1.Progress of research on the association between air pollution and prevalence of major cancers.
Z X YANG ; H M ZENG ; R S ZHENG ; C F XIA ; S W ZHANG ; W Q CHEN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(4):532-535
Being an undisputed risk factor of cancer, air pollution is posing a huge threat to the health on human beings. In this article, we introduced the composition of air pollution, and the standards on air quality which was set by both World Health Organization and the Chinese government. We also summarized the most recent research findings on the association between air pollution and the risk of lung, breast, bladder and other major cancers.
Air Pollutants/toxicity*
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Air Pollution/adverse effects*
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Humans
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Neoplasms/epidemiology*
;
Prevalence
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Research/trends*
;
Risk Factors
2.Application of ARIMA model in prediction of mortality rate of suicide in Hainan province.
Y LIU ; X M HU ; Y CHEN ; Z W FU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(5):664-668
Objective: To analyze the trend of suicide mortality in residents of Hainan province, and explore the application of time sequence model in the prediction of the mortality of suicide. Methods: The mortality data of suicide in residents of Hainan province between January, 2014 and December, 2016 were collected and analyzed with time sequence model and the mortality rate of suicide during January-June, 2017 in Hainan was predicted with the model. Results: During January, 2014 to June 2017, a total of 576 suicide cases were reported in Hainan, the mortality rate was 1.5/100 000. The established ARIMA model had good fitting for the suicide mortality in previous times and the prediction result was quite similar to the actual mortality, the predicted mortality rate was within the 95% confidence interval of the actual rate. Conclusion: The time sequence model for the prediction of suicide mortality in Hainan was "ARIMA (0, 1, 0) (0, 0, 0) (12)" , and the prediction effect of the model was better, which can be used to predict the suicide mortality in Hainan.
China/epidemiology*
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Humans
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Incidence
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Models, Statistical
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Mortality/trends*
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Suicide/trends*
3.Epidemiological and pathogenic characteristics of mumps in Fujian province, 2005-2017.
D LI ; Z F CHEN ; X H YANG ; W Y PAN ; Q WANG ; S H ZHANG ; N X ZHENG ; L F HUANG ; Y ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(10):1356-1361
Objective: To understand the epidemiological and etiological characteristics of mumps in Fujian province, 2005-2017. Methods: All the reported mumps cases were collected through the National Notifiable Disease Information Management System, 2005-2017. Active search and interviews were conducted to collect the information on vaccination of mumps. Throat swab specimens were collected for cells culture, genotyping and gene sequence analysis on mumps virus (MuV). Results: A total of 83 959 cases of mumps were reported in Fujian province from 2005 to 2017, with an average annual incidence of 17.6 per 100 000. Since 2007, the incidence appeared increasing but then decreasing, reaching the lowest level (7.5 per 100 000), after the setup of a monitoring program. Annually, the onset time of mumps showed an obvious two seasonal peaks, one from April to July, with a weakening trend, and the other from October to January with a rising trend. Most of the mumps cases occurred among students, kindergarten and scattered children (89.2%, 5 814/6 517), children aged 5-9 years (38.8%, 2 527/6 517), with cases reported from every region. Program from the pathogen surveillance showed that the transmission chain of G genotype mumps virus did exist in Fujian. Data from the sequence analysis revealed that mutations in the nucleotide of G genotype strain in 2015 had led to mutation of 6 amino acid sites in the SH gene coding region, resulting in the differences appearing in both nucleotide and amino acid homology with type A vaccine strain. Conclusions: The incidence of mumps decreased annually, in Fujian. Prevention programs should focus on primary and secondary school students. In Fujian province, we also noticed the transmission chain of mumps G genotype with some amino acid mutations in the SH gene coding region. Monitor programs on both epidemiologic and etiology, should be strengthened.
Child
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Child, Preschool
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China/epidemiology*
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Genotype
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Humans
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Incidence
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Mumps/epidemiology*
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Mumps virus/pathogenicity*
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Phylogeny
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Sequence Analysis
4.Stratified sampling survey of major human parasitic diseases in Henan province.
