2.A cohort study on cumulative atherogenic index of plasma for predicting the risk of developing new-onset non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in a population of young and middle-aged individuals
Zhenhong GAO ; Qi QI ; Wansong LI ; Xinyu WU ; Quanle HAN ; Lei LI ; Yue JIANG ; Ruojie WU ; Shouling WU ; Kangbo LI
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(11):2278-2285
ObjectiveTo investigate the association between cumulative atherogenic index of plasma (cumAIP) and the risk of new-onset nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in young and middle-aged individuals. MethodsA prospective cohort study was conducted among the young and middle-aged individuals (aged 18 to <60 years) in the Kailuan study cohort who underwent physical examination in Kailuan General Hospital and its 10 affiliated hospitals in June 2006 to October 2010, and after screening based on the inclusion and exclusion criteria, 33 987 individuals were included in the observation cohort. The individuals were divided into Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4 groups based on the quantiles of cumAIP. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the cumulative incidence rate of new-onset NAFLD in the four groups, while the log-rank test was used for comparison between groups. A multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to obtain the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of the risk of new-onset NAFLD in the four groups. A one-way analysis of variance was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between multiple groups, and the Kruskal-Wallis H test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between multiple groups; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical variables between groups. ResultsThe mean follow-up was 10.89±2.54 years, and there were 6 011 cases of new-onset NAFLD, including 995 cases in the Q1 group, 1 366 in the Q2 group, 1661 in the Q3 group, and 1 989 in the Q4 group, with an incidence density of 11.37, 16.02, 19.97, and 24.91 per thousand person-years. The log-rank test showed that there was a significant difference in cumulative incidence rate between the four groups (P<0.001). With the presence or absence of NAFLD as the dependent variable and the quantiles of different exposure levels to cumAIP as the independent variable, the multivariate Cox regression model analysis showed that compared with the Q1 group, the Q2, Q3, and Q4 groups had an HR of 1.30 (95%CI: 1.20 — 1.41), 1.52 (95%CI: 1.41 — 1.65), and 1.79 (95%CI: 1.64 — 1.95), respectively, for new-onset NAFLD, with a Ptrend value of <0.001. With the presence or absence of new-onset NAFLD as the dependent variable and the cumulative exposure to AIP for 0, 2, 4, and 6 years as the independent variable, the Cox regression analysis showed that compared with cumulative exposure to AIP for 0 years, cumulative exposure to AIP for 2, 4, and 6 years had an HR of 1.24 (95%CI: 1.15 — 1.35), 1.51 (95%CI: 1.40 — 1.64), and 1.70 (95%CI: 1.56 — 1.84), respectively, with a Ptrend value of <0.001. A sensitivity analysis was performed after exclusion of the individuals with new-onset NAFLD within 2 years, the individuals who experienced atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events during follow-up, and the individuals taking antihypertensive, hypoglycemic, and lipid-lowering drugs, and the results were similar to those of the main analysis. Considering the competitive relationship between all-cause death and outcome events, a competing risk analysis of death was performed, which showed that the results of risk analysis were similar to those of the main analysis. ConclusionA high level of cumAIP exposure can increase the risk of new-onset NAFLD in young and middle-aged individuals.
3.Effect of home-based exercise rehabilitation on cardiac structure and exercise capacity in patients with severe aortic stenosis after transcatheter aortic valve replacement
Zehan XIE ; Shouling MI ; Nianwei ZHOU ; Zhiyun SHEN ; Wei LI ; Xianhong SHU ; Limin LUO ; Xingguo ZHU ; Zhenglong XIAO ; Lei ZHUANG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2025;32(5):827-834
Objective To explore the effects of home-based exercise rehabilitation on cardiac structure, valvular function, and exercise capacity in patients with severe aortic stenosis (AS) after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). Methods 49 patients with severe AS who underwent TAVR at Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, from January 2024 to February 2025 were enrolled. They were divided into an exercise group (n=25) or a non-exercise group (n=24) based on participating or not in home-based rehabilitation after TAVR. The exercise group received 12 weeks of home-based exercise training (aerobic exercise plus resistance training every week); the non-exercise group received routine care. Transthoracic echocardiography (TTE) was used to assess cardiac structural parameters before discharge (T0) and after 12 weeks of exercise (T1). Functional outcomes including the 6-minute walk test (6MWT), Duke Activity Status Index (DASI), and Short Physical Performance Battery (SPPB) were compared between the two groups. A linear mixed-effects model was used to analyze the effect of home-based rehabilitation on echocardiographic parameters. Patients were stratified by baseline 6MWT (<240 m as low-function subgroup, ≥240 m as high-function subgroup) to compare exercise-related outcomes between subgroups. Results At T1, the exercise group had a longer 6MWT distance than the non-exercise group (P=0.012). The linear mixed-effects model showed that after 12 weeks of exercise, the left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDD) decreased in the exercise group but slightly increased in the non-exercise group, with a significant difference in changes over time between the two groups (Pinteraction=0.030). The exercise group also showed greater improvement in effective orifice area index (Pinteraction=0.028) and effective orifice area (Pinteraction=0.042) than the non-exercise group. Subgroup analysis revealed that in the low-function subgroup, the exercise group showed greater improvement in the 6MWT (Pinteraction=0.035) and the effective orifice area index (Pinteraction=0.046) compared to the non-exercise group; in the high-function subgroup, the exercise group showed greater improvement only in LVEDD compared to the non-exercise group (Pinteraction=0.046). Conclusions Home-based exercise rehabilitation improves exercise capacity, optimizes left ventricular remodeling, and enhances valvular function in patients with severe AS after TAVR, with greater benefits observed in patients with lower baseline 6MWT.
