1.Application of Bernoulli Process Model fitting the effect of intervention measures on sexual transmission among HIV sero-discordant couples.
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(6):755-759
Objectives: To undersand the outcomes of major intervention measures on sexual transmission among HIV sero-discordant couples. Methods: Bernoulli Process Model was applied to model the major influencing factors of HIV transmission among HIV sero-discordant couples. The major influencing factors appeared as consistent condom use, antiretroviral therapy, frequency of sexual behavior. These parameters were from the HIV sero-discordant couples in 30 counties in 4 provinces (Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Yunnan Province, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region and Henan provinces) from January 1, 2011 to December 31, 2012. According to the main factors, modeling-intervention strategies and measures on reduction HIV transmission among serodiscordant couples were formed. Results: Data from the present proportion of consistent condom use (85%) modeling and the coverage of antiretroviral treatment (60%) showed that, the proportion of cumulative seroconversion among the spouses was 1.76%. Results from the sensitivity analysis on modeling the consistent condom use and the antiretroviral treatment showed that, when the coverage of antiretroviral treatment was as 90% and the proportion of consistent condom use increased from 50% to 90%, with 80.7% of the risk of spouse seroconversion could be reduced. Or, when the proportion of consistent condom use was as 90% and the coverage of antiretroviral treatment increased from 50% to 90%, with 64.5% of the risk of spouse seroconversion could be reduced. Conclusions: With measures as consistent condom use plus provision of timely antiretroviral therapy to HIV positive index spouses, the risk of sexual transmission among sero-discordant couples could be greatly reduced.
Anti-Retroviral Agents/therapeutic use*
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China/epidemiology*
;
Condoms
;
Female
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HIV Infections/virology*
;
HIV Seronegativity
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HIV Seropositivity/epidemiology*
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Humans
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Male
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Safe Sex
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Sexual Behavior/statistics & numerical data*
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Sexual Partners
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Spouses
3.Acceptability of HIV testing using oral quick self-testing kit in men who have sex with men.
X F WANG ; Z Y WU ; Z Z TANG ; Q X NONG ; Y Q LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(7):937-942
Objective: To evaluate the acceptability of oral quick HIV self-testing in men who have sex with men (MSM). Methods: From April 2013 to April 2014, MSM in Beijing and Nanning of China were recruited for an observational study including baseline survey and follow-up, including questionnaire survey, oral HIV self-testing and clinic-based HIV confirmation testing. The sensitivity and specificity of oral quick self-testing were evaluated through comparing the results of oral quick testing with blood testing. The acceptability and associated factors were evaluated by logistic model. Results: A total of 510 MSM were recruited at baseline survey and 279 accepted follow-up. The sensitivity of the oral self-test was 86.00% (43/50) and specificity was 98.23% (445/453) at baseline survey. At baseline survey, 78.63% (401/510) of the MSM showed willingness to use oral quick HIV self-testing. The associated factors included unprotected anal intercourse with a regular male partner in the past 6 months (aOR=0.30, 95%CI: 0.10-1.00) and preference of oral quick HIV self-testing (aOR=7.32, 95%CI: 1.61- 33.31). At baseline survey, 34.51% (176/510) of the MSM reported that oral quick HIV self-testing was the preferred testing method rather than blood testing, which was associated with their birth places-urban area. Conclusion: The acceptability of oral quick HIV self- testing in MSM in the two cities was high.
Adolescent
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Adult
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China/epidemiology*
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Cross-Sectional Studies
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HIV Infections/prevention & control*
;
Homosexuality, Male/statistics & numerical data*
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Humans
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Male
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Patient Acceptance of Health Care
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Patient Participation
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Sexual and Gender Minorities
4.Genetic characteristics of hemagglutinin and neuraminidase of avian influenza A (H7N9) virus in Guizhou province, 2014-2017.
