1.External Validation of the Long Short-Term Memory Artificial Neural Network-Based SCaP Survival Calculator for Prediction of Prostate Cancer Survival
Bumjin LIM ; Kwang Suk LEE ; Young Hwa LEE ; Suah KIM ; Choongki MIN ; Ju-Young PARK ; Hye Sun LEE ; Jin Seon CHO ; Sun Il KIM ; Byung Ha CHUNG ; Choung-Soo KIM ; Kyo Chul KOO
Cancer Research and Treatment 2021;53(2):558-566
Decision-making for treatment of newly diagnosed prostate cancer (PCa) is complex due to the multiple initial treatment modalities available. We aimed to externally validate the SCaP (Severance Study Group of Prostate Cancer) Survival Calculator that incorporates a long short-term memory artificial neural network (ANN) model to estimate survival outcomes of PCa according to initial treatment modality. Materials and Methods The validation cohort consisted of clinicopathological data of 4,415 patients diagnosed with biopsy-proven PCa between April 2005 and November 2018 at three institutions. Area under the curves (AUCs) and time-to-event calibration plots were utilized to determine the predictive accuracies of the SCaP Survival Calculator in terms of progression to castration-resistant PCa (CRPC)–free survival, cancer-specific survival (CSS), and overall survival (OS). Results Excellent discrimination was observed for CRPC-free survival, CSS, and OS outcomes, with AUCs of 0.962, 0.944, and 0.884 for 5-year outcomes and 0.959, 0.928, and 0.854 for 10-year outcomes, respectively. The AUC values were higher for all survival endpoints compared to those of the development cohort. Calibration plots showed that predicted probabilities of 5-year survival endpoints had concordance comparable to those of the observed frequencies. However, calibration performances declined for 10-year predictions with an overall underestimation. Conclusion The SCaP Survival Calculator is a reliable and useful tool for determining the optimal initial treatment modality and for guiding survival predictions for patients with newly diagnosed PCa. Further modifications in the ANN model incorporating cases with more extended follow-up periods are warranted to improve the ANN model for long-term predictions.
2.External Validation of the Long Short-Term Memory Artificial Neural Network-Based SCaP Survival Calculator for Prediction of Prostate Cancer Survival
Bumjin LIM ; Kwang Suk LEE ; Young Hwa LEE ; Suah KIM ; Choongki MIN ; Ju-Young PARK ; Hye Sun LEE ; Jin Seon CHO ; Sun Il KIM ; Byung Ha CHUNG ; Choung-Soo KIM ; Kyo Chul KOO
Cancer Research and Treatment 2021;53(2):558-566
Decision-making for treatment of newly diagnosed prostate cancer (PCa) is complex due to the multiple initial treatment modalities available. We aimed to externally validate the SCaP (Severance Study Group of Prostate Cancer) Survival Calculator that incorporates a long short-term memory artificial neural network (ANN) model to estimate survival outcomes of PCa according to initial treatment modality. Materials and Methods The validation cohort consisted of clinicopathological data of 4,415 patients diagnosed with biopsy-proven PCa between April 2005 and November 2018 at three institutions. Area under the curves (AUCs) and time-to-event calibration plots were utilized to determine the predictive accuracies of the SCaP Survival Calculator in terms of progression to castration-resistant PCa (CRPC)–free survival, cancer-specific survival (CSS), and overall survival (OS). Results Excellent discrimination was observed for CRPC-free survival, CSS, and OS outcomes, with AUCs of 0.962, 0.944, and 0.884 for 5-year outcomes and 0.959, 0.928, and 0.854 for 10-year outcomes, respectively. The AUC values were higher for all survival endpoints compared to those of the development cohort. Calibration plots showed that predicted probabilities of 5-year survival endpoints had concordance comparable to those of the observed frequencies. However, calibration performances declined for 10-year predictions with an overall underestimation. Conclusion The SCaP Survival Calculator is a reliable and useful tool for determining the optimal initial treatment modality and for guiding survival predictions for patients with newly diagnosed PCa. Further modifications in the ANN model incorporating cases with more extended follow-up periods are warranted to improve the ANN model for long-term predictions.