B L XU ; H W ZHANG ; Y DENG ; Z L CHEN ; W Q CHEN ; D L LU ; Y L ZHANG ; Y L ZHAO ; X M LIN ; Q HUANG ; C Y YANG ; Y LIU ; R M ZHOU ; P LI ; J S CHEN ; L J HE ; D QIAN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(3):322-328
Objective: To understand the prevalence of major human parasitic diseases and related factors in Henan province. Methods: This stratified sampling survey was carried out according to the requirement of national survey protocol of major human parasitic diseases, 2014-2015. The prevalence of soil-transmitted helminths infection, taeniasis and intestinal protozoiasis were surveyed in 104 sites selected from 35 counties (districts) and the prevalence of clonorchiasis was surveyed in 62 sites selected from 37 townships. In each survey spot, 250 persons were surveyed. A total of 26 866 persons and 15 893 persons were surveyed. Modified Kato-Katz thick smear was used to detect the eggs of intestinal helminthes. Tube fecal culture was used to identify the species of hookworm. The Enterobius eggs were detected in children aged 3 to 6 years by using adhesive tape. The cyst and trophozoite of intestinal protozoa were examined with physiological saline direct smear method and iodine stain method. Results: The overall infestation rate of intestinal parasites was2.02% in Henan, and the worm infection rate was higher than protozoa infection rate. Fourteen kinds of intestinal parasites were found, including nematode (5 species), trematode (2 species), and protozoan (7 species). The infection rate of Enterobius vermicularis was highest, and Qinba Mountain ecological area had the highest infestation rate of intestinal parasites in 4 ecological areas of Henan. There was no significant difference in intestinal parasite infection rate between males and females (χ(2)=3.630, P=0.057), and the differences in intestinal parasite infection rate among different age groups had significance (χ(2)=124.783, P=0.000 1). The infection rate reached the peak in age group ≤9 years and the major parasite was Enterobius vermicularis. Furthermore the overall human infection rate of parasite showed a downward trend with the increase of educational level of the people (χ(2)=70.969, P=0.000 1), the differences had significance (χ(2)=120.118, P=0.000 1). For different populations, the infection rate of intestinal parasites was highest among preschool children. The infection of intestinal helminth was mainly mild, only 2 severe cases were detected. The infection rate of Clonorchis sinensis in urban residents was only 0.006%. Logistic regression analysis showed that being preschool children (χ(2)=15.765, P=0.000 1) and drinking well water (χ(2)=45.589, P=0.000 1) were the risk factors for intestinal parasite infection, and annual income per capita of farmers was the protective factor against intestinal parasite infection. The infection rates of protozoa and intestinal parasites decreased sharply compared with the results of previous two surveys, and the rate of intestinal helminth infection also dropped sharply compared with the second survey. The numbers of protozoa, helminth and intestinal parasites detected in this survey were all less than the numbers found in the previous two surveys. Conclusions: Compared the results of three surveys in Henan, the infection rate of protozoa and intestinal parasites showed a downward trend. The prevention and treatment of Enterobius vermicularis infection in children should be the key point of parasitic disease control in the future.
Animals
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Child
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Child, Preschool
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Clonorchiasis/epidemiology*
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Farmers
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Feces/parasitology*
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Female
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Helminthiasis/epidemiology*
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Helminths
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Humans
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Intestinal Diseases, Parasitic/parasitology*
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Male
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Prevalence
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Protective Factors
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Risk Factors
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Rural Population
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Soil Microbiology
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Surveys and Questionnaires
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Taeniasis/epidemiology*
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Trematode Infections/parasitology*
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Urban Population
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Water Wells
5.Application of restricted mean survival time in clinical follow-up study.
Z J YANG ; J J LYU ; Y W HOU ; Z CHEN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2019;40(2):247-250
In clinical follow-up studies, hazard ratio (HR) is routinely used to quantify the differences between-groups, however, it is being estimated by the Cox procedure. HR, the ratio of two hazard functions has abstract meaning only and is in lack of the context to give an intuitive explanation of the survival of patients and the assumption of proportional hazards (PH) must be satisfied. Under this context, the restricted mean survival time (RMST) can be used as a relatively effective measure or index of statistics. This paper introduces the RMST-based statistical analysis methods, including estimation of RMST and its difference, hypothesis testing and regression analysis. The application of RMST in data analysis is also introduced. All the evidence demonstrates that RMST can be used as an effective analytical tool with straightforward interpretation. RMST is also more effective than HR in comparing differences between groups, when non-PH is observed. Therefore, RMST is suggested to be stated along with HR in the process of disease efficacy evaluation and prognosis analysis. Cooperation and complement of the two, a precise reflection on the characteristics of data can be expected.
