1.Explainable machine learning model for predicting septic shock in critically sepsis patients based on coagulation indexes: A multicenter cohort study.
Qing-Bo ZENG ; En-Lan PENG ; Ye ZHOU ; Qing-Wei LIN ; Lin-Cui ZHONG ; Long-Ping HE ; Nian-Qing ZHANG ; Jing-Chun SONG
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):404-411
PURPOSE:
Septic shock is associated with high mortality and poor outcomes among sepsis patients with coagulopathy. Although traditional statistical methods or machine learning (ML) algorithms have been proposed to predict septic shock, these potential approaches have never been systematically compared. The present work aimed to develop and compare models to predict septic shock among patients with sepsis.
METHODS:
It is a retrospective cohort study based on 484 patients with sepsis who were admitted to our intensive care units between May 2018 and November 2022. Patients from the 908th Hospital of Chinese PLA Logistical Support Force and Nanchang Hongdu Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine were respectively allocated to training (n=311) and validation (n=173) sets. All clinical and laboratory data of sepsis patients characterized by comprehensive coagulation indexes were collected. We developed 5 models based on ML algorithms and 1 model based on a traditional statistical method to predict septic shock in the training cohort. The performance of all models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration plots. Decision curve analysis was used to evaluate the net benefit of the models. The validation set was applied to verify the predictive accuracy of the models. This study also used Shapley additive explanations method to assess variable importance and explain the prediction made by a ML algorithm.
RESULTS:
Among all patients, 37.2% experienced septic shock. The characteristic curves of the 6 models ranged from 0.833 to 0.962 and 0.630 to 0.744 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The model with the best prediction performance was based on the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm, which was constructed by age, tissue plasminogen activator-inhibitor complex, prothrombin time, international normalized ratio, white blood cells, and platelet counts. The SVM model showed good calibration and discrimination and a greater net benefit in decision curve analysis.
CONCLUSION
The SVM algorithm may be superior to other ML and traditional statistical algorithms for predicting septic shock. Physicians can better understand the reliability of the predictive model by Shapley additive explanations value analysis.
Humans
;
Shock, Septic/blood*
;
Machine Learning
;
Male
;
Female
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Sepsis/complications*
;
ROC Curve
;
Cohort Studies
;
Adult
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Algorithms
;
Blood Coagulation
;
Critical Illness
2.Expression of soluble factor-related apoptosis ligand in peripheral blood and microRNA-147b in monocytes in children with sepsis and their association with prognosis.
Jun ZHANG ; Xiao-Fei LIN ; Yun-Duo WU ; Hong-Li ZHU ; Juan LIU
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(1):82-87
OBJECTIVES:
To investigate the expression of soluble factor-related apoptosis ligand (sFasL) in peripheral blood and microRNA-147b (miR-147b) in monocytes in children with sepsis and their value in assessing prognosis.
METHODS:
A prospective study was conducted on 124 children with sepsis (sepsis group), 60 children with common infections (infection group), and 60 healthy children undergoing physical examinations (healthy control group). The independent risk factors for poor prognosis in children with sepsis were analyzed, and the value of serum sFasL and monocyte miR-147b in predicting poor prognosis in children with sepsis was assessed.
RESULTS:
The serum level of sFasL and the relative expression of miR-147b in monocytes were highest in the sepsis group, followed by the infection group and the healthy control group (P<0.05). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the serum level of sFasL and the relative expression of miR-147b in monocytes were closely associated with the poor prognosis of children with sepsis (P<0.05). The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that the combination of serum sFasL level and relative expression of miR-147b in monocytes had a larger area under the curve compared to each indicator alone in predicting the prognosis of children with sepsis (P<0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
There are significant increases in the level of sFasL in peripheral blood and the relative expression of miR-147b in monocytes in children with sepsis. The combined use of these two indicators has relatively high clinical value in assessing the prognosis of children with sepsis.
Humans
;
Sepsis/diagnosis*
;
MicroRNAs/blood*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Monocytes/metabolism*
;
Prognosis
;
Child, Preschool
;
Prospective Studies
;
Child
;
Infant
;
TNF-Related Apoptosis-Inducing Ligand/blood*
;
Logistic Models
3.Clinical characteristics and risk factors of pyogenic liver abscess complicated by sepsis in children.
