1.Analysis of Influencing Factors of Death in the Elderly With Coronavirus Disease 2019 Based on Propensity Score Matching.
Ying CHEN ; Hai-Ping HUANG ; Xin LI ; Si-Jie CHAI ; Jia-Li YE ; Ding-Zi ZHOU ; Tao ZHANG
Acta Academiae Medicinae Sinicae 2025;47(3):375-381
Objective To analyze the influencing factors of death in the elderly with coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19).Methods The case data of death caused by COVID-19 in West China Fourth Hospital from January 1 to July 8,2023 were collected,and surviving cases from the West China Elderly Health Cohort infected with COVID-19 during the same period were selected as the control.LASSO-Logistic regression was adopted to analyze the data after propensity score matching and the validity of the model was verified by drawing the receiver operating characteristic curve.Results A total of 3 239 COVID-19 survivors and 142 deaths with COVID-19 were included.The results of LASSO-Logistic regression showed that smoking(OR=3.33,95%CI=1.46-7.59,P=0.004),stroke(OR=3.55,95%CI=1.15-10.30,P=0.022),malignant tumors(OR=19.93, 95%CI=8.52-49.23, P<0.001),coronary heart disease(OR=7.68, 95%CI=3.52-17.07, P<0.001),fever(OR=0.51, 95%CI=0.26-0.96, P=0.042),difficulty breathing or asthma symptoms(OR=21.48, 95%CI=9.44-51.95, P<0.001),and vomiting(OR=8.19,95%CI=2.87-23.58, P<0.001)increased the risk of death with COVID-19.The prediction model constructed based on the influencing factors achieved an area under the curve of 0.889 in the test set.Conclusions Smoking,stroke,malignant tumors,coronary heart disease,fever,breathing difficulty or asthma symptoms,and vomiting were identified as key factors influencing the death risk in COVID-19.
Humans
;
COVID-19/mortality*
;
Aged
;
Propensity Score
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Risk Factors
;
Logistic Models
;
Smoking
;
SARS-CoV-2
;
Male
;
Female
;
Stroke
;
Neoplasms
2.Forecasting the burden of disease from diabetes under the scenarios of specific risk factors control in China in 2030.
Yan Hong FU ; Ting Ling XU ; Zhen Zhen RAO ; Jiang Mei LIU ; Ruo Tong LI ; Min LIU ; Shi Cheng YU ; Mai Geng ZHOU ; Wen Lan DONG ; Guo Qing HU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2023;44(4):581-586
Objective: To forecast mortality, age-standardized mortality, and probability of premature mortality from diabetes, and to simulate the impact of controlling risk factors by 2030 in China. Methods: We simulated the burden of disease from diabetes in six scenarios according to the development goals of risk factors control by the WHO and Chinese government. Based on the theory of comparative risk assessment and the estimates of the burden of disease for China from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015, we used the proportional change model to project the number of deaths, age-standardized mortality, and probability of premature mortality from diabetes under different scenarios of risk factors control in 2030. Results: If the trends in exposures to risk factors from 1990 to 2015 continued. Mortality, age-standardized mortality, and probability of premature mortality from diabetes would increase to 32.57/100 000, 17.32/100 000, and 0.84% by 2030, respectively. During that time, mortality, age-standardized mortality and probability of premature mortality for males would all be higher than for females. If the goals of controlling risk factors were all achieved, the number of deaths from diabetes in 2030 would decrease by 62.10% compared to the predicted numbers based on the historical trends in exposure to risk factors, and the probability of premature mortality would drop to 0.29%. If only the exposure to a single risk factor were achieved by 2030, high fasting plasma glucose control would have the greatest impact on diabetes, resulting in a 56.00% reduction in deaths compared to the predicted numbers based on the historical trends, followed by high BMI (4.92%), smoking (0.65%), and low physical activity (0.53%). Conclusions: Risk factors control plays an important role in reducing the number of deaths, age-standardized mortality rate, and probability of premature mortality from diabetes. We suggest taking comprehensive measures to control relevant risk factors for certain populations and regions, to achieve the goal of reducing the burden of disease from diabetes as expected.
