1.Analysis of mortality trend of cancer from 1980 to 2002 in Linqu County Shandong Province.
Jun-Ling MA ; Wei-Dong LIU ; Lian ZHANG ; Guo-Shuang FENG ; Hong-Jun ZHAO ; Wei-Cheng YOU
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2006;40(6):405-408
OBJECTIVETo investigate the trend of total cancer mortality in Linqu County Shandong Province from 1980 to 2002.
METHODSA retrospective survey on all causes of death in 1980 - 1982, 1990 - 1992 and 2000 - 2002 was conducted in Linqu County, a high risk area of gastric cancer in Northeast of China, respectively.
RESULTSThe cancer death, was found the third leading cause of death in 1980 - 1982 in Linqu County, and the second to that of vascular disease in 2000 - 2002. The cancer mortality (standardized mortality) was 108.97/100,000 (111.48/100,000), 132.38/100,000 (127.94/100,000) and 148.48/100,000 (105.53/100,000) in 1980 - 1982, 1990 - 1992 and 2000 - 2002, respectively. The trend of cancer mortality was significantly increased (Z = 13.42, P < 0.0001). The added cancer-eliminated life expectancy in three periods was 2.46 years, 3.29 years and 3.76 years in male (F = 13.99, P < 0.0001), and 1.67 years, 2.30 and 2.33 years in female (F = 13.61, P < 0.0001), respectively. The standardized mortality of gastric cancer (percentage in all cancer death) was 44.93/100,000 (40.29%), 41.37/100,000 (32.34%) and 27.73/100,000 (26.90%) in 1980 - 1982, 1990 - 1992 and 2000 - 2002, respectively. The trend of gastric cancer standardized mortality was significantly reduced (Z = 6.35, P < 0.01).
CONCLUSIONThe mortality of cancer in Linqu County has been increased from 1980 to 2002, but no such trend was found after adjusting ages. However, there was a decreased trend on standardized mortality of gastric cancer in the past 20 years.
China ; epidemiology ; Female ; Humans ; Male ; Mortality ; trends ; Neoplasms ; epidemiology ; mortality ; Retrospective Studies ; Stomach Neoplasms ; epidemiology ; mortality ; Survival Rate
2.The trends on the mortality for esophagus and stomach cancers in Linzhou city from 1988 to 2003.
Xi-Bin SUN ; Shi-Yong LIAN ; Zhi-Cai LIU ; Shu-Zheng LIU ; Bian-Yun LI ; Pei-Liang QUAN ; Jian-Bang LU
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2007;41 Suppl():66-69
OBJECTIVEUsing the data on death for esophagus and stomach cancers in Linzhou cancer registration system, the mortality was described as well as the changing trend was analyzed.
METHODS18 240 death recorders for the both cancers during 1988 to 2003 were drawn from Linzhou cancer registration system. Of which, 10138 cases were esophageal cancer and 8102 cases were gastric cancer. Then data were stratified by sex, age, year and then linked to demographic classifications. The mortalities of two topographic site cancers were calculated and the age-adjusted rates were calculated by direct standardization to the world population. The Joinpoint model was used to get the estimated annual percent change (EAPC) of the age-adjusted rates, so to estimate the death rate change trends of both cancers in population of Linzhou city.
RESULTSIn 2003, the age-adjusted mortalities of esophageal cancer and gastric cancer were 68.47 per 100,000 and 57.01 per 100,000 respectively of Linzhou city. From 1988 to 2003 the death rates for both of cancers had showed the decline trends. The EAPC of the mortality for esophageal cancer was -3.82 (-4.81 - -2.82, P < 0.001) and that for gastric cancer was -2.95 (-4.16 - -1.73, P < 0.001) respectively.
CONCLUSIONThe declining trend in was observed the mortality of esophageal and gastric cancer in Linzhou by this study.
China ; epidemiology ; Esophageal Neoplasms ; mortality ; Female ; Humans ; Male ; Mortality ; trends ; Stomach Neoplasms ; mortality
3.Trend analysis of cancer mortality in China between 1989 and 2008.
Hong-mei ZENG ; Rong-shou ZHENG ; Si-wei ZHANG ; Ping ZHAO ; Jie HE ; Wan-qing CHEN
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2012;34(7):525-531
OBJECTIVECancer is one of the leading causes of death in China. The study aimed to examine the temporal trend of cancer mortality rate during 1989-2008 in urban and rural areas of China.
METHODSThe mortality data of all cancers from 1989 to 2008 from National Cancer Registry database were sorted and checked. Age standardized mortality rates were calculated by the direct methods using the China population of 1982 and World Segi's population. Joinpoint regression was performed to obtain the annual percentage changes (APC) in mortality rates. The top ten cancer sites were calculated and analyzed. The mortality rates were compared with statistics of the United States.