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(3):328-333
OBJECTIVES:
To study the clinical characteristics and risk factors of pyogenic liver abscess complicated by sepsis in children.
METHODS:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 120 children with pyogenic liver abscess admitted from May 2004 to January 2024. According to the presence of sepsis, the children were divided into a sepsis group (82 cases) and a non-sepsis group (38 cases). The clinical characteristics of the two groups were compared, and risk factors associated with the occurrence of sepsis were identified.
RESULTS:
Among the 120 children with pyogenic liver abscess, 68.3% (82/120) had sepsis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that fever, elevated white blood cell count, and decreased albumin level were closely associated with the occurrence of sepsis (P<0.05). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis indicated that white blood cell count and albumin levels had significant predictive value for sepsis (P<0.05), and the combination of white blood cell count and albumin level showed higher predictive value for sepsis than the albumin level alone (P<0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
The clinical manifestations of children with pyogenic liver abscess complicated by sepsis are non-specific. Fever, elevated white blood cell count, and decreased albumin level are risk factors for sepsis in children with pyogenic liver abscess. Clinically, for children with unexplained fever and imaging suggestive of liver abscess, pyogenic liver abscess should be considered. If laboratory tests show elevated white blood cell count and decreased albumin level simultaneously, there should be a high level of suspicion for the development of sepsis.
Humans
;
Liver Abscess, Pyogenic/blood*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Risk Factors
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Sepsis/etiology*
;
Child, Preschool
;
Infant
;
Child
;
Leukocyte Count
;
Logistic Models
;
Adolescent
;
Serum Albumin/analysis*
4.Schistosoma japonicum cystatin has protective effects against "two-hit" sepsis in mice by regulating the inflammatory microenvironment.
Wenjuan DUO ; Yixiang WANG ; Jiaxing WANG ; Xinlong XU ; Linxian LI ; Dongchen YANG ; Qili SHEN ; Lichun YANG ; Xiaojing LIU ; Qiwang JING ; Liang CHU ; Xiaodi YANG
Journal of Southern Medical University 2025;45(1):110-117
OBJECTIVES:
To evaluate the protective effect of Schistosoma japonicum cystatin (rSj-Cystatin) in a mouse mode of "two-hit" sepsis.
METHODS:
Sixty male C57BL/6 mice randomized equally into sham-operated group, protein group, "two-hit" modeling group, and protein intervention group. In the former two groups, the mice received an intraperitoneal injection of 100 μL PBS followed by exposure of the cecum and then by intraperitoneal injection of 100 μL PBS or 25 μg rSj-Cystatin 30 min later; In the latter two groups, 100 μL PBS containing LPS (5 mg/kg) was injected intraperitoneally 24 h before cecal ligation and puncture (CLP), and 100 μL PBS or 25 μg rSj-Cystatin were injected 30 min after CLP. At 12 h after rSj-Cystatin treatment, 6 mice from each group were sacrificed for detection of TNF-α, IL-6, IL-10, TGF-β, iNOS and Arg-1 in the serum, spleen, liver, lung and kidney tissues using ELISA, for examinations of liver, lung and kidney pathologies with HE staining, and for analysis of CD3+CD4+CD25+Foxp3+ T cell percentage in the spleen using flow cytometry. The remaining mice were observed for general condition and 72-h survival.
RESULTS:
The 72-h survival rates in the 4 groups were 100%, 100%, 0% and 20%, respectively, showing significant differences between the latter two groups. The mouse models of "two-hit" sepsis exhibited obvious tissue pathologies and significant elevations of TNF-α and IL-6 in both the serum and tissue homogenate, which were significantly ameliorated by rSj-Cystatin treatment. Treatment with rSj-Cystatin also increased IL-10 and TGF-β levels and spleen CD3+CD4+CD25+Foxp3+ T cell percentage. The septic mouse models also showed increased iNOS levels in all the detected tissues and a decreased Arg-1 level in the kidney, and these changes were obviously improved by rSj-Cystatin treatment.
