3.Integrating predictive modeling and causal inference for advancing medical science
Childhood Kidney Diseases 2024;28(3):93-98
Artificial intelligence (AI) is revolutionizing healthcare by providing tools for disease prediction, diagnosis, and patient management. This review focuses on two key AI methodologies in healthcare: predictive modeling and causal inference. Predictive models excel in identifying patterns to forecast outcomes but are limited in explaining the underlying causes. In contrast, causal inference focuses on understanding cause-and-effect relationships, which makes effective medical interventions possible. Although randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for causal inference, they face limitations including cost and ethical concerns. As alternatives, emulated RCTs and advanced machine learning techniques have emerged for estimating causal effects, bridging the gap between prediction and causality. Additionally, Shapley values and Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations improve the interpretability of complex AI models, making them more actionable in clinical settings. Integrating prediction and causal inference holds great promise for advancing personalized medicine, enhancing patient outcomes, and optimizing healthcare delivery. However, careful application of AI tools is crucial to avoid misinterpretation and maximize their potential.
4.Unusual CAPD Citrobacter freundii Peritonitis Complicated by a Fungal Infection, Identified by 16s Ribosomal RNA Gene Sequencing.
Tae Ryom OH ; Seong Kwon MA ; Soo Wan KIM
Korean Journal of Medicine 2015;88(5):593-597
We present a case of continuous ambulatory peritoneal dialysis peritonitis caused by Citrobacter freundii complicated by a fungal infection with abscess formation. A 34-year-old woman was admitted to our hospital with abdominal pain. Isolate cultures were confirmed as Citrobacter freundii by DNA sequencing of the 16s ribosomal ribonucleic acid (RNA). Antibiotic therapy was ineffective and Candida tropicalis was isolated in follow-up blood cultures. We administered an antifungal agent and removed the peritoneal catheter. A sudden fever developed, and abdominal computed tomography showed intra-abdominal abscesses. Percutaneous drainage was performed, but no bacteria were cultured. After draining the abscesses, the patient recovered. Citrobacter species are unusual pathogens in peritonitis, and fungal peritonitis is a serious complication of bacterial peritonitis. Indwelling catheters should be removed and appropriate antibiotic therapy provided. Suspicion of a fungal infection combined with bacterial peritonitis will improve the prognosis of patients on peritoneal dialysis.
Abdominal Abscess
;
Abdominal Pain
;
Abscess
;
Adult
;
Bacteria
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Candida tropicalis
;
Catheters
;
Catheters, Indwelling
;
Citrobacter
;
Citrobacter freundii*
;
Drainage
;
Female
;
Fever
;
Follow-Up Studies
;
Humans
;
Peritoneal Dialysis
;
Peritoneal Dialysis, Continuous Ambulatory*
;
Peritonitis*
;
Prognosis
;
RNA
;
RNA, Ribosomal, 16S*
;
Sequence Analysis, DNA
5.Association between the progression of immunoglobulin A nephropathy and a controlled status of hypertension in the first year after diagnosis
Tae Ryom OH ; Hong Sang CHOI ; Se Won OH ; Jieun OH ; Dong Won LEE ; Chang Seong KIM ; Seong Kwon MA ; Soo Wan KIM ; Eun Hui BAE ;
The Korean Journal of Internal Medicine 2022;37(1):146-153
Background/Aims:
Hypertension is considered a risk factor in immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN). However, after IgAN diagnosis, the relationship between early blood pressure control and renal prognosis remains unclear. This study aimed to analyze the association between the prognosis of IgAN patients and a controlled status of hypertension within the first year of IgAN diagnosis.
Methods:
We retrospectively analyzed 2,945 patients diagnosed with IgAN by renal biopsy. The patients were divided into ‘normal,’ ‘new-onset,’ ‘well-controlled,’ and ‘poorly-controlled’ groups using blood pressure data from two consecutive measurements performed within a year. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional-hazards regression model were used to survey the independent association between recovery from hypertension and the risk of IgAN progression. The primary endpoint was IgAN progression defined as the initiation of dialysis or kidney transplantation.
Results:
Before IgAN diagnosis, 1,239 patients (42.1%) had been diagnosed with hypertension. In the fully adjusted Cox proportional-hazards models, the risk of IgAN progression increased by approximately 1.7-fold for the prevalence of hypertension. In the subgroup analyses, the ‘well-controlled’ group showed a statistically significant risk of IgAN progression (hazard ratio [HR], 3.19; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.103 to 9.245; p = 0.032). Moreover, the ‘new-onset’ and ‘poorly-controlled’ groups had an increased risk of IgAN progression compared to the ‘normal’ group (HR, 2.58; 95% CI, 1.016 to 6.545; p = 0.046 and HR, 3.85;95% CI, 1.541 to 9.603; p = 0.004, respectively).