RESULTSFrom 1989 to 2008, the trend of crude cancer mortality increased with an annual percentage change (APC) of 1.0%. After age standardization, the mortality rate was significantly decreased, with an APC of -1.2%. In urban areas, lung cancer was the most common cancer of death, whereas in rural areas, stomach cancer and esophageal cancer remained top cancers of death. Especially, in both urban and rural areas, the mortality of lung cancer was on increase. The mortality rates of stomach and esophageal cancers showed a decrease in urban areas. Compared with the cancer mortality rates of the United States, the Chinese cancer mortality rate in males remained highest. The decreasing trend of cancer mortality in females of China was less obvious than that of the United States.
CONCLUSIONSThe crude mortality rates of cancer in China show an increase whereas the age standardized mortality raters has declined between 1989 and 2008. Cancer is still a major public health issue threatening people's life in China. Effective intervention for cancer control and prevention is needed in the future.
China ; epidemiology ; Esophageal Neoplasms ; mortality ; Female ; Humans ; Lung Neoplasms ; mortality ; Male ; Mortality ; trends ; Neoplasms ; mortality ; Registries ; Rural Population ; Sex Factors ; Stomach Neoplasms ; mortality ; United States ; epidemiology ; Urban Population
4.Estimation of Cancer Deaths in Korea for the Upcoming Years.
Jong Myon BAE ; Kyu Won JUNG ; Young Joo WON
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2002;17(5):611-615
Since the cancer has been the leading cause of deaths in Korea, estimation of the cancer deaths for the upcoming years in the population using the vital statistics is considered to be necessary. The aim of this study was to estimate the number and trends of cancer deaths in Korea. The expected numbers of cancer deaths were calculated by a time series model fitting the actual numbers of cancer deaths for each of the years 1983 through 2000 reported by Korea National Statistical Office. The options selected for the time series model included a quadratic time trend, which incorporated long-term information into the model and an autoregressive component which incorporated information about short-term fluctuations. The forecasting numbers of cancer deaths and their 95% confidence intervals were estimated for both genders and primary sites. The forecasting number of deaths from all cancers is increasing so that the cumulative number of expected cancer deaths between 2001 and 2005 would be about 309 thousand persons. Cancers of the lung, stomach, liver, and colorectum continue to be the most common causes of cancer deaths. While the numbers of expected cancer deaths in the stomach and liver show a decreasing trend, the cancer in the lung, colorectum, pancreas, breast, and oral cavity have an increasing trend. These observations indicate that cancer deaths in the near future would be increasing through the early 2000s, and there should be some urgent government's policy on the cancer management.
Colorectal Neoplasms/mortality
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Female
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Forecasting
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Humans
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Korea/epidemiology
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Liver Neoplasms/mortality
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Lung Neoplasms/mortality
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Male
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Models, Statistical
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Neoplasms/*mortality
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Stomach Neoplasms/mortality
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Time Factors
5.An application of correspondence analysis method in the study of disease etiology.
Bao-Hong LI ; Shi-Fu DONG ; Zhen-Qiu SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2007;28(9):914-917
OBJECTIVETo explore the application value of correspondence analysis in ecological study.
METHODSWe adopted correspondence analysis method to analyze the relationship between the amount of food intake in some cities in China and the male gastric carcinoma mortality.
RESULTSAccording to scatter plots of row and column points, there were regional differences among the male gastric carcinoma mortality in different cities of China.
CONCLUSIONThe scatter plot of row and column points indicated directly that there were regional differences among the male gastric carcinoma mortality in different cities of China. Males from the Southern part of the country ate more rice and salt, less wheaten food and fewer light vegetables than those from the northern parts, suggesting that there might be some carcinogenic factors in some food stuff involved.
Carcinoma ; etiology ; mortality ; China ; epidemiology ; Diet Surveys ; Humans ; Male ; Stomach Neoplasms ; etiology ; mortality
6.Estimation of the Burden of Major Cancers in Korea.
Seok Jun YOON ; Heeyoung LEE ; Youngsoo SHIN ; Yong Ik KIM ; Chang Yup KIM ; Hyejung CHANG
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2002;17(5):604-610
We estimated the burden of diseases in Korea especially caused by major cancers using DALY (disability adjusted life year) measurement. Firstly, the burden of disease due to premature death was estimated by using YLLs (years life lost due to premature death) measurement developed by the global burden of disease study group. Secondly, for the calculation of the YLD (years lived with disability), the following parameters were estimated in the formula; incidence rate, case fatality rate and disability weight of major cancers. Thirdly, we estimated DALY of major cancers by adding YLLs and YLDs. The burden of major cancers for male per 100,000 population was attributed mainly to liver cancer (528.8 person-year), stomach cancer (451.4 person-year), and lung cancer (374.9 person-year). The burden of major cancers for female per 100,000 population was attributed mainly to liver cancer (140.0 person-year), stomach cancer (259.7 person-year), and lung cancer (125.2 person-year). Each of these cancers was responsible for the loss of over 100 person-year per 100,000 population based on our DALY measurement. We found the DALY method employed was appropriate to quantify the burden of disease. Thereby, it would provide a rational bases to plan a national health policy regarding the burden of disease caused by major cancers in Korea.
