2.A model to predict nosocomial infections among inpatients in emergency intensive care units
Yasheng HE ; Hongxia ZHANG ; Yin NI ; Yueyan ZHU ; Min PENG ; Danhong YANG
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2022;34(9):919-922
Objective:
To create a model to predict nosocomial infections in emergency intensive care units (EICU), so as to provide insights into early identification and interventions among patients with nosocomial infections.
Methods:
All nosocomial infections were collected from patients hospitalized in the EICU of a large tertiary hospital from 2017 to 2020. The 2017-2019 data were selected as the training set to create a logistic regression model, and the fitting effectiveness of the predictive model was evaluated using Hosmer-Lemeshow test. The 2020 data were selected as the test set to evaluate the external validation of the predictive model. In addition, the value of the model for prediction of nosocomial infections was examined using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.
Results :
Totally 1 546 inpatients in EICU were enrolled, and the prevalence of nosocomial infections was 7.18%. Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified hospital stay duration of >7 days (OR=21.845, 95%CI: 7.901-60.398), use of ventilators (OR=3.405, 95%CI: 1.335-8.682), and surgery (OR=1.854, 95%CI: 1.121-3.064) as risk factors of nosocomial infections. The predictive model was p=ey/(1+ey), y=-6.105+(3.084×duration of hospital stay)+(1.225×use of ventilators)+(0.617×surgery). The area under ROC curve was 0.806 (95%CI: 0.774-0.838) for the training set and 0.723 (95%CI: 0.623-0.823) for the test set, and if the 0.065 cut-off of the predictive model created by the training set was included in the test set, the predictive value yield a 0.739 sensitivity and 0.642 specificity for prediction of nosocomial infections among patients hospitalized in EICU.
Conclusion
The created predictive model for nosocomial infections among patients hospitalized in EICU presents a high accuracy, which shows a satisfactory predictive value for high-risk nosocomial infections.
3.Evaluation of clinical efficacy of single-unit unrelated umbilical cord blood transplantation based on umbilical cord blood provided by China's public cord blood bank
Jianjun LI ; Huilan LIU ; Xiaoyu ZHU ; Baolin TAO ; Kaidi SONG ; Changcheng ZHENG ; Liangquan GENG ; Juan TONG ; Lei ZHANG ; Xuhan ZHANG ; Wei WEI ; Wei LU ; Feng ZHOU ; Jieying WU ; Qiang CHEN ; Yasheng YU ; Zhongfa JIANG ; Junye YANG ; Zimin SUN
Chinese Journal of Organ Transplantation 2017;38(2):84-89
Objective To study the curative efficacy and safety of single-unit umbilical cord blood transplantation (sUCBT) for malignant hematologic diseases,which is provided by China's public cord blood bank.Methods We retrospectively analyzed 409 cases of malignant hematologic diseases who accepted myeloablative single-unit unrelated donor UCBT without ATG at our center between May 2008 and December 2016.A comparative analysis was made on the total nuclear cells (TNC) of the umbilical cord blood before freezing and after thawing,the cells of CD34+,the recovery rate of cells and the clinical effect of UCBT.Result 409 units of umbilical cord blood used in UCBT respectively came from eight China's public cord blood banks.The average TNC of 409 units of umbilical cord blood before freezing and after the tubular recovery were respectively 18.5 × 108 and 16.34 × 108 (p =0.000).The average recovery rate of the tubular recovery was 88.5%,and there was significant difference among cord blood banks (P =0.000).The average TNC of umbilical cord blood before freezing and transfusion were respectively 18.5 × 108 and 15.86 × 108 (p =0.000).The average recovery rate of umbilical cord blood transfusion was 85.9%,with the difference being significant among cord blood banks (P =0.000).The average number of CD34+ cells before freezing and after the tubular recovery was 11.18 × 106and 8.68 × 106 (p =0.000).The average recovery rate of CD34+ cells after the tubular recovery was 80.75 %,with the difference being significant among the cord blood banks (P =0.000).At 42nd day after UCBT,the cumulative incidence of neutrophil