Objective To combine grey relation analysis and partial least squares regression model to establish the forecasting model of per-patient hospitalization expenses .Methods Gray relational analysis was used to filter out the main factors affecting per-patient hospitalization expenses ,and then collinearity was examined between these factors .Partial least squares regression was used to establish prediction model of per-patient hospitalization expenses ,and the prediction accuracy was proved .Results After filtered by gray relational analysis ,the order of the importance of factors affecting per-patient hospitalization expenses was the west-ern medicine fee ,traditional Chinese medicine fees ,diagnosis and treat fees ,other fees ,inspection fees ,bed fees and operation fees . The established partial least squares regression model had a higher accuracy on fitting and prediction ,with low average relative er-ror ,respectively ,-0 .000 2% and 0 .349 3% .Conclusion The gray relational analysis and partial least squares regression are suit-able for the influencing factors and prediction analysis of hospitalization costs .It provides a reference for data with the small sample size and high collinearity between the variables .

OBJECTIVETo understand provider initiated HIV testing and counseling (PITC) in a region with high HIV/AIDS epidemic in China, and analyze its effect to early detection of HIV infections.

METHODSBetween January and December, 2013, 37 county level medical institutions were selected as the study sites, among which, 19 were public medical institutions and 18 were private institutions. According to the related regulation, procedures and contents of PITC, the study was implemented among outpatients and inpatients who seek for doctors in these medical institutions and PITC were provided for them. The 'Individual Investigation Form' was used to record the information and high-risky factors, and the respondents were taken venous blood and given HIV screening and confirmation. All available serum samples of newly found HIV/AIDS cases were tested using the BED HIV Incidence Capture Enzyme Immunoassay (BED-CEIA) to differentiate the long-term infections and new infections (early detected infections). Chi-square analysis was used to compare the differences of characteristics of newly infected patients.

RESULTSBetween January and December, 2013, a total of 37 medical institutions provided PITC. 55 164 person times were received HIV screening, among which 658 were HIV positive, and 598 were confirmed to be HIV positive. The 598 cases were all provided transferring service. The differences of age, marital status, education levels, transmission routes and testing institutions had statistical significance to early detection (χ(2) equals to 23.54, 10.50, 17.96, 21.22 and 4.80; P equals to < 0.001, 0.005, < 0.001, < 0.001 and 0.029, respectively). And the early detection proportions among patients aged from 20 to 29 and from 50 to 84 were 47.1% (114/242) and 42.1% (24/57), respectively; the proportions among single and married patients were 37.8% (56/148) and 38.9% (143/368), respectively; the proportion among patients with high school education levels were 42.6% (26/61); the proportion among patients transmitted by fixed heterosexual sexual partners was 46.0% (86/187); the proportion among private hospitals was 40.3% (58/144).

CONCLUSIONA certain proportion of HIV infections were early detected by PITC in this region. The HIV early detection proportions among specific age group and population with spouse/fixed sexual partners were relatively high.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome ; diagnosis ; epidemiology ; Adult ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; China ; Counseling ; Early Diagnosis ; Epidemics ; HIV Infections ; diagnosis ; epidemiology ; Humans ; Marital Status ; Mass Screening ; Middle Aged ; Outpatients ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Young Adult

OBJECTIVETo conduct health economic evaluation of the prevention of mother-to-child HIV among pregnant women in Dehong prefecture, Yunnan province, China from 2004 to 2013.

METHODSData on cost were collected mainly from the annual prevention of mother-to-child transmission (PMTCT) reporting system of Dehong prefecture, and supplemented by HIV PMTCT-related resource allocation data from local health bureau. Effectiveness indexes were from local continuous HIV surveillance system and annual reported data. Cost-effectiveness and cost-utility analysis were used to conduct the health economic evaluation.

RESULTSFrom 2004 to 2013, 283980 pregnant women were screened for HIV, 2 059 were detected as positive, and the HIV positive rate was 0.73%. The total cost of the PMTCT program was 14 227 000 RMB after discounting, and the unit cost of positive case finding was 4 200 RMB. A total of 26 cases of adults and 325 infants were avoided HIV infection, and the cost-effectiveness ratio (CER) was 40 500 RMB/case. The total obtained quality adjusted life years (QALY) from the program was 8 911.5, each one of which cost 1 600 RMB/QALY. If the feeding pattern were breast feeding, CER would be 42 800 RMB/case and each one of QALY would cost 2 200 RMB.