CONCLUSIONS
rSj-Cystatin has a protective effect against "two-hit" sepsis in mice by regulating the inflammatory microenvironment.
Animals
;
Mice
;
Sepsis/drug therapy*
;
Male
;
Schistosoma japonicum/chemistry*
;
Mice, Inbred C57BL
;
Cystatins/therapeutic use*
;
Interleukin-10/metabolism*
;
Interleukin-6/blood*
;
Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha/blood*
;
Disease Models, Animal
;
Transforming Growth Factor beta/metabolism*
5.Early lactate/albumin ratio combined with quick sequential organ failure assessment for predicting the prognosis of sepsis caused by community-acquired pneumonia in the emergency department.
Xinyan ZHANG ; Yingbo AN ; Yezi DONG ; Min LI ; Ran LI ; Jinxing LI
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(2):118-122
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the predictive value of early lactate/albumin ratio (LAR) combined with quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) for the 28-day prognosis of patients with sepsis caused by emergency community-acquired pneumonia (CAP).
METHODS:
The clinical data of patients with sepsis caused by CAP admitted to the department of emergency of Beijing Haidian Hospital from June 2021 to August 2022 were retrospectively analyzed, including gender, age, comorbidities, lactic acid (Lac), serum albumin (Alb), LAR, procalcitonin (PCT) within 1 hour, and 28-day prognosis. Patients were divided into two groups based on 28-day prognosis, and risk factors affecting patients' prognosis were analyzed using univariate and multivariate Cox regression methods. Patients were divided into two groups according to the best cut-off value of LAR, and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to analyze the 28-day cumulative survival of patients in each group. Time-dependent receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) were plotted to analyze the predictive value of sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), and qSOFA+LAR score on the prognosis of patients with sepsis caused by CAP at 28 days. The area under the curve (AUC) was calculated and compared.
RESULTS:
A total of 116 patients with sepsis caused by CAP were included, of whom 80 survived at 28 days and 36 died, 28-day mortality of 31.0%. There were no statistically significant differences in age, gender, comorbidities, pH, platelet count, and fibrinogen between the survival and death groups, and there were significantly differences in blood urea nitrogen (BUN), white blood cell count (WBC), hemoglobin, Lac, Alb, PCT, D-dimer, LAR, as well as qSOFA score, SOFA score, and APACHE II score. Univariate Cox regression analyses showed that BUN, WBC, pH, Lac, Alb, PCT, LAR, qSOFA score, SOFA score, and APACHE II score were associated with mortality outcome. Multifactorial Cox regression analysis of the above variables showed that BUN, WBC, PCT, and APACHE II score were independent risk factors for 28-day death in the emergency department in patients with sepsis caused by CAP [hazard ratio (HR) were 1.081, 0.892, 1.034, and 1.135, respectively, all P < 0.05]. The best cut-off value of early LAR for predicting the 28-day prognosis of sepsis patients was 0.088, the Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that the 28-day cumulative survival rate of sepsis patients in the LAR ≤ 0.088 group was significantly higher than that in the LAR > 0.088 group [82.9% (63/76) vs. 42.5% (17/40), Log-Rank test: χ2 = 22.51, P < 0.001]. The qSOFA+LAR score was calculated based on the LAR cut-off value and qSOFA score, and ROC curve analysis showed that the AUCs of SOFA score, APACHE II score, and qSOFA+LAR score for predicting 28-day death of patients with sepsis caued by CAP were 0.741, 0.774, and 0.709, respectively, with the AUC of qSOFA+LAR score slightly lower than those of SOFA score and APACHE II score, but there were no significantly differences. When the best cut-off value of qSOFA+LAR score was 1, the sensitivity was 63.9% and the specificity was 80.0%.
CONCLUSION
The qSOFA+LAR score has predictive value for the 28-day prognosis of patients with sepsis caused by CAP in the emergency department, its predictive value is comparable to the SOFA score and the APACHE II score, and it is more convenient for early use in the emergency department.
Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data*
;
Sepsis/etiology*
;
Prognosis
;
Community-Acquired Pneumonia/mortality*
;
Organ Dysfunction Scores
;
Predictive Value of Tests
;
Lactic Acid/blood*
;
Serum Albumin, Human/analysis*
;
Biomarkers/blood*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Hospital Mortality
;
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
;
APACHE
;
Procalcitonin/blood*
;
ROC Curve
;
Area Under Curve
;
Humans
6.Impact and clinical significance of different types of fluid resuscitation on the glycocalyx in patients with early sepsis and septic shock: a single center, prospective, randomized controlled trial.
Lipeng DONG ; Xinhui WU ; Congcong ZHAO ; Shengmei GE ; Zhihong LIU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(3):237-244
OBJECTIVE:
To evaluate the risks and benefits of different resuscitation fluids in patients with early sepsis and septic shock by observing and comparing clinical indicators, clinical outcomes, and the concentration changes of glycocalyx biomarkers, and to determine how to appropriately select suitable resuscitation fluids for sepsis patients to aid fluid therapy.
METHODS:
A single center, prospective, randomized controlled trial was conducted. Patients with early sepsis and septic shock who have required fluid resuscitation after capacity status assessment admitted to the department of critical care medicine of Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University from April to October 2023 were enrolled. Patients were randomly assigned to either the experimental group (balanced crystalloid solution+albumin) or the control group (balanced crystalloid solution) by a random number table method. Clinical data of both groups of patients before and after resuscitation at 3, 8, and 24 hours were monitored, and blood samples were collected, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was used to measure the concentration of plasma glycocalyx biomarker syndecan-1. The 28-day and 90-day survival rates and complications were also assessed.
RESULTS:
A total of 66 patients were enrolled, including 44 in the experimental group and 22 in the control group. The baseline data of two groups were balanced and comparable. There was no statistically significant difference in the plasma concentration of syndecan-1 between the experimental group and the control group before and after resuscitation, and both showed a trend of first increasing and then decreasing. However, the plasma syndecan-1 level in the control group at 8 hours and 24 hours after resuscitation were significantly higher than the baseline level before resuscitation [ng/L: 19.02 (14.41, 27.80), 18.95 (12.40, 22.50) vs. 14.67 (11.57, 21.14), both P < 0.05], while there was no statistically significant difference at any time point within the experimental group. The correlation analysis between plasma syndecan-1 level and lactic acid, albumin, and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) in all patients showed that a positive correlation between syndecan-1 level and SOFA score before resuscitation (r = 0.247, P = 0.046), and a negative correlation between syndecan-1 level and albumin level at 24 hours after resuscitation (r = -0.308, P = 0.012). There were no statistically significant differences in 28-day and 90-day mortality, length of hospital stay, length of intensive care unit (ICU) stay, duration of mechanical ventilation, blood purification time, number of organ injuries, and complications between the two groups. However, the baseline albumin level in the experimental group was significantly lower than that in the control group (g/L: 28.7±4.5 vs. 31.6±4.2, P < 0.05). Analysis of clinical treatment data showed that compared with the control group, the experimental group had lower absolute lactate level at 8 hours and 24 hours after resuscitation [mmol/L: 8 hours was 1.30 (1.00, 1.88) vs. 1.60 (1.30, 3.05), 24 hours was 1.15 (0.80, 1.78) vs. 1.55 (1.08, 2.05), both P < 0.05], and higher lactate clearance rate [8 hours was 45% (27%, 56%) vs. 20% (-4%, 46%), 24 hours was 55% (34%, 70%) vs. 34% (-14%, 59%), both P < 0.05]. However, there were no statistically significant differences in the amount of fluid resuscitation, use of vasoactive drugs, and oxygenation index between the two groups during the resuscitation process. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that body mass index (BMI) was independently correlated with 90-day mortality [odds ratio (OR) = 1.991, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.023-3.387, P = 0.043].
CONCLUSIONS
There are no significant difference in plasma syndecan-1 level during fluid resuscitation of early sepsis and septic shock patients using balanced crystalloid fluid and balanced crystalloid fluid combined with albumin resuscitation, and there are no statistically significant differences in the impact on 28-day and 90-day prognosis, length of hospital stay, complications, and other aspects of the patients. However, compared to balanced crystalloid fluid, the combination of balanced crystalloid fluid and albumin for fluid resuscitation in sepsis patients has lower lactate level and better lactate clearance effect, but further validation is still needed through large-scale randomized controlled trials.
