1.Clinical characteristics and survival analysis of pediatric Hodgkin lymphoma: a multicenter study.
Ying LIN ; Li-Li PAN ; Shao-Hua LE ; Jian LI ; Bi-Yun GUO ; Yu ZHU ; Kai-Zhi WENG ; Jin-Hong LUO ; Gao-Yuan SUN ; Yong-Zhi ZHENG
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(6):668-674
OBJECTIVES:
To investigate the clinicopathological characteristics and prognostic factors of pediatric Hodgkin lymphoma (HL).
METHODS:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of children with newly diagnosed HL from January 2011 to December 2023 at four hospitals: Fujian Medical University Union Hospital, Fujian Medical University Zhangzhou Hospital, First Affiliated Hospital of Xiamen University, and Fujian Children's Hospital. Patients were categorized into low-risk (R1), intermediate-risk (R2), and high-risk (R3) groups based on HL staging and pre-treatment risk factors. The patients received ABVD regimen or Chinese Pediatric HL-2013 regimen chemotherapy. Early treatment response and long-term efficacy were assessed, and prognostic factors were analyzed using the Cox proportional hazards regression model.
RESULTS:
The overall complete response (CR) rates after 2 and 4 cycles of chemotherapy were 42% and 68%, respectively. Compared with the ABVD regimen group, patients treated with the HL-2013 regimen in the R1 group showed significantly higher CR rates after both 2 and 4 cycles (P<0.05). However, no statistically significant differences in CR rates were observed between the two regimens in the R2 and R3 groups (P>0.05). The 5-year event-free survival (EFS) rate, overall survival rate, and freedom from treatment failure rate were 83%±4%, 97%±2%, and 88%±4%, respectively. Cox analysis indicated that the presence of a large tumor mass at diagnosis and failure to achieve CR after 4 cycles of chemotherapy were independent risk factors for lower EFS rates (P<0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
Pediatric HL generally has a favorable prognosis. The presence of a large tumor mass at diagnosis and failure to achieve CR after 4 cycles of chemotherapy indicate poor prognosis.
Humans
;
Hodgkin Disease/pathology*
;
Male
;
Child
;
Female
;
Adolescent
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Child, Preschool
;
Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols/therapeutic use*
;
Prognosis
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Survival Analysis
;
Infant
2.Gene Mutation Characteristics, Prognosis and Survival Analysis of Patients with Acute Myeloid Leukemia.
Miao HE ; Hong-Juan TIAN ; Dong-Feng MAO ; Xiao-Chen ZHAO ; Shu-Ting ZHANG ; Fang-Qing ZHAO ; Tao WU
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2025;33(3):691-697
OBJECTIVE:
To analyze the gene mutation characteristics and survival time of patients with newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia (AML) based on next-generation sequencing(NGS) gene detection.
METHODS:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 92 patients with AML (non APL) admitted to our hospital from January 2018 to May 2022. AML related genes tested were using NGS, the mutation characteristics and survival time of AML patients were analyzed.
RESULTS:
Among the 92 patients, 41 were males and 51 were females. A total of 38 types of gene mutations were detected. Six-two patients carried at least one gere mutation, while no gene mutations were detected in 30 patients. In the group with favourable prognosis (n =14), the frequencies of higher gene mutations were NRAS, KIT (21.43%, n =3), KRAS (14.29%, n =2). In the group with intermediate prognosis (n =64), the gene mutation frequencies from high to low were DNMT3A (18.75%, n =12), NPM1 (17.19%, n =11), IDH2, FLT3-ITD, CEBPA (12.50%, n =8), TET2 (10.94%, n =7). In the poor prognosis group (n =14), ASXL1, TP53, EZH2, NRAS had higher gene mutation frequency than others(14.29 %, n =2 ). Statistical analysis revealed that KIT had a relative hotspot of mutations in the intermediate-risk group, and DNMT3A had a relative hotspot of mutations in the high-risk group (P < 0.05). The correlation analysis of genes with high mutation rates in different prognostic groups, such as NRAS, KIT, IDH2, DNMT3A, NPM1, and FLT3-ITD, with prognosis found that KIT was a factor affecting OS (P < 0.05), while no significant differences were observed for the others(P >0.05).
