1.Prediction of epidemic tendency of schistosomiasis with time-series model in Hubei Province
Yanyan CHEN ; Shunxiang CAI ; Ying XIAO ; Yong JIANG ; Xiaowei SHAN ; Juan ZHANG ; Jianbing LIU
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2014;(6):613-617
Objective To study the endemic trend of schistosomiasis japonica in Hubei Province,so as to provide the theo?retical basis for surveillance and forecasting of schistosomiasis. Methods The time?series auto regression integrated moving av?erage(ARIMA)model was applied to fit the infection rate of residents of Hubei Province from 1987 to 2013,and to predict the shot?term trend of infection rate. Results The actual values of infection rate of residents were all in the 95%confidence inter?nals of value predicted by the ARIMA model. The prediction showed that the infection rate of residents of Hubei Province would continue to decrease slowly. Conclusion The time?series ARIMA model has good prediction accuracy,and could be used for the short?term forecasting of schistosomiasis.
2.Retrospective investigation on endemic situation of schistosomiasis in Hubei Province
Ying XIAO ; Juan ZHANG ; Guo LI ; Zhangyong WEI ; Nan JIANG ; Hua JUN ; Shunxiang CAI
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2014;(5):486-490
Objective To explore the changing rules of schistosomiasis infection and Oncomelania hupensis snail situation in areas where schistosomiasis transmission was controlled or interrupted or transmission rebounded after the interruption. Meth-ods Daye City,Wuxue City and Jingshan County were selected and investigated retrospectively to collect the schistosomiasis epidemiological information 10 years before they reached the criteria of transmission controlled and the subsequent years until 2008. The database of retrospective investigation was established for analyzing the trends and rules of the changes of snail status and human infection status. Results In Daye City,there was no snail areas and schistosomiasis patients and cattle after reach-ing the criteria of transmission interrupted in 1987. The infection rate of residents were positively correlative with the infection rate of cattle and snail areas(r=0.865,0.843,P<0.01). In Wuxue City,the proportion of snail areas occupying the historic snail areas kept a steady from the transmission controlled to transmission interrupted,but it began to rebound to the highest level in the history(8.93%)after the transmission interrupted for 3 years. In Jingshan County,the infection rates of residents and cat-tle were all stable from 1%to 2%after the transmission controlled. The proportion of snail areas occupying the historic snail ar-eas was rebounded from 1.63% in 1985 to 21.50% in 2008,and the densities of living snails rebounded from 2005. Conclu-sions The infected snails could be the sensitive indicator of the rebound of snail situation and human infection. The elimination of schistosomiasis still depends on the control of snail areas,including strengthening the infected snail control.
3.Viral etiology of acute upper respiratory infection in Hebei Province from 2013 to 2015
Guangyue HAN ; Yan LI ; Yanfang LIU ; Lanfen LIU ; Caixiao JIANG ; Qi LI ; Shunxiang QI
Chinese Journal of Disease Control & Prevention 2017;21(9):891-894
Objective To investigate the viral etiology and the epidemilogy of acute upper respiratory tract infection in Hebei Province from 2013 to 2015,providing scientific basis for diagnosis,prevention and control of the respiratory tract infection.Methods l 551 throat swab samples of the acute upper respiratory infection patients from four hospitals in Hebei Province were collected,Multiplex real-time PCR was used to detect 15 kinds of respiratory tract viruses for all specimens after nucleic acids extraction.Results Totally 714 positive samples were obtained from 1 551 samples,with a positive rate of 46.03%.Human rhinovirus(186,11.99%)was detected as the most common viral species,followed by human parainfluenza 3(167,10.77%),respiratory syncytial virus (122,7.87%),adenovirus (108,6.96%),influenza B virus (56,3.61%),human metapneumovirus(40,2.58%),influenza A virus(39,2.51%),human boca virus (38,2.45%),human parainfluenza 1 (35,2.26%),human coronavirus-229E/NL63 (33,2.13%),human enterovirus (32,2.06%),human parainfluenza 4(31,2.00%),human coronavirus-OC43 (30,1.93%),and human parainfluenza 2(11,0.71%).176 cases (11.35%) were detected as co-infection.The infection rate(56.07%) of under 5 years old group was higher than that of other groups.Conclusions The predominant respiratory viruses,who are responsible for acute upper respiratory tract infections in Hebei Province,are HRV,PIV3,RSV,ADV and IFV.Each virus possess the specific epidemiological feature.