Humans
;
Clinical Relevance
;
Crystalloid Solutions/administration & dosage*
;
Fluid Therapy/methods*
;
Glycocalyx/metabolism*
;
Isotonic Solutions/administration & dosage*
;
Prospective Studies
;
Resuscitation/methods*
;
Sepsis/therapy*
;
Shock, Septic/therapy*
;
Syndecan-1/blood*
7.Predictive value of inflammatory indicator and serum cystatin C for the prognosis of patients with sepsis-associated acute kidney injury.
Wenjie ZHOU ; Nan ZHANG ; Tian ZHAO ; Qi MA ; Xigang MA
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(3):275-279
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the predictive value of inflammatory indicator and serum cystatin C (Cys C) for the prognosis of patients with sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SA-AKI).
METHODS:
A prospective observational study was conducted. Patients with SA-AKI admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of the General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University from January 2022 to December 2023 were selected as the study subjects. General patient data, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), inflammatory indicator, and serum Cys C levels were collected. The 28-day survival status of the patients was observed. A multivariate Logistic regression model was used to analyze the risk factors affecting the poor prognosis of SA-AKI patients. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was plotted to evaluate the predictive efficacy of each risk factor for the prognosis of SA-AKI patients.
RESULTS:
A total of 111 SA-AKI patients were included, with 65 patients (58.6%) in the survival group and 46 patients (41.4%) in the death group. The SOFA score, APACHE II score, interleukin-6 (IL-6), procalcitonin (PCT), hypersensitive C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), and serum Cys C levels in the death group were significantly higher than those in the survival group [SOFA score: 15.00 (14.00, 17.25) vs. 14.00 (11.00, 16.00), APACHE II score: 26.00 (23.75, 28.00) vs. 23.00 (18.50, 28.00), IL-6 (ng/L): 3 731.00±1 573.61 vs. 2 087.93±1 702.88, PCT (μg/L): 78.19±30.35 vs. 43.56±35.37, hs-CRP (mg/L): 266.50 (183.75, 326.75) vs. 210.00 (188.00, 273.00), serum Cys C (mg/L): 2.01±0.61 vs. 1.62±0.50, all P < 0.05]. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that SOFA score [odds ratio (OR) = 1.273, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.012-1.600, P = 0.039], IL-6 (OR = 1.000, 95%CI was 1.000-1.001, P = 0.043), PCT (OR = 1.018, 95%CI was 1.002-1.035, P = 0.030), and Cys C (OR = 4.139, 95%CI was 1.727-9.919, P = 0.001) were independent risk factors affecting the 28-day prognosis of SA-AKI patients. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of SOFA score, IL-6, PCT, and Cys C in predicting the 28-day prognosis of SA-AKI patients were 0.682 (95%CI was 0.582-0.782, P = 0.001), 0.753 (95%CI was 0.662-0.843, P < 0.001), 0.765 (95%CI was 0.677-0.854, P < 0.001), and 0.690 (95%CI was 0.583-0.798, P = 0.001), respectively. The combined predictive value of these four indicators for the prognosis of SA-AKI patients were superior to that of any single indicator, with an AUC of 0.847 (95%CI was 0.778-0.916, P < 0.001), a sensitivity of 95.7%, and a specificity of 56.9%.
CONCLUSION
The combination of SOFA score, IL-6, PCT, and Cys C provides a reliable predictive value for the prognosis of SA-AKI patients.
Humans
;
Acute Kidney Injury/mortality*
;
APACHE
;
C-Reactive Protein
;
Cystatin C/blood*
;
Interleukin-6/blood*
;
Logistic Models
;
Predictive Value of Tests
;
Procalcitonin/blood*
;
Prognosis
;
Prospective Studies
;
Risk Factors
;
ROC Curve
;
Sepsis/mortality*
8.Association of serum potassium trajectory with 30-day death risk in patients with sepsis in intensive care unit: a retrospective cohort study.