CONCLUSION
The frequency of gene mutations is high in AML patients, 67.4% of the patients carried at least one gene mutation. The mutation frequency varies among different genes in patients with different karyotypes, and there are obvious dominant mutations. KIT and DNMT3A can be used as factors for evaluating the prognosis of AML.
Humans
;
Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/genetics*
;
Nucleophosmin
;
Mutation
;
Prognosis
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Male
;
Female
;
High-Throughput Nucleotide Sequencing
;
Middle Aged
;
DNA Methyltransferase 3A
;
Adult
;
Aged
;
Survival Analysis
;
Proto-Oncogene Proteins c-kit/genetics*
3.Changes in Esophageal Cancer Survival: A Global Review of Survival Analysis from Cancer Registration Data over the Past Three Decades.
Zhuo Jun YE ; Dan Ni YANG ; Yu JIANG ; Yu Xuan XIAO ; Zhuo Ying LI ; Yu Ting TAN ; Hui Yun YUAN ; Yong Bing XIANG
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(5):571-584
OBJECTIVE:
To describe survival trends and global patterns of esophageal cancer (EC) using survival data from population-based cancer registries.
METHODS:
We systematically searched PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, SEER, and SinoMed databases for articles published up to 31 December 2023. Eligible EC survival estimates were evaluated according to country or region, period, sex, age group, pathology, and disease stage.
RESULTS:
After 2010, Jordan exhibited the highest age-standardized 5-year relative survival rates (RSRs)/net survival rates (NSRs) at 41.1% between 2010 and 2014, while India had the lowest, at 4.1%. Survival rates generally improved with diagnostic age across most countries, with significant increases in South Korea and China, of 12.7% and 10.5% between 2000 and 2017, respectively. Survival was higher among women compared to men, ranging from 0.4%-10.9%. Survival rates for adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma were similar, differing by about 4%. In China, the highest age-standardized RSRs/NSRs was 33.4% between 2015 and 2017. Meanwhile, the lowest was 5.3%, in Qidong (Jiangsu province) between 1992-1996.
CONCLUSION
Global EC survival rates have improved significantly in recent decades, but substantial geographical, sex, and age disparities still exist. In Asia, squamous cell carcinoma demonstrated superior survival rates compared to adenocarcinoma, while the opposite trend was observed in Western countries. Future research should clarify the prognostic factors influencing EC survival and tailor prevention and screening strategies to the changing EC survival patterns.
Humans
;
Esophageal Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Registries
;
Male
;
Female
;
Survival Analysis
;
Middle Aged
;
Survival Rate
;
Aged
;
Global Health
4.Survival analysis of patients with severe acute malnutrition admitted at the in-patient therapeutic care of the Bicol Regional Training and Teaching Hospital
Arlene Pabustan-Calleja ; Vincent B. Aguilar ; Ma. Leonor Castillo-Reyes
Acta Medica Philippina 2024;58(3):5-14
Background:
Severe acute malnutrition (SAM) in children under five years remains a major global health concern. It carries a burden to the overall health of a child, contributes to mortality, and adds financial strain to the family and the hospital. The Philippine Integrated Management of Acute Malnutrition was established to address acute malnutrition in Filipino children.
Objective:
This study aimed to determine the factors affecting survival of patients admitted at Bicol Regional Training and Teaching Hospital (BRTTH) In-patient Therapeutic Care (ITC).
Methods:
This is a retrospective cohort study design utilizing survival analysis. Accrual period was from January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2018. Follow-up ended on March 31, 2019. There were 154 admissions and excluded 17 missing charts. Survival analysis was done utilizing STATA 14.