Male
;
Female
;
Humans
;
Risk Factors
;
Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiology*
;
Mortality, Premature
;
Smoking
;
Cost of Illness
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Global Burden of Disease
3.Combined Effect of Smoking and Obesity on Coronary Heart Disease Mortality in Male Veterans: A 30-year Cohort Study.
Xiao Yong SAI ; Feng GAO ; Wen Yu ZHANG ; Meng GAO ; Jing YOU ; Yu Jian SONG ; Ting Gang LUO ; Yuan Yuan SUN
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2021;34(3):184-191
Objective:
Evidence is lacking regarding the combined effects of smoking and obesity on mortality from coronary heart disease in male veterans. This study aimed to explore the combined effect of smoking and obesity on coronary heart disease mortality in male veterans in China.
Methods:
A cohort of 1,268 male veterans from 22 veteran centers in Xi'an (Shaanxi Province, China) were followed up once every 2 years from February 1, 1987 to October 30, 2016. The endpoint was death from any cause. The hazard ratio (
Results:
The total follow-up was 24394.21 person-years; each subject was followed up for a mean duration of 19.24 years. By the end of the study, of the 1,268 veterans, 889 had died, 363 were alive, and 16 were lost to follow-up. Cox regression analysis results revealed that current smoking (
Conclusion
Our results suggest that obese veterans who smoke might be an important target population for coronary heart disease mortality control.
Aged
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Coronary Disease/mortality*
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Obesity/complications*
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Risk Factors
;
Smoking
;
Veterans/statistics & numerical data*
4.Hospitalization Due to Asthma Exacerbation: A China Asthma Research Network (CARN) Retrospective Study in 29 Provinces Across Mainland China
Jiangtao LIN ; Bin XING ; Huaping TANG ; Lan YANG ; Yadong YUAN ; Yuhai GU ; Ping CHEN ; Xiaoju LIU ; Jie ZHANG ; Huiguo LIU ; Changzheng WANG ; Wei ZHOU ; Dejun SUN ; Yiqiang CHEN ; Zhuochang CHEN ; Mao HUANG ; Qichang LIN ; Chengping HU ; Xiaohong YANG ; Jianmin HUO ; Xianwei YE ; Xin ZHOU ; Ping JIANG ; Wei ZHANG ; Yijiang HUANG ; Luming DAI ; Rongyu LIU ; Shaoxi CAI ; Jianying XU ; Jianying ZHOU ;
Allergy, Asthma & Immunology Research 2020;12(3):485-495
PURPOSE: Details of patients hospitalized for asthma exacerbation in mainland China are lacking. To improve disease control and reduce economic burden, a large sample survey among this patient population is indispensable. This study aimed to investigate the clinical characteristics and outcomes of such patients.METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted on patients hospitalized for asthma exacerbation in 29 hospitals of 29 regions in mainland China during the period 2013 to 2014. Demographic features, pre-admission conditions, exacerbation details, and outcomes were summarized. Risk factors for exacerbation severity were analyzed.RESULTS: There were 3,240 asthmatic patients included in this study (57.7% females, 42.3% males). Only 28.0% used daily controller medications; 1,287 (39.7%) patients were not currently on inhaled corticosteroids. Acute upper airway infection was the most common trigger of exacerbation (42.3%). Patients with severe to life-threatening exacerbation tended to have a longer disease course, a smoking history, and had comorbidities such as hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and food allergy. The multivariate analysis showed that smoking history, comorbidities of hypertension, COPD, and food allergy were independent risk factors for more severe exacerbation. The number of patients hospitalized for asthma exacerbation varied with seasons, peaking in March and September. Eight patients died during the study period (mortality 0.25%).CONCLUSIONS: Despite enhanced education on asthma self-management in China during recent years, few patients were using daily controller medications before the onset of their exacerbation, indicating that more educational efforts and considerations are needed. The findings of this study may improve our understanding of hospital admission for asthma exacerbation in mainland China and provide evidence for decision-making.