4.Impact of Baseline Non-high-density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Level on New-onset Cardiovascular Disease Among Postmenopausal Women
Lisha ZHANG ; Shouling WU ; Zhiqiang SHAO ; Jia GUO ; Jian WANG ; Wenqi XU ; Lu GUO ; Wenjuan LI ; Shuohua CHEN ; Yijun GAO
Chinese Circulation Journal 2024;39(1):61-67
Objectives:To investigate the impact of baseline non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(non-HDL-C)levels on new-onset cardiovascular disease(CVD)in postmenopausal women. Methods:This prospective cohort study selected 8 893 postmenopausal women who participated from 2006 to 2018 employee health examination of Kailuan Group and had complete total cholesterol(TC)and HDL-C data and no history of CVD.Participants were followed up to 31 December,2021.The primary endpoint was the occurrence of CVD or death.According to the Chinese Lipid Management Guidelines(2023),the participants were divided into non-HDL-C<4.1 mmol/L group(n=6 079),4.1 mmol/L≤non-HDL-C<4.9 mmol/L group(n=1 824)and non-HDL-C≥4.9 mmol/L group(n=990).The cumulative incidence of CVD in different groups of non-HDL-C levels was calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method and tested by log-rank analysis.Multivariate Cox regression model was used to analyze the effects of different non-HDL-C levels on CVD. Results:The mean follow-up time was(10.78±4.48)years,the cumulative incidence of CVD in different non-HDL-C level groups was 1.82%,3.24%and 2.89%,respectively.Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed a statistically significant difference in cumulative incidence among the three groups(log-rank P<0.0001).The results of Cox regression analysis showed that after adjusting for confounding factors such as age and sex,the HR(95%CI)values for CVD in the 4.1≤non-HDL-C<4.9 mmol/L group and the non-HDL-C≥4.9 mmol/L group were 1.40(1.13-1.74)and 1.35(1.03-1.78),respectively. Conclusions:High non-HDL-C levels are an independent risk factor for new-onset CVD in postmenopausal women.