Shaoxu DENG ; Rui HUANG ; Fei XIA ; Tian ZHANG ; Longjiu ZHANG ; Jiangquan FU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(4):324-330
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the relationship between the trajectories of serum potassium changes after intensive care unit (ICU) admission and 30-day death risk in patients with sepsis.
METHODS:
A retrospective cohort study was conducted, including adult patients with sepsis admitted to the comprehensive ICU, medical intensive care unit (MICU) and emergency intensive care unit (EICU) of Guizhou Medical University Affiliated Hospital from January 2020 to January 2024. The patients who had a minimum of 5 days' hospitalisation in the ICU and who had at least 7 consecutive days of the serum potassium measurements were classified into five trajectories groups according to group-based trajectory modelling (GBTM) using SAS software. This was based on tendency changes in serum potassium levels in patients after admission to the ICU, which was categorized as follows: slowly increased from a low level group, slowly increased from a medium level of normal range group, slowly decreased from a medium level of normal range group, slowly decreased from a high level group, and slowly increased from a high level of normal range group. The patient's gender, age, medical history, and white blood cell count (WBC), platelet count (PLT), procalcitonin (PCT), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), prothrombin time (PT), blood sodium, and serum creatinine (SCr) at the time of admission to the ICU were collected. At the same time, the patient's worst sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score within 24 hours of admission to the ICU, length of ICU stay, and 30-day outcome were record. The differences in clinical data among different groups of patients were compared. The 30-day cumulative survival rates of the various serum potassium trajectories were plotted using Kaplan-Meier survival curves, the groups were then compared using the Log-Rank test. A multivariate Cox proportional risk regression analysis was developed to evaluate the independent effect of serum potassium trajectory on 30-day death risk.
RESULTS:
Finally, 342 ICU sepsis patients were enrolled, of which 42 patients in the slowly increased from a low level group (12.28%), 127 patients in the slowly increased from a medium level of normal range group (37.14%), 118 patients in the slowly decreased from a medium level of normal range group (34.50%), 28 patients in the slowly decreased from a high level group (8.19%), and 27 patients in the slowly increased from a high level of normal range group (7.89%). Except for age and APTT differences, there were no statistically significant differences in other clinical characteristics among the patients in the different serum potassium trajectories groups. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that there was statistically significant difference in the 30-day cumulative survival rate among the patients in the different serum potassium trajectories groups (Log-Rank test: χ2 = 14.696, P = 0.005), with the lowest in the slowly increased from a high level of normal range group (39.3%). Multivariate Cox proportional risk regression analysis showed that the patients with the serum potassium trajectory of slowly increased from a high level of normal range had the highest 30-day death risk [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.341, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.049-5.226, P = 0.038]. This association persisted after adjustment for variables such as gender, age, medical history, SOFA score, WBC, PLT, PCT, APTT, PT, blood sodium, and SCr (HR = 3.058, 95%CI was 1.249-7.488, P = 0.014).
CONCLUSION
Compared with the patients whose serum potassium fluctuated within the normal range, the sepsis patients in the ICU with a serum potassium trajectory that slowly increased from a high level of normal range had a significantly higher 30-day death risk.
Humans
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Sepsis/blood*
;
Potassium/blood*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Risk Factors
;
Hospital Mortality
;
Prognosis
9.Application value of pediatric sepsis-induced coagulopathy score and mean platelet volume/platelet count ratio in children with sepsis.
Jie HAN ; Xifeng ZHANG ; Zhenying WANG ; Guixia XU
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(4):361-366
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the application value of pediatric sepsis-induced coagulation (pSIC) score and mean platelet volume/platelet count (MPV/PLT) ratio in the diagnosis of pediatric sepsis and the determination of critical pediatric sepsis.
METHODS:
A retrospective cohort study was conducted, selecting 112 children with sepsis (sepsis group) admitted to pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) of Liaocheng Second People's Hospital from January 2020 to December 2023 as the study objects, and 50 children without sepsis admitted to the pediatric surgery department of our hospital during the same period for elective surgery due to inguinal hernia as the control (control group). The children with sepsis were divided into two groups according to the pediatric critical case score (PCIS). The children with PCIS score of ≤ 80 were classified as critically ill group, and those with PCIS score of > 80 was classified as non-critically ill group. pSIC score, coagulation indicators [prothrombin time (PT), international normalized ratio (INR), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), and fibrinogen (FIB)], and platelet related indicators (PLT, MPV, and MPV/PLT ratio) were collected. Pearson correlation method was used to analyze the correlation between pSIC score and MPV/PLT ratio as well as their correlation with coagulation indicators. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to screen the independent risk factors for pediatric sepsis and critical pediatric sepsis. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to evaluate the application value of the above independent risk factors on the diagnosis of pediatric sepsis and the determination of critical pediatric sepsis.