Adult
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Aged
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Female
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Health Policy
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Humans
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Korea/epidemiology
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Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology/mortality
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Lung Neoplasms/epidemiology/mortality
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Male
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Middle Aged
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Neoplasms/*epidemiology/mortality
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Quality-Adjusted Life Years
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Stomach Neoplasms/epidemiology/mortality
7.An age-period-cohort analysis of mortality rates for stomach, colorectal, liver, and lung cancer among prefectures in Japan, 1999-2018.
Environmental Health and Preventive Medicine 2020;25(1):80-80
BACKGROUND:
Although change in the birth cohort effect on cancer mortality rates is known to be highly associated with the decreasing rates of age-standardized cancer mortality rates in Japan, the differences in the trends of cohort effect for representative cancer types among the prefectures remain unknown. This study aimed to investigate the differences in the decreasing rate of cohort effects among the prefectures for representative cancer types using age-period-cohort (APC) analysis.
METHODS:
Data on stomach, colorectal, liver, and lung cancer mortality for each prefecture and the population data from 1999 to 2018 were obtained from the Vital Statistics in Japan. Mortality data for individuals aged 50 to 79 years grouped in 5-year increments were used, and corresponding birth cohorts born 1920-1924 through 1964-1978 were used for analysis. We estimated the effects of age, period, and cohort on each type of mortality rate for each prefecture by sex. Then, we calculated the decreasing rates of cohort effects for each prefecture. We also calculated the mortality rate ratio of each prefecture compared with all of Japan for cohorts using the estimates.
RESULTS:
As a result of APC analysis, we found that the decreasing rates of period effects were small and that there was a little difference in the decreasing rates among prefectures for all types of cancer among both sexes. On the other hand, there was a large difference in the decreasing rates of cohort effects for stomach and liver cancer mortality rates among prefectures, particularly for men. For men, the decreasing rates of cohort effects in cohorts born between 1920-1924 and 1964-1978 varied among prefectures, ranging from 4.1 to 84.0% for stomach cancer and from 20.2 to 92.4% for liver cancers, respectively. On the other hand, the differences in the decreasing rates of cohort effects among prefectures for colorectal and lung cancer were relatively smaller.
CONCLUSIONS
The decreasing rates of cohort effects for stomach and liver cancer varied widely among prefectures. It is possible that this will influence cancer mortality rates in each prefecture in the future.
Aged
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Cohort Studies
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Colorectal Neoplasms/mortality*
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Female
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Humans
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Japan/epidemiology*
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Liver Neoplasms/mortality*
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Lung Neoplasms/mortality*
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Male
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Middle Aged
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Risk Factors
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Stomach Neoplasms/mortality*
8.Cancer burden in the Jinchang cohort.
Yana BAI ; Hongmei QU ; Hongquan PU ; Min DAI ; Ning CHENG ; Haiyan LI ; Sheng CHANG ; Juansheng LI ; Feng KANG ; Xiaobin HU ; Xiaowei REN ; Jie HE
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2016;37(3):306-310
OBJECTIVETo understand the disease burden caused by cancers in Jinchang cohort, and develop effective strategies for cancer prevention and control in this population.
METHODSThe cancer mortality data from 2001 to 2013 and the medical records for cancer patients from 2001 to 2010 in Jinchang cohort were collected. The disease burden caused by cancer was analyzed by using mortality rate, potential years of life lost (PYLL), working PYLL (WPYLL), and direct economic burden.
RESULTSDuring 2001-2013, in Jinchang cohort, the five leading cancers ranked by mortality rate were lung cancer (78.06/100,000), gastric cancer (38.03/100,000), liver cancer (37.23/100,000), esophageal cancer (19.06/100,000), and colorectal cancer (9.53/100,000). The five leading cancers in terms of PYLL (person-years) and WPYLL (person-years) were lung cancer (3480.33, 1161.00), liver cancer (2809.03, 1475.00), gastric cancer (2120.54, 844.00), esophageal cancer (949.61, 315.00), and colorectal cancer (539.90, 246.00). From 2001 to 2010, the five leading cancers in term of average daily cost of hospitalization were gastric cancer (8,102.23 Yuan), esophageal cancer (7135.79 Yuan), colorectal cancer (7064.38 Yuan), breast cancer (6723.53 Yuan), and lung cancer (6309.39 Yuan).