Adrenal Cortex Hormones
;
Asthma
;
China
;
Comorbidity
;
Disease Progression
;
Education
;
Female
;
Food Hypersensitivity
;
Hospitalization
;
Humans
;
Hypertension
;
Inpatients
;
Medication Adherence
;
Mortality
;
Multivariate Analysis
;
Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Risk Factors
;
Seasons
;
Self Care
;
Smoke
;
Smoking
5.Comparison of the risks of combustible cigarettes, e-cigarettes, and heated tobacco products
Journal of the Korean Medical Association 2020;63(2):96-104
E-cigarettes (ECs) and heated tobacco products (HTPs) have become popular in Korea; hence, it is important to determine whether ECs and HTPs are less hazardous than combustible cigarettes (CCs). In general, the levels of harmful and potentially harmful constituents (HPHCs) are lower in ECs and HTPs than in CCs, although the levels of some heavy metals and HPHCs are higher in ECs and HTPs than in CCs. ECs and HTPs showed possible adverse effects on respiratory and cardiovascular system function, which could result in chronic respiratory and cardiovascular system diseases in animals. An analysis of biomarkers showed that ECs had possible adverse health effects on the respiratory and cardiovascular systems, in addition the effects of HTP on respiratory and cardiovascular systems were not significantly different than those of CC. Epidemiological studies identified positive associations between EC use and asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and myocardial infarction. Only one epidemiologic study reported a positive association between ever using HTPs and asthma, allergic rhinitis, and atopic dermatitis among adolescents. Modelling studies of ECs did not show consistent findings regarding the health effects compared with those of CCs. A modeling study of HTPs, performed by tobacco industry, has been criticized for many unfounded assumptions. Lower levels of HPHCs in ECs and HTPs, compared with those in CCs, cannot be directly translated into health benefits because the relationship between exposure and effects is non-linear for cardiovascular diseases and because the duration of exposure is more important than the level of exposure in determining lung cancer mortality. In summary, there is no definite health benefit in using ECs or HTPs instead of CCs, for the individual or the population; hence, tobacco control measures should be the same for ECs, HTPs, and CCs. ECs and HTPs have become popular in Korea; hence, it is important to determine whether ECs and HTPs are less hazardous than CCs.
Adolescent
;
Animals
;
Asthma
;
Biomarkers
;
Cardiovascular Diseases
;
Cardiovascular System
;
Dermatitis, Atopic
;
Electronic Cigarettes
;
Epidemiologic Studies
;
Hot Temperature
;
Humans
;
Insurance Benefits
;
Korea
;
Lung Neoplasms
;
Metals, Heavy
;
Mortality
;
Myocardial Infarction
;
Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive
;
Rhinitis, Allergic
;
Smoking
;
Tobacco Industry
;
Tobacco Products
;
Tobacco
6.Evaluation of the tobacco control policies of the Moon Jae-in government
Journal of the Korean Medical Association 2019;62(11):552-556
Tobacco use is the most important preventable cause of mortality in South Korea and worldwide. This study aimed to evaluate the tobacco control policies of the Moon Jae-in government, which was established in May 10, 2017. Before the Moon Jae-in government, the tobacco tax was raised by the Park Geun-hye government from 2,500 won to 4,500 won (80% increase), but the price of cigarettes was still much lower in Korea than in other high-income countries. Cigarette smoking has been prohibited in all restaurants and bars since 2015; however, smoking rooms are allowed. Only large buildings are smoke-free. Pictorial warnings on cigarette packages were introduced in December 2016; however, they cover only 30% of the main packaging. Smoking cessation services provided by health care facilities have been subsidized by public health insurance since 2015. However, the advertisement, promotion, and sponsorship of tobacco are not further regulated. Since the beginning of the Moon Jae-in government, there has been no further strengthening of major tobacco control policies except for limited expansion of smoke-free public places and introduction of a lung cancer screening program. The first government-level tobacco control policies by the Moon Jae-in government, announced in May 2019, included increasing the size of the pictorial warnings and introducing standardized packaging by 2025, along with incremental expansion of smoke-free public places with prohibition of smoking rooms. These moves are positive; however, they do not include increasing tobacco taxes and regulating advertisement, promotion, and sponsorship of tobacco, which together are the backbone of tobacco control policies. The Moon Jae-in government should strengthen comprehensive tobacco control policies, ncluding tobacco taxes and banning tobacco advertisement, promotion, and sponsorship, to protect public health.
