1.Application of time series and machine learning models in predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai
WANG Zhengzhong, ZHANG Zhe, ZHOU Xinyi, YUAN Linlin, ZHAI Yani, SUN Lijing, LUO Chunyan
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(3):426-430
Objective:
To analyze the temporal variation patterns of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai, so as to explore models suitable for predicting peaks and intensity of absenteeism rates.
Methods:
The seasonal and trend decomposition using loess (STL) method was used to analyze the seasonal and long term trend changes in sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students from September 1 in 2010 to June 30 in 2018, in Shanghai. A hierarchical clustering method based on Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) was employed to classify absenteeism symptoms with similar temporal patterns. Based on historical data, the study constructed and evaluated different time series algorithms and machine learning models to optimize the accuracy of predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism.
Results:
During the research period, the average new absenteeism rate due to illness was 16.86 per 10 000 person day for every academic year, and the trend of sickness absenteeism exhibited both seasonality and a long term upward trend, reaching its highest point in the 2017 academic year (22.47 per 10 000 person day). The symptoms of absenteeism were divided into three categories: high incidence in winter and spring (respiratory symptoms, fever and general discomfort, etc.), high incidence in summer (eye symptoms, nosebleeds, etc.) and those without obvious seasonality (skin symptoms, accidental injuries, etc.).The constructed time series models effectively predicted the trend of absenteeism due to illness, although the accuracy of predicting peak intensity was relatively low. Among them, the multi layer perceptron (MLP) model performed the best, with an root mean squared error (RMSE) of 8.96 and an mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.37, reducing 36.51% and 39.02% compared to the baseline model.
Conclusion
Time series models and machine learning algorithms could effectively predict the trend of sickness absenteeism, and corresponding prevention and control measures can be taken for absenteeism caused by different symptoms during peak periods.
2.Efficacy and safety of tislelizumab in the treatment of advanced non-small cell lung cancer:a meta-analysis
Yanxue WANG ; Xiaotong LIAN ; Ziying LIANG ; Xinyi GUO ; Qiuyi YUAN ; Jinni WANG ; Yixuan QIN ; Xiaolian DING ; Gang LIANG
China Pharmacy 2025;36(19):2454-2459
OBJECTIVE To systematically evaluate the efficacy and safety of tislelizumab in the treatment of advanced non- small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). METHODS Computerized searches were conducted in PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Library, CNKI, Wanfang and other Chinese and English databases to collect randomized controlled trials (RCTs) on tislelizumab for advanced NSCLC. The search period was from the establishment of the databases to December 2024. After strictly screening the literature, extracting data and conducting quality evaluations in accordance with the inclusion and exclusion criteria, a meta-analysis was performed using RevMan 5.3 and Stata 16.0 software. RESULTS A total of 18 RCTs involving 2 337 patients were included, with 1 283 in the experimental group and 1 054 in the control group. The meta-analysis results showed that the objective response rate [RR=1.61, 95%CI (1.48, 1.75), P<0.000 01], disease control rate [RR=1.21, 95%CI (1.13, 1.29), P<0.000 01], progression free survival [HR=0.55, 95%CI (0.45, 0.66), P<0.000 01], and overall survival [HR=0.78, 95%CI(0.62, 0.97), P=0.03] were significantly better in the experimental group than in the control group. There was no statistically significant difference in the incidence of adverse reactions between the two groups [RR=1.00, 95%CI (0.73, 1.37), P=1.00]; among the common adverse reactions, only the incidence of liver function impairment was significantly higher in the experimental group than in the control group [RR=1.30, 95%CI (1.10, 1.54), P<0.01]. CONCLUSIONS Tislelizumab in combination with chemotherapy or targeted drugs significantly improves the efficacy in patients with advanced NSCLC without increasing the risk of adverse reactions overall. However, liver function should be closely monitored during treatment.
3.Advances of low-intensity pulsed ultrasound for treatment of musculoskeletal disorders in the past decade.
