Little is known about the long-term prognosis of or predictors for the different clinical types of atrial fibrillation (AF) in Korean populations. The aim of this study was to validate a risk stratification to assess the probability of AF progression from paroxysmal AF (PAF) to persistent AF (PeAF) or permanent AF. A total of 434 patients with PAF were consecutively enrolled (mean age; 71.7 +/- 10.7 yr, 60.6% male). PeAF was defined as episodes that are sustained > 7 days and not self-terminating, while permanent AF was defined as an ongoing long-term episode. Atrial arrhythmia during follow-up was defined as atrial premature complex, atrial tachycardia, and atrial flutter. During a mean follow-up of 72.7 +/- 58.3 months, 168 patients (38.7%) with PAF progressed to PeAF or permanent AF. The mean annual AF progression was 10.7% per year. In univariate analysis, age at diagnosis, body mass index, atrial arrhythmia during follow-up, left ventricular ejection fraction, concentric left ventricular hypertrophy, left atrial diameter (LAD), and severe mitral regurgitation (MR) were significantly associated with AF progression. In multivariate analysis, age at diagnosis (P = 0.009), atrial arrhythmia during follow-up (P = 0.015), LAD (P = 0.002) and MR grade (P = 0.026) were independent risk factors for AF progression. Patients with younger age at diagnosis, atrial arrhythmia during follow-up, larger left atrial chamber size, and severe MR grade are more likely to progress to PeAF or permanent AF, suggesting more intensive medical therapy with close clinical follow-up would be required in those patients.
Aged ; Atrial Fibrillation/epidemiology/mortality/*pathology ; Atrial Flutter/*epidemiology/mortality/pathology ; Atrial Premature Complexes/*epidemiology/mortality/pathology ; Disease Progression ; Echocardiography ; Female ; Heart Atria/pathology/ultrasonography ; Humans ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Republic of Korea/epidemiology ; Retrospective Studies ; Tachycardia, Ectopic Atrial/*epidemiology/mortality/pathology ; Tachycardia, Paroxysmal/*epidemiology/mortality/pathology ; Thromboembolism/epidemiology/mortality ; Treatment Outcome

OBJECTIVETo explore the clinical characteristics and risk factors of peripheral arterial thromboembolism (PAT) in patients with non valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF).

METHODSA total of 18 456 patients admitted in our hospital and diagnosed with NVAF were included in this study. The study population was divided into three groups [PAT group, cerebral thromboembolism (CT) group and no thromboembolism group]. Risk factors of PAT were assessed by multivariate logistic regression.

RESULTSThe incidence of PAT and CT was 1.1% (204 cases) and 27.8% (5 132 cases), respectively. The in-hospital mortality of PAT group was 11.8% (24/204), in which the in-hospital mortality due to mesenteric arterial thromboembolism (37.5%, 6/16) was the highest. Multivariate logistic regression indicated that vascular disease (OR = 3.9, 95% CI 2.13-7.08, P < 0.01), age ≥ 65 years (OR = 2.7, 95% CI 1.66-4.27, P < 0.01), hypertension (OR = 2.1, 95% CI 1.36-3.34, P < 0.01), history of stroke/TIA/arterial thromboembolism (OR = 2.0, 95% CI 1.26-3.17, P < 0.01) and congestive heart failure (OR = 1.9, 95% CI 1.22-2.86, P < 0.01) were independent risk factors of PAT. Prevalence of vascular disease and histories of PAT was higher in PAT group than in CT group (P < 0.01), while CHADS2 and CHA2DS2VASc scores were similar between the PAT and CT groups.

CONCLUSIONPAT is not uncommon in NVAF patients, risk factors for PAT in NVAF patients are vascular disease, advanced age, hypertension, history of stroke/TIA/arterial thromboembolism and congestive heart failure.

Atrial Fibrillation ; complications ; Case-Control Studies ; Heart Failure ; Hospital Mortality ; Hospitalization ; Humans ; Hypertension ; Incidence ; Risk Factors ; Stroke ; Thromboembolism ; epidemiology ; etiology ; Vascular Diseases

Triple valve surgery is usually complex and carries a reported operative mortality of 13% and 10-yr survival of 61%. We examined surgical results based on our hospital's experience. A total of 160 consecutive patients underwent triple valve surgery from 1990 to 2006. The most common aortic and mitral valve disease was rheumatic disease (82%). The most common tricuspid valve disease was functional regurgitation (80%). Seventy-four percent of the patients were in New York Heart Association (NYHA) class III and IV. Univariate and multivariable analyses were performed to identify predictors of early and late survival. Operative mortality was 6.9% (n=11). Univariate factors associated with mortality included old age, preoperative renal failure, postoperative renal failure, pulmonary complications, and stroke. Of them, postoperative renal failure and stroke were associated with mortality on multivariable analysis. Otherwise, neither tricuspid valve replacement nor reoperation were statistically associated with late mortality. Survival at 5 and 10 yr was 87% and 84%, respectively. Ninety-two percent of the patients were in NYHA class I and II at their most recent follow-up. Ten-year freedom from prosthetic valve endocarditis was 97%; from anticoagulation-related hemorrhage, 82%; from thromboembolism, 89%; and from reoperation, 84%. Postoperative renal failure and stroke were significantly related with operative mortality. Triple valve surgery, regardless of reoperation and tricuspid valve replacement, results in acceptable long-term survival.
Adult ; Aged ; Anticoagulants/adverse effects/therapeutic use ; Aortic Valve/*surgery ; Female ; Heart Valve Diseases/complications/mortality/*surgery ; Heart Valve Prosthesis Implantation/*methods ; Hemorrhage/chemically induced/epidemiology ; Humans ; Intraoperative Complications/mortality ; Kidney Failure/etiology ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Mitral Valve/*surgery ; Postoperative Complications/mortality ; Reoperation ; Risk Factors ; Severity of Illness Index ; Stroke/etiology ; Survival Analysis ; Thromboembolism/epidemiology ; Tricuspid Valve/*surgery