4.A population-based case-control study on the risk factors of urinary calculi.
Shunxiang ZHANG ; Liangcheng LI ; Ying JIANG ; Luyuan SHI ; Pusheng XIANG ; Xiangnan HUANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2002;23(4):273-276
OBJECTIVETo determine the risk factors of urinary calculi in Shenzhen for proper interventions.
METHODSA population-based case-control study including 334 urinary calculi cases and 721 controls was carried out. A total number of 34 factors were analyzed using unconditional logistic regression.
RESULTSSeventeen factors were associated with urolithiasis based on the logistic regression analysis. Ten factors entered the last model of the logistic multivariate regression. The more protein consumption (OR = 2.14, 95% CI: 1.71 - 2.69), positive history of first relatives with urolithiasis (OR = 2.61, 95% CI: 1.70 - 4.01), longer outdoor exposure (OR = 1.39, 95% CI: 1.16 - 1.66) and chronic inflammation of urinary system (OR = 4.09, 95% CI: 1.38 - 12.14) were risk factors of urinary calculi. Higher education background (OR = 0.46, 95% CI: 0.29 - 0.73), drinking more water (OR = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.48 - 0.72), drinking more juice (OR = 0.41, 95% CI: 0.18 - 0.94), more milk and milk product consumption (OR = 0.82, 95% CI: 0.68 - 0.99), vegetable (OR = 0.70, 95% CI: 0.55 - 0.91) and fruit consumption (OR = 0.78, 95% CI: 0.64 - 0.94) were protective factors of urolithiasis.
CONCLUSIONDietary habits were the major influencing factors of urinary calculi. Positive history of family with urolithiasis and social-economic factors were also associated with the disease.
Adult ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Case-Control Studies ; China ; epidemiology ; Feeding Behavior ; Female ; Humans ; Logistic Models ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Risk Factors ; Urinary Calculi ; epidemiology
5.Emergency response and effect evaluation on schistosomiasis control in res-cue of shipwreck event in Yangtze River
Yi YUAN ; Shunxiang CAI ; Xibao HUANG ; Hong ZHU ; Hui HE ; Xiaorong ZHOU ; Hancheng LIU ; Yong JIANG ; Bo LI
Chinese Journal of Schistosomiasis Control 2017;29(1):18-23
Objective To evaluate the effect of schistosomiasis control in“Oriental Star shipwreck event”in Jianli County, Hubei Province,so as to provide experiences for schistosomiasis prevention and control in rescue of emergency in the future. Methods According to the data of historical schistosomiasis prevalence and the results of the field survey in the townships in the upstream and downstream of the rescue spots,the emergency handling measures of schistosomiasis control were evaluated. Meanwhile,the Oncomelania hupensis snail situation,priority crowd chemotherapy,key aquatic monitoring,and illness moni?toring of people and livestock were investigated to evaluate the schistosomiasis control effect after the events comprehensively. Results There were no schistosome?infected snails found in the place of shipwreck and the rescue spots. The average density of O. hupensis snails in 5 townships of Jianli County was 0.064 snails/0.1 m2 ,and there were no infected snails found. The positive rate of 2 090 migrants in the schistosomiasis serologic tests was 0.29%and there were no positive ones found in the fecal exami?nation. There were no acute schistosomiasis cases found by the sentinel surveillance fever clinics,and also no positive cattle were found. The results of sentinel mice monitoring in the place of shipwreck and 4 villages in the upstream and downstream showed no infected mice were found. Conclusion The schistosomiasis control measures taken after the shipwreck is effective, which achieves the goal of no schistosomiasis transmission after emergency.
