Objective To investigate the water infectivity in key water regions,and analyze the transmission risk of schisto-somiasis in suspicious and high-risk environments in Hubei Province in 2016. Methods Schistosome-endemic areas of the Yangtze River,the Hanbei River and the Fu River were chosen as the surveillance and forecast sites. The water infectivity was detected by using the sentinel mice during the flood season. The infection status of residents in the villages around the surveil-lance sites and the activities of human beings and domestic animals were surveyed. The emergency response system was initiated when the water infectivity areas were detected. Results From May to June,among the ten surveillance sites of the first batch, two positive spots with infected mice were found,accounting for 20％. All the recovered mice(totally 200)were dissected:five mice were infected,with a total infection rate of 2.5％. Totally five schistosome adult worms were collected,with mean worm bur-den of 1 worm per infected mouse. The site with cercariae-infected water body started the emergency response and no epidemic occurred. From August to September,among the eight surveillance sites of the second batch,the recovered mice(totally 160) were dissected,and no infected sentinel mice were found. Conclusion The sentinel mice method plays an important role in an-alyzing the schistosomiasis transmission risk in Hubei Province.

Objective To evaluate the effect of wild feces detection in Oncomelania hupensis environments on the surveil?lance of infection source of schistosomiasis,and find the weakness in schistosomiasis control in Hubei Province,so as to put for?ward the targeted strategies and measures. Methods Four environments with O. hupensis snails in endemic areas of Hubei Provinces,where human and livestock often haunted,were selected according to the river systems,namely the Juzhanghe River beach in Jingzhou City,Changjiang River beach in Jiayu County,Hanbei River beach in Tianmen City,and Changshou River beach in Zhongxiang City,then the snail survey and wild feces detection were implemented in the selected environments. Re?sults There were O. hupensis snails,livestock,wild feces of cattle or sheep as well as positive cattle feces found in all the 4 environments,and the positive rate of schistosome miracidium incubation was 47.62%. Conclusion The schistosome miracidi?um positive rate of wild feces of cattle is high in the environments with snails in endemic areas of Hubei Province ,which has high risk for schistosomiasis transmission.

Objective To evaluate the effects of the schistosomiasis control mode(“Hubei mode”)that includes“compre-hensive measures in a whole endemic county”,“co-action of Health Ministry and Province”and“replacing cattle with machine”in Hubei Province. Methods The data of schistosomiasis control in Hubei Province from 2008 to 2012 were collected and a data-base including the annual schistosome infections of human and cattle,acute schistosome infection,outbreak of schistosomiasis en-demic,schistosome infected Oncomelania hupensis snails,and other prevention indicators was established and analyzed by using SPSS. Results Compared with 2008,in 2012,the infection rates declined by 64.91%and 88.63%in human and cattle respec-tively. The area with snails decreased from 5 423.85 hm2 in 2008 to zero. There were no acute schistosomiasis patients and out-break of schistosomiasis endemic. Conclusion The schistosomiasis control mode(“Hubei mode”)is effective significantly.

Objective To master the trend of schistosomiasis epidemic by means of established observation points and give the scientific reference for the control decision making henceforth. Methods Three villages of schistosomiasis with highly prevalence in Hubei Province were selected as observation points, and their epidemiological status were observed from 1990-1998. Results The schistosomiasis prevalence was considerably decreasing in the 3 villages, from high epidemic areas into medium or light areas. Conclusion It is a right tactic to use the selective population chemotherapy and control snail in high transmission areas of schistosomiasis in high epidemic areas.

Objective To analyze the Oncomelania hupensis snail situation in schistosomiasis surveillance sites in Hubei Province from 2009 to 2014. Methods From 2009 to 2014,207 schistosomiasis endemic villages from 13 cities were selected as the surveillance sites in Hubei Province,where the surveillance of snail situation was performed,and the data about the in?dexes of snail situation during the 6 years were collected and analyzed statistically. Results From 2009 to 2014,totally 80 963.47 hm2 of snail areas were investigated,and 45 309.77 hm2 of area with snails as well as 364.93 hm2 of area with infected snails were found out,and 1 646 125 snails were captured. In the 207 surveillance sites,the density of living snails was reduced from 0.493 3 snail/0.1 m2 in 2009 to 0.339 3 snail/0.1 m2 in 2014,with a decline rate of 31.22%;the density of infected snails was reduced from 0.000 7 snail/0.1 m2 in 2009 to 0 in 2014;the infection rate of snails was reduced from 0.14%in 2009 to 0 in 2014. The infection rates of snails in the third?rank villages,endemic areas in inner embankment,ditch environment and weed environment were relatively higher. Conclusions The snail situation of Hubei Province has been declined steadily. However, the environment of snail breeding has not been changed completely. In order to consolidate the control achievements further ,the measures including mollusciciding and snail control projects should be strengthened.

