1.Disability-adjusted life years for colorectal cancer in China, 2017-2030: A prevalence-based analysis focusing on the impact of screening coverage and the application of local weights.
Yujie WU ; Yanjie LI ; Xin WANG ; Xinyi ZHOU ; Xinxin YAN ; Hong WANG ; Juan ZHU ; Wanqing CHEN ; Jufang SHI
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(8):962-972
BACKGROUND:
Most studies have evaluated disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients based on a set of generic disability weights (DWs). This study aimed to apply local CRC-stage-specific DWs to estimate the burden of DALYs for CRC (CRC-DALYs) in populations in China and consider the influence of local screening coverage of CRC.
METHODS:
A prevalence-based model was constructed using data from various sources. Years lived with disability (YLDs) were estimated mainly via cumulative prevalence data (based on CRC incidence rates, population numbers, and survival rates), stage-specific proportions of CRC, and DWs of the local population. Years of life lost (YLLs) were calculated based on the CRC mortality rates and standard life expectancies. CRC incidence and mortality rates for the years 2020, 2025, and 2030 were estimated by joinpoint regression, and the corresponding DALYs were predicted. The main assumption was made for CRC screening coverage. Sensitivity analyses were used to assess the impact of population, DWs, and coverage.
RESULTS:
In 2017, among the Chinese population, the estimated number of CRC-DALYs was 4,303,314 (11.9% for YLDs). If CRC screening coverage rate in China (2.3%) remains unchanged, the overall DALYs in 2030 are predicted to increase by 37.2% (45.1% of those aged ≥65 years). More optimistically, the DALYs would then decrease by 0.7% in 2030 (from 5,902,454 to 5,860,200) if the coverage could be increased to 25.0%. A sensitivity analysis revealed that using local DWs would change the base-case values by 5.7%.
CONCLUSIONS
The estimated CRC-DALYs in China using population-specific DWs were considerably lower (with a higher percentage of YLDs) than the global burden of disease (GBD) estimates (5,865,004, of 4.6% for YLDs), suggesting the impact extent of applying local parameters. Sustainable scale-up CRC screening needs to be in place to moderate the growth trend of CRC-DALYs in China.
Humans
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Colorectal Neoplasms/diagnosis*
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China/epidemiology*
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Male
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Prevalence
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Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
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Early Detection of Cancer
;
Quality-Adjusted Life Years
;
Adult
;
Incidence
2.Disease burden and economic burden of breast cancer in females in China: a synthesis analysis
Xinyi ZHOU ; Xin WANG ; Yanjie LI ; Yujie WU ; Le WANG ; Hong WANG ; Jufang SHI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(9):1185-1196
Objective:To understand the current and integrated disease burden and economic burden caused by breast cancer in females in China.Methods:Based on six updated data sources, including the series of Chinese Cancer Registry Annual Report, China Death Cause Surveillance Datasets, China Health Statistical Yearbook, GLOBOCAN, Cancer Incidence in Five Continents, Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD), the information about incidence, mortality and disability adjusted life years (DALY) of breast cancer were extracted for the analysis on the current incidence and time trend of breast cancer and predicted disease burden of breast cancer in females in China. Software Joinpoint was used for time trend analysis. The data of economic burden were systematically updated and analyzed by literature review.Results:1) GLOBOCAN 2022 estimated that the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and one- year prevalence rate of breast cancer in females were 33.0/100 000, 6.1/100 000 and 40.1/100 000, respectively, in China in 2022. According to Chinese Cancer Registry Annual Report, the ASIR and ASMR were 28.4/100 000 and 5.8/100 000, respectively, in 2018. The China Death Cause Surveillance Datasets showed that the ASMR was 4.5/100 000 in 2021, and the urban to rural area mortality ratio was 1.2∶1. GBD reported that the DALYs of breast cancer were 2.921 million in China in 2021, accounting for 14.4% of the global total. 2) Chinese Cancer Registry Annual Report data showed that the ASIR and ASMR of breast cancer decreased by 2.1% and 11.4%, respectively, in China from 2009 to 2018, while increased by 43.9% and 8.2% in rural area, respectively. The Joinpoint analysis showed that the average annual percentage change (AAPC) of ASIR and ASMR in China were -0.2% ( P>0.05) and -1.6% ( P<0.05). The AAPC of ASIR and ASMR in rural area were 3.9% ( P<0.05) and 0.6% ( P>0.05), and -0.3% ( P>0.05) and -1.2% ( P<0.05) in urban area, respectively. China Health Statistical Yearbook data showed that the urban ASMR decreased by 12.3% from 2014 to 2021 with AAPC of -2.6% ( P<0.05). 3) The GLOBOCAN 2022 predicted that, the breast cancer case count and death count in China would be 387 776 and 111 133 by 2050, an increase of 8.6% and 48.2%, respectively, compared with 2022, the increases would be more obvious in people over 65 years old, an increase of 80.8% and 124.9%, respectively. 4) Thirteen individual- based studies reported that the median medical expenditure per patient ( M=21 000 to 39 000 Yuan) and length of hospital stay ( M=11.0 to 30.5 days) for breast cancer treatment decreased from 2010 to 2019, while the average medical expenditure per visit ( M=9 000 to 23 000 Yuan) showed an upward trend. There was only one national-level analysis, which showed that the treatment cost of breast cancer was 25.24 billion Yuan in China in 2018, accounting for 6.4% of the total cancer treatment cost. Conclusions:According to the above updated multi-source data, the incidence and mortality of female breast cancer in China were stable in the past ten years, but the increasing trend in rural area should be noted. The direct medical expenditure of breast cancer treatment per case might decrease, but the population-level economic burden would remain heavy due to population aging.