5.The impact of non-HDL-C level on major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events and all-cause mortality after revascularization
Xuewen WANG ; Shihe LIU ; Xu HAN ; Qian LIU ; Shuohua CHEN ; Xiujuan ZHAO ; Lu LI ; Shouling WU ; Yuntao WU
Chinese Journal of Cardiology 2024;52(6):667-675
Objective:To investigate the impact of non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C) level on major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCE) and all-cause mortality in the Kailuan Study cohort undergoing revascularization.Methods:This is a prospective cohort study, with participants from the Kailuan Study cohort who participated in physical examinations from 2006 to 2020 and received revascularization therapy for the first time. According to the level of non-HDL-C, the study subjects were divided into 3 groups:<2.6 mmol/L group, 2.6-<3.4 mmol/L group, and≥3.4 mmol/L group. Annual follow-up was performed, and the endpoint events were MACCE and all-cause mortality. Cox proportional regression model was implemented to estimate the impact on MACCE and all-cause mortality associated with the different non-HDL-C groups. The partial distributed risk model was used to analyze the impact of different non-HDL-C levels on MACCE event subtypes, and death was regarded as a competitive event. The restricted cubic spline regression model was used to explore the dose-response relationship between non-HDL-C level and all-cause mortality, MACCE and its subtypes.Results:A total of 2 252 subjects were enrolled in the study, including 2 019 males (89.65%), aged (62.8±8.3) years, the follow-up time was 5.72 (3.18, 8.46) years. There were 384 cases(17.05%) of MACCE and 157 cases(6.97%) of all-cause mortality. Compared with patients with non-HDL-C≥3.4 mmol/L, patients with non-HDL-C<2.6 mmol/L were associated with a 38% reduced risk of MACCE after revascularization [ HR=0.62(95% CI: 0.48-0.80)]. Every 1 mmol/L decrease in non-HDL-C was associated with a 20% reduction in the risk of MACCE [ HR=0.80(95% CI: 0.73-0.88)]. The results of restricted cubic spline also showed that non-HDL-C levels after revascularization therapy were positively correlated with MACCE events (overall association P<0.001, non-linear association P=0.808). For all-cause mortality, compared to the non-HDL-C≥3.4 mmol/L group, the HR for all-cause mortality after revascularization in non-HDL-C<2.6 mmol/L group was 0.67(95% CI: 0.46-1.01). Every 1 mmol/L decrease in non-HDL-C was associated with a 15% reduction in the risk of all-cause mortality [ HR=0.85(95% CI: 0.73-0.99)]. The restricted cubic spline results showed a linear association between non-HDL-C levels after revascularization therapy and the risk of all-cause mortality (overall association P=0.039, non-linear association P=0.174). Conclusion:The decrease in non-HDL-C levels after revascularization were significantly associated with a reduced risk of MACCE and all-cause mortality.
6.Association of stage 1 hypertension defined by the 2017 ACC/AHA guideline with cardiovascular events and mortality in Chinese adults
Qiannan GAO ; Liuxin LI ; Jingjing BAI ; Luyun FAN ; Jiangshan TAN ; Shouling WU ; Jun CAI
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(1):63-72
Background::The 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) blood pressure (BP) guideline lowered the threshold defining hypertension to 130/80 mmHg. However, how stage 1 hypertension defined using this guideline is associated with cardiovascular events in Chinese adults remains unclear. This study assessed the association between stage 1 hypertension defined by the 2017 ACC/AHA guideline and clinical outcomes in the Chinese population.Methods::Participants with stage 1 hypertension ( n = 69,509) or normal BP ( n = 34,142) were followed in this study from 2006/2007 to 2020. Stage 1 hypertension was defined as a systolic blood pressure of 130–139 mmHg or a diastolic blood pressure of 80–89 mmHg. None were taking antihypertensive medication or had a history of myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, or cancer at baseline. The primary outcome was a composite of MI, stroke, and all-cause mortality. The secondary outcomes were individual components of the primary outcome. Cox proportional hazards models were used for the analysis. Results::During a median follow-up of 11.09 years, we observed 10,479 events (MI, n = 995; stroke, n = 3408; all-cause mortality, n = 7094). After multivariable adjustment, the hazard ratios for stage 1 hypertension vs. normal BP were 1.20 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.13–1.25) for primary outcome, 1.24 (95% CI, 1.05–1.46) for MI, 1.45 (95% CI, 1.33–1.59) for stroke, and 1.11 (95% CI, 1.04–1.17) for all-cause mortality. The hazard ratios for participants with stage 1 hypertension who were prescribed antihypertensive medications compared with those without antihypertensive treatment during the follow-up was 0.90 (95% CI, 0.85–0.96). Conclusions::Using the new definition, Chinese adults with untreated stage 1 hypertension are at higher risk for MI, stroke, and all-cause mortality. This finding may help to validate the new BP classification system in China.
