1.Exploring Anti-inflammatory Synergistic Mechanism of Atractylodis Macrocephalae Rhizoma Processed with Aurantii Fructus Immaturus Juice Based on Differential Component Tracking Strategy
Hongda XUAN ; Shengnan SHEN ; Linlin LI ; Jingjing LIAO ; Xianyu XU ; Xiaoxia LIU ; Haining LYU ; Fang WANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(1):228-237
ObjectiveTaking Aurantii Fructus Immaturus juice(AFI)-processed Atractylodis Macrocephalae Rhizoma(AMR) as an example, this study aims to systematically compare the volatile and non-volatile components of AMR and its processed products, investigate the key differential components, evaluate their anti-inflammatory activities, and elucidate the synergistic mechanism of processing. MethodsThe chemical compositions of volatile and non-volatile components in AMR and AFI-processed AMR were systematically characterized using gas chromatography-mass spectrometry(GC-MS) and ultra-performance liquid chromatography-quadrupole-time-of-flight mass spectrometry(UPLC-Q-TOF-MS), with relative mass fractions and response values determined separately. Volatile components were identified through searches in the National Institute of Standards and Technology(NIST)17 database, comparison with retention index(RI) and fragmentation pattern matching. Non-volatile components were identified by searching Waters Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) spectral library, in conjunction with PubChem and MassBank, characteristic fragmentation patterns and response values were also used to support identification. Differential components were screened using principal component analysis(PCA), orthogonal partial least squares-discriminant analysis(OPLS-DA), with variable importance in the projection(VIP) value >1. Components with high log2fold change(FC) among major differential groups were selected as those exhibiting significant changes before and after processing. The anti-inflammatory activity of the differential compounds was evaluated by assessing their effects on nitric oxide(NO) production in a lipopolysaccharide(LPS)-induced RAW264.7 macrophage model. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA) was used to detect the effects of the differential components on tumor necrosis factor(TNF)-α, interleukin(IL)-1β, IL-6, and monocyte chemotactic protein(MCP)-1 levels, and immunofluorescence(IF) was employed to assess their effects on nuclear transcription factor(NF)-κB p65 translocation, thereby elucidating the underlying molecular mechanisms. ResultsA total of 36 compounds were identified in the volatile components of AMR and AFI-processed AMR, among which, sesquiterpenes and monoterpenes were significantly increased after processing. In the non-volatile components, 36 compounds were identified, and the main differential components were flavonoids, sesquiterpenoids, and triterpenoids. Flavonoids were the primary differential components distinguishing AMR from its processed products, representing compounds directly introduced during processing. Five compounds, including atractylenolide Ⅲ, tangeritin, nobiletin, hesperidin and narirutin, were selected as representatives of three classes based on their most prominent differential expression among different compound types for subsequent anti-inflammatory activity studies. The results showed that 100 μmol·L-1 tangerine and narirutin could significantly inhibit LPS-induced NO production(P<0.01) in a concentration-dependent manner. Tangeritin was able to significantly inhibit the levels of TNF-α and MCP-1 secreted by RAW264.7(P<0.05), while narirutin significantly inhibited the levels of TNF-α, IL-1β, MCP-1 and IL-6(P<0.01). IF revealed that both tangeritin and narirutin significantly blocked the translocation of NF-κB p65 from the cytoplasm to the nucleus. ConclusionAFI-processed AMR significantly alters the chemical composition profile of AMR, and the newly introduced flavonoid components during processing may be key to its enhanced anti-inflammatory effects.