3.Access to breast cancer screening among females in China: a focus report on screening rate and composition
Xin WANG ; Yanjie LI ; Lin LEI ; Yujie WU ; Fanghui ZHAO ; Jufang SHI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(8):1302-1308
Objective:To systematically integrate and analyze the breast cancer screening rates among females in China and to estimate the composition of different screening service types.Methods:Based on core literature, relevant official websites, projects/survey reports, and information on breast cancer screening rates of Chinese females were extracted and analyzed, and the screening rates for 40-69 years old and 35-64 years old were standardized and compared using 2010 China's population structure. The literature review method was used to retrieve the journal literature related to the composition of breast cancer screening services types (organized screening, physical examination and opportunistic screening). The number of detected literature and the median sample size of individual screening people of the three screening service types were analyzed, and used them as weights to estimate the composition of screening service types.Results:A total of 6 related national surveys on breast cancer screening rate were identified, including 2 from the National Health Service Surveys (broader definition of "breast screening" in 2013, 2018) and 4 from the chronic disease monitoring system of China CDC (the exact definition of "breast cancer screening" in 2010, 2013 and twice in 2015). The age-standardized analysis indicated that 1-year, 2-year and 3-year breast cancer screening rates in 2015 among females in China aged 40-69 years old were 16.9%, 20.2% and 21.4%, respectively. The ever-breast cancer-screened rates were 21.1% in 2013 and 23.5% in 2015 among females aged 40-69, and the corresponding rates were 23.3% and 25.7%, respectively, among females aged 35-64. When taking the literature published in 2015 for further literature review, 130 articles were included, in which the proportions of numbers of reports on organized screening, physical examination, and opportunistic screening were 71.0%, 23.7%, and 5.3%, respectively. Along with the extracted data on median sample sizes (shown in the main text) by breast cancer screening types, it was estimated that the individual service volume of corresponding screening types accounted for 88.0%, 11.2% and 0.8% among all the screened females in China in 2015.Conclusions:The breast cancer screening rates among females of appropriate age in China in 2015 are higher than those in 2013. The literature review analysis preliminarily suggested that the current breast cancer screening service type in China is mainly organized screening service.
4.Influence of metacognitive group intervention on resilience among college students with social anxiety disorder
Chinese Journal of School Health 2019;40(2):242-245
Objective:
To explore the influence of metacognitive group intervention on resilience of college students with social anxiety disorder.
Methods:
Forty-eight college students with social anxiety disorder were randomized into two groups. The control group (24 patients) received systemic desensitization, and the experiment group (24 patients) received metacognitive group psychological intervention. Social anxiety score, mental health and resilience score were compared before and after intervention of two groups.
Results:
The total scores of SCL-90 and the sub-scores of each dimension were significantly decreased after intervention, especially among the experiment group (P<0.05). No significant difference were found in the total score of SCL-90 and the scores of each factor at the last follow-up and after intervention in the experiment group (P>0.05). For control group, the total scores of SCL-90 and sub-scores of each dimension increased at the last follow-up compared with after intervention. Compared with before intervention, the LSAS and HAMA scores of the two groups significantly decreased, and the ER 89 score increased (P<0.05). There were no significant differences in the LSAS, HAMA, and ER 89 scores at the last follow-up and after intervention in the experiment group (P>0.05). For control group, the LSAS and HAMA scores at the last follow-up increased, and the ER 89 score decreased compared with after intervention (P<0.05). The LSAS and HAMA scores in the experiment group were significantly lower, and the ER 89 score was significantly higher, than those of the control group after intervention and at the last follow-up (P<0.05).
Conclusion
Metacognitive group psychological intervention can effectively improve resilience among college students with social anxiety disorder, helps reducing anxiety symptoms and promote social self-confidence and initiative.


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