CONCLUSIONBased on the cost-effectiveness and cost-utility analysis, the HIV PMTCT of Dehong prefecture had economic value, which indicates that continued investment is needed to strengthen local HIV PMTCT work.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome ; Adult ; Child ; China ; Cost-Benefit Analysis ; Costs and Cost Analysis ; Female ; HIV Infections ; Health ; Humans ; Infant ; Infectious Disease Transmission, Vertical ; Mothers ; Pregnancy ; Quality-Adjusted Life Years

Objective To analyze the monitoring results of iodine deficiency disorders (IDD) of Dehong State in 2017,to find out the present situation of prevention and control of IDD,and to provide scientific basis for guiding the comprehensive prevention and control of IDD in our state in the future.Methods According to "Yunnan Iodine Deficiency Disorders Monitoring Program",a sampling survey was conducted in 5 counties (cities) of Dehong State,Yunnan Province.Urine and household salt samples were collected from children aged 8 to 10 years old and pregnant women in Mangshi,Lianghe County and Yingjiang County.Iodine content was detected.In addition,household salt samples of Ruili City and Longchuan County were collected to detect iodine content.Results There were 1 609 salt samples from local inhabitants,the coverage rate of iodized salt was 99.19％ (1 596/1 609),the edible rate of qualified iodized salt was 95.03％ (1 529/1 609) and the median of iodized salt was 23.76 mg/kg.The median of urinary iodine in 623 children aged 8 to 10 years old was 221.34 μg/L and the thyroid enlargement rate was 0.48％ (3/623).The median of urinary iodine in 346 pregnant women was 159.52 μg/L.Conclusion The iodine nutrition of children aged 8 to 10 years old and pregnant women of Dehong State is appropriate in 2017.

Objective To understand the current status of receiving no methadone maintenance treatment (MMT) and influencing factors in HIV infected injecting drug users (IDUs) in Dehong Dai and Jingpo autonomous prefectures,Yunnan province.Methods Data of survival of IDUs with AIDS in Dehong were collected from "Chinese National Comprehensive HIV/AIDS and Care Information System" in December,2014.Results There were 987 IDUs who should receive MMT,the majority of them were males (94.6％,934/987),aged 35-44 years (53.0％,523/987) and farmers (77.2％,762/987).Among the 987 IDUs,60.2％ (592/987) received no MMT.Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that being female (OR=2.66,95％CI:1.21-5.87),in Jingpo ethnic group (OR=3.05,95％CI:1.97-4.71) were the major risk factors for receiving no MMT;not being farmers (OR=0.46,95％CI:0.31-0.70),in Dai ethnic group (OR=0.53,95％CI:0.36-0.79),diagnosed HIV infection history ≥ 10 years (OR=0.60,95％CI:0.45-0.81) were the major protective factors for receiving no MMT.The reasons for receiving no MMT included long distance journey (289,48.8％),fear of exposure (124,20.9％),poor daily medication compliance (59,10.0％),fear of side effects (47,7.9％),others (73,12.3％).Conclusions The proportion of receiving no MMT in IDUs with AIDS in Dehong was high.Being female and farmer,in Jingpo ethnic group,low educational level,short diagnosed HIV infection history were influencing factors for receiving no MMT.The effective intervention measures should be taken to further improve MMT coverage according to the different characteristics of the patients.

Objective To determine the prevalence of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) primary drug resistance (HIV-PDR) in newly reported HIV-infected individuals in Dehong Prefecture,Yunnan Province in 2015.Methods Newly reported HIV-positive patients who had viral load ≥ 1 000 copies/mL from January to November in 2015 were tested for HIV-PDR by reverse transcriptionpolymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) and HIV pol gene sequencing.HIV-PDR was determined according to the Surveillance Drug Resistance Mutations (SDRM) list of Stanford University,which was recommended by World Health Organization (WHO) in 2009.Results A total of 322 newly reported HIV-infected cases whose pol gene was successfully amplified were included in the final analysis.Of them,211 (65.5％) were male,and 229 (71.1％) were sexually transmitted.A total of 152 (47.2％) were Chinese.A total of 29 HIV subtypes were found,including type B (12.1％),type C (28.0％),type CRF01_AE (24.5％),type CRF07_BC (5.9％),type CRF08_BC (5.6％),type 62_BC (7.5％),type BC-new breakpoint (3.4％) and other subtypes (13％).Six patients (1.9％) were defined as primary resistance to HIV according to the WHO standard.Conclusions The prevalence of HIV-PDR is 1.9％ among newly reported HIV-infected individuals,which is relatively low in the studied area.But HIV-PDR surveillance should be strengthened in this area with the scaling up of antiretroviral therapy.

Objective:To determine the baseline HIV viral load and demographic characteristics of newly diagnosed HIV cases from 2015 to 2017 in Dehong prefecture and provide a scientific basis for improving HIV prevention and treatment.Methods:All newly reported HIV-infected cases from 2015 to 2017 in Dehong prefecture were included in this study. Viral load, CD 4+ T cell counts and the demographic characteristics were collected and retrospectively analyzed. Results:From 2015 to 2017, a total of 1 157 newly diagnosed HIV cases were reported in Dehong prefecture, of which 1 057 cases were tested for viral load; 64.9% were males, 59.5% aged between 25 and 49, 51.9% were married, 48.2% were Han ethnicity, 48.2% had middle school (or beyond) training and 85% were heterosexual. The median pre-treatment viral load of newly diagnosed HIV-infected individuals was 8 200 (IQR: 1 900-44 000) copies/ml. The proportion of cases with viral load between 10 3-10 5copies/ml was the highest, accounted for 65.7% (694/1 057). There were 5.2% (55/1 057) whose viral load was below the detecting limit and 24 had CD 4+ T cell counts over 500 cells/μl. Conclusions:Baseline viral load levels before treatment vary among HIV-infected individuals. In view of the impact of viral load at baseline on the effectiveness of diagnosis and treatment, it is necessary to perform viral load testing before treatment, and the result can assist in the formulation of a more personalized and effective treatment regimen.

