1.Effect of neuromuscular electrical stimulation on patients after total knee arthroplasty: a meta-analysis
Wen LI ; Xinyue YAN ; Qiuchen HUANG ; Rui ZHANG ; Yuemei SUN ; Yue ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Rehabilitation Theory and Practice 2026;32(6):653-664
ObjectiveTo evaluate the effect of neuromuscular electrical stimulation (NMES) on pain, quadriceps strength and motor function of patients after total knee arthroplasty (TKA). MethodsThe databases of CNKI, Wanfang data, VIP, PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, Web of Science and Scopus were retrieved from inception to April, 2025. Randomized controlled trials (RCT) related to the intervention of NMES after TKA were collected. The quality of the included literature was evaluated using the Cochrane Risk of Bias Assessment Tool and the Physical Therapy Evidence Database (PEDro) scale. Meta-analysis was performed with RevMan 5.4. ResultsA total of twelve RCT were included, involving 772 subjects. The PEDro scale score ranged from four to seven. NMES improved postoperative quadriceps muscle strength (SMD = 0.61, 95%CI 0.34 to 0.88, P < 0.001) and knee flexion range of motion (SMD = 1.35, 95%CI 0.30 to 2.41, P = 0.010), and reduced the Timed Up and Go Test (TUGT) time (SMD = -0.86, 95%CI -1.45 to -0.26, P = 0.005). Compared with the control group, the intervention group achieved better outcomes in the 2-Minute Walk Test (2MWT) (SMD = 19.44, 95%CI 10.44 to 30.43, P < 0.001), 3-Minute Walk Test (SMD = 23.57, 95%CI 14.77 to 32.36, P < 0.001), 6-Minute Walk Test (SMD = 42.29, 95%CI 9.71 to 74.86, P = 0.010), Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) (SMD = -0.52, 95%CI -1.00 to -0.04, P = 0.040), as well as the Physical Component Summary (PCS) (SMD = 2.90, 95%CI 0.73 to 5.06, P = 0.009) and Mental Component Summary (MCS) (SMD = 2.84, 95%CI 1.40 to 4.28, P = 0.040) of the 36-Item Short Form Health Survey (SF-36). Subgroup analysis demonstrated that two to four weeks after surgery, NMES enhanced patients' quadriceps muscle strength (SMD = 0.90, 95%CI 0.58 to 1.21, P < 0.001), shortened TUGT time (SMD = -1.28, 95%CI -2.57 to -0.02, P < 0.05) and increased walking distance in 2MWT (SMD = 20.43, 95%CI 10.44 to 30.43, P < 0.001). For patients followed up for two to three months, NMES yielded improvements in WOMAC scores (SMD = -0.44, 95%CI -0.79 to -0.09, P = 0.010) and SF-36 MCS scores (SMD = 4.17, 95%CI 2.43 to 5.91, P < 0.001). ConclusionNMES can significantly improve the quadriceps strength and walking ability of the TKA patients two to four weeks after surgery, and enhance the quality of life of patients two to three months after surgery.
2.Dual Targeting of TBK1 and JAK-STAT1 Pathways by (-)-epigallocatechin-3-gallate Suppresses Type I Interferon-driven Inflammation
Liang LI ; Qi-Huan SHENG ; Huan LIU ; Wen-Hao YANG ; Jia-Lin SHI ; Ying-Jie SUN ; Rui JING ; Wei-Hua MAI ; Zhi-Min LI ; Xiao-Li XIE
Progress in Biochemistry and Biophysics 2026;53(7):1969-1983
ObjectiveType I interferon (IFN-I) signaling is essential for antiviral innate immunity, yet its sustained or excessive activation contributes to the pathogenesis of several autoimmune diseases and interferonopathies, such as systemic lupus erythematosus and Aicardi-Goutières syndrome. Current strategies targeting this pathway, exemplified by JAK inhibitors, act mainly on downstream signal transduction and provide limited direct control over upstream IFN-I production, while also carrying the risk of broad immunosuppression. Phyllanthus emblica L. has long been used in traditional medicine for inflammatory disorders, but the bioactive constituent responsible for its regulation of IFN-I signaling and the underlying molecular mechanism have not been clearly defined. This study aimed to identify the active anti-inflammatory component of P. emblica and to characterize its mechanism of action on the IFN-I pathway in macrophages. MethodsActive components ofP. emblica and their candidate targets were screened by network pharmacology using the TCMSP and DrugBank databases (oral bioavailability≥30%, drug-likeness≥0.18) and intersected with inflammation-related genes retrieved from public databases. The predicted interaction between EGCG and IFN-I pathway proteins (TBK1, IRF3, STAT1) was evaluated by molecular docking, with BX795 and GSK8612 used as reference TBK1 inhibitors. Mechanistic experiments were performed in THP-1-derived macrophages and primary bone marrow-derived macrophages (BMDM). Upstream signaling was activated by transfection of the nucleic acid analogs poly(I∶C) and poly(dA∶dT) or by lipopolysaccharide (LPS) stimulation, whereas downstream signaling was activated by exogenous IFN-β. An siRNA-mediated TREX1 knockdown model was used to mimic endogenous nucleic acid-driven interferonopathy. Expression of IFN-β1 and interferon-stimulated genes (ISGs) was measured by RT-qPCR, protein phosphorylation by Western blot, and IFN-β secretion by ELISA. Cellular thermal shift assay (CETSA) and drug affinity responsive target stability (DARTS) were used to probe the interactionbetween EGCG and IRF3. ResultsNetwork pharmacology identified (-)-epigallocatechin-3-gallate (EGCG) as a candidate IFN-I-suppressive constituent of