RESULTS:
112 children with sepsis and 50 children without sepsis were enrolled in the final analysis. pSIC score, PT, INR, APTT, FIB, MPV, and MPV/PLT ratio in the sepsis group were significantly higher than those in the control group [pSIC score: 0.93±0.10 vs. 0.06±0.03, PT (s): 14.76±0.38 vs. 12.23±0.15, INR: 1.26±0.03 vs. 1.06±0.01, APTT (s): 40.08±0.94 vs. 32.47±0.54, FIB (g/L): 3.51±0.11 vs. 2.31±0.06, MPV (fL): 8.86±0.14 vs. 7.62±0.11, MPV/PLT ratio: 0.037±0.003 vs. 0.022±0.001, all P < 0.01], and PLT was slightly lower than that in the control group (×109/L: 306.00±11.01 vs. 345.90±10.57, P > 0.05). Among 112 children with sepsis, 46 were critically ill and 66 were non-critically ill. pSIC score, PT, INR, APTT, MPV, and MPV/PLT ratio in the critically ill group were significantly higher than those in the non-critically ill group [pSIC score: 1.74±0.17 vs. 0.36±0.07, PT (s): 16.55±0.80 vs. 13.52±0.23, INR: 1.39±0.07 vs. 1.17±0.02, APTT (s): 43.83±1.72 vs. 37.77±0.95, MPV (fL): 9.31±0.23 vs. 8.55±0.16, MPV/PLT ratio: 0.051±0.006 vs. 0.027±0.001, all P < 0.05], PLT was significantly lower than that in the non-critically ill group (×109/L: 260.50±18.89 vs. 337.70±11.90, P < 0.01), and FIB was slightly lower than that in the non-critically ill group (g/L: 3.28±0.19 vs. 3.67±0.14, P > 0.05). Correlation analysis showed that pSIC score was significantly positively correlated with MPV/PLT ratio and coagulation indicators including PT, APTT and INR in pediatric sepsis (r value was 0.583, 0.571, 0.296 and 0.518, respectively, all P < 0.01), and MPV/PLT ratio was also significantly positively correlated with PT, APTT and INR (r value was 0.300, 0.203 and 0.307, respectively, all P < 0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that pSIC score and MPV/PLT ratio were independent risk factors for pediatric sepsis and critical pediatric sepsis [pediatric sepsis: odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95%CI) for pSIC score was 14.117 (4.190-47.555), and the OR value and 95%CI for MPV/PLT ratio was 1.128 (1.059-1.202), both P < 0.01; critical pediatric sepsis: the OR value and 95%CI for pSIC score was 8.142 (3.672-18.050), and the OR value and 95%CI for MPV/PLT ratio was 1.068 (1.028-1.109), all P < 0.01]. ROC curve analysis showed that pSIC score and MPV/PLT ratio had certain application value in the diagnosis of pediatric sepsis [area under the ROC curve (AUC) and 95%CI was 0.754 (0.700-0.808) and 0.720 (0.643-0.798), respectively] and the determination of critical pediatric sepsis [AUC and 95%CI was 0.849 (0.778-0.919) and 0.731 (0.632-0.830)], and the combined AUC of the two indictors was 0.815 (95%CI was 0.751-0.879) and 0.872 (95%CI was 0.806-0.938), respectively.
CONCLUSIONS
pSIC score and MPV/PLT ratio have potential application value in the diagnosis of pediatric sepsis and the determination of critical pediatric sepsis, and the combined application of both is more valuable.
