1.An advanced machine learning method for simultaneous breast cancer risk prediction and risk ranking in Chinese population: A prospective cohort and modeling study
Liyuan LIU ; Yong HE ; Chunyu KAO ; Yeye FAN ; Fu YANG ; Fei WANG ; Lixiang YU ; Fei ZHOU ; Yujuan XIANG ; Shuya HUANG ; Chao ZHENG ; Han CAI ; Heling BAO ; Liwen FANG ; Linhong WANG ; Zengjing CHEN ; Zhigang YU
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(17):2084-2091
Background::Breast cancer (BC) risk-stratification tools for Asian women that are highly accurate and can provide improved interpretation ability are lacking. We aimed to develop risk-stratification models to predict long- and short-term BC risk among Chinese women and to simultaneously rank potential non-experimental risk factors.Methods::The Breast Cancer Cohort Study in Chinese Women, a large ongoing prospective dynamic cohort study, includes 122,058 women aged 25-70 years old from the eastern part of China. We developed multiple machine-learning risk prediction models using parametric models (penalized logistic regression, bootstrap, and ensemble learning), which were the short-term ensemble penalized logistic regression (EPLR) risk prediction model and the ensemble penalized long-term (EPLT) risk prediction model to estimate BC risk. The models were assessed based on calibration and discrimination, and following this assessment, they were externally validated in new study participants from 2017 to 2020.Results::The AUC values of the short-term EPLR risk prediction model were 0.800 for the internal validation and 0.751 for the external validation set. For the long-term EPLT risk prediction model, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.692 and 0.760 in internal and external validations, respectively. The net reclassification improvement index of the EPLT relative to the Gail and the Han Chinese Breast Cancer Prediction Model (HCBCP) models for external validation was 0.193 and 0.233, respectively, indicating that the EPLT model has higher classification accuracy.Conclusions::We developed the EPLR and EPLT models to screen populations with a high risk of developing BC. These can serve as useful tools to aid in risk-stratified screening and BC prevention.
2.Prevalence and influencing factors on food allergy among children aged 0-5 years in China
Lahong JU ; Liyun ZHAO ; Xiaoqi WEI ; Hongyun FANG ; Jiaxi LI ; Xingxing WU ; Xiaoli XU ; Shuya CAI ; Weiyi GONG ; Dongmei YU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(6):817-823
Objective:To describe the prevalence of food allergy among children aged 0-5 years in China and to explore related influencing factors.Methods:Multistage stratified random sampling method was used to collect data from 275 surveillance sites of the China National Nutrition and Health Survey of Chinese children and lactating mothers programs in 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) of China in 2016-2017. A total of 70 107 participants aged 0-5 years were included in this study. The study collected information of participants' demographic characteristics and food allergies by face-to-face questionnaire. The prevalence of food allergy was analyzed, using the complex data weighting method. The logistic regression models were used to analyze the influencing factors related to food allergy.Results:The overall prevalence of self-reported food allergy among children aged 0-5 years was 4.81%. Prevalence rates in infants aged 0-5 months, and 6-23 months and preschool children aged 2-5 years were 0.81%, 4.68% and 5.26%, respectively. The results of logistic analysis showed that there was a significantly positive correlation between factors including children from 6 months to 5 years old, urban area, southwest area, first-born, mothers with college education or above, and the prevalence of food allergy in children. Shrimp, poultry eggs, crab shellfish, fruit, milk and fish appeared the common allergic foods in children aged 0-5 years, with prevalence rates of self-reported food allergy as 1.55%, 1.25%, 0.99%, 0.97%, 0.87% and 0.86%, respectively. The proportion of single food allergy in children with allergies was 69.85%.Conclusions:Among children aged 0-5 years, the prevalence of self-reported food allergy increases with age, in China. Foods that is prone to allergies include fish, shrimp, crab, shellfish, poultry eggs, milk and fruits, etc. Most allergies were only caused by single food in children, under observation.