Delivery of Health Care
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Insurance
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Korea
;
Lung Neoplasms
;
Mass Screening
;
Moon
;
Mortality
;
Product Packaging
;
Public Health
;
Republic of Korea
;
Restaurants
;
Smoke
;
Smoking
;
Smoking Cessation
;
Taxes
;
Tobacco Products
;
Tobacco Use
;
Tobacco
7.Colorectal cancer epidemiology in Korea
Aesun SHIN ; Doeun JANG ; Sunho CHOE ; Young Joo WON ; Kyu Won JUNG ; Ji Won PARK ; Seung Yong JEONG
Journal of the Korean Medical Association 2019;62(8):407-415
Although colorectal cancer emerged as a major public health concern, its incidence as well as mortality are decreasing during recent years in Korea. Most important contributor for these reduction in disease burden is colorectal cancer screening. Besides screening, primary prevention through risk factor modification could reduce 10% to 54% of colorectal cancer incidence. These factors include limiting alcohol, processed and red meat consumption, and cigarette smoking, maintaining optimal weight, and engaging physical activities.
Colorectal Neoplasms
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Epidemiology
;
Incidence
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Korea
;
Mass Screening
;
Mortality
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Motor Activity
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Primary Prevention
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Public Health
;
Red Meat
;
Risk Factors
;
Smoking
8.Epidemiology of gastric cancer in Korea
Journal of the Korean Medical Association 2019;62(8):398-406
Rapid aging, economic development, lifestyle westernization, hygiene improvement, and scientific development have contributed for the epidemiologic changes of gastric cancer. This study aimed to review the descriptive epidemiology, risk factors, and prevention of gastric cancer in Korea. Age-standardized incidence and mortality of gastric cancer have decreased and showed age effect and cohort effect. Annual percent change in the incidence of gastric cancer has been prominent in recent years. Major risk factor of gastric cancer is Helicobacter pylori infection. Although H. pylori infection was associated with only non-cardia gastric cancer in meta-analysis, H. pylori infection was associated with both non-cardia and cardia gastric cancer in Asian studies. The estimated population attributable fraction of H. pylori regarding gastric cancer incidence was about 76% in Korean. Cigarette smoking and alcohol drinking was associated with gastric cancer regardless of cardia and non-cardia gastric cancer. Cigarette smoking was estimated to be responsible for 28% of gastric cancer incidence in men and 2% in women. Obesity was risk factor for cardia gastric cancer but not non-cardia gastric cancer. This discrepancy between cardia and non-cardia gastric cancer was consistently shown in epidemiologic studies in Korea. Salt intake was also well-known risk factor of gastric cancer and prevalence of high sodium intake more than 2,000mg in Korean was 81.5%. For primary prevention of gastric cancer, eradication of H. pylori and life-style modification including no smoking, no alcohol drinking, weight control, and low sodium intake are important. Gastric endoscopy is recommended for secondary prevention of gastric cancer.