7.Influence of serum cumulative triglyceride exposure on the risk of acute pancreatitis
Afang SU ; Xiaozhong JIANG ; Yunshui ZHANG ; Shouling WU ; Guangjian LI
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2024;40(12):2492-2498
ObjectiveTo investigate the association between cumulative triglyceride (cumTG) exposure and the risk of acute pancreatitis (AP). MethodsA prospective study was conducted for a cohort of 56 883 workers from Kailuan Group who participated in annual physical examination for three consecutive times in 2006-2010 (2006, 2008, and 2010) and had complete TG data without the medical history of AP. According to the quartiles of cumTG calculated, the subjects were divided into four groups (Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4 groups), and general information was compared between the two groups. A one-way analysis of variance was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between multiple groups, and the Kruskal-Wallis H test was used for comparison of continuous data with skewed distribution between multiple groups; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot the survival curve and calculate the cumulative incidence rate of AP, and the Log-rank test was used for comparison between groups; the Cox regression model was used to analyze the effect of different cumTG levels on new-onset AP events. ResultsAfter follow-up for 10.51±1.76 years, there were 158 AP events in total, with a total incidence density of 2.64 per 10 000 person-years, and the number of cases and incidence density in the Q1, Q2, Q3, and Q4 groups were 29 cases (1.93 per 10 000 person-years), 34 cases (2.27 per 10 000 person-years), 30 cases (2.01 per 10 000 person-years), and 65 cases (4.37 per 10 000 person-years). The Log-rank test showed that there was a significant difference in cumulative incidence rate between groups (χ2=22.41, P<0.001). The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that compared with the Q1 group, the Q4 group had a significantly higher risk of AP (hazard ratio [HR]=1.94, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.20 — 3.13, P=0.01). Compared with cumulative triglyceride exposure for 0 year, cumulative triglyceride exposure for 4 and 6 years significantly increased the risk of AP, with an HR value of 2.04 (95%CI: 1.26 — 3.30, P<0.01) and 3.20 (95%CI: 1.98 — 5.17, P<0.01), respectively. After exclusion of the AP cases that occurred during the 2-year follow-up, the repeated multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the Q4 group had an HR value of 1.96 (95%CI: 1.23 — 3.12, P<0.01) for the onset of AP, and after exclusion of the death cases during follow-up, the repeated multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the Q4 group had an HR value of 1.85 (95%CI: 1.10 — 3.14, P<0.05) for the onset of AP. ConclusionThe incidence rate and risk of AP tend to increase with the increase in cumTG exposure.
8.A study on the association between exposure of uric acid accumulation and risks of acute pancreatitis
A'fang SU ; Guangjian LI ; Yunshui ZHANG ; Xiujuan ZHAO ; Shouling WU ; Xiaozhong JIANG
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2024;40(14):2009-2014
Objective To investigate the correlation between exposure of uric acid accumulation and the risks of acute pancreatitis(AP)in the population in Kailuan Group.Methods A prospective study was performed based on thesubjects receiving annual physical examination during 2006 to 2010 in Kailuan Group.All of them had no AP history but had complete data on UA.The starting point of follow-up was when the subjects completed the health examination in 2010,and the end point was new AP events,deaths or the end of follow-up(2021-12-31).Exposure of uric acid accumulation(cumUA)was calculated according to the average values of uric acid measured in each two consecutive physical examinations and the intervalbetween these two consecutive physical examinations.The cumulative incidences of AP indifferent subgroups(determined by the quartile of cumUA)were described using Kaplan-Meier product limit-method and compared by log-rank test.Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to analyze the impacts of different cumUA subgroups on new occurrence of AP events.Results A total of 55,799 subjects were included in this study.The subjects were divided into four groups according to the quartile of cumUA.Sex ratio,average age,BMI,systolic blood pressure(SBP),diastolic blood pressure(DBP),FPG,TC,TG,LDL-C,HDL-C,smoking,alcohol consumption,education≥9 years,physical exercise,history of hypertension,and history of cholelithiasis differed significantly among the groups(P<0.05),there was no difference in diabetes history among the 4 groups(P=0.30).153 patients developed AP during an average follow-up of(10.52±1.75)years,the incidence rates were 1.65,2.76,2.13 and 3.96 per 10 000 person-year in the Q1,Q2,Q3and Q4,respectively(P<0.01).After adjusting sex,age,TC,TG,eGFR,smoking,alcohol consumption,education,physical activity,and history of hypertension,diabetes,or cholelithiasis,Multivariate analysis showed a significantly increased risk in Q4(HR=1.77,95%CI:1.07~2.92)as comparing with Q1.After excluding deaths during the follow-up period,Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed again in Q4 HR=1.75(95%CI:1.04~2.95).Conclusions With the increase of cumUA exposure,both morbidity and risk of AP occur-rence have the tendency of rising.