Y H WAN ; L ZHUANG ; Q N ZHENG ; L J REN ; L FU ; W J JIANG ; G P TANG ; D Z ZHANG ; S J LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(11):1465-1471
Objective: To understand the molecular characteristics of hemagglutinin (HA) and neuraminidase (NA) as well as the disease risk of influenza virus A H7N9 in Guizhou province. Methods: RNAs were extracted and sequenced from HA and NA genes of H7N9 virus strains obtained from 18 cases of human infection with H7N9 virus and 6 environmental swabs in Guizhou province during 2014-2017. Then the variation and the genetic evolution of the virus were analyzed by using a series of bioinformatics software package. Results: Homology analysis of HA and NA genes revealed that 2 strains detected during 2014-2015 shared 98.8%-99.2% and 99.2% similarities with vaccine strains A/Shanghai/2/2013 and A/Anhui/1/2013 recommended by WHO, respectively. Two strains detected in 2016 and 14 strains detected in 2017 shared 98.2%-99.3% and 97.6%-98.8% similarities with vaccine strain A/Hunan/02650/2016, respectively. Other 6 stains detected in 2017 shared 99.1%-99.4% and 98.9%-99.3% similarities with strain A/Guangdong/17SF003/2016, respectively. Phylogenetic analysis showed that all the strains were directly evolved in the Yangtze River Delta evolution branch, but they were derived from different small branch. PEVPKRKRTAR↓GLF was found in 6 of 24 strains cleavage site sequences of HA protein, indicating the characteristic of highly pathogenic avian influenza virus. Mutations A134V, G186V and Q226L at the receptor binding sites were found in the HA. All the strains had a stalk deletion of 5 amino acid residue "QISNT" in NA protein, and drug resistance mutation R294K occurred in strain A/Guizhou-Danzhai/18980/2017. In addition, potential glycosylation motifs mutations NCS42NCT were found in the NA of 9 of 24 strains. Conclusions: HA and NA genes of avian influenza A (H7N9) virus showed genetic divergence in Guizhou province during 2014-2017. The mutations of key sites might enhance the virulence of the virus, human beings are more susceptible to it. Hence, the risk of infection is increasing.
Animals
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Base Sequence
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Birds
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China/epidemiology*
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Genome, Viral
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Hemagglutinin Glycoproteins, Influenza Virus/immunology*
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Hemagglutinins/genetics*
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Humans
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Influenza A Virus, H7N9 Subtype/isolation & purification*
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Influenza in Birds
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Influenza, Human/virology*
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Neuraminidase/genetics*
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Phylogeny
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RNA, Viral/genetics*
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Sequence Analysis, DNA
5.Effect of baseline CD(4)(+) T cell count on drop-out of antiretroviral therapy in HIV infected persons in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, 2008-2015.
X H LIU ; Q Y ZHU ; J M SU ; Q MENG ; X J ZHOU ; Z Y SHEN ; Z Z TANG ; W M YANG ; Y H RUAN ; Y M SHAO
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(9):1216-1221
Objective: To investigate the effect of baseline CD(4)(+) T cell count (CD(4)) on drop-out of antiretroviral therapy (ART) in HIV infected persons. Methods: Retrospective cohort was conducted in this study. HIV infected persons aged≥18 years and receiving free ART for the first time in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region (Guangxi) from 2008 to 2015 were selected from the antiretroviral treatment database of National Comprehensive HIV/AIDS Information System, with follow-up conducted till May 30, 2016. Cause-specific Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate effect of different CD(4) on the drop-out of ART in the HIV infected persons. Results: A total of 58 502 eligible study participants were included in this retrospective cohort study. The average drop-out ratio was 4.8/100 person-years. After controlling the following baseline covariates: age, sex, marital status, route of HIV infection, WHO clinical stage before ART, initial/current ART regiment, ART regiment adjustment, and year of initiating ART for potential confounding, the adjusted HR of drop-out for HIV infected persons with 200- cells/μl, 351-cells/μl and ≥500 cells/μl were 1.110 (95%CI: 1.053-1.171, P<0.001), 1.391 (95%CI: 1.278-1.514, P<0.001) and 1.695 (95%CI: 1.497-1.918, P<0.001), respectively, in risk for drop-out compared with those with baseline CD(4)<200 cells/μl. Among the HIV infected persons, 56.0% (1 601/2 861) of drug withdrawal was due to poor compliance with medication. Conclusions: With the increase of baseline CD(4) when initiating ART, the risk for the drop-out in HIV infected persons increased significantly. To further reduce the drop-out of ART, it is important to take CD(4) into account in initiating ART and to strengthen the health education on treatment compliancy and training for healthcare providers.