Objective:To explore the changing trends and influencing factors of AIDS-related and non-AIDS-related deaths after receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART) among HIV-positive individuals in Dehong Dai Jingpo autonomous prefecture (Dehong) from 2010 to 2019.Methods:Based on the Chinese National treatment database, HIV patients who initiated ART from 2010 to 2019 were included in the analysis. The cumulative incidence function was used to estimate the cumulative incidence of AIDS-related death and non-AIDS-related death, respectively. The Fine-Grey model was used to compare the differences between AIDS-related and non-AIDS-related deaths and analyze its influencing factors.Results:A total of 7 068 HIV-positive individuals were included, of which 388 were AIDS-related deaths and 570 were non-AIDS-related deaths. The cumulative mortality rate at years 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7 and 9 after receiving ART were 2.27%, 3.46%, 4.47%, 5.03%, 5.84%, 6.61%, 7.40% for AIDS-related deaths, and 1.63%, 3.11%, 4.68%, 6.02%, 7.42%, 10.49%, 12.75% for non-AIDS-related deaths, respectively. In the Fine-Grey model, older age at ART initiation, male, unmarried, injection drug use as the transmission route, lower baseline BMI, lower baseline CD4 + T cell counts, baseline FIB-4 score >3.25, and baseline anemia were risk factors for AIDS-related death. In contrast, age at ART initiation ≥45 years, male, Dai, and Jingpo minority ethnicities, unmarried, injection drug use as the transmission route, lower baseline BMI, baseline FIB-4 score >3.25, baseline eGFR <60 ml·min -1·1.73 m -2, and baseline anemia were risk factors for non-AIDS-related deaths. Conclusions:The cumulative mortality rate was low among HIV-positive individuals after receiving ART in Dehong during 2010-2019. The mortality of non-AIDS-related deaths was higher than that of AIDS-related deaths. There were also differences in the factors influencing AIDS-related and non-AIDS-related deaths and interventions should be intensified to target the influencing factors for non-AIDS-related deaths.

Objective:To study the prevalence and correlations of HIV infection among cross-border couples in the Dehong prefecture.Methods:A cross-sectional mass screening study with questionnaire interview and HIV testing was conducted among 17 594 registered cross-border couples from May 2017 through June 2018.Results:Among 32 400 participants, the overall prevalence of HIV infection was 2.27% (736/32 400), 2.44% (375/15 372) for Chinese citizens, and 2.12% (361/17 028) for foreign spouses. Among all the 13 853 couples with both spouses receiving HIV testing, 13 415(96.84%) were seroconcordant-negative couples, 142(1.03%) were serocondordant-positive couples, and 296(2.13%) were serodiscordant couples, including 167(1.20%) couples with positive husband and negative wife and 129(0.93%) couples with positive wife and negative husband. Multiple logistic regression analyses indicated that HIV infection was associated with drug use and risky sexual behaviors for male spouses. In contrast, HIV infection was associated with risky sexual behaviors for female spouses.Conclusion:The prevalence of HIV among cross-border couples in Dehong prefecture is high, underscoring the urgent need to scale up HIV testing, prevention, and behavioral intervention.

Objective:To analyze the longitudinal characteristics of CD4 +T lymphocytes (CD4) among the adult HIV/AIDS on antiretroviral therapy (ART) and the related factors. Methods:A retrospective cohort of adult HIV/AIDS starting ART in Dehong Dai and Jingpo Autonomous Prefecture (Dehong) in 2007-2016 was followed up to December 31, 2018. Group-based trajectory models were utilized to identify CD4 subgroups based on immune recovery (whether and when CD4 reached the average level of >500 cells/μl). The demographics and information at ART baseline were described, and the related factors were analyzed with polytomous logistic regression. The SAS 9.4 software was used for statistical analysis.Results:A total of 7 605 adults with HIV/AIDS were included, of which the median ( P 25, P 75) age at ART were 36 (30,43) years old, 61.0% were male, 42.5% were Han nationality, and 60.8% with the education of primary school or below. The follow-up duration M ( P 25, P 75) was 6.1 (4.1,8.1) years. HIV/AIDS in Dehong showed four CD4 trajectory subgroups from low to high: below the average level, primary recovery to a normal level, full recovery to a moderate level, and normal steady level, accounting for 34.4%, 39.8%, 20.6%, and 5.2%, respectively. When compared with corresponding control groups, age <35 years at ART, female, education of middle school or above, sexual transmission, no opportunistic infection, CD4 ≥200 cells/μl, baseline regimen with tenofovir (TDF) and time from HIV diagnosis to ART <1 year were the related factors facilitating the higher CD4 subgroups. Conclusions:The various CD4 immune recoveries of HIV/AIDS were changing patterns after ART. Starting ART with a high CD4 level was beneficial to CD4 recovery to normal level during the follow-up period. Early initiation of ART and exceptional attention to CD4 immune recovery should be encouraged after the ART.