop overall and gender-specific risk prediction models, along with the construction of corresponding risk nomograms. Model predictive performance was evaluated using the C-indice, area under the curve (AUC) values, and Brier score. Stability was assessed through 10-fold cross-validation and sensitivity analysis. ResultsA total of 3 019 participants were included, with a median follow-up duration of 4.6 years. The COPD incidence density was 17.22 per 1 000 person-years, significantly higher in males (32.04/1 000 person-years) than that in females (7.38/1 000 person-years) (P<0.001). The overall risk prediction model included the variables such as gender, age, education level, BMI, smoking, passive smoking, and respiratory comorbidities. The male-specific model incorporated the variables such as age, BMI, respiratory comorbidities, and smoking, while the female-specific model included age, marital status, respiratory comorbidities, and pulmonary tuberculosis history. The C-indices for the overall, male-specific, and female-specific models were 0.829, 0.749, and 0.807, respectively. The 5-year AUC values were 0.785, 0.658, and 0.811, with Brier scores of 0.103, 0.176, and 0.059, respectively. Both 10-fold cross-validated C-indices and sensitivity analysis (excluding participants with a follow-up duration of <6 months) yielded C-indices were above 0.740. ConclusionThis study developed concise and practical overall and gender-specific COPD risk prediction models and corresponding nomograms. The models demonstrated robust performance in predicting COPD incidence, providing a valuable reference for identifying high-risk populations and formulating targeted screening and personalized management strategies.

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