P. emblica, with predicted binding to TBK1, IRF3, and STAT1. Molecular docking yielded binding energies of -9.2, -7.2, and -8.2 kcal/mol for TBK1, IRF3, and STAT1, respectively, indicating an affinity for TBK1 comparable to that of the reference inhibitors BX795 (-5.7 kcal/mol) and GSK8612 (-6.4 kcal/mol). EGCG suppressed IFN-β1 and ISG mRNA expression under poly (I∶C), poly (dA∶dT), and LPS stimulation in both THP-1 macrophages and BMDM. At the protein level, EGCG reduced the phosphorylation of TBK1 and IRF3 without affecting the levels of the upstream sensors cGAS and RIG-I, and lowered IFN-β secretion in a concentration-dependent manner. CETSA and DARTS showed that EGCG did not enhance the thermal stability or protease resistance of IRF3, indicating that its effect on IRF3 is indirect. Following IFN-β stimulation, prolonged EGCG treatment reduced STAT1 phosphorylation in a time-dependent manner without an apparent change in IRF9, and partially attenuated ISG transcription; this effect was not monotonicly concentration-dependent, and CXCL10 showed the most consistent suppression. In TREX1-knockdown cells, the elevated mRNA levels of ISG15, ISG56, and CXCL10 were reduced by EGCG. ConclusionEGCG suppresses IFN-I responses by concurrently inhibiting TBK1-IRF3-dependent IFN‑β production and JAK-STAT1-mediated downstream transcription. These in vitro findings provide a mechanistic basis for the anti-inflammatory use of P. emblica in traditional medicine and identify EGCG as a candidate for further evaluation in interferon-driven autoimmune disease models.
3.Mechanism of Polygonum cuspidatum in alleviating silicosis based on network pharmacology, molecular docking, and experimental validation
Anning YANG ; Wenyan YANG ; Rui BAO ; Shengpeng WEN ; Huning ZHANG ; Sirong CHANG ; Wenyue ZHANG ; Xiaoyu LUO ; Yue SUN
China Occupational Medicine 2026;53(1):8-16
Objective To explore the potential mechanism of Polygonum cuspidatum in alleviating silicosis using network pharmacology, molecular docking, and experimental validation. Methods i) The targets of active components of Polygonum cuspidatum and silicosis-related targets were retrieved from multiple databases. The overlapping targets were imported into Venny2.1.0 and STRING platforms. "Polygonum cuspidatum-active components-potential therapeutic targets for silicosis" network was constructed and core targets of Polygonum cuspidatum that can alleviate silicosis were identified using the Cytoscape3.10.2 software. Gene Ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) enrichment analyses were performed using the DAVID database, and molecular docking was conducted with AutoDock software. ii) Human embryonic lung fibroblast MRC-5 cells were divided into three groups. Cells in the control group were cultured in high-glucose Dulbecco's modified Eagle's medium containing 10.00% (V/V)fetal bovine serum. Cells in the silica group were treated with silica suspension at a final concentration of 150 μg·cm² (equivalent to 75 mg/L) for 48 hours. Cells in the silica + β-sitosterol group were first treated with silica suspension for 24 hours, then were cultured in medium containing β-sitosterol at a mass concentration of 50 μg/L for another 24 hours. Immunofluorescence assay and Western blotting were used to detect the effects of β-sitosterol, a core component of Polygonum cuspidatum, on the expression of phosphorylated protein kinase B (p-AKT), B-cell lymphoma-2 (BCL-2), and α-smooth muscle actin (α-SMA) in cells. Results i) A total of ten main active components of Polygonum cuspidatum, 840 targets of the active components, and 231 potential therapeutic targets for silicosis were screened through retrieval. A total of 10 core therapeutic targets were further screened, including tumor protein p53, serine/threonine protein kinase B1 (AKT1), heat shock protein 90-α, interleukin (IL)-6 , tumor necrosis factor, Src tyrosine kinase, estrogen receptor 1, epidermal growth factor receptor, BCL-2, and IL-1β. KEGG enrichment analysis yielded 178 related target pathways, among which, the phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase-protein kinase B (PI3K/AKT) signaling pathway was most relevant to silicosis. Molecular docking results showed that the top five compounds of Polygonum cuspidatum with high degree centrality, including quercetin, luteolin, physovenine, rhein, and β-sitosterol, had strong binding affinities with core targets. Among them, β-sitosterol, a key component of Polygonum cuspidatum, ranked high in binding affinity to all core targets. Molecular docking visualization indicated that β-sitosterol ranked high in binding affinitiy with the core target proteins AKT1 and BCL-2. ii) Both immunofluorescence and Western blotting results showed that, the relative expression of p-AKT, BCL-2, and α-SMA proteins increased in MRC-5 cells of the silica group compared with the control group (all P<0.05), except for p-AKT detected by Western blotting. Compared with the silica group, the relative expression levels of p-AKT, BCL-2, and α-SMA proteins in the silica+β-sitosterol group decreased (all P<0.05). Conclusion β-sitosterol, the core component of Polygonum cuspidatum, may alleviate silicosis fibrosis via the PI3K/AKT signaling pathway.