Results:
The prevalence of SAM requiring ITC admission was 3.0 percent. Majority belonged to 6-59 months of age (63%), with equal predilection for both sexes (1:1) and 71% came from the home province, Albay. Most of patients’ caretakers had middle educational attainment. Sixty-eight percent (68%) were new patients, 16% readmitted, 15% transferred from the Out-patient Therapeutic Care (OTC) and <1% relapsed. The top three most common complications and co-morbidities include: pneumonia, low electrolytes, and fever. Sixty-three percent (63%) of patients at the ITC had a desirable treatment outcome, of which, 8% were cured and 55% transferred to OTC. Undesirable outcomes accounted for 37% of the cases which included non-cured, defaulter, and died at 12%, 8%, and 17%, respectively. The risk of dying was higher in SAM patients with parents having middle and low educational attainment as compared to those with high educational attainment (2-5 folds to 100-200 folds). SAM patients presenting with hypovolemic shock were likely to die by 1.5-19 times (1.5-19x) as compared to those without. SAM patients with malignancy were more likely to die 4-44 folds as compared to patients without malignancy.
Conclusion and Recommendations
Educational attainment of parents, malignancy, and hypovolemic shock were significant predictors of mortality. We recommend prompt intervention by educating families, strengthen policies targeting socio-economic determinants, capacitate medical staff, refine current clinical practice guidelines and treatment pathways to reduce the number of children who die from severe acute malnutrition.
Severe Acute Malnutrition
;
Survival Analysis
5.Impact of type 2 diabetes mellitus on the prognosis of patients with oral squamous cell carcinoma.
Yaqing MAO ; Zhen CHEN ; Yao YU ; Wenbo ZHANG ; Yang LIU ; Xin PENG
Journal of Peking University(Health Sciences) 2024;56(6):1089-1096
OBJECTIVE:
To analyze the influence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) on the prognosis of oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) patients with surgical treatment.
METHODS:
The clinical data of 309 patients, who were diagnosed with OSCC and admitted to the same ward of Peking University Hospital of Stomatology from January 2014 to December 2017 were retrospectively reviewed, of whom, 104 were classified into DM group and 205 into non-DM group. The basic clinical data and follow-up results of the patients were analyzed and compared. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to reduce confounding bias between the DM group and the non-DM group. Kaplan-Meier was used to calculate the survival rate of the two groups. Proportional hazards model was used to analyze the independent prognostic factors. The effect of glucose level on survival was analyzed.
RESULTS:
After PSM, 77 patients in each group were matched and the variables were balanced. There were statistically significant differences in postoperative oral dysplasia and local recurrence between the two groups (P < 0.05). There was no significant difference in survival analysis between the two groups, but the survival rate of the DM group had the tendency to be lower than that of the non-DM group after matching. Univariate analysis and multiva-riate analysis both revealed that the tumor stage was an independent factor influencing the overall survival rate and tumor-specific survival rate of the OSCC patients (P < 0.05), while diabetes had no significant influence on the survival of the OSCC patients (P>0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that tumor stage, triglyceride level, preoperative mean capillary fasting blood glucose, postoperative mean postprandial blood glucose were indepen-dent prognostic factors for overall survival in the DM group. Tumor stage and mean postoperative postprandial blood glucose were independent prognostic factors for tumor-specific survival in the DM group. The risk of postoperative complications and distant metastasis in the DM group with poor glycemic control was higher than that in the good glycemic controls.
CONCLUSION
There is no significant difference in overall survival and tumor-specific survival of the patients with or without DM. However, the possibility of mucosal dysplasia or local recurrence in the DM group is higher than that in the non-DM group. The tumor stage, triglyceride level and glycemic control of the patients with DM may affect their prognosis.
Humans
;
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/complications*
;
Mouth Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Prognosis
;
Carcinoma, Squamous Cell/mortality*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Survival Rate
;
Neoplasm Recurrence, Local
;
Propensity Score
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Blood Glucose/analysis*
;
Middle Aged
;
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
6.Parameter estimation using time-dependent Weibull proportional hazards model for survival analysis with partly interval censored data.