Liping FU ; Lixia YUAN ; Jie WANG ; Xuelan CHEN ; Guizhi KE ; Yu HUANG ; Xinyi YANG ; Gang LIU
Journal of Southern Medical University 2025;45(3):661-668
Musculoskeletal disorders (MSDs) are characterized by extensive pathological involvement and high prevalence and cause a significant disease burden. Long-term drug administration often causes by adverse effects with poor therapeutic efficacy. Low-intensity pulsed ultrasound (LIPUS), as a specialized therapeutic modality, delivers acoustic energy at a low intensity in a pulsed wave mode, thus ensuring stable energy transmission to the target tissues while minimizing thermal effects. This non-invasive approach has demonstrated significant potential for MSD treatment by delivering effective physical stimulations. Extensive animal and clinical studies have demonstrated the efficacy of LIPUS for accelerating the healing process of fresh fractures and nonunions, promoting soft tissue regeneration and suppressing inflammatory responses. Emerging evidence suggests promising applications of LIPUS in skeletal muscle injury treatment and promoting tissue regeneration and repair. This review outlines the recent advancements and mechanistic studies of LIPUS for treatment of common MSDs including fractures, nonunions, muscle injuries, and osteoarthritis, addressing also the technical parameters of commercially available LIPUS devices, current therapeutic approaches, the existing challenges, and future research directions.
Humans
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Ultrasonic Therapy/methods*
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Musculoskeletal Diseases/therapy*
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Ultrasonic Waves
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Osteoarthritis/therapy*
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Muscle, Skeletal/injuries*
4.Cognition and participation intention of patient-reported outcomes in patients with lower limb deep vein thrombosis: a qualitative study
Ranxun AN ; Yuan XU ; Lei WANG ; Yu WANG ; Haibo DENG ; Jianhua SUN ; Xiaojie WANG ; Liyun ZHU ; Qiaodan LU ; Xinyi ZHOU ; Yufen MA
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2024;30(1):95-100
Objective:To explore the cognition and intention of patients with lower limb deep vein thrombosis (DVT) to participate in patient-reported outcomes (PROs), so as to provide references for the promotion, application, and practice of PROs in lower limb DVT patients in China.Methods:This study adopted the phenomenological qualitative research method. From February to June 2023, 13 lower limb DVT patients admitted to Peking Union Medical College Hospital were selected for semi-structured in-depth interviews. Colaizzi 7-step analysis method was used for analyzing and summarizing data.Results:Thirteen patients with lower limb DVT highly recognized their own value in participating in PROs, namely health benefits, prevention of DVT complications, and reduction of disease uncertainty. Lower limb DVT patients expected to receive support from healthcare professionals, families, and portable and simplified reporting formats to promote their participation in PROs. From the patient 's own perspective, they perceived that insufficient attention to DVT caused by lack of awareness of the hazards of DVT and limited understanding of PROs made it difficult for them to participate in PROs. Conclusions:Lower limb DVT patients have a high intention to participate in PROs. The application and promotion of PROs in lower limb DVT patients in China require joint support from various sectors of society, among which strengthening effective health education for patients and their families and providing multi-channel reporting forms are the key to promoting of PROs.
5.Development of the PICC-related Thrombosis Prevention Knowledge, Attitude, and Practice Questionnaire for Nurses and its reliability and validity
Ning ZHANG ; Yuan XU ; Haibo DENG ; Lei WANG ; Liyun ZHU ; Qiaodan LU ; Ranxun AN ; Xinyi ZHOU ; Yu WANG ; Jianhua SUN ; Yufen MA ; Xiaojie WANG
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2024;30(4):453-460
Objective:To construct a tool to evaluate the knowledge, attitude, and practice of nurses in the prevention of thrombosis related to peripherally inserted central catheter (PICC) .Methods:From December 2022 to April 2023, based on the theory of knowledge, attitude, and practice, a preliminary draft of the PICC-related Thrombosis Prevention Knowledge, Attitude, and Practice Questionnaire for Nurses was formed through systematic literature review, two rounds of Delphi expert consultations, and pre-survey. In May 2023, convenience sampling was used to select 573 nurses from Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College Hospital as the research subject for a survey to conduct item analysis, validity testing, and reliability testing on the questionnaire.Results:The final version of the PICC-related Thrombosis Prevention Knowledge, Attitude, and Practice Questionnaire for Nurses included 20 knowledge items, 10 attitude items, and 10 practice items. In the content validity of the questionnaire, the average content validity index was 0.984, the overall consensus content validity index was 0.850, and the item level content validity index was 0.857 to 1.000. Exploratory factor analysis extracted three common factors with eigenvalues>1.000, with a cumulative variance contribution rate of 64.540% and factor loadings of 0.450 to 0.908 for each item. The total Cronbach's α coefficient of the questionnaire was 0.895, the half reliability coefficient was 0.947, and the retest reliability coefficient was 0.966.Conclusions:The PICC-related Thrombosis Prevention Knowledge, Attitude, and Practice Questionnaire for Nurses has good reliability and validity, and can be used to evaluate PICC-related thrombosis prevention knowledge, attitude, and practice among nurses.