2.Effect of Neuritin on angiogenesis of chicken embryo alantoic membrane and humar umbilical vein endo-thelial cells
Fuhua LIANG ; Yunhua ZHANG ; Xuan YANG ; Yanmeng HOU ; Guizhen LYU ; Wenjie TANG ; Li YANG
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2025;41(2):170-177
Objective To investigate the effects of neurotrophic factor Neuritin overexpression on the angiogenic effects of chicken embryonic allantoic membrane (CAM) and human umbilical vein endothelial cells (HUVECs),and to provide a new direction for the treatment of angiogenic diseases. Methods Thirty fresh yellow-skinned breeding eggs were selected to establish a CAM model,which were divided into three groups by randomized numerical table method:positive control group (bFGF),negative control group (NS) and experimental group (Neuritin),with 10 eggs in each group. The positive control group was loaded with 2500 U/mL of bFGF,the experimental group was loaded with 10 μg/mL of Neuritin protein,and the negative control group was loaded with NS. 10 μL loading volume was loaded into each group,and all CAMs were incubated at the same temperature,relative humidity,and time,and the vascular branching,number,and size of the CAMs in each group were recorded after 72 h of incubation. Fresh umbilical cords from healthy pregnant women were selected to produce primary HUVECs,which were divided into three groups:transfected with recombinant plasmid (HUVEC-neu group),transfected with empty vector (HUVEC-3.1 group),and untransfected (HUVEC group). Primary HUVECs in the HUVEC-neu group were transfected with the recombinant plasmid Neuritin,and those in the HUVEC-3.1 group were transfected with the empty vector. HUVEC-3.1 group was transfected with the empty vector plasmid,and HUVEC group was not given any special treatment,and all three groups received the same culture regimen. Western blot was used to detect the protein expression level of Neuritin in HUVEC-3.1 and HUVEC-neu groups. CCK-8 assay,cell scratch assay,Transwell assay,and tube formation assay were used to detect protein expression level of Neuritin in HUVEC-3.1 group and HUVEC-neu group,and HUVEC-neu groups for cell proliferation,migration and tube formation. Results (1) The number of CAM vessel branch points and microvessels in the experimental group was significantly increased compared with that in the negative control group (P<0.01),but there was no statistically significant difference in the number of large and medium-sized vessels between the two groups (P>0.05);(2) Neuritin was successfully overexpressed in HUVECs in the HUVEC-neu group. (3) Compared with the HUVEC-3.1 group,the proliferation vigor of cells in the HUVEC-neu group was decreased (P<0.05),but their migration and tube formation abilities were significantly enhanced (P<0.01). Conclusion Neuritin overexpression promotes angiogenesis and participates in the regulation of neovascularization by affecting cell prolif-eration,migration,and tube formation ability.
3.Economic burden of patients with healthcare-associated infection after liver transplant
Binghao BIAN ; Peng XU ; Xuan GUO ; Yi XU ; Jingyi LYU ; Fang ZHANG ; Lili WANG
Chinese Journal of Infection Control 2025;24(5):687-693
Objective To investigate the incidence and economic burden of healthcare-associated infection(HAI)in patients after liver transplant.Methods Basic clinical information,infection status,and related medical expenses of liver transplant patients in the department of hepatobiliary surgery in a tertiary first-class hospital from November 2012 to December 2023 were investigated retrospectively.A case-control study design was employed,with post-li-ver transplant patients who developed HAI as the infection group and those without HAI during the same period as the control group.The 1∶1 propensity score matching(PSM)method was adopted(caliper value was set at 0.05,employing sampling without replacement).Length of hospital stay and hospitalization expenses between patients in the infection group and the control group were compared using Wilcoxon rank-sum test,and the economic burden due to HAI was calculated.Results A total of 336 liver transplant patients were included in study,out of which 48 had HAI,with an incidence of 14.29%.44 pairs were successfully matched by PSM.After matching,the median hospitalization expense for patients in the infection group was 334 473.73 Yuan,while that of the control group was 285 824.82 Yuan,with a statistically significant difference(Z=-3.430,P<0.05).The direct economic burden of HAI in liver transplant patients was 48 648.91 Yuan.After matching,the median length of hospital stay in the in-fection group(37.0 days)was 12.5 days longer than that in the control group(24.5 days),with statistically sig-nificnat difference(Z=-3.630,P<0.001).Conclusion HAI after liver transplant increases patients' hospitaliza-tion expense and prolongs their hospital stay,thus brings huge economic burdens to the patients.