Shuying WANG ; Xinyu LIU ; Rundong LI ; Yang LI
Journal of Southern Medical University 2024;44(12):2461-2468
OBJECTIVE: To assess the validity and effectiveness of parameter estimation using a time-dependent Weibull proportional hazards model for survival analysis containing partly interval censored data and explore the impact of different covariates on the results of analysis. METHODS: We established a time-dependent Weibull proportional hazards model using the Weibull distribution as the baseline hazard function of the model which incorporated time-varying covariates. Maximum likelihood estimation was employed to estimate the model parameters, which were obtained by optimization of the likelihood function. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: Numerical simulation results showed that with higher proportions of precise observations across different sample sizes and parameter settings, the proposed model resulted in improved accuracy of parameter estimation with coverage probabilities approximating the theoretical expectation of 95%. As the sample sizes increased, the parameter biases of the model tended to decrease. Experiments with empirical data further validated the effectiveness of the model. Compared with the failure time data for each precisely observed individual, additional interval-censored data helped to obtain more effective estimates of the regression parameters. Comparison with the Cox model that included time-varying covariates further demonstrated the effectiveness of the time-dependent Weibull proportional hazards model for parameter estimation in survival analysis with partly interval censored data.
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Survival Analysis
;
Likelihood Functions
;
Humans
;
Computer Simulation
;
Time Factors
7.Clinical Characteristics and Survival Analysis of Carbapenem-Resistant Pseudomonas Aeruginosa Colonized or Infected Patients with Hematological Disorders.
Ying-Ying SHEN ; Yue-Chao ZHAO ; Bo WANG ; Di-Jiong WU ; Qiu-Shuang LI ; Yi-Ping SHEN ; Jian-Ping SHEN ; Jun-Min CAO ; Sheng-Yun LIN ; Bao-Dong YE
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2023;31(4):1192-1198
OBJECTIVE:
To observe the clinical characteristics and impact on mortality of carbapenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa (CRPA) colonized or infected patients with hematological disorders in order to provide evidence for the prevention and treatment of CRPA.
METHODS:
The patients who were colonized or infected with CRPA in the Department of Hematology of The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang Chinese Medical University from January 2020 to March 2021 were selected as the research subjects, the clinical data such as hospitalization time, primary disease treatment regimen, granulocyte count, previous infection and antibiotic regimen of these patients were analyzed, meanwhile, antibiotic regimen and efficacy during CRPA infection, 30-day and long-term survival were also analyzed.
RESULTS:
A total of 59 patients were included in this study, and divided into CRPA infection group (43 cases) and CRPA colonization group (16 cases). Univariate logistic regression analysis showed that ECOG score (P =0.003), agranulocytosis (P <0.001), and exposure to upper than 3rd generations of cephalosporins and tigecycline within 30 days (P =0.035, P =0.017) were the high-risk factors for CRPA infection. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that ECOG score of 3/4 ( OR=10.815, 95%CI: 1.260-92.820, P =0.030) and agranulocytosis ( OR=13.82, 95%CI: 2.243-85.176, P =0.005) were independent risk factors for CRPA infection. There was a statistically significant difference in cumulative survival rate between CRPA colonization group and CRPA infection group ( χ2=14.134, P < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the influencing factors of 30-day survival in patients with CRPA infection were agranulocytosis (P =0.022), soft tissue infection (P =0.03), and time of hospitalization before CRPA infection (P =0.041). Cox regression analysis showed that agranulocytosis was an independent risk factor affecting 30-day survival of patients with CRPA infection (HR=3.229, 95%CI :1.093-3.548, P =0.034).
CONCLUSIONS
Patients with hematological disorders have high mortality and poor prognosis after CRPA infection. Bloodstream infection and soft tissue infection are the main causes of death. Patients with high suspicion of CRPA infection and high-risk should be treated as soon as possible.
