BACKGROUND/AIMS: Identification of patients at high risk for perioperative cardiac events (POCE) is clinically important. This study aimed to determine whether preoperative measurement of plasma N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) could predict POCE, and compared its predictive value with that of conventional cardiac risk factors and stress thallium scans in patients undergoing vascular surgery. METHODS: Patients scheduled for non-cardiac vascular surgery were prospectively enrolled. Clinical risk factors were identified, and NT-proBNP levels and stress thallium scans were obtained. POCE was the composite of acute myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure including acute pulmonary edema, and primary cardiac death within 5 days after surgery. A modified Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) was proposed and compared with NT-proBNP; a positive result for ischemia and a significant perfusion defect (> or = 3 walls, moderate to severely decreased, reversible perfusion defect) on the thallium scan were added to the RCRI. RESULTS: A total of 365 patients (91% males) with a mean age of 67 years had a median NT-proBNP level of 105.1 pg/mL (range of quartile, 50.9 to 301.9). POCE occurred in 49 (13.4%) patients. After adjustment for confounders, an NT-proBNP level of > 302 pg/mL (odds ratio [OR], 5.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.1 to 10.3; p < 0.001) and a high risk by the modified RCRI (OR, 3.9; 95% CI, 1.6 to 9.3; p = 0.002) were independent predictors for POCE. Comparison of the area under the curves for predicting POCE showed no statistical differences between NT-proBNP and RCRI. CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative measurement of NT-proBNP provides information useful for prediction of POCE as a single parameter in high-risk patients undergoing noncardiac vascular surgery.
Aged ; Biological Markers/blood ; Chi-Square Distribution ; Female ; Heart Diseases/blood/*etiology/mortality ; Heart Failure/etiology ; Humans ; Logistic Models ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Multivariate Analysis ; Myocardial Infarction/etiology ; Natriuretic Peptide, Brain/*blood ; Odds Ratio ; Peptide Fragments/*blood ; Predictive Value of Tests ; Preoperative Period ; Prospective Studies ; ROC Curve ; Risk Assessment ; Risk Factors ; Sensitivity and Specificity ; Surgical Procedures, Elective ; Time Factors ; Tomography, Emission-Computed, Single-Photon ; Treatment Outcome ; Vascular Diseases/blood/mortality/radionuclide imaging/*surgery ; Vascular Surgical Procedures/*adverse effects/mortality