4.Clinical cohort study of non inflated subclavian approach,axillary approach,and traditional open surgery for unilateral thyroid cancer
Mingchuang LI ; Xuan FAN ; Zheng CHEN ; Yatong ZHAO ; Hua ZHANG ; Guo CHEN ; Jing LYU ; Wen TIAN ; Qingsong ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Surgery 2025;63(7):611-617
Objective:To compare surgical-related indicators between non-inflated subclavian endoscopic surgery and axillary and traditional open surgery for the treatment of right lobe thyroid cancer,as well as their effects on postoperative anterior cervical function and cosmetic outcomes.Methods:This retrospective cohort study analyzed 151 cases of thyroid cancer patients who underwent surgical treatment at the Department of Thyroid Surgery,Zhengzhou Central Hospital Affiliated to Zhengzhou University from June 2024 to October 2024. Based on the surgical approach,patients were divided into three groups:56 cases of traditional open surgery group, 44 cases of non-inflated axillary approach group,and 51 cases of non-inflated subclavian approach group. Comparative indicators included surgical time, parathyroid autotransplantation rate,complete exposure rate of central area, number of lymph node dissections, number of positive lymph nodes, anterior cervical function, and satisfaction with incision beauty. One-way analysis of variance,non-parametric test,Kruskal-Wallis test,Pearson χ2 test and Fisher′s exact probability method were used to compare the results of the three groups and subsequent pairwise comparisons,respectively. Results:All laparoscopic surgeries were successfully completed without conversion to open surgery. (1) Surgical time:the traditional open surgery group had the shortest operative time ( M(IQR))(71.5(16.0)minutes), significantly shorter than both endoscopic groups (both P<0.01); among the endoscopic approaches, the non-inflated subclavian approach group (97.0(10.0)minutes) had a significantly shorter operative time than the non-inflated axillary approach group (115.0(11.0)minutes)( P<0.01). (2) Parathyroid autotransplantation rate:the rates were 53.6%(30/56) in the traditional group, 70.5%(31/44) in the non-inflated axillary approach group, and 66.7%(34/51) in the non-inflated subclavian approach group, with no statistically significant differences ( P>0.05). (3) Complete exposure rate of the central area:the exposure rate was 100%(56/56) in the traditional open surgery group, 86.4%(38/44) in the non-inflated axillary approach group, and 96.1%(49/51) in the non-inflated subclavian approach group. A significant difference was observed between the traditional open surgery group and the non-inflated axillary approach group ( χ2=8.124, P<0.01), but not observed between other groups. (4) Number of lymph node dissection:no significant difference was found among the three groups (8(6)(range:2 to 17) in the traditional open surgery group,7(3)(range:2 to 16) in the non-inflated axillary approach group,7(4)(range:2 to 16) in the non-inflated subclavian approach group)( P=0.078).(5) Number of positive lymph nodes:no significant differences were observed among the three groups( P=0.923). (6) Postoperative anterior cervical function:① Visual analogue scale: there was no significant difference between the non-insufflation transaxillary approach group and the non-insufflation subclavian approach group at 3 days and 1 month postoperatively ( P>0.017). However, the two groups had significantly lower scores than the traditional open group (both P<0.01). ② Neck disability index:at 3 days post-surgery, there were significantly lower in the axillary and subclavian groups compared to the traditional open group ( P<0.01), with no significant difference between the two endoscopic groups( P>0.017); at 1 month postoperatively, the traditional open surgery group, gasless axillary approach group, and gasless subclavian approach group, with statistically significant differences between each group (both P<0.01). ③ Swallowing disorder index: no significant differences were observed at 3 days post-surgery( P>0.05); however, at 1 month post-surgery, the endoscopic groups showed significantly lower scores compared to the traditional open group(both P<0.01).(7) Satisfaction with incision beauty:significant differences were found among the three groups in terms of vancouver scar scores, patient scar assessment scores, and observer scar assessment scores(all P<0.01). Conclusions:Compared to the non-inflated axillary endoscopic thyroidectomy, the non-inflated subclavian approach offers a technically simpler procedure, better exposure of the central lymph node dissection area, and superior protection of anterior cervical function, although it results in less favorable cosmetic outcomes. Under strict preoperative evaluation and appropriate indications,both non-inflated subclavian and axillary approaches can achieve outcomes comparable to traditional open surgery for cN0 thyroid cancer,demonstrating good clinical application value.
