1.Establishment and validation of prediction model for postoperative sleep disturbance in patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery
Shuting YANG ; Qian ZHANG ; Yifan XU ; Futeng CHEN ; Fangming SHEN ; Qin ZHANG ; He LIU ; Yue-Ying ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology 2021;41(4):421-426
Objective:To establish and validate the prediction model for postoperative sleep disturbance (PSD) in patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery.Methods:A total of 454 patients of both sexes, aged≥18 yr, of American Society of Anesthesiologists physical statusⅠ-Ⅲ, underwent non-cardiac surgery under general anesthesia from November 2019 to September 2020 were selected.The perioperative data were collected.The patients were divided into training set and validation set with a ratio of 7∶3 by using a simple random sampling method.The characteristic variables of PSD were selected using LASSO regression analysis and the independent risk factors were identified using multivariate logistic regression analysis in training set.Akaike′s information criterion was used to evaluate the quality of fit of the model.The nomogram of PSD in non-cardiac surgery patients was constructed based on the identified factors.The discrimination of the model was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and the agreement of the model was evaluated using Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test and Brier score.Results:Seven risk factors (gender, preoperative anxiety, satisfaction with the ward environment, anesthesia time, the intraoperative consumption of midazolam and sufentanil and numerical rating scale (NRS) score at 3 days after operation) and two related factors (preoperative NRS score and general anesthesia combined with nerve block) were used to establish and verify the PSD nomogram.The area under the ROC curve was 0.805 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.721-0.848) in training set.The area under the ROC curve was 0.773 (95% CI 0.684-0.876) in validation set.In training and validation sets, the calibration curves were tested by Hosmer-Lemeshow good of fit test, the P values were 0.590 and 0.950, respectively, and the Brier scores were 0.154 and 0.156, respectively.The nomogram predicated that the sensitivity (95% CI) and specificity (95%CI) were 81.83% (60.32%-95.14%) and 78.15% (71.83%-83.25%), respectively, in training set, and the sensitivity (95% CI) and specificity (95%CI) were 77.86% (39.84%-97.25%) and 78.15% 77.86% (68.74%-85.48%), respectively, in validation set.The optimal cut-off value of nomogram score was 113. Conclusion:In this study, the nomogram prediction model for PSD in patients undergoing non-cardiac surgery has been successfully established, which can visually and individually predict the risk of PSD.
2. Characteristics of the human adenovirus infections from influenza-like illness samples in Xi′an
Jing XU ; Shuting YUE ; Ping MA ; Lei ZHANG ; Wei SHI ; Yi XU ; Shen LI ; Luyuan GUAN ; Jingjun WANG ; Pengbo YU
Chinese Journal of Experimental and Clinical Virology 2017;31(3):218-222
Objective:
To analyze the epidemiological characteristics and the molecular types of human adenovirus (HAdV) from influenza-like illness (ILI) samples with negative influenza virus in Xi'an from January 2013 to December 2015.
Methods:
Samples from patients with ILI were collected from two national influenza sentinel surveillance hospitals during 2013—2015 in Xi′an. HAdV was detected by real-time PCR, and then the positive samples were inoculated into Hep-2 cells to isolate the viruses. The amplified products were purified and sequenced of hexon gene, and the sequences were compared with the Genebank data and phylogenetic trees were constructed.
Results:
In 2367 samples, 88 samples were positive for HAdV, the positive rate was 3.72%. There were 7 subtypes detected, and the rates of each subtype are as follows: HAdV-1 was 9.09%, HAdV-2 was 22.73%, HAdV-3 was 23.86%, HAdV-4 was 5.68%, HAdV-5 was 7.95%, HAdV-6 was 3.41% and HAdV-7 was 1.14%. Males had higher infection rate than females, but there was no significant difference. The patients were divided into 6 groups according to age. There were 3 positive samples among those under 1 year of age, 36 positive samples among those 1 to 3 years old, 26 positive samples among those 4 to 6 years old, 16 positive samples in those 7 to 18 years old, 5 positive samples in 19 to 59 years old and 2 positive samples in those older than sixty years of age. HAdV infection was primarily confined to children under 7 years of age.
Conclusions
HAdV-3 and HAdV-2 were the dominant epidemic strains during 2013—2015 in Xi′an. Children younger than 7 years were the main susceptible population. HAdV infections circulate all year-round and there was no considerable seasonal variation.