3.Study on mental health status of pregnant women and its influencing factors in the third trimester
Yahui FENG ; Hexin YUE ; Yongle ZHAN ; Yingjie SHI ; Yunli CHEN ; Yawen WANG ; Sansan WU ; Shuya CAI ; Yu JIANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2021;42(5):853-858
Objective:To understand the mental health status of pregnant women in the third trimester of pregnancy, and explore the influencing factors.Methods:The general demographic information and pregnancy information of 575 pregnant women in the Chinese Pregnant Women Cohort Study were collected. The mental health status of pregnant women in the third trimester was investigated by using Edinburgh Postpartum Depression Scale, Self-Rating Anxiety Scale and University of California at Los Angeles. Multivariate unconditional logistic regression was used to analyze the influencing factors for mental health of pregnant women.Results:In the third trimester of pregnancy, the incidence of depression was 16.52%, the incidence of anxiety was 11.13%, and the incidence of feeling loneliness was 26.26%. Logistic regression analysis showed that compared with those with education level of junior high school below, those with education level of college or bachelor's degree ( OR=0.418, 95% CI: 0.184-0.950) and master's degree or above ( OR=0.116, 95% CI: 0.027-0.503) were less likely to feel loneliness. Pregnant women with higher annual family income (10 000 RMB yuan) were less likely to suffer from depression (≥20 vs. <10: OR=0.527, 95% CI: 0.279-0.998), anxiety (10-20 vs. <10: OR=0.363, 95% CI: 0.180-0.731; ≥20 vs. <10: OR=0.271, 95% CI: 0.132-0.554) and feeling loneliness (≥20 vs. <10: OR=0.477, 95% CI: 0.276-0.826). Conclusions:The education level and family income have impacts on the mental health status of pregnant women in the third trimester. Medical staff should give targeted psychological advice to pregnant women to improve their mental health status.
4.Analysis on the economic burden of maternal health care of 9 193 women during early pregnancy in China
Yongle ZHAN ; Shuya CAI ; Yawen WANG ; Sansan WU ; Yahui FENG ; Yunli CHEN ; Yingjie SHI ; Liangkun MA ; Yu JIANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2020;31(1):29-33
Objective To understand the status of economic burden of maternal health care of pregnant women in China, and to discuss the equity and accessibility of maternal health care during pregnancy among different regions and populations. Methods A total of 9 193 women during early pregnancy were recruited from the Chinese Pregnant Women Cohort Study between July 25, 2017 and November 26, 2018. Information on general condition and economic burden of maternal health care was surveyed. SPSS 25.0 software was used for statistical analysis. Results The median direct medical cost of maternity check-ups for pregnant women was 400 CNY per visit, and the median cost of lost work was 360 CNY per visit. The analysis of the results showed that the median medical expense was highest in pre-pregnant women with BMI <18.5kg/m2 (P=0.008). The median medical expense was higher in urban residents than rural residents (P<0.001). Families with fewer members had higher direct medical expenses (P<0.001, Ptrend=0.003). The higher the socioeconomic status was, the higher the direct medical expense was (P<0.001, Ptrend=0.003). The cost of lost work was lower in pregnant women with higher socioeconomic status (P=0.025, Ptrend=0.017). In addition, the medical expense was highest in women living in the eastern part of China (P<0.001). The direct medical expenses (P=0.002) and lost-time expenses of pregnant women in the North were higher than those in the South (P=0.013). Conclusion The problem of equity and accessibility of maternal health care still existed. It is recommended that relevant departments further improve maternal health care services and build a diversified healthcare service system to ensure maternal and child health and promote eugenics.