6.Progress in research on quality-sensitive indicators for prevention nursing care of venous thromboembolism
Ning ZHANG ; Yuan XU ; Liyun ZHU ; Xinyi ZHOU ; Ranxun AN ; Qiaodan LU ; Yu WANG ; Haibo DENG ; Lei WANG ; Jianhua SUN ; Yufen MA ; Xiaojie WANG
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2024;30(8):1004-1009
Quality-sensitive indicators in nursing, as standards for evaluating nursing quality management, can quantitatively determine nursing outcomes. This article provides a comprehensive review of the framework and content of quality-sensitive indicators for venous thromboembolism (VTE) prevention nursing care. The indicators are discussed from three dimensions: structure, process, and outcome. The aim is to provide a reference for the future development of unified and standardized quality-sensitive indicators for VTE prevention nursing care, in order to guide clinical nurses in standardized preventive practices.
7.Progress in research on risk assessment models for cancer-associated thrombosis
Haoran SHI ; Qiaodan LU ; Yuan XU ; Xiaojie WANG ; Haibo DENG ; Lei WANG ; Jianhua SUN ; Yu WANG ; Liyun ZHU ; Ranxun AN ; Xinyi ZHOU ; Yufen MA
Chinese Journal of Modern Nursing 2024;30(8):1010-1017
Cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT) is a common complication and cause of death in cancer patients. Accurately and efficiently identifying high-risk groups for CAT using risk assessment models and implementing targeted early prevention is key. Although numerous CAT risk assessment models currently exist, their predictive capabilities vary across different populations. This article provides a comprehensive review of CAT risk assessment models and their application status, aiming to offer a reference for clinical nursing staff to understand and choose appropriate risk assessment tools.
8.Effect of neotropine against form deprivation myopia in guinea pigs and mechanism
Xinyi YANG ; Hongpeng HUANG ; Xiaoxuan GUO ; Zhenghao BAO ; Peng ZHANG ; Yuan LUO ; Lan SUN ; Yongan WANG
Chinese Journal of Pharmacology and Toxicology 2024;38(5):360-368
OBJECTIVE To investigate the modulating effect of neotropics on form deprivation myopia(FDM)in guinea pigs.METHODS Tricolour guinea pigs were randomly divided into normal control group,FDM model group,FDM+saline group,FDM+atropine group,and FDM+neotropine group,with eight animals in each group.Except for the normal control group,the right eyes of the guinea pigs were covered for 14 d to establish a guinea pig FDM model.The drug administration groups were injected with 10 μL of saline,1%atropine,or 1%neotropine into the vitreous cavity once every other day.The changes in the refractive error and axial length of both eyes were recorded for 1 d before the intervention and for 14 d after the intervention.Then,the eyeballs of guinea pigs were taken from the right eyes.HE staining was used to evaluate the histopathological structure of the sclera while sirius red staining was used to detect the collagen protein content in the sclera.RT-qPCR was used to detect the mRNA expressions of transforming growth factor-β1(TGF-β1),matrix metalloproteinase(MMP-2)and tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase(TIMP-2)in guinea pigs'sclera.The protein expression levels of collagen type Ⅰ(Col-Ⅰ)and TGF-β1 in guinea pig sclera were detected by Western blotting while those of MMP-2,TIMP-2 and Ki-67 were detected by immunohistochemical staining.RESULTS Compared with the nor-mal control group,eyes of guinea pig in the FDM model group showed a significantly lower refractive error(P<0.01),significant elongation of the ocular axis(P<0.01),scattered distribution of scleral fibre bundles,sparse collagen cells,reduced scleral thickness(P<0.01),and a significantly lower collagen protein content(P<0.01).The mRNA and protein expressions of TIMP-2 and TGF-β1 were lower(P<0.05,P<0.01),and MMP-2 was higher(P<0.01)in scleral tissue.The protein expression level of Col-Ⅰwas lower(P<0.05)while that of Ki-67 was elevated(P<0.01)in scleral tissue.Compared with the FDM model group,there were no significant changes in any of the indexes in the FDM+saline group.The refractive error of the right eyes of guinea pigs in the FDM+neotropium group and the FDM+atropium group were significantly higher(P<0.05),the length of the ocular axis was significantly shorter(P<0.05),the collagen fibres were arranged more tightly,the fibre bundles were distributed more orderly,the distribution of the collagen cells was more uniform,and the thickness of the sclera was significantly increased(P<0.01).Collagen protein contents were significantly higher(P<0.05,P<0.01),the mRNA and protein expressions of TIMP-2 and TGF-β1 were significantly higher(P<0.01),MMP-2 mRNA and protein expressions were significantly lower(P<0.05,P<0.01).The protein expression level of Col-Ⅰwas higher(P<0.05,P<0.01),and that of Ki-67 was lower(P<0.05,P<0.01)in scleral tissue.CONCLU-SION The muscarinic antagonist neotropine inhibits the development of myopia in guinea pigs in the FDM model by reversing both the down-regulation of TGF-β1 and the up-regulation of MMP-2 in scleral tissues and inhibiting the remodeling of the scleral extracellular matrix.