engraftment was 95.4%,and the median time of the engraftment was 17 days (11-38 days).The cumulative incidence of platelet engraftment at 120th day was 84.6%,and the median time of the engraftment was 36 days (14-93 days).The cumulative incidence of erythrocyte engraftment at 60th day was 92%,and the median time of engraftment was 22 days (9d-60 days).After the umbilical cord blood provided by each bank was used in UCBT,it got the difference in cumulative incidence of engraftment.The P values for cumulative incidence of neutrophil,platelet and erythrocyte engraftment were respectively 0.004,0.01 and 0.000 2,with the differences being statistically significant.At 100th day after UCBT,the cumulative incidence of Ⅱ-Ⅳ and Ⅲ-Ⅳ degrees of acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) was respectively 28.63% and 15.7%.After umbilical cord blood provided by each bank was used in UCBT,it got the difference in cumulative incidence of aGVHD.There was no significant difference between Ⅱ-Ⅳ and Ⅲ-Ⅳ degrees (P =0.809 and 0.68 respectively).At 3rd year after UCBT,the cumulative incidence of relapse was 15.89%.After umbilical cord blood provided by each bank was used in UCBT,there was no significant difference in the cumulative incidence of relapse (P =0.898).At 3rd year after UCBT,the overall survival (OS) rate and disease free survival (DFS) rate were respectively 66.7% and 59%.After umbilical cord blood provided by each bank was used in UCBT,it got the difference in OS and DFS.There was no significant difference in OS and DFS (P =0.566 and 0.703 respectively).At 3rd year after sUCBT,the rate of graft-versus-host diseases/relapse-free survival (GRFS) was 54.3%.After umbilical cord blood provided by each bank was used in UCBT,there was no significant difference in the rate of GRFS (P =0.449).Conclusion The umbilical cord blood provided by China's public cord blood bank was used in UCBT.It has a high safety and good efficacy in treating malignant hematologic diseases.But it needs to set up the standardized and normalized quality-control system of umbilical cord blood for China's public cord blood bank.
4.Progress of neoadjuvant therapy for high-risk prostate cancer in the era of novel hormonal therapy
Shi YAN ; Yasheng ZHU ; Yutian XIAO ; Tao GUO ; Ye WANG ; Xiaomin ZHANG ; Shancheng REN
Journal of Modern Urology 2023;28(12):1092-1096
In the past, the use of neoadjuvant androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) for prostate cancer did not exhibit survival benefits and was not recommended by the practicing guidelines. In recent years, with the emergence of novel hormonal therapeutics such as Abiraterone, Enzalutamide, Apalutamide and Darolutamide, the interest for neoadjuvant therapy has been reignited. Here, we summarize the four categories of neoadjuvant therapy with new hormonal agents, and discuss how to evaluate the efficacy and explore the molecular mechanism after neoadjuvant therapy.
5.Development and clinical advancement of small molecules for ex vivo expansion of hematopoietic stem cell.
Jiaxing LI ; Xiao WANG ; Jiayu DING ; Yasheng ZHU ; Wenjian MIN ; Wenbing KUANG ; Kai YUAN ; Chengliang SUN ; Peng YANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2022;12(6):2808-2831
Hematopoietic stem cell (HSC) transplantation is the only curative therapy for many diseases. HSCs from umbilical cord blood (UCB) source have many advantages over from bone marrow. However, limited HSC dose in a single CB unit restrict its widespread use. Over the past two decades, ex vivo HSC expansion with small molecules has been an effective approach for obtaining adequate HSCs. Till now, several small-molecule compounds have entered the phase I/II trials, showing safe and favorable pharmacological profiles. As HSC expansion has become a hot topic over recent years, many newly identified small molecules along with novel biological mechanisms for HSC expansion would help solve this challenging issue. Here, we will give an overview of HSC biology, discovery and medicinal chemistry development of small molecules, natural products targeting for HSC expansion, and their recent clinical progresses, as well as potential protein targets for HSC expansion.