5.Depression symptoms and influencing factors in early pregnant women in China
Sanan WU ; Yunli CHEN ; Yahui FENG ; Yawen WANG ; Shuya CAI ; Yongle ZHAN ; Yingjie SHI ; Liangkun MA ; Yu JIANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2020;31(3):54-58
Objective To analyze the prevalence of depression in early pregnancy, explore its possible influencing factors, and provide reference for mental health care during pregnancy. Methods A baseline survey of 9 193 early pregnant women recruited by the Chinese Pregnant Women Cohort Study (CPWCS) program was conducted. Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale was used to assess the depression symptoms in early pregnancy. The χ2 test and multivariable logistic regression were used to analyze the influencing factors. Results The rate of depression in early pregnant women in CPWCS was 46.50%. Multivariate analysis showed that unplanned pregnancy (OR=1.23, 95%CI: 1.12~1.35, P<0.001), passive smoking (OR=1.28, 95%CI: 1.18~1.39, P<0.001), drinking (OR=1.35, 95%CI: 1.12~1.63, P=0.002) and consumption of carbonated or sugary beverages (OR=0.80, 95%CI: 0.73~0.88, P<0.001) were risk factors for depression during early pregnancy, while enough sleep (OR=0.71, 95%CI: 0.57~0.88, P=0.002), moderate-high level of physical activity (OR=0.87, 95%CI: 0.78~0.98, P=0.023), healthy intake of vegetables and fruits(OR=0.60, 95%CI: 0.51~0.70, P<0.001), animal foods(OR=0.82, 95%CI: 0.74~0.91, P<0.001) and milk and dairy products(OR=0.81, 95%CI: 0.72~0.90, P<0.001)were protective factors. Conclusion The rate of depression was high and it was affected by many factors. It is necessary to pay more attention to depression symptoms during early pregnancy and carry out targeted psychological health care during pregnancy.
6.MCC950, a NLRP3 inflammasome inhibitor, prevents radiation-induced cognitive impairment in mice
Zhenghai LIU ; Shishi LUO ; Zhen WANG ; Yang XU ; Jie HE ; Wuzhou WANG ; Shuya HE ; Xiaohong AI ; Cai LI ; Wenyu CAO
Chinese Journal of Radiological Medicine and Protection 2020;40(10):733-739
Objective:To investigate the effect of MCC950 (a NLRP3 inflammasome inhibitor) on cognitive impairment in mice with radiation-induced inflammatory brain injury.Methods:Mice were divided into normal (NS) group, whole body irradiation (IR) group and MCC950 intervention post irradiation (IR+ MCC950) group according to the random number table method, with 15 mice in each group. The mice in IR group and IR+ MCC950 group were irradiated with a single dose of 4.0 Gy. The radiation source was 137Cs and the dose rate was 1.118 Gy/min. The mice in NS group were not irradiated. Mice in IR+ MCC950 group were injected intraperitoneally with MCC950 once a day (10 mg/kg each time) from 3 weeks after irradiation. Behavioral tests such as new and old things recognition experiment and social cognition experiment were used to detect the cognitive function of mice. Immunohistochemistry was used to detect the expression of NeuN protein in CA3 area of mouse hippocampus. PCR and Western blot were used to detect the expression of NLRP3 inflammatory body related protein. Results:Compared with NS group, the short-term and long-term recognition index of new and old things in the IR group decreased significantly ( t=4.321, 5.473, P<0.01), and the social cognitive recognition index of the IR group also decreased significantly ( t=2.097, P<0.05). MCC950 treatment reversed the above changes (short-term and long-term new and old thing recognition test: t=5.860, 4.598, P<0.05; new and old position recognition test: t=3.040, P<0.05; social cognition test: t=4.021, P<0.01). The expression of NLRP3, Caspase-1, IL-1 β and IL-18 in mice hippocampus of the IR group was significantly higher than that of the control group ( t=2.699, 8.515, 3.340, 3.950, P<0.05). Compared with NS mice, radiation significantly increased the expressions of Bax, Caspase-3 and PARP1 in hippocampus ( t=3.887, 2.742, 3.287, P<0.05), while MCC950 significantly decreased the expressions of Bax, Caspase-3 and PARP1( t=2.852, 4.090, 9.614, P<0.05). Conclusions:NLRP3 inflammasome inhibitor MCC950 could alleviate radiation-induced cognitive impairment, which may be due to the inhibition of hippocampal inflammatory and neuronal death.