6.Investigation of etiology and prognosis of the hospitalized patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease during acute exacerbation
Xixin YAN ; Haibo XU ; Cha TIAN ; Shunxiang QI ; Caizhi HAN ; Suyin LI ; Rizhen ZHAO ; Congli YANG ; Feifei LIU ; Yuling WANG ; Xiaowen HAN ; Fen PING ; Chaoying JIANG ; Pule JIN
Chinese Journal of Practical Internal Medicine 2001;0(04):-
0.05).The concentration of IL-6 in sputum of multi-virus infection group(122.51?39.86)ng/L was higher than in single virus infection group(65.30?34.92)ng/L.The concentration of IL-6 in sputum of bacteria-virus mixed infection group(120.31?46.62)ng/L was higher than in bacteria or virus single infection group(83.61?47.83)ng/L.Conclusion Streptococcus pneumonia and influenza virus A infection are important factors in AECOPD at early stage.Virus infection would prolong recovery time,increase inflammation of the airway and even induce bacteria infection.Therefore,we should pay more attention to the virus infection in COPD patients,especially A-type influenza virus.
7.A case-control study on urinary calculi and dietary factors.
Min SHEN ; Luyuan SHI ; Liangcheng LI ; Shunxiang ZHANG ; Chunshan ZHANG ; Ying JIANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2002;23(2):134-137
OBJECTIVETo study the role of dietary and nutritional factors in the etiology of urolithiasis.
METHODSTwo hundred and fourty-one pairs of urolithiasis patients and controls were selected, and matched on age and sex, and without having urinary, endocrine, metabolic, or other related diseases. Subjects were given with a standardized semi-quantitative questionnaire to inquire their demographic features and diet information. Data were analyzed according to their respective property. Conditional logistic regression were used to compute odds ratio and 95% confidence interval.
RESULTSThe following variables were found to have significant in single factor logistic regression analysis: do not fond of drinking water [OR(no:yes) = 1.914 (95% CI: 1.272 - 2.881)]; drinking less purified water [OR(once:more) = 0.771 (95% CI: 0.614 - 0.967)]; drinking less liquid [OR(one cup more) = 0.273 (95% CI: 0.076 - 0.978)]; eating salted food [OR(highest:common) = 3.382 (95% CI: 2.133 - 5.362), OR(higher:common) = 1.435 (95% CI: 1.252 - 1.645)]; fond of sweet food [OR(most:no) = 4.509 (95% CI: 2.457 - 8.277), OR(more:no) = 1.562 (95% CI: 1.305 - 1.870)]; intake of animal oil [OR(yes:no) = 2.222 (95% CI: 1.012 - 4.880)]; over intake of protein, fat and phosphorus; less intake of carbohydrate, dietary fibre and vitamin C.
CONCLUSIONResults indicated that dietary and nutritional factors were important risk factors to the etiology of urinary calculi.
Ascorbic Acid ; administration & dosage ; Case-Control Studies ; Diet ; Drinking ; Humans ; Logistic Models ; Nutritional Physiological Phenomena ; Risk Factors ; Urinary Calculi ; etiology
8.Based on a Markov model, cost-effectiveness analysis of influenza vaccination among people aged 60 years and older in Shenzhen
Xiaoliang WU ; Zhaojia YE ; Xu XIE ; Fang HUANG ; Dongfeng KONG ; Tiejian FENG ; Shunxiang ZHANG ; Yawen JIANG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2022;43(7):1140-1146
Objective:To assess the cost-effectiveness of influenza vaccination among people aged 60 years and older in Shenzhen.Methods:A Markov state transition model was constructed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of annual influenza vaccination for preventing influenza infection compared with no vaccination among the elderly from the social perspective. Allowing seasonal variation of influenza activity, the model followed a five-year cohort using weekly cycles. We employed once the Chinese gross domestic product (GDP) per capita in 2019 (70 892 yuan) as the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold and calculated the net monetary benefit (NMB) with costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) discounted at 5% annually. The impact of parameter uncertainty on the results was examined using one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA).Results:The base case amounted to approximately 35 yuan of cost-saving and a net gain of 0.007 QALYs. Correspondingly, the NMB was 529 yuan per vaccinated person. One-way sensitivity analyses showed that the NMB was relatively sensitive to changes in the attack rate of influenza and vaccine effectiveness. Based on the results of PSA with 1 000 Monte Carlo simulations, influenza vaccination had a probability of being cost-effective in 100% of the repetitions.Conclusions:The present study provides evidence that influenza vaccination is a cost-saving disease prevention strategy for people aged 60 years and older in Shenzhen.