5.Value of fully autonomous ultrasonic robot in spleen imaging
Xuejuan WANG ; Yingying CHEN ; Xianghui CHEN ; Xuan ZHANG ; Xiuzhu MA ; Yun ZHANG ; Yutong MA ; Sufang LAI ; Nong GAO ; Haiyan KOU ; Shaohua ZHANG ; Faqin LYU
Chinese Journal of Ultrasonography 2025;34(5):426-430
Objective:To investigate the clinical value of a fully autonomous ultrasound robot in splenic ultrasound imaging.Methods:A retrospective study was conducted by enrolling 56 adult volunteers from the Third Medical Center of the Chinese PLA General Hospital between February 1-8,2024 as research subjects.A senior physician sequentially performed splenic ultrasound examinations using both the fully autonomous ultrasound robot and a matched portable ultrasound device. The acquired images were randomly coded and scored via a double-blind method by 3 physicians. The differences of the image quality scores and high-quality image proportions between the two groups were compared. Examination durations were recorded and compared between the two groups.Results:Both modalities successfully acquired splenic images in all 56 volunteers. No statistically significant differences were observed in image quality scores among the 3 physicians:(3.52 ± 1.31)points vs.(3.83 ± 1.23)points,(2.77 ± 1.23)points vs.(3.17 ± 1.17)points,and(3.48 ± 0.97)points vs.(3.79 ± 0.94)points(all P>0.05). The numbers of images scoring ≥ 3 points showed no significant differences:45(80.36%) vs. 50(89.29%),30(53.57%) vs. 38(67.86%),and 48(85.71%) vs. 52(92.86%)(all P>0.05). The fully autonomous ultrasound robot required significantly longer examination time[(60.86 ± 50.55)s vs.(7.95 ± 4.35)s, t=6.88, P<0.01]. Conclusions:The fully autonomous ultrasound robot demonstrates comparable image quality and clinically acceptable image proportions to conventional portable ultrasound in splenic examinations. These findings suggest its potential equivalence to operator-dependent ultrasound for splenic imaging,supporting its feasibility as an alternative ultrasound modality despite longer procedural duration.
6.Cost analysis of hospital-acquired infections in neurosurgery department patients undergoing brain tumor resection
Peng XU ; Xianming QIU ; Yi XU ; Xuan GUO ; Jingyi LYU ; Weiguang LI ; Lili WANG ; Hongzhen LU
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(22):3463-3467
OBJECTIVE To investigate the incidence of hospital-associated infections among the neurosurgery de-partment patients undergoing brain tumor resection and analyze the economic cost so as to provide scientific bases for formulating prevention strategies.METHODS Totally 1027 patients who underwent brain tumor resection in neurosurgery department of the First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University from Jan.1,2020 to Dec.31,2024 were recruited as the research subjects.The 36 patients who had postoperative hos-pital-associated infections were assigned as the infection group,and 991 patients who did not have hospital-associ-ated infection were assigned as the no infection group.The patients of the infection group and the non-infection group were matched in a 1∶1 ratio by using propensity score matching method(caliper value 0.005).The length of hospital stay and costs of medical items were compared between the infection group and the non-infection group,and the economic burden due to the hospital-associated infections was estimated.RESULTS The incidence of hospital-associated infections was 3.51%among the patients undergoing brain tumor resection,and totally 36 pairs were matched successfully with the propensity score.The hospitalization cost of the infection group was 109,103.81(73,370.21,163,628.37)yuan after the matching,which was increased by 50,087.69 yuan as com-pared with the non-infection group(Z=-5.237,P<0.001);the length of hospital stay was 23.00(17.25,36.00)days,which was prolonged by 8.50 days(Z=-3.764,P<0.001).Among the costs of medical items,the medial costs of western medicine,treatment materials and clinical laboratory tests increased most.CONCLUSIONS The control of the costs of western medicine,treatment materials and clinical laboratory tests is the key to reduce the costs of brain tumor resection patients with hospital-associated infections.It is necessary to carry out the real-time monitoring of the hospital-associated infections and early warning of suspected cases and reduce the incidence of hospital-associated infections so as to reduce the economic costs.