Aging
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Alcohol Drinking
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Asian Continental Ancestry Group
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Cardia
;
Cohort Effect
;
Economic Development
;
Endoscopy
;
Epidemiologic Studies
;
Epidemiology
;
Female
;
Helicobacter pylori
;
Humans
;
Hygiene
;
Incidence
;
Korea
;
Life Style
;
Male
;
Mortality
;
Obesity
;
Prevalence
;
Primary Prevention
;
Risk Factors
;
Secondary Prevention
;
Smoke
;
Smoking
;
Sodium
;
Stomach Neoplasms
9.Diabetes and Cancer: Cancer Should Be Screened in Routine Diabetes Assessment
Diabetes & Metabolism Journal 2019;43(6):733-743
Cancer incidence appears to be increased in both type 1 and type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM). DM represents a risk factor for cancer, particularly hepatocellular, hepatobiliary, pancreas, breast, ovarian, endometrial, and gastrointestinal cancers. In addition, there is evidence showing that DM is associated with increased cancer mortality. Common risk factors such as age, obesity, physical inactivity and smoking may contribute to increased cancer risk in patients with DM. Although the mechanistic process that may link diabetes to cancer is not completely understood yet, biological mechanisms linking DM and cancer are hyperglycemia, hyperinsulinemia, increased bioactivity of insulin-like growth factor 1, oxidative stress, dysregulations of sex hormones, and chronic inflammation. However, cancer screening rate is significantly lower in people with DM than that in people without diabetes. Evidence from previous studies suggests that some medications used to treat DM are associated with either increased or reduced risk of cancer. However, there is no strong evidence supporting the association between the use of anti-hyperglycemic medication and specific cancer. In conclusion, all patients with DM should be undergo recommended age- and sex appropriate cancer screenings to promote primary prevention and early detection. Furthermore, cancer should be screened in routine diabetes assessment.
Breast
;
Diabetes Mellitus
;
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2
;
Early Detection of Cancer
;
Gastrointestinal Neoplasms
;
Gonadal Steroid Hormones
;
Humans
;
Hyperglycemia
;
Hyperinsulinism
;
Incidence
;
Inflammation
;
Mass Screening
;
Mortality
;
Obesity
;
Oxidative Stress
;
Pancreas
;
Primary Prevention
;
Risk Factors
;
Smoke
;
Smoking
10.Causes of Patient Mortality in Community Mental Health and Welfare Centers and Addiction Management Centers
Woo Young PARK ; Ji Eun HONG ; Soo Yeon WANG ; Jae Jeong SHIN ; Ju Yeon LEE ; Seon Young KIM ; Jae Min KIM ; JIL Seon SHIN ; Jin Sang YOON ; Sung Wan KIM
Journal of the Korean Society of Biological Therapies in Psychiatry 2019;25(1):42-49
OBJECTIVES: Serious mental illnesses and substance use disorder have a high level of early mortality. This study aimed to identify the causes of their deaths among patients who had been under the care of community mental health and welfare centers and addiction management centers.METHODS: We collected information on deceased individuals, whose mortality was attributable to various causes of death, from 10 Community Mental Health Centers and Addiction Centers in Gwangju Metropolitan City. The primary variables collected included psychiatric diagnosis, cause of death, smoking habits, admission history, and several socio-demographic factors.RESULTS: A total of 214 deaths among service users were studies. In Community Mental Health Centers, 109 deaths were identified, with causes that may be itemized as follows : 27 suicides(24.8%), 56 physical illnesses( 51.4%), 14 accidents(12.8%), and 12 unknown causes(11.0%). Among the physical illnesses reported, cardiovascular illness and cancer were the most common causes of death. A history of frequent admission was common among those that had died by suicide(88.9%), compared with that observed among general service users(62.0%). In Addiction Centers, 105 deaths were identified, with causes that may be itemized as follows : 7 suicides(6.7%), 71 physical illnesses(68.3%), 7 accidents(6.7%), and 20 unknown causes(19.0%). Among the physical illnesses reported, sudden death, hepatic disorder, cancer, and cardiovascular disorder were the most common causes of death.CONCLUSION: Case managers should give due consideration to and carefully manage the physical health of individuals accessing mental health services via community mental health centers and addiction centers.
Case Management
;
Cause of Death
;
Community Mental Health Centers
;
Death, Sudden
;
Gwangju
;
Humans
;
Mental Disorders
;
Mental Health Services
;
Mental Health
;
Mortality
;
Smoke
;
Smoking
;
Substance-Related Disorders
;
Suicide

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