9.Epidemiological characteristics of influenza and characteristics of hemagglutinin gene of B-Victoria strains in Hebei Province from 2018 to 2019
Guangyue HAN ; Yan LI ; Caixiao JIANG ; Yanfang LIU ; Lanfen LIU ; Shunxiang QI
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine 2021;55(7):847-852
Objective:To understand the epidemiological characteristics of influenza in Hebei Province from 2018 to 2019, and to analyze the characteristics and variation of hemagglutinin(HA) gene of influenza B-Victoria(BV) strains.Methods:Throat swab specimens of influenza-like cases within 3 days of fever were collected from 28 sentinel hospitals in Hebei province, meanwhile, The surveillance data was collected by the Chinese National Influenza Surveillance Network from April 2018 to March 2019, Throat swab specimens were collected from patients with influenza-like symptoms in sentinel hospitals, and tested by RT-PCR and virus isolation. 14 influenza B-Victoria strains from different regions were selected to sequence HA gene, Phylogenetic tree and the molecular characteristics were analyzed by DNASTAR 7.0 and Mega-X software.Results:From 2018 to 2019, A total of 99 266 cases of influenza-like illness (ILI) were detected from 4 689 103 cases by 28 influenza sentinel hospitals in Hebei Province, the visit percentage of ILI was 2.12%. During the period, 18 730 samples were detected, and 2 752(14.69%) samples were positive tested by RT-PCR, the peak was in the third week of 2019(44.92%), In the early stage of epidemic season, Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus was the main type, while BV virus was the main type in the late stage. HA gene sequence analysis showed that the 14 BV viruses belonged to 162-164 amino acid deletion strains, the amino acid homology between HA sequences was 97.16%-100.00%, and 97.16%-98.95% compared with the vaccine strain B/Colorado/06/2017 recommended by WHO. Compared with the vaccine strains, 14 strains involved 11 amino acid site mutations.Conclusion:Influenza was prevalent in winter and spring in Hebei province from 2018 to 2019, Multiple mutations in antigenic sites of BV viruses might be related to the outbreaks.
10.Effects of sFRP3 overexpression on the activation and proliferation of murine cardiac fibroblasts
Shunxiang JIANG ; Bin TU ; Kai SONG ; Huanhuan HE ; Hui TAO ; Wei CAO
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2024;59(5):809-814
Objective To explore the role of secreted frizzled-related protein 3 (sFRP3), a regulator of the Wnt signaling pathway, in the activation and proliferation of murine cardiac fibroblasts (CFs).Methods Neonatal mice aged 1-3 days were obtained for surgical procedures to collect heart tissues.After digestion, CFs were isola-ted and cultured.Transforming growth factor-beta 1 (TGF-β1) stimulation was used to induce activation and prolif-eration in CFs after they adhered to the culture dish.Once the model was confirmed, experimental and control groups were transfected with sFRP3 overexpression plasmids and empty plasmids for 24-48 hours.Expression lev-els of sFRP3, Periostin (POSTN), Type Ⅰ collagen (Collagen Ⅰ), and proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PC-NA) were assessed at the molecular level using Western blot and qRT-PCR.Changes in cell proliferation capacity were examined using MTT, CCK-8, and EdU staining methods.Results In the TGF-β1-induced activation and proliferation model of CFs, compared to the control group, the model group exhibited decreased expression of sFRP3 protein and mRNA, while the expression of activation and proliferation-related proteins PCNA, POSTN, and Collagen Ⅰ was upregulated.Furthermore, in CFs overexpressing sFRP3 through plasmid transfection, the protein and mRNA expression of PCNA, POSTN, and Collagen Ⅰ decreased compared to the empty vector group.MTT, CCK-8 , and EdU experiments indicated a significant decrease in the proliferative activity of CFs in the sFRP3 over-expression group compared to the empty vector group.Conclusion Overexpression of sFRP3 markedly inhibits the activation and proliferation of CFs, suggesting that sFRP3 may be a key gene involved in the regulation of CF acti-vation and proliferation.