7.Economic burden due to hospital-associated infections in children with acute leukemia during transplantation
Yi XU ; Yu ZHANG ; Peng XU ; Xuan GUO ; Binghao BIAN ; Jingyi LYU ; Dongdong HUO
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(21):3238-3242
OBJECTIVE To investigate the incidence of hospital-associated infections among the children with acute leukemia and analyze the economic burden so as to provide scientific bases for formulating the hospital infec-tion management strategies.METHODS A total of 140 children with acute leukemia who were hospitalized in pedi-atric hematology department of the First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University and underwent hematopoietic stem cell transplantation from Jan.1,2018 to Jun.30,2024 were recruited as the research subjects.The clinical data,incidence of infections and cost data were collected.The infection group and the non-infection group were matched in a 1∶1 ratio by propensity score matching method.The length of hospital stay and costs of medical items were compared between the infection group and the non-infection group.The economic burden due to the hospital-associated infections was estimated.RESULTS Of the 140 children,59 had hospital-as-sociated infections,with the incidence of infections 42.14%.A total of 125 children who conformed to the inclu-sion and exclusion criteria were included in the study,among whom 53 pairs were matched successfully by propen-sity score matching method.The median hospitalization cost was 230,125.79 yuan in the infection group after the matching,189,880.90 yuan in the non-infection group,and there was significant difference between the two groups(Z=-2.038,P=0.042).The direct economic burden due to the hospital-associated infections in the chil-dren with acute leukemia was 40,244.89 yuan.The median costs of western medicine,self-pay and antibiotics were increased most remarkably among all the costs of medical items(all P<0.05).CONCLUSION The targeted surveillance of hospital-associated infections and early warning of suspected cases are the major strategies to reduce the incidence of infections and relieve the economic burden.
8.Expert consensus on surgical treatment and rehabilitation for competitive sports athletes returning to sports after anterior cruciate ligament injury (version 2025)
Kai HUANG ; Lunhao BAI ; Qing BI ; Hong CHEN ; Jiwu CHEN ; Xuesong DAI ; Wenyong FEI ; Weili FU ; Zhizeng GAO ; Lin GUO ; Yinghui HUA ; Jingmin HUANG ; Suizhu HUANG ; Xuan HUANG ; Jian LI ; Qiang LI ; Shuzhen LI ; Yanlin LI ; Yunxia LI ; Zhong LI ; Ning LIU ; Yuqiang LIU ; Wei LU ; Hongbin LYU ; Haile PAN ; Xiaoyun PAN ; Chao QI ; Weiliang SHEN ; Luning SUN ; Jin TANG ; Zimin WANG ; Bide WANG ; Ru WANG ; Shaobai WANG ; Licheng WEI ; Weidong XU ; Yongsheng XU ; Jizhou YANG ; Liang YANG ; Rui YANG ; Hongbo YOU ; Tengbo YU ; Jiakuo YU ; Bing YUE ; Hua ZHANG ; Hui ZHANG ; Qingsong ZHANG ; Xintao ZHANG ; Jiajun ZHAO ; Lilian ZHAO ; Qichun ZHAO ; Song ZHAO ; Jiapeng ZHENG ; Jiang ZHENG ; Zhi ZHENG ; Jingbin ZHOU ; Jinzhong ZHAO
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2025;41(4):325-338
With the rapid development of competitive sports, the incidence of anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury is on the rise. Such injuries may shorten athletes′ career and lead to other long-term adverse consequences. Although athletes generally recover well after ACL reconstruction, many still struggle to return to their pre-injury performance levels. Advances in the understanding of ACL anatomy and injury mechanisms, along with the evolution of surgical techniques and rehabilitation methods, have provided more individualized and tailored options for athletes following ACL injuries. However, there is currently no consensus in China regarding surgical and rehabilitation strategies for competitive athletes aiming to return to sports after ACL injuries. To this end, the Sports Medicine Committee of the Chinese Research Hospital Association and the Editorial Board of the Chinese Journal of Trauma jointly formulated the Expert consensus on surgical treatment and rehabilitation for competitive sports athletes returning to sports after anterior cruciate ligament injury ( version 2025), and presented 14 recommendations covering surgical indications, preoperative rehabilitation, surgical timing, surgical strategies and postoperative rehabilitation strategies, aiming to improve the surgical treatment and rehabilitation system for ACL injuries in competitive athletes and facilitate their return to high-level sports performance after injury.