Humans
;
Sepsis/complications*
;
Platelet Count
;
Mean Platelet Volume
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Child
;
Blood Coagulation Disorders/diagnosis*
;
Intensive Care Units, Pediatric
;
Male
;
Female
;
Partial Thromboplastin Time
;
Child, Preschool
;
Blood Coagulation
;
International Normalized Ratio
;
Infant
10.The relationship between serum sodium concentration and the risk of delirium in sepsis patients.
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(5):424-430
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the relationship between serum sodium level and the risk of delirium in patients with sepsis.
METHODS:
Based on the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV), adult patients with sepsis in the intensive care unit (ICU) were enrolled. The serum sodium level prior to the onset of sepsis during hospitalization was used as the exposure variable. Delirium was assessed using the ICU-confusion assessment method (ICU-CAM) as the primary outcome. Patients were divided into delirium and non-delirium groups based on the occurrence of delirium. The relationship between serum sodium level and delirium risk was described using restricted cubic spline (RCS) to determine the optimal reference range for serum sodium. Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the effect of blood sodium levels on delirium in sepsis patients. Subgroup analyses were performed to explore potential interactions and further validate the robustness of the results. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) analysis was performed to assess the predictive value of serum sodium level for delirium occurrence in patients with sepsis.
RESULTS:
A total of 13 889 patients with sepsis were included, of which 4 831 experienced delirium. The maximum and mean serum sodium values were significantly higher in the delirium group compared to the non-delirium group, while there were no statistically significant differences in terms of initial and minimum serum sodium values between the two groups. Compared with the non-delirium group, the delirium group had a higher mortality and longer hospital stay. The RCS curve showed that a "U"-shaped relationship between serum sodium level and delirium risk in patients with sepsis, with the optimal reference range for average serum sodium was 135.3-141.3 mmol/L. Group based on this reference range, compared to the group with 135.3 mmol/L ≤ serum sodium ≤ 141.3 mmol/L, the delirium incidence and mortality were significantly higher, and the hospital stay was longer in the groups with serum sodium < 135.3 mmol/L and serum sodium ≥ 141.3 mmol/L [delirium incidence: 36.92%, 40.88% vs. 31.22%; 28-day mortality: 23.08%, 20.15% vs. 13.39%; 90-day mortality: 30.75%, 24.81% vs. 18.26%; in-hospital mortality: 19.53%, 17.48% vs. 11.61%; ICU mortality: 14.35%, 14.05% vs. 9.00%; hospital length of stay (days): 10.1 (6.1, 17.7), 9.4 (5.4, 17.0) vs. 8.9 (5.5, 15.4), length of ICU stay (days): 3.7 (2.1, 7.1), 4.0 (2.1, 8.9) vs. 3.2 (1.9, 6.8); all P < 0.01]. Logistic regression analysis showed that, in the initial model and each factor-adjusted models, compared to the reference group with 135.3 mmol/L ≤ serum sodium < 141.3 mmol/L, serum sodium < 135.3 mmol/L increased the risk of delirium in septic patients by 21% to 29% [odds ratio (OR) was 1.21-1.29, all P < 0.01], while serum sodium ≥ 141.3 mmol/L increased the delirium risk by 28%-52% (OR was 1.28-1.52, all P < 0.01). Subgroup analyses based on gender, age, race, diuretic use, and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score revealed there was no significant interactions between subgroup variables and serum sodium, and the results supported that both serum sodium < 135.3 mmol/L and serum sodium ≥ 141.3 mmol/L were risk factors for delirium in septic patients. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) for predicting delirium in septic patients based on serum sodium was 0.614, with a cut-off value of 139.5 mmol/L yielding a specificity of 67.5% and sensitivity of 50.9%.
CONCLUSIONS
The risk of delirium in patients with sepsis is associated with serum sodium level in a "U"-shaped manner. Both high and low serum sodium levels are associated with increased risk of delirium, higher all-cause mortality, and prolonged hospital stays in patients with sepsis. Abnormal serum sodium levels may have predictive value for sepsis-associated delirium and could serve as an early biomarker for identifying delirium in septic patients, although further validation is needed.
Humans
;
Delirium/etiology*
;
Sepsis/complications*
;
Sodium/blood*
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Risk Factors
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Female
;
Aged
;
Logistic Models
;
Adult

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