7.Association between parental socioeconomic status and preschoolers’ consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages
Fenghua SU ; Kaiyuan MIN ; Jing WANG ; Kexin YANG ; Liang SUN ; Wei LIAO ; Shuya CAI ; Yang LIU ; Peiwen ZHANG ; Juan ZHANG ; Lianjun WANG ; Yu JIANG
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2020;54(6):657-661
Objective:To explore the association between parental socioeconomic status (SES) and preschoolers’ consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB).Methods:In June 2018, all preschoolers from 15 kindergartens were selected from the jurisdiction of Education Commission in Dongcheng District of Beijing by using an equal-proportion stratified cluster sampling method in the study. A self-designed questionnaire was used to investigate the parents of preschoolers to obtain the basic information of preschoolers and parents, the consumption situation of preschoolers’ sugar-sweetened beverages and the perception of parents to SSB. A tatol of 3 217 preschoolers were finally included in the analysis. A generalized structural equation model was used to analyze the relationship between preschoolers' consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages and their parents' socioeconomic status and the mediating effect of their cognition of sugar-sweetened beverages. The size of mediating effect was estimated by using deviation correction non-parameter percentile Bootstrap method.Results:The age of 3 217 preschoolers was (4.23±0.67) years, of which 52.6% ( n=1 692) were boys, and 77.62% ( n=2 497) were SSB consumers. Among the parents of 3 217 preschoolers, fathers and mothers accounted for 24.90% ( n=801) and 75.10% ( n=2 416), and the M ( P25, P75) scores of SES were 66.7 (62.5, 69.5) and 69.5 (64.6, 71.4), respectively. The proportion of parents who took the initiative to learn about their children's consumption of SSB, lacked confidence in restricting preschooler's consumption of SSB and read nutrition labels before purchasing food was 74.08% ( n=2 383), 82.90% ( n=2 667) and 36.24% ( n=1 166), respectively. The generalized structural equation model showed that after adjusting for preschoolers’ gender, age, body mass index (BMI) of preschoolers and their parents, preschoolers’ consumption of SSB was negatively associated with their parents’ SES score [path coefficient (95% CI):-4.69×10 -2 (-6.56×10 -2,-2.69×10 -2) ]. The mediating effect of parents’ perception of SSB consumption could explain 48.71% of the total effect [path coefficient (95% CI):-2.28×10 -2 (-3.54×10 -2, -1.10×10 -2)]. Conclusion:The consumption of SSB in preschoolers is negatively associated with their parent’s SES, and this relationship is partially mediated by parent’s perception of SSB consumption.
8.Factors associated with sleep quality during first and second trimester in Chinese pregnant woman
Shuya CAI ; Yahui FENG ; Yawen WANG ; Sansan WU ; Yongle ZHAN ; Shuai MA ; Zhongzhou SHEN ; Yingjie SHI ; Yunli CHEN ; Liangkun MA ; Yu JIANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2020;41(5):711-715
Objective:To investigate sleep quality in pregnant women during their first and second trimester and to identify risk factors.Methods:Data was from the Chinese Pregnant Women Cohort Study. A total of 3 618 pregnant women were included, with the exclusion 346 women who had missing information. Sociodemographic, health-related behavior, depression and sleep quality information were collected and analyzed. Logistic regression analysis were used to explore the influencing factors of sleep quality in pregnant women.Results:Among the 3 618 pregnant woman 28.2% had poor sleep quality in their first trimester and 28.7% in the second trimester. 15.2% pregnant women had progressively worse sleep and 13.0% had persistently poor sleep had pregnant women were generally suffered from poor sleep quality, difficulty falling asleep, sleep disorders and daily fatigue. Regular diet ( OR=0.75, 95% CI: 0.62-0.92) and work ( OR=0.84,95% CI: 0.71-0.99) in the first trimester were protective factors of sleep quality in pregnant women. Age ≥30 year old ( OR=1.19, 95% CI: 1.03-1.37), passive smoking ( OR=1.18, 95% CI: 1.02-1.36) and depression ( OR=2.25, 95% CI: 1.95-2.61) in the first trimester were risk factors. Conclusions:The rate of poor sleep quality are high among Chinese pregnant woman during their first and second trimester. The risk factors of sleep quality are multiple. Regular diet and work, reduction of tobacco exposure, alleviation of depression symptom may help improve sleep quality among pregnant women.