Adolescent
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Anti-Retroviral Agents/administration & dosage*
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CD4 Lymphocyte Count
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China/epidemiology*
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HIV
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HIV Infections/virology*
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Humans
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Incidence
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Medication Adherence
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Retrospective Studies
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T-Lymphocytes
6.Risk of bias assessment: (7) Assessing Bias in Studies of Prognostic Factors.
S W TANG ; Y ZHANG ; B L TAO ; Z R YANG ; F SUN ; S Y ZHAN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(7):1003-1008
This paper introduces the tools related to Quality In Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) to assess the risk of bias in studies of prognostic factors and the relevant points of assessment and to illustrate the application of QUIPS in published prognostic research. The QUIPS tool identified 6 important areas to consider when evaluating validity and bias in studies of prognostic factors including participation, attrition, measurement on prognostic factors, outcomes, confounding factors, statistical analysis and reporting. It also provided a new method for evaluation on bias in the areas of prognostic research.
Bias
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Humans
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Prognosis
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Quality Improvement
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Research Design
7.Interpretation for the group standards in data management for large population-based cohorts.
C Q YU ; Y N LIU ; J LYU ; Z BIAN ; Y L TAN ; Y GUO ; H J TANG ; X YANG ; L M LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2019;40(1):17-19
Precision medicine became the key strategy in development priority of science and technology in China. The large population-based cohorts become valuable resources in preventing and treating major diseases in the population, which can contribute scientific evidence for personalized treatment and precise prevention. The fundamental question of the achievements above, therefore, is how to construct a large population-based cohort in a standardized way. The Chinese Preventive Medicine Association co-ordinated experienced researchers from Peking University and other well-known institutes to write up two group standards Technical specification of data processing for large population-based cohort study (T/CPMA 001-2018) and Technical specification of data security for large population-based cohort study (T/CPMA 002-2018), on data management. The standards are drafted with principles of emphasizing their scientific, normative, feasible, and generalizable nature. In these two standards, the key principles are proposed, and technical specifications are recommended in data standardization, cleansing, quality control, data integration, data privacy protection, and database security and stability management in large cohort studies. The standards aim to guide the large population-based cohorts that have been or intended to be established in China, including national cohorts, regional population cohorts, and special population cohorts, hence, to improve domestic scientific research level and the international influence, and to support decision-making and practice of disease prevention and control.
China
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Cohort Studies
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Delivery of Health Care
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Humans
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Population Surveillance
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Quality Control
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Reference Standards
8.Seasonal distribution of patient hospitalization due to asthma exacerbation in 7 geographic areas in China.
