1.Risk factors for 1-year death after surgery in elderly patients with hip fractures and accuracy of prediction model: based on LASSO-logistic regression
Hong WU ; Weicha CAI ; Qiqi JIN ; Yingfeng ZHOU ; Kaiming YUAN ; Ting LI ; Jun LI
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology 2024;44(1):15-19
Objective:To identify the risk factors for 1-year death after surgery in elderly patients with hip fractures and evaluate the accuracy of the prediction model based on LASSO-logistic regression analysis.Methods:A case-control study was conducted on elderly patients (age ≥65 yr) who underwent surgical treatment for hip fractures in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University from January to December 2019. Patients were divided into death group and survival group according to their survival status at 1-year after surgery. General data and preoperative laboratory indicators were obtained. The variables were selected by utilizing LASSO regression and incorporated into multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify the risk factors for 1-year death after surgery in elderly patients with hip fractures. Then a prediction model was established based on the results and evaluated.Results:There were 63 patients in death group and 564 in survival group. The results of LASSO regression and multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age, preoperative cognitive dysfunction, Chalson comorbidity index ≥3 points and preoperative serum prealbumin level were the independent risk factors for 1-year death after surgery in elderly patients with hip fractures ( P<0.05). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the prediction model was 0.788 (95% confidence interval [0.731-0.846]), with the sensitivity and specificity of 76.2% and 68.6% respectively. The average absolute error of the calibration curve was 0.007. The results of Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed that there was no significant difference between the predicted value and actual observed value ( χ2=5.065, P=0.751). Decision curve analysis showed that patients had a high net benefit rate when the threshold probability range was 0-0.7. Conclusions:Age, preoperative cognitive dysfunction, Chalson comorbidity index ≥3 points and preoperative serum prealbumin level are the independent risk factors for 1-year death after surgery in elderly patients with hip fractures, and the prediction model developed based on LASSO-logistic regression has high accuracy.
2. Effects of the timing of satisfactory sedation with preoperative oral midazolam on anesthesia induction and recovery in children undergoing adenotonsillectomy
Yue BAI ; Qiqi JIN ; Weicha CAI ; Jianlin LI ; Yingfeng ZHOU ; Kaiming YUAN ; Jun LI
Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics 2024;29(3):296-302
AIM: To investigate the effect of the timing of satisfactory sedation with preoperative oral midazolam on anesthesia induction and recovery in children undergoing adenotonsillectomy. METHODS: A total of 147 children undergoing elective adenotonsillectomy, with ASA physical status orⅡ, aged 2-7 years were selected from November 2022 to June 2023 in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University. The children were orally administered 0.5 mg/kg midazolam in preoperative waiting area and were divided into 10-20 min (rapid onset, M1 group) and 21-30 min (slow onset, M2 group) based on the satisfactory sedation time, or equal volume of sugar pear drink orally (blank control group, C group). Children in all three groups received a general anesthesia method of propofol+fentanyl combined with sevoflurane induction and sevoflurane maintenance. The primary outcome measures were the induction compliance checklist (ICC) score and the pediatric anesthesia emergence delirium (PAED) score in the post-anesthesia care unit (PACU) to assess the occurrence of emergence agitation (EA), and the secondary outcome measures included the parental separation anxiety scale (PSAS), sedation Ramsay score, surgery duration, recovery time, PACU stay time, discharge time, the incidence of perioperative respiratory adverse events (PRAE) and other adverse events in the ward. RESULTS: 147 children were included in the result analysis, with 49 cases in each group. The proportion of perfect induction (ICC=0) were significantly higher in two M groups than that in group C (95.9% vs. 91.8% vs. 61.2%, P=0.001). The maximum and average PAED score in PACU in group M1 showed a significantly higher (6.4±5.0 vs. 4.4 ± 4.1, P=0.029; 5.2 ± 4.5 vs. 3.4 ± 3.6, P=0.030), and the incidence of EA was significantly higher than those in group C (10.2% vs. 30.6%, P=0.022), and increased compared to the group M2 (OR= 0.581, 95%CI 0.231-1.463, P=0.354). There was no statistically significant difference in the maximum and average PAED scores, incidence of EA between group M2 and group C (P>0.05). The Ramsay score and PSAS score in two M groups were higher, PACU stay time and recovery time was longer than those in group C (P<0.05). The pain scores in PACU in group M1 was higher than that of group C (P<0.05). There was no statistically significant difference in the surgical time, discharge time, the incidence of PRAE and other adverse events in the ward among three groups (P>0.05). CONCLUSION: Preoperative oral midazolam can improve the ICC and PSAS scores of children during induction, but it also leads to prolonged recovery time and PACU retention time. The rapid onset of midazolam did not result in better induction and recovery quality, but instead increased the incidence of EA and postoperative pain score.
3. Effect of esketamine and butorphanol on morphine-induced pruritus after cesarean section: A randomized controlled clinical study
Yan FENG ; Gaowei LI ; Qiqi JIN ; Weicha CAI ; Jun LI ; Yan FENG ; Gaowei LI ; Xuezheng LIN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics 2022;27(12):1425-1430
AIM: To evaluation the effects of esketamine and butorphanol on postoperative pruritus induced by epidural morphine injection in cesarean delivery parturients. METHODS: A total of 162 parturients who underwent elective cesarean section under continuous epidural anesthesia in Taizhou Central Hospital (Taizhou University Hospital), were selected and randomly divided into esketamine group (group K), butorphanol group (group B) and blank control group (group C). 5min after umbilicus amputation, parturients in group K was injected with 3 mg morphine diluent through epidural catheter, and esketamine 0.2 mg/kg intravenously. Parturients in groups B and C were given the same dose of morphine,and butorphanol 10 μg/kg or the same volume of normal saline, respectively. The incidence of postoperative pruritus at different times, the degree of pruritus and incidence of other adverse reactions were compared among three groups. RESULTS: The highest incidence of pruritus occurred within 4 hours after operation. The incidence of postoperative pruritus at 4 hours in group K and B was significantly lower than that in group C (3.7% vs. 3.7% vs. 29.6%, P < 0.05), the total incidence of postoperative pruritus within 48 hours was also significantly lower than that in group C (13.0% vs. 11.1% vs. 40.7%, P < 0.05), and the incidence of moderate to severe pruritus was also significantly lower than that of group C (5.6% vs. 3.7% vs. 31.5%, P < 0.05). There was no significant difference between group K and group B (all P > 0.05). There were no significant differences in the incidence of postoperative nausea, vomiting, dizziness and postoperative pain scores among three groups (P > 0.05). CONCLUSION: Both esketamine and butorphanol can reduce the incidence and degree of pruritus caused by epidural morphine injection in parturients, without affecting the analgesic effect of morphine and without increasing the incidence of adverse reactions. Esketamine is as effective and safe as butorphanol in preventing pruritus after cesarean section.