CONCLUSIONSThe cancers common causing higher disease burden in Jinchang cohort were lung cancer, gastric cancer, liver cancer, esophageal cancer and colorectal cancer. The lung cancer disease burden was the highest.
Breast Neoplasms ; economics ; mortality ; China ; epidemiology ; Cohort Studies ; Colorectal Neoplasms ; economics ; mortality ; Cost of Illness ; Esophageal Neoplasms ; economics ; mortality ; Female ; Hospitalization ; economics ; Humans ; Liver Neoplasms ; economics ; mortality ; Lung Neoplasms ; economics ; mortality ; Male ; Neoplasms ; economics ; mortality ; Stomach Neoplasms ; economics ; mortality
9.Estimation of cancer incidence and mortality in China in 2004-2005.
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2009;31(9):664-668
OBJECTIVETo estimate the cancer incidence and mortality in China in 2004 - 2005 based on available resources.
METHODSThe cancer mortality and incidence ratios were obtained on the basis of national cancer registration database in 2003 and 2004 adjusted by age and area. The crude cancer mortalities were retrieved from the database of the third national death survey 2004-2005. Incidence rates of specified cancer types were calculated using mortality and M/I ratios.
RESULTSThe total estimated cancer incidence and mortality per year in 2004 - 2005 were 2 596 112 new cases and 1 798 147 deaths, both were higher in males than in females. There were 1 337 227 new cases and 841 860 deaths in urban areas compared with 1 258 885 new cases and 956 287 deaths in rural areas. Cancers of the lung, stomach, liver, esophagus and colorectum/anus were the commonest cancers in China with 483 040, 428 380, 370 236, 236 589 and 197 873 new cases, respectively. Those five cancers were leading causes of cancer death with a number of 420 411, 339 308, 318 756, 190 233 and 101 684, respectively.
CONCLUSIONCancer burden in China is getting more and more serious. It is imperative to enhance effective cancer prevention and control in China.
Adolescent ; Adult ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Child ; Child, Preschool ; China ; epidemiology ; Colorectal Neoplasms ; epidemiology ; mortality ; Esophageal Neoplasms ; epidemiology ; mortality ; Female ; Humans ; Incidence ; Infant ; Liver Neoplasms ; epidemiology ; mortality ; Lung Neoplasms ; epidemiology ; mortality ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Neoplasms ; epidemiology ; mortality ; Poisson Distribution ; Retrospective Studies ; Rural Population ; Sampling Studies ; Sex Factors ; Stomach Neoplasms ; epidemiology ; mortality ; Urban Population ; Young Adult
10.Cancer Morbidity of Foundry Workers in Korea.
Yeon Soon AHN ; Jong Uk WON ; Robert M PARK
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2010;25(12):1733-1741
Foundry workers are potentially exposed to a number of carcinogens. This study was conducted to describe the cancer incidence associated with employment in small-sized Korean iron foundries and to compare those findings to the Korean population. Cancer morbidity in 208 Korean foundries was analyzed using the Standardized Incidence Ratio (SIR) and Standardized Rate Ratio (SRR). Overall cancer morbidity in foundry workers (SIR=1.11, 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.01-1.21) was significantly higher than that of Korean general population. Lung cancer (SIR=1.45, 95%CI=1.11-1.87) and lymphohematopoietcic cancer (SIR=1.58, 95%CI=1.00-2.37) in production workers were significantly high compared to Korean general population. Stomach cancer in fettling (SRR=2.10, 95%CI=1.10-4.01) and lung cancer in molding (SRR=3.06, 95%CI=1.22-7.64) and in fettling (SRR=2.63, 95%CI=1.01-6.84) were there significant elevations compared to office workers. In this study, statistically significant excess lung cancer was observed in production workers comparing to Korean general population and office workers. Also, cancer morbidity of overall cancer, lung cancer and stomach cancer was significantly increased with duration of employment at ten and more years comparing to Korean general population. These findings suggest in causal association between exposure to carcinogens during foundry work and cancer morbidity.
Adult
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Aged
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Carcinogens/toxicity
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Cohort Studies
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Female
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Humans
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Iron/toxicity
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Lung Neoplasms/epidemiology/mortality
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Male
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Middle Aged
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Morbidity
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Neoplasms/*epidemiology/mortality
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Occupational Diseases/*epidemiology
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Occupational Exposure
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Republic of Korea
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Stomach Neoplasms/epidemiology/mortality