3.Impact of Cerebrovascular Disease on Survival Benefits from Local Treatment in Patients with De Novo Metastatic Hormone-Sensitive Prostate Cancer
Tae Jin KIM ; Young Dong YU ; Dong Soo PARK ; Koon Ho RHA ; Sung Joon HONG ; Kang Su CHO ; Byung Ha CHUNG ; Kyo Chul KOO
Yonsei Medical Journal 2019;60(12):1129-1137
PURPOSE: Local treatment has become a treatment option for patients with de novo metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC). Subgroup analyses based on a history of cerebrovascular disease (CVD) were performed to evaluate the impact thereof on overall survival (OS) after local treatment. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed for 879 patients with de novo mHSPC between August 2003 and November 2016. Patients were stratified according to prior CVD history and the type of initial treatment: androgen-deprivation therapy (ADT) alone versus local treatment consisting of radical prostatectomy (RP) or radiation therapy (RT) with ADT, with or without metastasis-directed therapy. The primary outcome was OS assessed by Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox-regression models. RESULTS: Of 879 patients, 660 (75.1%) men underwent ADT alone, and 219 (24.9%) men underwent RP or RT with ADT, with or without metastasis-directed therapy. The median follow-up was 38 months. Multivariable analysis showed CVD history to be associated with a higher risk of overall mortality (p=0.001). In the overall cohort and in patients without a history of CVD, patients who underwent local treatment exhibited higher OS than men who received ADT alone (all p<0.001). However, the survival benefit conferred by local treatment was not seen in patients with a history of CVD (p=0.324). OS was comparable between patients who received RP and RT (p=0.521). CONCLUSION: Local treatment with or without metastasis-directed therapy may provide OS advantages for mHSPC patients without a history of CVD. Further prospective studies are needed to address these important concerns.
Cerebrovascular Disorders
;
Cohort Studies
;
Follow-Up Studies
;
Humans
;
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
;
Male
;
Mortality
;
Neoplasm Metastasis
;
Prospective Studies
;
Prostate
;
Prostatectomy
;
Prostatic Neoplasms
;
Retrospective Studies
4.Time to Disease Recurrence Is a Predictor of Metastasis and Mortality in Patients with High-risk Prostate Cancer Who Achieved Undetectable Prostate-specific Antigen Following Robot-assisted Radical Prostatectomy.
Do Kyung KIM ; Kyo Chul KOO ; Kwang Suk LEE ; Yoon Soo HAH ; Koon Ho RHA ; Sung Joon HONG ; Byung Ha CHUNG
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2018;33(45):e285-
BACKGROUND: Robot-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP) is a feasible treatment option for high-risk prostate cancer (PCa). While patients may achieve undetectable prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels after RARP, the risk of disease progression is relatively high. We investigated metastasis-free survival, cancer-specific survival (CSS), and overall survival (OS) outcomes and prognosticators in such patients. METHODS: In a single-center cohort of 342 patients with high-risk PCa (clinical stage ≥ T3, biopsy Gleason score ≥ 8, and/or PSA levels ≥ 20 ng/mL) treated with RARP and pelvic lymph node dissection between August 2005 and June 2011, we identified 251 (73.4%) patients (median age, 66.5 years; interquartile range [IQR], 63.0–71.0 years) who achieved undetectable PSA levels (< 0.01 ng/mL) postoperatively. Survival outcomes were evaluated for the entire study sample and in groups stratified according to the time to biochemical recurrence dichotomized at 60 months. RESULTS: During the median follow-up of 75.9 months (IQR, 59.4–85.8 months), metastasis occurred in 38 (15.1%) patients, most often to the bones, followed by the lymph nodes, lungs, and liver. The 5-year metastasis-free, cancer-specific, and OS rates were 87.1%, 94.8%, and 94.3%, respectively. Multivariate Cox-regression analysis revealed time to recurrence as an independent predictor of metastasis (P < 0.001). Time to metastasis was an independent predictor of OS (P = 0.003). Metastasis-free and CSS rates were significantly lower among patients with recurrence within 60 months of RARP (log-rank P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: RARP confers acceptable oncological outcomes for high-risk PCa. Close monitoring beyond 5 years is warranted for early detection of disease progression and for timely adjuvant therapy.