Clinical Trials as Topic
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Endpoint Determination/methods*
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Follow-Up Studies
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Humans
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Kaplan-Meier Estimate
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Prognosis
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Proportional Hazards Models
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Regression Analysis
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Survival Rate/trends*
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Treatment Outcome
6.Fluid overload-associated large B-cell lymphoma: report of a case.
W CHEN ; Z WANG ; J N SHI ; T ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Pathology 2023;52(9):949-951
7.Relationship between educational level and long-term changes of body weight and waist circumference in adults in China.
Y L TAN ; Z W SHEN ; C Q YU ; Y GUO ; Z BIAN ; P PEI ; H D DU ; J S CHEN ; Z M CHEN ; J LYU ; L M LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2019;40(1):26-32
Objective: To evaluate the association of educational level with anthropometric measurements at different adult stages and their long-term changes in adults who participated in the second re-survey of China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB). Methods: The present study excluded participants who were aged >65 years, with incomplete or extreme measurement values, or with major chronic diseases at baseline survey or re-survey. The weight at age 25 years was self-reported. Body height, body weight and waist circumference at baseline survey (2004-2008) and re-survey (2013-2014) were analyzed. Results: The present study included 3 427 men and 6 320 women. Both body weight and waist circumference (WC) increased with age. From age 25 years to baseline survey (mean age 45.2±6.5), the mean weight change per 5-year was (1.70±2.63) kg for men and (1.27±2.10) kg for women. From baseline survey to re-survey (53.2±6.5), the mean changes per 5-year for body weight were (1.12±2.61) kg for men and (0.90±2.54) kg for women; and that for WC was (3.20±3.79) cm for men and (3.83±3.85) cm for women. Among women, low educational level was consistently associated with higher body mass index (BMI) and WC at age 25 years, baseline survey and re-survey. Among men, low educational level was associated with higher BMI at age 25 years. At baseline survey and re-survey, the educational level in men was not statistically associated with BMI; but men who completed junior or senior high school showed slight higher WC and increase of WC from baseline survey to re-survey than other male participants. Conclusions: Body weight and WC increased with age for both men and women. The associations of educational level with BMI and WC were different between men and women.
Adult
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Asian People/statistics & numerical data*
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Body Height
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Body Mass Index
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Body Weight
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China/epidemiology*
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Educational Status
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Female
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Humans
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Male
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Middle Aged
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Obesity/ethnology*
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Risk Factors
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Sex Distribution
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Waist Circumference/ethnology*
8.Application of generalized estimation equations to establish prediction equation for tuberculosis drug resistance in Zhejiang province.
Q WANG ; X M WANG ; W M CHEN ; L ZHOU ; Q MENG ; S H CHEN ; Z W LIU ; W B WANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(3):368-373
Objective: Drug-resistant tuberculosis (TB) may be resistant to one or multiple anti-TB drugs. We used generalized estimation equations to analysis the risk factors of drug-resistant TB and provide information for the establishment of a warning model for these non-independent data. Methods: The drug susceptibility test and questionnaire survey were performed in sputum positive TB patients from 30 anti TB drug-resistance surveillance sites in Zhejiang province. The generalized estimation model was established by the GENMOD module of SAS, with resistance to 13 kinds of anti-TB drugs as dependent variables and possible influencing factors, such as age, having insurance, HBV infection status, and history of anti-TB drug intake, as independent variables. Results: In this study, the probability of drug resistance at baseline level was 20.26%. Age, insurance, whether being co-infected with HBV, and treatment history or treatment withdrawal were statistically significantly correlated with anti-TB drug resistance. The prediction equation was established according to the influence degree of the factors mentioned above on drug resistance. Conclusion: The generalized estimation equations can effectively and robustly analyze the correlated binary outcomes, and thus provide more comprehensive information for drug resistance risk factor evaluation and warning model establishment.