Conclusions
Although hypertension was well-controlled in the first year after IgAN diagnosis, it remained a risk factor for IgAN progression.
6.Blood pressure prior to percutaneous coronary intervention is associated with the risk of end-stage renal disease: a nationwide population based-cohort study
Eun Hui BAE ; Sang Yup LIM ; Bongseong KIM ; Kyung-Do HAN ; Tae Ryom OH ; Hong Sang CHOI ; Chang Seong KIM ; Seong Kwon MA ; Soo Wan KIM
Kidney Research and Clinical Practice 2021;40(3):432-444
Background:
Hypertension is the most important modifiable risk factor for mortality and morbidity in chronic kidney disease and coronary artery syndrome. The effect of hypertension prior to percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) on the development of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) is unknown.
Methods:
We used nationally representative data from the Korean National Health Insurance System—140,164 subjects were enrolled during 2010–2015; they were free of ESRD at enrolment, underwent PCI, and were followed up until 2017. Blood pressure (BP) was measured within at least 2 years prior to PCI. The primary outcome was the development of ESRD.
Results:
During a median follow-up of 5.4 years, 2,082 participants (1.5%) developed ESRD. The highest systolic BP group (>160 mmHg) showed a higher hazard ratio (3.69; 95% confidence interval, 2.61–5.23) than the reference group (110–119 mmHg). Similar results were observed in the highest diastolic BP group (>120 mmHg), which showed a higher hazard ratio than the reference group (70–79 mmHg). However, ESRD risk showed a J-shaped relationship with baseline systolic and diastolic BP at 113 and 74 mmHg in diabetes mellitus subgroup, respectively, after adjustment for potential confounders.
Conclusion
Our study showed that a high systolic or diastolic BP prior to PCI was independently associated with an increased incidence of ESRD.
7.Weight change and risk of depression in patients with diabetic kidney disease: a nationwide population-based study
Hong Sang CHOI ; Bongseong KIM ; Kyung-Do HAN ; Tae Ryom OH ; Sang Heon SUH ; Minah KIM ; Chang Seong KIM ; Eun Hui BAE ; Seong Kwon MA ; Soo Wan KIM
Kidney Research and Clinical Practice 2023;42(1):86-97
Several studies have reported that depression is prevalent in patients with diabetes or chronic kidney disease. However, the relationship between weight changes and the risk of depression has not been elucidated in patients with diabetic kidney disease (DKD). Methods: From the Korean National Health Insurance Service database, we selected 67,866 patients with DKD and body weight data from two consecutive health examinations with a 2-year interval between 2009 and 2012. Weight change over 2 years was categorized into five groups: ≥–10%, <–10% to ≥–5%, <–5% to <5%, ≥5% to <10%, and ≥10%. The occurrence of depression was monitored via the codes of International Statistical Classification of Diseases, 10th revision through the end of 2018. Results: During the 5.24-year follow-up, 17,023 patients with DKD developed depression. Weight change and the risk of depression had a U-shaped relationship: patients with ≥–10% weight change (hazard ratio [HR], 1.12) and those with ≥10% weight change (HR, 1.11) showed higher HRs for depression than those with <–5% to <5% weight change, even after adjusting for several confounding factors. In the subgroup analyses, the risk of depression tended to increase as weight gain or weight loss increased in all subgroups. Conclusion: Both weight loss and weight gain increased the risk of depression in patients with DKD.
8.Effect of body mass index and abdominal obesity on mortality after percutaneous coronary intervention: a nationwide, population-based study
Woo-Hyuk SONG ; Eun Hui BAE ; Jeong Cheon AHN ; Tae Ryom OH ; Yong-Hyun KIM ; Jin Seok KIM ; Sun-Won KIM ; Soo Wan KIM ; Kyung-Do HAN ; Sang Yup LIM
The Korean Journal of Internal Medicine 2021;36(Suppl 1):S90-S98
Background/Aims:
We investigated the impact of obesity on the clinical outcomes following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).
Methods:
We included South Koreans aged > 20 years who underwent the Korean National Health Screening assessment between 2009 and 2012. Obesity was defined using the body mass index (BMI), according to the World Health Organization’s recommendations. Abdominal obesity was defined using the waist circumference (WC), as defined by the Korean Society for Obesity. The odds and hazard ratios in all-cause mortality were calculated after adjustment for multiple covariates. Patients were followed up to the end of 2017.