9.Study on the Anti-Inflammatory and Antifungal Effects of Taste-Masked Lithospermum Safflower Emulsion
Wenbo YUAN ; Hongyao ZHONG ; Xinyi CHENG ; Kun WEI ; Ying YAO
Journal of Nanjing University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;40(8):812-822
OBJECTIVE To explore the anti-inflammatory and antifungal action mechanism of taste-masked Lithospermum Saf-flower emulsion in vivo and in vitro.METHODS In vitro,the anti-inflammatory effect was detected by MTT assay,qPCR and ELISA.The anti-fungal effect of the product was investigated by broth dilution experiment,bactericidal kinetics,germ tube inhibition and XTT reduction test.In vivo,the effect was evaluated and the mechanism was investigated on the skin disease model of Candida al-bicans in mice.RESULTS Lithospermum in taste-masked Lithospermum Safflower emulsion had a significant inhibitory effect on the proliferation of RAW264.7 cells,and Safflower inhibited the production of IL-6 induced by LPS in a dose-dependent manner.Litho-spermum significantly inhibited the activity of Candida albicans,and its bactericidal mode is time-and concentration-dependent;Lithospermum significantly reduced the formation of Candida albicans germ tubes and destroyed its biofilm;Safflower had no direct kill-ing effect on Candida albicans,was not able to inhibit its biofilm formation,but significantly reduced the hyphal growth of Candida al-bicans and increased its ROS level.CONCLUSION The combination of Lithospermum and Safflower in the taste-masked Lithosper-mum Safflower emulsion can work synergistically to reduce inflammatory damage and treat Candida albicans infection of the skin.
10.Association of psychological stress with wives’ hypertension across over 10 million Chinese married female population aged 20-49 years
Zhenyan ZHAO ; Jiajing JIA ; Xinyi LYU ; Lihua ZHANG ; Yuanyuan WANG ; Yuan HE ; Zuoqi PENG ; Ya ZHANG ; Hongguang ZHANG ; Qiaomei WANG ; Haiping SHEN ; Yiping ZHANG ; Donghai YAN ; Xu MA ; Ying YANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(13):1583-1591
Background::Psychological stress has been reported to be a potential risk factor for hypertension among females, but it remains unclear whether spousal chronic stress levels alter the risk of hypertension among women. We examined the associations between stress within the family and hypertension among married women.Methods::Reproductive-aged women who were planning for pregnancy and their husbands were recruited from the National Free Pre-pregnancy Checkup Projects (NFPCP) across 31 provinces in China in 2016 and 2017. Perceived stress of wives or husbands was measured with a 5-point Likert-type scale, and assessed from three domains: work/life-related stress, economic stress, and overall stress. Multivariable-adjusted logistic regression models were used to assess the associations between stress status and the prevalence of hypertension.Results::Of 10,027,644 couples, 261,098 (2.60%) women had hypertension. The results showed that higher stress levels among themselves or their husbands were associated with a higher prevalence of hypertension in women ( Pfor trend <0.001). Compared with non-stressed participants, female participants with the highest stress themselves were at a greater risk of hypertension, with adjusted odds ratio (OR) of 1.31 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.25-1.37); and compared with participants whose husbands had no stress, those whose husbands had the highest stress level were at a higher risk of hypertension with adjusted OR of 1.24 (95% CI: 1.20-1.29). Moreover, compared with non-stressed status for both couples, only-wife-stressed, only-husband-stressed, and both-stressed couples were found to be significantly associated with increased risks of wives’ hypertension, with adjusted ORs of 1.28 (95% CI: 1.25-1.31), 1.19 (95% CI: 1.17-1.21), and 1.28 (95% CI: 1.26-1.31), respectively. Conclusion::Moderate to severe stress in both spouses might be associated with female hypertension prevalence, which highlights the importance of paying attention to the psychological stresses of couples within the family.


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