Antitubercular Agents/therapeutic use*
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Drug Resistance, Multiple, Bacterial
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Humans
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Models, Statistical
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Mycobacterium tuberculosis/drug effects*
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Risk Factors
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Sputum/microbiology*
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Surveys and Questionnaires
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Tuberculosis/epidemiology*
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Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant
9.Willingness and influencing factors related to "centralized slaughtering, fresh poultry listing and marketing" strategy among the household chefs in Guangzhou.
W H LIU ; Y MA ; J Y LU ; H C YAN ; J H ZHOU ; X L LIAO ; J H ZENG ; W Q LIN ; D WU ; Z B ZHANG ; Z C YANG ; Z Q CHEN ; J D CHEN ; T G LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(2):204-207
Objective: To study the willingness and influence factors related to "centralized slaughtering, fresh poultry listing and marketing" strategy, among the household chefs, and provide reference for government to adjust and optimize the strategy on avian influenza prevention. Methods: According to the geographical characteristics and regional functions, 6 'monitoring stations' were selected from 12 residential districts of Guangzhou, respectively. Another 21 meat markets which selling live poultry, were selected in each station and 5 household chefs of each market were invited to attend a face to face interview. Basic information, personal cognitive, willingness and influencing factors to the policy were under study. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression methods were used. Results: A total of 664 household chefs underwent the survey and results showed that the rate of support to the "centralized slaughtering, fresh poultry listing and marketing" strategy was 44.6% (296/664). Results from the multi-factor logistic regression showed that those household chefs who were males (OR=1.618, 95% CI: 1.156-2.264, P=0.005), having received higher education (OR=1.814, 95% CI: 1.296-2.539, P=0.001), or believing that the existence of live poultry stalls was related to the transmission of avian influenza (OR=1.918, 95% CI: 1.341-2.743, P<0.001) were factors at higher risk. These household chefs also intended to avoid the use of live poultry stalls (OR=1.666, 95%CI: 1.203-2.309, P=0.002) and accept the "centralized slaughtering, fresh poultry listing and marketing" strategy. Conclusion: Detailed study on this subject and, setting up pilot project in some areas as well as prioritizing the education programs for household chefs seemed helpful to the implementation of the 'freezing-fresh poultry' policy.
Animals
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Attitude to Health
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China
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Humans
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Influenza A Virus, H7N9 Subtype
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Influenza in Birds
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Influenza, Human/prevention & control*
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Male
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Marketing
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Meat-Packing Industry
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Multivariate Analysis
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Pilot Projects
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Poultry/virology*
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Surveys and Questionnaires
10.Epidemiological characteristics of household fuel use in 10 areas of China.
J C LI ; M WU ; C Q YU ; J LYU ; Y GUO ; Z BIAN ; Y L TAN ; P PEI ; J S CHEN ; Z M CHEN ; W H CAO ; L M LI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(11):1426-1431
Objective: To describe the characteristics of cooking and heating fuel use in participants from the China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) study. Methods: The CKB study recruited 512 891 adults from 10 areas in China during 2004-2008. Information on cooking fuel and heating fuel was collected using a questionnaire in baseline survey. The proportions of various fuels used in different areas, in different populations, and at different time points were calculated and compared. Results: Overall, 52.1% participants used solid fuel for cooking or heating. Rural areas had higher prevalence of solid fuel use than urban areas. The percentage of participants using solid fuel for cooking was 36.1% (coal 20.1%, wood/charcoal 16.0%); The percentage of participants using solid fuel for heating was 36.7% (coal 22.7%, wood/charcoal 14.0%). The prevalence of solid fuel use and the fuel type mainly used varied widely across 10 areas. The proportion of clean fuel use was lower in less-educated and lower-income people. Household coal and wood/charcoal use showed a declining trend, which was more remarkable in urban areas. Conclusion: There are still a large number of rural residents and people with low income relying on solid fuel in China, which is a serious public health concern.
Adult
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Air Pollution, Indoor
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China
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Coal
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Cooking
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Family Characteristics
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Humans
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Rural Population/statistics & numerical data*
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Urban Population/statistics & numerical data*