Biopsy
;
Cohort Studies
;
Disease Progression
;
Early Diagnosis
;
Follow-Up Studies
;
Humans
;
Liver
;
Lung
;
Lymph Node Excision
;
Lymph Nodes
;
Mortality*
;
Neoplasm Grading
;
Neoplasm Metastasis*
;
Passive Cutaneous Anaphylaxis
;
Prostate*
;
Prostate-Specific Antigen*
;
Prostatectomy*
;
Prostatic Neoplasms*
;
Recurrence*
5.Could Vitamin E Prevent Contrast-Induced Acute Kidney Injury? A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.
Myung Hyun CHO ; Soo Nyung KIM ; Hye Won PARK ; Sochung CHUNG ; Kyo Sun KIM
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2017;32(9):1468-1473
Several clinical studies have proposed a protective role for vitamin E (α-tocopherol) against contrast-induced acute kidney injury (CIAKI). The aim of study was to assess the effects of vitamin E for the prevention of CIAKI. A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted using MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) reporting the effects of vitamin E on CIAKI development and measurements of renal function were included. Four trials including 623 participants were analyzed in the meta-analysis. All participants received intravenous hydration in addition to vitamin E or placebo. The incidence of the vitamin E group (5.8%) was lower than that of the control group (15.4%). Compared with the control, vitamin E significantly reduced the risk ratio (RR) of CIAKI by 62% (0.38; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.22, 0.63; P < 0.010). In addition, vitamin E reduced serum creatinine (SCr) increase after contrast administration (standardized mean difference [SMD], −0.27; 95% CI, −0.49, −0.06; P = 0.010). However, changes in glomerular filtration rate (GFR) after contrast administration were not significantly different between vitamin E and the control group (SMD, 0.21; 95% CI, −0.01, 0.43; P = 0.060). Heterogeneity within the available trials was not observed. Our meta-analysis provides evidence that vitamin E plus hydration significantly reduced the risk of CIAKI in patients with renal impairment compared with hydration alone.
Acute Kidney Injury*
;
Contrast Media
;
Creatinine
;
Glomerular Filtration Rate
;
Humans
;
Incidence
;
Odds Ratio
;
Population Characteristics
;
Vitamin E*
;
Vitamins*
6.Comparison of Biopsy Results and Surgical Outcomes of Magnetic Resonance Imaging-Guided and Transrectal Ultrasonography-Guided Repeat Biopsy.
Hyunwoo CHUNG ; Wan SONG ; Jae Ho YOO ; Min Yong KANG ; Hwang Gyun JEON ; Byong Chang JEONG ; Seong Il SEO ; Seong Soo JEON ; Han Yong CHOI ; Chan Kyo KIM ; Byung Kwan PARK ; Hyun Moo LEE
Korean Journal of Urological Oncology 2017;15(2):72-78
PURPOSE: We compared biopsy results and surgical outcomes of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-guided biopsy with transrectal ultrasonography (TRUS)-guided biopsy to demonstrate efficacy of MRI-guided biopsy on previous biopsy negative patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed data of 120 patients who were categorized into MRI-guided biopsy groups (n=20) and TRUS-guided biopsy groups (n=100). All patients were diagnosed with prostate cancer (PCa) and had undergone radical prostatectomy (RP) after MRI-guided or TRUS-guided repeat biopsy between January 2010 and March 2016. Detection rate of significant cancer and Gleason score upgrading and downgrading were examined, in addition to biopsy results and subsequent RP outcomes. RESULTS: Median values for prostate-specific antigen level of the TRUS-guided biopsy group and the MRI-guided biopsy group were 6.67 and 5.86 ng/mL (p=0.303), respectively. Median prostate volume of each group (34.1 mL vs. 23.5 mL, p=0.007), number of positive cores (2.0 vs. 3.0, p=0.001) and maximum cancer/core rate (30.0% vs. 60.0%, p<0.001) were statistically different. Positive core rates of each group were 21.9% and 87.1%, respectively. Pathologic T stage was the only variable that showed difference in surgical outcomes (p=0.002). Most of PCa was confirmed as clinically significant PCa after RP in MRI-guided biopsy group (95%). CONCLUSIONS: MRI-guided biopsy showed higher positive core rate and detection rate of clinically significant PCa than TRUS-guided biopsy in repeat biopsy setting. Prospective multicenter large-scale study and accumulation of data is expected to further define superiority of the MRI-guided biopsy.