9.Effects of changes in physical activities on depressive symptoms during pregnancy: a cohort study
Hexin YUE ; Yahui FENG ; Sansan WU ; Yawen WANG ; Shuya CAI ; Yingjie SHI ; Yunli CHEN ; Yongle ZHAN ; Liangkun MA ; Yu JIANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2020;41(6):834-838
Objective:To investigate the effect of changes in physical activities on depressive symptoms in the second trimester of pregnancy.Methods:Data from the Chinese Pregnant Women Cohort Study, from July 25, 2017 to November 26, 2018, were used. Women who had effectively completed the survey of physical activity and depressive symptoms in the first and second trimesters of pregnancy, were recruited. Both International Physical Activity Questionnaire-short and Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale were used, respectively. Pregnant women who had completed two surveys were included in our study and were divided into two groups according to the depressive symptoms, measured at the baseline. Among the pregnant women without depressive symptoms at the baseline, logistic regression was used to analyze the effects of changes in physical activity on the prevention of depressive symptoms. Effect on the reduction of depressive symptoms was analyzed, using the same method.Results:The prevalence rates of depressive symptoms were 23.83 % and 20.57 % in the baseline and second trimester, respectively. After adjusting for age, education level, occupation, family annual income and pre-pregnancy BMI, data from the logistic regression showed that women without depressive symptoms and with increased and adequate physical activities in the baseline, were with lower risks to develop depressive symptoms in the second trimester ( OR=0.479, 95 %CI: 0.335-0.684; OR=0.566, 95 %CI: 0.394-0.815). Among women with depressive symptoms in the baseline survey, association between physical activity and depressive symptoms was not statistically significant ( P>0.05). Conclusions:Increased and adequate physical activities showed preventive effects on depressive symptoms during pregnancy, but the remission effect was not obvious in women with depressive symptoms. Pregnant women should be encouraged to increase their physical activities while screening programs should also be carried out to reduce the depressive symptoms during pregnancy.
10.Associations between physical activities and gestational diabetes mellitus in the first trimester of pregnancy
Yahui FENG ; Yongle ZHAN ; Yan LYU ; Sansan WU ; Yawen WANG ; Shuya CAI ; Yingjie SHI ; Yunli CHEN ; Liangkun MA ; Yu JIANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2020;41(6):829-833
Objective:To prospectively explore the associations between total and different types of physical activities and gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) in the first trimester of pregnant women, in Beijing.Methods:Data of 909 participants from the Chinese Pregnant Women Cohort study were extracted and studied. Four types of physical activities, including household/care-giving, occupational, sports/exercise and outdoor ways of transportation (walking/cycling/E-biking) in early pregnancy were studied by using the pregnancy physical activity questionnaire (PPAQ). All the participants were followed up and related data on GDM collected. Logistic regressions were conducted for data analysis on the associations of interests.Results:A total of 206 pregnant women (22.7 %) were diagnosed with GDM. After adjusting for age, pre-pregnancy BMI, family history of diabetes and other types of physical activities, results from the logistic regression showed that women with moderate level of household/care-giving activities were with the lower odds on GDM ( OR=0.654, 95 %CI: 0.436-0.980). Women who had met the guideline of exercise were less likely to have GDM ( OR=0.518, 95 %CI: 0.287-0.934). There was no significant association appeared between total physical, occupational and outdoor ways of transportation (walking/cycling/E-biking) activities with GDM. Conclusions:Sports/exercise and household/care-giving activities in early pregnancy appeared important on GDM prevention. Pregnant women are encouraged to wisely arranging their sports/exercise activities and engaging in moderate household/care-giving activities in the first trimester of pregnancy, to prevent GDM.


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