9.Association between dipstick hematuria and chronic kidney disease in patients with diabetes mellitus
Zhihui GUO ; Qiuyun LI ; Shouling WU
Chinese Journal of Diabetes 2024;32(11):834-838
Objective To investigate the association between dipstick hematuria and chronic kidney disease(CKD)in patients with diabetes mellitus(DM).Methods DM patients who underwent the first health examination among the working and retired employees of Kailuan General Hospital and 11 affiliated hospitals in Tangshan City,Hebei Province from 2006 to 2007 were included as the study objects.Test dipstick hematuria is defined by the level of urine occult blood on the test paper:negative dipstick hematuria(NH)<10 erythrocytes/μl,moderate dipstick hematuria(MH)trace~1+(10~49 erythrocytes/μl),severe dipstick hematuria(SH)2+~3+(≥50 erythrocytes/μl).CKD is diagnosed based on eGFR and urinary protein levels.Logistic regression model was used to analyze the association between paper hematuria and CKD in DM patients.Results A total of 8958 DM patients were included,including 2390 patients(26.68%)in the CKD group and 6568 patients(73.32%)in the DM group.The detection rates of moderate dipstick hematuria and severe dipstick hematuria in CKD group were 9.00%and 4.64%,respectively,higher than those in DM group(7.20%and 2.33%).The risk of CKD in MH and SH patients was 1.560(95%CI 1.260~1.940)and 3.080(95%CI 2.220~4.270)times that in NH patients,respectively.The odds ratios were 1.960(95%CI 1.530~2.510)and 3.430(95%CI 2.270~5.200)in males and 0.910(95%CI 0.580~1.430)and 2.760(95%CI 1.570~4.880)in females.The odds ratios were 1.650(95%CI 1.150~2.350)and 4.070(95%CI 2.240~7.400)in patients aged≥60 years,and 1.550(95%CI 1.170~2.040)and 2.860(95%CI 1.920~4.240)in patients aged<60 years.Conclusions Dipstick hematuria is a risk factor for CKD in DM patients.The association between dipstick hematuria and CKD in DM patients is not only independent of traditional risk factors,but also affected by age and gender.
10.Association Between Normal-weight Central Obesity With New-onset Cardiovascular Disease and All-cause Mortality
Zhanying MA ; Jierui WANG ; Haicheng SONG ; Fan YANG ; Jiaoyan LI ; Mingzhu ZHAO ; Lizhi CHEN ; Lina LI ; Wenfang YANG ; Shuohua CHEN ; Shouling WU ; Liufu CUI
Chinese Circulation Journal 2024;39(11):1110-1116
Objectives:To investigate the association between normal-weight central obesity with new-onset cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality risk. Methods:A prospective cohort study was conducted,selecting a total of 93885 participants from the Kailuan Study who had their first physical examination in 2006-2007.According to waist circumference (central obesity:male waist circumference ≥90 cm,female waist circumference ≥85 cm;no central obesity:male waist circumference<90 cm,female waist circumference<85 cm) and body mass index (BMI,normal weight:18.5 kg/m2≤BMI<24.0 kg/m2;overweight/obesity:BMI ≥24.0 kg/m2),the participants were divided into 4 groups:normal weight no central obesity group (G1 group),normal weight central obesity group (G2 group),overweight/obesity no central obesity group (G3 group) and overweight/central obesity group (G4 group);Using the Kaplan-Meier method,the cumulative incidence of new-onset cardiovascular diseases (including hemorrhagic stroke,ischemic stroke and myocardial infarction) and all-cause mortality in different groups was calculated,and the Log-rank test was used for intergroup comparisons.Furthermore,the associations between the different groups and the risk of new-onset cardiovascular diseases and all-cause mortality were analyzed using the multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression model. Results:After a median follow-up of 14.97 (14.55,15.17) years,the cumulative incidence of new-onset cardiovascular diseases in G1 group,G2 group,G3 group and G4 group was 7.62%,10.84%,8.67%,12.91% respectively (log-rank P<0.05) and the cumulative incidence of all-cause mortality was 12.83%,19.72%,10.65%,16.33% respectively (log-rank P<0.01).After adjusting for confounding factors,Cox regression analysis showed that the HR (95%CI) of new-onset cardiovascular diseases in G2 group,G3 group and G4 group were 1.14 (1.04-1.25),1.07 (1.01-1.14),1.27 (1.21-1.34),respectively compared with G1 group (all P<0.05).The HR (95%CI) of all-cause mortality were 1.06 (1.00-1.14),0.90 (0.85-0.95),0.97 (0.93-1.01) compared with G1 group,and P values were 0.07,<0.01,0.15,respectively.The results of sensitivity analysis were consistent with the above major studies after excluding overweight/obesity and cancer participants during follow-up. Conclusions:Normal-weight central obesity increases the risk of new-onset cardiovascular diseases and all-cause mortality.

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