9.Comparison of clinical characteristics between primary bilateral macronodular adrenal hyperplasia and adrenal cortisol-producing adenoma
Bing LI ; Ming-Xiu YANG ; Huai-Jin XU ; Jing-Xuan WANG ; Qing-Zheng WU ; Ya-Jing WANG ; Yi-Jun LI ; Kang CHEN ; Yu CHENG ; Qi NI ; Ya-Qi YIN ; Li ZANG ; Qing-Hua GUO ; Jian-Ming BA ; Wei-Jun GU ; Jing-Tao DOU ; Zhao-Hui LYU ; Yi-Ming MU
Medical Journal of Chinese People's Liberation Army 2025;50(7):779-785
Objective To comparatively analyze the clinical characteristics of primary bilateral macronodular adrenal hyperplasia(PBMAH)and adrenal cortisol-producing Adenoma(CPA),and enhance the understanding of two diseases.Methods The clinical data of 85 PBMAH patients(PBMAH group)and 195 CPA patients(CPA group)diagnosed at Department of Endocrinology,the First Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital,from September 2014 to August 2024 were retrospectively analyzed.The demographic characteristics,comorbidities,biochemical indicators,adrenocorticotropic hormone-cortisol(ACTH-F)levels,and adrenal imaging features and treatment conditions were compared between the two groups.Results(1)General characteristics:Compared with CPA group,PBMAH group had older age at diagnosis and a higher proportion of male patients.(2)Clinical characteristics:Compared with CPA group,PBMAH group had a longer disease duration,a higher proportion of subclinical Cushing's syndrome(CS),and a higher proportion of hypertension,impaired glucose tolerance/diabetes,bone mass reduction or osteoporosis,with higher serum potassium levels,and the differences were statistically significant(P<0.01).(3)Hormone levels:Both PBMAH and CPA groups showed ACTH-F rhythm disorder,significantly increased cortisol levels and suppressed ACTH.Compared with PBMAH group,CPA group had stronger autonomous cortisol secretion ability,manifested by increased midnight serum cortisol(F0:00),16:00 serum cortisol(F16:00),24-hour urinary free cortisol(24 h UFC)levels and lower 8:00 serum ACTH(ACTH8:00)and 16:00 serum ACTH(ACTH16:00)(P<0.01).After low-dose dexamethasone suppression test(LDDST),CPA group showed lower suppression rates of ACTH and cortisol,and higher proportions of paradoxical elevation in serum cortisol and 24 h UFC compared with PBMAH(P<0.01).Conclusions PBMAH has a longer disease course and higher proportions of comorbid metabolic disorders than CPA,mostly manifested as subclinical Cushing's syndrome.CPA has stronger autonomous cortisol secretion ability,with cortisol less likely to be suppressed after LDDST and more obvious paradoxical elevation of cortisol and 24 h UFC.
10.Study of school influenza epidemic prediction based on Bayesian Structural Time Series model and multi-source data integration
Huiyang SUN ; Qiuying LYU ; Fengjuan CHEN ; Honglin WANG ; Yanpeng CHENG ; Zhigao CHEN ; Zhen ZHANG ; Ling YIN ; Xuan ZOU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2025;46(7):1188-1195
Objective:To analyze the spatiotemporal correlation between the surveillance data of influenza in students reported by medical institutions and school absenteeism due to illness, and evaluate the application of Bayesian Structural Time Series model (BSTS) in the prediction of school influenza epidemic.Methods:A total of 13 schools in Dapeng new district of Shenzhen were selected. The incidence data of influenza in schools in Shenzhen from January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2019 were collected from China Disease Control and Prevention Information System and the illness related school absentence data during this period were collected from Shenzhen Student Health Surveillance System, and the spatiotemporal correlation between the data from two systems was analyzed and compared. BSTS was used to make long-term predictions of the monthly incidence of influenza in students in 2019 and short-term predictions of the weekly incidence of influenza in week 1-8 and week 45-52 of 2019 by using the data from two systems.Results:There was a temporal correlation between the data from China Disease Control and Prevention Information System and the data from Shenzhen Student Health Surveillance System ( r=0.93, P<0.001), and the lag of the former one was 1 day ( r=0.73, P<0.001). Influenza outbreaks were randomly distributed in different schools in Shenzhen, and there was no spatial correlation. The root mean square error ( RMSE) and mean absolute error ( MAE) were 0.35 and 0.28, respectively, in the long-term prediction, and the RMSE was 0.33 and 0.34, and the MAE was 0.26 and 0.28, respectively, in the short-term predictions of week 1-8 and week 45-52 of 2019, respectively, showing good prediction accuracy and fitting effect. Conclusion:By analyzing the data from China Disease Control and Prevention Information System and Shenzhen Student Health Surveillance System with BSTS, the dynamics of the school influenza epidemic can be accurately predicted, and effective technical support can be provided for the early warning and prevention and control of influenza epidemic.

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