Results:
Among 130,490 subjects who underwent PCI, the mean age negatively correlated with BMI. WC, hypertension, diabetes, dyslipidemia, fasting glucose, total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triglyceride levels correlated with the increased BMI. The mortality rates were higher in the lower BMI and WC groups than the higher BMI and WC groups. The non-obese with abdominal obesity group showed a mortality rate of 2.11 per 1,000 person-years. Obese with no abdominal obesity group had the lowest mortality rate (0.88 per 1,000 person-years). The mortality showed U-shaped curve with a cut-off value of 29 in case of BMI and 78 cm of WC.
Conclusions
The mortality showed U-shaped curve and the cut-off value of lowest mortality was 29 in case of BMI and 78 cm of WC. The abdominal obesity may be associated with poor prognosis in Korean patients who underwent PCI.
9.A Case Report of Very Severe Hyperphosphatemia (19.3 mg/dL) in a Uremic Patient Taking Honey and Persimmon Vinegar
Su Hyun SONG ; Young Jin GOO ; Tae Ryom OH ; Sang Heon SUH ; Hong Sang CHOI ; Chang Seong KIM ; Seong Kwon MA ; Soo Wan KIM ; Eun Hui BAE
Electrolytes & Blood Pressure 2021;19(2):51-55
We report a case of severe hyperphosphatemia in advanced CKD with poor compliance. A 55-year-old male patient with underlying type 2 diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and chronic kidney disease presented emergently with general weakness and altered mental status. The creatinine level was 14 mg/dL (normal range: 0.5-1.3 mg/dL) 2 months prior to consultation, and he was advised initiation of hemodialysis, which he refused. Subsequently, the patient stopped taking all prescribed medications and self-medicated with honey and persimmon vinegar with the false belief it was detoxifying. At the time of admission, he was delirious, and his laboratory results showed blood urea nitrogen level of 183.4 mg/dL (8-23 mg/dL), serum creatinine level of 26.61 mg/dL (0.5-1.3 mg/dL), serum phosphate level of 19.3 mg/dL (2.5-5.5 mg/dL), total calcium level of 4.3 mg/dL (8.4-10.2 mg/dL), vitamin D (25(OH)D) level of 5.71 ng/mL (30-100 ng/mL) and parathyroid hormone level of 401 pg/ml (9-55 pg/mL). Brain computed tomography revealed non-traumatic spontaneous subdural hemorrhage, presumably due to uremic bleeding.Emergent hemodialysis was initiated, and hyperphosphatemia and hypocalcemia were rectified; calcium acetate and cholecalciferol were administered. The patient’s general condition and laboratory results improved following dialysis. Strict dietary restrictions with patient education were implemented. Multifaceted interventions, including dietary counseling, administration of phosphate-lowering drugs, and lifestyle modifications, should be implemented when encountering patients with CKD, considering the extent of the patient’s adherence.
10.Low waist circumference prior to percutaneous coronary intervention predict the risk for end-stage renal disease: a nationwide Korean population based-cohort study
Eun Hui BAE ; Sang Yup LIM ; Eun Mi YANG ; Tae Ryom OH ; Hong Sang CHOI ; Chang Seong KIM ; Seong Kwon MA ; Bongseong KIM ; Kyung-Do HAN ; Soo Wan KIM
The Korean Journal of Internal Medicine 2022;37(3):639-652
Background/Aims:
The obesity paradox has been known in end-stage renal disease (ESRD). However, the effect of body mass index (BMI) or waist circumference (WC) prior to percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) on the development of ESRD is not clear.
Methods:
Using nationally representative data from the Korean National Health Insurance System, we enrolled 140,164 subjects without ESRD at enrolment who underwent PCI between 2010 and 2015, and were followed-up until 2017. Patients were stratified into five levels based on their baseline BMI and six levels based on their WC with 5-cm increments. BMI and WC were measured at least 2 years prior to PCI. The primary outcome was the development of ESRD.
Results:
During a median follow-up of 5.4 years, 2,082 (1.49%) participants developed ESRD. The underweight group (hazard ratio [HR], 1.331; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.955 to 1.856) and low WC (< 80/< 75) (HR, 1.589; 95% CI, 1.379 to 1.831) showed the highest ESRD risk and the BMI 25 to 30 group showed the lowest ESRD risk (HR, 0.604; 95% CI, 0542 to 0.673) in all participants after adjusting for all covariates. In the subgroup analysis for diabetes mellitus (DM) duration, WC < 85/80 cm (men/women) increased ESRD risk in only the DM group (DM < 5 years and DM ≥ 5 years) compared to the reference group (85–90/80–85 of WC), but not the normal or impaired fasting glucose group.
Conclusions
Low WC prior to PCI showed an increased ESRD risk in patients with DM undergoing PCI as compared to those without DM.