Humans
;
Carbapenems/therapeutic use*
;
Pseudomonas aeruginosa
;
Soft Tissue Infections/drug therapy*
;
Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use*
;
Hematologic Diseases
;
Survival Analysis
8.18F-FDG PET/CT Metabolic Parameters and Circulating Tumour DNA Mutation Abundance in Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma: Correlation and Survival Analysis.
Hai-Qing XU ; Lie-Jing SONG ; Chong-Yang DING
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2023;31(6):1690-1700
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the correlation between 18Fluoro-deoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (18F-FDG PET/CT) metabolic parameters and peripheral blood circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) in patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), and the prognostic value of these two types of parameters in predicting progression-free survival (PFS).
METHODS:
Clinical, PET/CT and ctDNA data of DLBCL patients who underwent peripheral blood ctDNA testing and corresponding PET/CT scans during the same period were retrospectively analyzed. At the time of ctDNA sampling and PET scan, patients were divided into baseline and relapsed/refractory (R/R) groups according to different disease conditions. CtDNA mutation abundance was expressed as variant allele frequency (VAF), including maximum VAF (maxVAF) and mean VAF (meanVAF). Total metabolic tumour volume (TMTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) were obtained by the 41% maximum normalized uptake value method, and the distance between the two farthest lesions (Dmax) was used to assess the correlation between PET parameters and ctDNA mutation abundance using Spearman correlation analysis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to obtain the optical cut-off values of those parameters in predicting PFS in the baseline and R/R groups, respectively. Survival curves were outlined using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test was performed to compare survival differences.
RESULTS:
A total of 67 DLBCL patients [28 males and 39 females, median age 56.0(46.0, 67.0) years] were included and divided into baseline group (29 cases) and R/R group (38 cases). Among these PET parameters, baseline TMTV, TLG, and Dmax were significantly correlated with baseline ctDNA mutation abundance, except for maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) (maxVAF vs TMTV: r=0.711; maxVAF vs TLG: r=0.709; maxVAF vs Dmax: r=0.672; meanVAF vs TMTV: r=0.682; meanVAF vs TLG: r=0.677; meanVAF vs Dmax: r=0.646). While in all patients, these correlations became weaker significantly. Among R/R patients, only TMTV had a weak correlation with meanVAF (r=0.376). ROC analysis showed that, the specificity of TMTV, TLG and Dmax in predicting PFS was better than mutation abundance, while the sensitivity of ctDNA mutation abundance was better. Except R/R patients, TMTV, TLG, Dmax, and VAF were significantly different at normal/elevated lactate dehydrogenase in baseline group and all patients (all P<0.05). Survival curves indicated that high TMTV (>109.5 cm3), high TLG (>2 141.3), high Dmax (>33.1 cm) and high VAF (maxVAF>7.74%, meanVAF>4.39%) were risk factors for poor PFS in baseline patients, while only high VAF in R/R patients (both maxVAF and meanVAF >0.61%) was a risk factor for PFS.
CONCLUSION
PET-derived parameters correlate well with ctDNA mutation abundance, especially in baseline patients. VAF of ctDNA predicts PFS more sensitively than PET metabolic parameters, while PET metabolic tumour burden with better specificity. TMTV, TLG and VAF all have good prognostic value for PFS. PET/CT combined with ctDNA has potential for further studies in prognostic assessment and personalized treatment.
Male
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Middle Aged
;
Positron Emission Tomography Computed Tomography
;
Fluorodeoxyglucose F18
;
Circulating Tumor DNA/genetics*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Positron-Emission Tomography
;
Survival Analysis
;
Lymphoma, Large B-Cell, Diffuse/metabolism*
;
Prognosis
9.Comparison of prediction ability of two extended Cox models in nonlinear survival data analysis.
Yu Xuan CHEN ; Hong Xia WEI ; Jian Hong PAN ; Sheng Li AN
Journal of Southern Medical University 2023;43(1):76-84
OBJECTIVE:
To compare the predictive ability of two extended Cox models in nonlinear survival data analysis.