Biopsy*
;
Humans
;
Magnetic Resonance Imaging
;
Neoplasm Grading
;
Passive Cutaneous Anaphylaxis
;
Prospective Studies
;
Prostate
;
Prostate-Specific Antigen
;
Prostatectomy
;
Prostatic Neoplasms
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Ultrasonography
7.Kawasaki Disease with Fever and Cervical Lymphadenopathy as the Sole Initial Presentation.
Woo Young JUN ; Yu Kyung ANN ; Ja Yeong KIM ; Jae Sung SON ; Soo Jin KIM ; Hyun Suk YANG ; Sun Hwan BAE ; Sochung CHUNG ; Kyo Sun KIM
Korean Circulation Journal 2017;47(1):107-114
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Some patients with Kawasaki disease (KD) present with fever and cervical lymphadenopathy alone. The purpose of this study was to characterize the clinical features of these unusual KD patients and determine whether this is a severe form of KD associated with increased risks of intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance and coronary artery lesions (CALs). SUBJECTS AND METHODS: A total of 146 children with KD were reviewed retrospectively, and classified into two groups according to initial clinical features. Those presenting with only fever and cervical lymphadenopathy (LKD) were classified as LKD patients. Other-KD patients included all except the LKD patients. RESULTS: Among 146 KD patients, 13 (8.9%) were classified as LKD patients. The LKD patients were significantly older and admitted earlier. The duration between fever onset and KD diagnosis was significantly longer in the LKD patients (5.9 days vs. 4.9 days, p=0.023). The frequency of IVIG resistance was not different between the two groups., In the LKD patients, the incidence of CALs was significantly higher in the acute phase, and without significant difference in the convalescent phase. The percentage of neutrophils and C-reactive protein, albumin, and total bilirubin levels were significantly higher in LKD patients. CONCLUSION: Even though LKD patients were older, admitted earlier, and had higher inflammatory marker levels, they did not have a greater risk of CALs or IVIG resistance. However, echocardiography may be helpful in the acute stage if patients have only fever and cervical lymphadenopathy and are unresponsive to empirical antibiotics.
Anti-Bacterial Agents
;
Bilirubin
;
C-Reactive Protein
;
Child
;
Coronary Vessels
;
Diagnosis
;
Echocardiography
;
Fever*
;
Humans
;
Immunoglobulins
;
Immunoglobulins, Intravenous
;
Incidence
;
Lymphatic Diseases*
;
Mucocutaneous Lymph Node Syndrome*
;
Neck
;
Neutrophils
;
Retrospective Studies
8.A Case of Disseminated Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis involving the Brain.
Eun Kyo JUNG ; Ji Young CHANG ; Yoon Pyo LEE ; Min Kyung CHUNG ; Eui Kyo SEO ; Hea Soo KOO ; Hee Jung CHOI
Infection and Chemotherapy 2016;48(1):41-46
We report a case of a 23-year-old female immigrant from China who was diagnosed with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis affecting her lung and brain, resistant to the standard first-line therapeutics and streptomycin. She was treated with prothionamide, moxifloxacin, cycloserine, and kanamycin. However, her headache and brain lesion worsened. After the brain biopsy, the patient was confirmed with intracranial tuberculoma. Linezolid was added to intensify the treatment regimen, and steroid was added for the possibility of paradoxical response. Kanamycin was discontinued 6 months after initiation of the treatment; she was treated for 18 months with susceptible drugs and completely recovered. To our knowledge, this case is the first multidrug-resistant tuberculosis that disseminated to the brain in Korea.