J T LIN ; B XING ; H P TANG ; L YANG ; Y D YUAN ; Y H GU ; P CHEN ; X J LIU ; J ZHANG ; H G LIU ; C Z WANG ; W ZHOU ; D J SUN ; Y Q CHEN ; Z C CHEN ; M HUANG ; Q C LIN ; C P HU ; X H YANG ; J M HUO ; X W YE ; X ZHOU ; P JIANG ; W ZHANG ; Y J HUANG ; L M DAI ; R Y LIU ; S X CAI ; J Y XU ; J Y ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(11):1477-1481
Objective: To understand the seasonal distribution of patient hospitalization due to asthma exacerbation in 7 geographic areas in China. Methods: This was a retrospective study which involved patients hospitalized for asthma exacerbation in 29 hospitals throughout 7 geographic areas in the mainland of China (northeast, north, central, east, south, northwest and southwest). The numbers of asthmatic patients and total inpatients of the respiratory department of each hospital were recorded. The monthly ratio of asthmatic patients to the total inpatients in every area was calculated and compared. Results: During the study period, 6 480 patients were admitted for asthma exacerbation, accounting for 3.14% of all the 206 135 patients admitted to the respiratory departments in the 29 hospitals. The ratio of asthmatic patients to total inpatients in the northeast area (5.61%) was highest, and the ratio in east area was lowest (1.97%). Statistical analysis showed that the difference among different areas was significant (P<0.000 1). In most areas, both the number and proportion of hospitalized asthmatic patients peaked in spring (February-April) and autumn (September-October). In the northeast area, east area and south area, the peaks in spring were more obvious, while in the north area and southwest area, the peaks in autumn were more obvious. In the northwest area the peaks occurred in winter (December-January) and summer (June-August), respectively. The differences in hospitalization due to asthma among different months were significant in the northeast, north, and southwest areas (P<0.005). Conclusion: The number of patients hospitalized for asthma exacerbation fluctuated with season in different areas in China. In most areas, more asthmatic patients were admitted to hospitals in spring and autumn.
Asthma
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China/epidemiology*
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Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data*
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Humans
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Retrospective Studies
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Seasons
9.The clinical value of China Savin pollen extract used for skin prick test.
Kai GUAN ; J X ZHOU ; R Q WANG ; J YIN ; L L WANG ; Y X ZHI ; J L SUN ; H LI ; L P WEN ; J Q GU ; R TANG ; Z X WANG ; L S LI ; T XU
Journal of Clinical Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery 2018;32(3):161-166
The aim of this study is to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of China Savin pollen extract which was used for skin prick test (SPT) in the diagnosis of China Savin pollen allergy. Patients with diagnosis of allergic diseases were collected from Allergy Department of Peking Union Medical College Hospital. All patients were given SPT with China Savin pollen extract, and the mean wheal diameter (MWD) was measured after 15 minutes. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was performed based on the results of serum specific immunoglobulin E (sIgE). The effectiveness of SPT in the diagnosis of China Savin pollen allergy was evaluated under different diagnostic cutoff values. Adverse events were also recorded to evaluate the safety. A total of 1 029 patients were enrolled in this study without drop out case. There were 1 007 patients in full analysis set (FAS) and 765 patients in per protocol analysis set (PPS). The elimination rate was 25.66%. The area under the ROC curve of FAS is 0.814 (95%: 0.788-0.839); which of PPS is 0.829 (95%: 0.801-0.857). Based on the ROC curve of PPS, the optimal and the 95% specificity diagnostic cutoff values of MWD were 3.25 mm and 4.75 mm respectively. Based on different diagnostic cutoff value (3.00, 3.25 and 4.75 mm), the sensitivities of SPT with China Savin pollen extract were 0.740 0 (95%: 0.701 6-0.778 4), 0.700 (95%: 0.659 8-0.740 2) and 0.532 (95%: 0.488 3-0.575 7) respectively, whereas the specificity was gradually increased in sequence, which was 0.769 8 (95%: 0.719 1-0.820 5), 0.826 4 (95%: 0.780 8-0.872 0) and 0.950 9 (95%: 0.924 9-0.976 9) respectively. There were 7 adverse events observed among 6 patients (rate: 0.583%, 6/1 029). The manifestation was mild. There was no severe adverse event. SPT with China Savin pollen extract is an effective and safe tool for the diagnosis of China Savin pollen allergy. The effectiveness of diagnosis could be improved based on integration of medical history and different diagnostic threshold values of SPT.
Allergens
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adverse effects
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China
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Humans
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Immunoglobulin E
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Pollen
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adverse effects
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Rhinitis, Allergic, Seasonal
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diagnosis
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Skin Tests