Objective To improve the information level of schistosomiasis control by using the related functions of Corel-DRAW software. Methods Combining with the requirement of schistosomiasis control,the sketch map was drawn according to the linear element drawing,the geometric drawing,the color rendering and the text adding. Results The schistosomiasis epi-demic sketch map and the Oncomelania hupensis snail distribution sketch map at all levels were produced in CorelDRAW soft-ware. Conclusion The sketch map drawing in CorelDRAW software is beautiful and standardizing,and it can improve the lev-el of information management.

Objective To analyze the malaria control measures and epidemic trend in Hubei Province from 1974 to 2015, so as to provide the evidence for malaria elimination path analysis. Methods The malaria control data in Hubei Province from 1974 to 2015 were collected and analyzed retrospectively by descriptive epidemiological methods. Results The epidemic pro?cess of malaria in Hubei Province was divided into four stages. From 1974 to 1979,it was high prevalence state of malaria,and the average annual incidence was 174.47/10 000. From 1980 to 1999,the main control strategies were to control the infection source and mosquitoes,and the average annual incidence was 17.30/10 000,significantly downward. From 2000 to 2009, through the surveillance of infection sources and controlling malaria outbreaks and strengthening the floating population manage?ment,the average annual incidence was 0.42/10 000. After 2010,followed by the elimination phase of malaria,the incidence continued to decline. In 2013,there was no local infection for the first time. The difference of average annual incidence among above?mentioned stages was statistically significant(χ2=1 254.36,P<0.05). Conclusions The malaria epidemic process in Hubei Provincial experienced the high epidemic stage,sharply drop stage,low incidence phase and the elimination phase. How?ever,the natural factors affecting malaria still exist. Therefore,strengthening the control of imported malaria and surveillance should be the main task in the process of eliminating malaria in the future.

Objective To analyze the surveillance results of schistosomiasis and understand the transmission situation in Hu?bei Province in 2014. Methods According to the Scheme of Schistosomiasis Surveillance in Hubei Province(the 2009 edi?tion),207 endemic sites were selected,where the schistosome infections of residents and livestock,and the distribution of On?comelania hupensis snails were investigated. Results In the 207 sites,there were 27 sites without positive results of the blood tests and 129 sites without positive results of the stool tests. The infection rates of residents and cattle were 0.17%and 0,respec?tively. The density of living snails was 0.339 3 snails/0.1m2,the rate of living snails was 10.12%,and the infection rate of snails was 0. The infection rate of residents in the inner embankment type was 0.22%,higher than the rates in the other types. In differ?ent age groups,the infection rate in the 50-59 years age group was higher than the rates in other age groups. The infection rates of residents in farmer and fisherman were higher than those in the other occupation groups. The infection rate of floating people was 0,and no acute schistosomiasis patients were found. Conclusion The endemic situation of schistosomiasis has decreased obviously in Hubei Province,and the whole province has achieved the criteria for transmission control of schistosomiasis.

Objective To grasp the distribution and epidemiology of confirmed cases of schistosomiasis in Hubei Province, so as to provide the evidence for promoting the prevention and control work. Methods The confirmed cases of schistosomiasis in Hubei Province from 2010 to 2014 were epidemiologically investigated,and the prevalence characteristics and main influenc?ing factors were analyzed. Results A total of 10 102 confirmed cases from 2010 to 2014 were surveyed. There were 1 062 local infected patients,accounting for 10.51%and including 354 repeated infections and 17 newly infected. There were 290 foreign?infected patients,accounting for 2.87%,with 206 repeated infection cases and 84 newly infected. There were 8 750 historical patients,including 2 229 patients who leaked the former schistosomiasis investigations,accounting for 22.06%;570 patients missed treatment,accounting for 5.64%;3 640 patients were treated with non?standard therapy,accounting for 36.03%;2 311 patients were treated with poor medication efficacy,accounting for 22.88%. The multivariate non?conditional Logistic regres?sion,targeting at confirmed cases in 2014,showed that,for the leaking investigations,the potential risk factors included the age,educational level,and latrine renovation(b>0,OR>1),the protective factors were the times of previous treatment,cat?tle feeding in villager team,and Oncomelania hupensis snails in surroundings(b<0,OR<1);for the treatment?missing,the age,educational level,snails in the surroundings of residence were risk factors(b<0,OR<1);for the substandard treat?ment,the risk factors included the occupation and snails in the surroundings of residence(b>0,OR>1),and the educational level and snails in the own field were protective factors(b<0,OR<1). Conclusion The epidemiological investigation on the confirmed cases of schistosomiasis could grasp the epidemic factors so as to improve the management and carry out the scientific control.

Objective To study the endemic trend of schistosomiasis japonica in Hubei Province,so as to provide the theo?retical basis for surveillance and forecasting of schistosomiasis. Methods The time?series auto regression integrated moving av?erage(ARIMA)model was applied to fit the infection rate of residents of Hubei Province from 1987 to 2013,and to predict the shot?term trend of infection rate. Results The actual values of infection rate of residents were all in the 95%confidence inter?nals of value predicted by the ARIMA model. The prediction showed that the infection rate of residents of Hubei Province would continue to decrease slowly. Conclusion The time?series ARIMA model has good prediction accuracy,and could be used for the short?term forecasting of schistosomiasis.