Biopsy
;
Brain*
;
China
;
Cycloserine
;
Emigrants and Immigrants
;
Female
;
Headache
;
Humans
;
Kanamycin
;
Korea
;
Linezolid
;
Lung
;
Mycobacterium tuberculosis
;
Prothionamide
;
Streptomycin
;
Tuberculoma, Intracranial
;
Tuberculosis, Central Nervous System
;
Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant*
;
Tuberculosis, Pulmonary
;
Young Adult
9.Height-Based Formula Predicting Renal Length in Korean Children derived from Technesium-99m Dimercaptosuccinic Acid Scan.
Myung Hyun CHO ; Ha Yeong YOO ; Byung Ok KWAK ; Hye Won PARK ; Sochung CHUNG ; Soo Nyung KIM ; Jae Sung SON ; Kyo sun KIM
Childhood Kidney Diseases 2015;19(2):131-135
PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to establish a simple formula to predict renal length in children using a Technesium-99m dimercaptosuccinic acid (DMSA) scan data, and to compare it with the formula derived from ultrasonography, which is widely accepted. METHODS: Children who underwent a DMSA scan and ultrasonography were reviewed retrospectively, and those who had anatomical urinary tract abnormalities or urinary tract infections were excluded. RESULTS: A total of 230 children (84 males and 146 females; age, 1 month to 16 years; mean age, 16.8 +/- 27.4 months). Mean renal length measured by DMSA scan was longer than that by ultrasonography (6.38 +/- 1.16 vs. 6.02 +/- 1.14 cm; P < 0.001). Renal length was correlated with age, weight, height, and body surface area on the DMSA scan and ultrasonography, and showed the strongest positive correlation with height. The following formulae were established to predict renal length: mean renal length (cm) = 5.433 x height (m) + 2.330 (R2, 0.833) using the DMSA scan data, and mean renal length (cm) = 5.367 x height (m) + 2.027 (R2, 0.853) using ultrasonography data. CONCLUSION: We propose a simple height-based formula to predict renal length in children using a DMSA scan data, and validate it by comparing with ultrasonography formula.
Body Surface Area
;
Child*
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Kidney
;
Male
;
Organ Size
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Succimer*
;
Ultrasonography
;
Urinary Tract
;
Urinary Tract Infections
10.Early Caffeine Use in Very Low Birth Weight Infants and Neonatal Outcomes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.
Hye Won PARK ; Gina LIM ; Sung Hoon CHUNG ; Sochung CHUNG ; Kyo Sun KIM ; Soo Nyung KIM
Journal of Korean Medical Science 2015;30(12):1828-1835
The use of caffeine citrate for treatment of apnea in very low birth weight infants showed short-term and long-term benefits. A systematic review and meta-analysis of the literature was undertaken to document the effect providing caffeine early (0-2 days of life) compared to providing caffeine late (> or =3 days of life) in very low birth weight infants on several neonatal outcomes, including bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD). We searched MEDLINE, the EMBASE database, the Cochrane Library, and KoreaMed for this meta-analysis. The quality of the included studies was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale and Jadad's scale. Studies were included if they examined the effect of the early use of caffeine compared with the late use of caffeine. Two reviewers screened the candidate articles and extracted the data from the full-text of all of the included studies. We included a total of 59,136 participants (range 58,997-59,136; variable in one study) from a total of 5 studies. The risk of death (odds ratio [OR], 0.902; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.828 to 0.983; P=0.019), bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) (OR, 0.507; 95% CI, 0.396 to 0.648; P<0.001), and BPD or death (OR, 0.526; 95% CI, 0.384 to 0.719; P<0.001) were lower in the early caffeine group. Early caffeine use was not associated with a risk of necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) and NEC requiring surgery. This meta-analysis suggests that early caffeine use has beneficial effects on neonatal outcomes, including mortality and BPD, without increasing the risk of NEC.
Apnea/*drug therapy
;
Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia/drug therapy
;
Caffeine/*administration & dosage/adverse effects
;
Citrates/*administration & dosage/adverse effects
;
Enterocolitis, Necrotizing/etiology
;
Humans
;
Infant
;
Infant Mortality
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Infant, Very Low Birth Weight
;
Risk Factors
;
Treatment Outcome

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