METHODS:
Through Monte Carlo simulation and empirical study and with the conventional Cox Proportional Hazards model and Random Survival Forests as the reference models, we compared restricted cubic spline Cox model (Cox_RCS) and DeepSurv neural network Cox model (Cox_DNN) for their prediction ability in nonlinear survival data analysis. Concordance index was used to evaluate the differentiation of the prediction results (a larger concordance index indicates a better prediction ability of the model). Integrated Brier Score was used to evaluate the calibration degree of the prediction (a smaller index indicates a better prediction ability).
RESULTS:
For data that met requirement of the proportion risk, the Cox_RCS model had the best prediction ability regardless of the sample size or deletion rate. For data that failed to meet the proportion risk, the prediction ability of Cox_DNN was optimal for a large sample size (≥500) with a low deletion (< 40%); the prediction ability of Cox_RCS was superior to those of other models in all other scenarios. For example data, the Cox_RCS model showed the best performance.
CONCLUSION
In analysis of nonlinear low maintenance data, Cox_RCS and Cox_DNN have their respective advantages and disadvantages in prediction. The conventional survival analysis methods are not inferior to machine learning or deep learning methods under certain conditions.
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Survival Analysis
;
Calibration
;
Computer Simulation
;
Data Analysis
10.Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation in acute leukemia patients with the SET-NUP214 fusion gene: Efficacy and survival analysis.
Jing XIA ; Ye ZHAO ; Feng CHEN ; Miao MIAO ; Hui Ying QIU ; Xiao MA ; Xiao Wen TANG ; Ying WANG ; Xiao Jin WU ; Zheng Zheng FU ; De Pei WU ; Su Ning CHEN
Chinese Journal of Internal Medicine 2023;62(4):410-415
Objective: To investigate the clinical efficacy of allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) for patients with acute leukemia who are positive for the SET-NUP214 fusion gene (SET-NUP214+AL). Methods: This was a retrospective case series study. Clinical data of 18 patients with SET-NUP214+AL who received allo-HSCT in the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University and Soochow Hongci Hematology Hospital from December 2014 to October 2021 were retrospectively analyzed to investigate treatment efficacy and prognosis. The Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis. Results: Of the 18 patients, 12 were male and 6 were female, and the median age was 29 years (range, 13-55 years). There were six cases of mixed phenotype acute leukemia (three cases of myeloid/T, two cases of B/T, one case of myeloid/B/T), nine cases of acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) (one case of B-ALL and eight cases of T-ALL), and three cases of acute myeloid leukemia. All patients received induction chemotherapy after diagnosis, and 17 patients achieved complete remission (CR) after chemotherapy. All patients subsequently received allo-HSCT. Pre-transplantation status: 15 patients were in the first CR, 1 patient was in the second CR, 1 was in partial remission, and 1 patient did not reach CR. All patients were successfully implanted with stem cells. The median time of granulocyte and platelet reconstitution was +12 and +13 days, respectively. With a median follow-up of 23 (4-80) months, 15 patients survived, while 3 patients died. The cause of death was recurrence of SET-NUP214+AL after transplantation. After allo-HSCT, 5 patients relapsed. The estimated 3-year overall survival (OS) and relapse-free survival (RFS) rates were 83.3%±15.2% and 55.4%±20.7%, respectively. Among the 15 patients who achieved CR before transplantation, there was no significant difference in OS and RFS between haploidentical HSCT and matched sibling donor HSCT (all P>0.05). Conclusions: Allo-HSCT can improve the prognosis and long-term survival rate of patients with SET-NUP214+AL. Disease recurrence is the most important factor affecting long-term survival.
Male
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation/methods*
;
Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/therapy*
;
Survival Analysis
;
Remission Induction
;
Acute Disease
;
Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/therapy*
;
Recurrence
;
Nuclear Pore Complex Proteins


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