4.Epidemiological characteristics of category C intestinal infectious diseases among children and adolescents in Shenzhen from 2012 to 2024 and the association with meteorological factors
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(4):553-557
Objective:
To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of category C intestinal infectious diseases among children and adolescents in Shenzhen from 2012 to 2024 and the association with meteorological factors, so as to provide a scientific basis for the targeted prevention and control of infectious diseases for children and adolescents.
Methods:
Using data from the "Infectious Disease Reporting Information Management System" of the "China Disease Prevention and Control Information System" covering the period from January 1, 2012 to December 31, 2024, the study analyzed clinical and confirmed cases of hand, foot, and mouth disease, other infectious diarrhea, and acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis among individuals aged 6-19 years old to describe demographic and temporal characteristics. It used Joinpoint regression to calculate the average annual percent change (AAPC) and annual percent change (APC) to analyze incidence trends, and Spearman s correlation was combined to generalize linear models so as to assess the association between category C intestinal infectious diseases and meteorological factors.
Results:
From 2012 to 2024, a cumulative total of 61 019 cases of hand, foot, and mouth disease among children and adolescents, 58 498 cases of other infectious diarrhea, and 6 377 cases of acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis were reported. The AAPC in the incidence rates of these three diseases was 19.19%, 31.03% and 31.48 %, respectively(all P <0.05). Notably, the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease increased significantly after 2022 (APC= 133.66 %, P <0.01). The temporal distribution showed that hand,foot,and mouth disease was most prevalent in May,June and July (seasonal index of 2.39,3.64,1.97), other infectious diarrhea was most prevalent in February,March and December (seasonal index of 1.22,1.25,1.47), and acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis peaked in September and October (seasonal index of 4.22,2.16). Monthly average temperature could increase the risk of hand,foot,and mouth disease( β = 0.18 ,95% CI =0.11-0.25); as monthly average wind speed increased, the incidence of other infectious diarrhea ( β =-0.86, 95% CI = -1.50 to -0.22) and acute hemorrhagic conjunctivitis ( β =-1.32, 95% CI =-2.60 to -0.05) both decreased (all P < 0.05 ).
Conclusions
Among children and adolescents in Shenzhen, category C intestinal infectious diseases remain prevalent throughout the year;the number of reported hand, foot, and mouth disease cases has shown an upward trend in recent years.Temperature and wind speed significantly affect the number of reported cases of three types with category C intestinal infectious diseases.
5.Efficiency and safety of haematopoietic stem cell collection in healthy donors
Rui HE ; Bangqiang ZHU ; Huiqin WEN ; Haijing WANG ; Maohong BIAN ; Yujie DIAO
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(2):209-213
[Objective] To explore the key factors affecting the efficiency and safety of hematopoietic stem cell apheresis. [Methods] The clinical data of 59 healthy donors who underwent allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell donation in the First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University from January 2021 to June 2024 were retrospectively analyzed. The number of CD34+ cells was used to evaluate the eligibility of stem cell collection. The effects of donor gender, age, patient weight, as well as the number of WBC, MNC, RBC, Hb, HCT, PLT, CD34+ cells, CD34+ percentage and instrument operating parameters on collection efficiency were analyzed. [Results] A total of 59 donors were enrolled, and 68 occasions of stem cell apheresis were performed, with a qualified collection rate of 56%. Donor gender, age, patient weight, total blood circulation volume, anticoagulant dosage, collection time, calcium gluconate dosage and RBC, Hb, HCT levels were not significantly correlated with the collection effect (P>0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the number of MNC cells, CD34+ cells and stem cell product volume were the key factors affecting the efficiency and safety. A total of 12 donors had mild adverse reactions during the collection process, and all of them were improved after treatment. [Conclusion] Optimizing apheresis strategy based on the three factors of MNC, WBC count and stem cell product volume on the day of collection will help to achieve high-quality collection and improve the success rate of transplantation.
6.Clinical Observation of Modified Zhigancao Tang in Treating Patients with Liver and Kidney Deficiency of Parkinson's Disease and Its Effect on Neuronal Signal-related Proteins
Yifo WEI ; Furong LYU ; Jia YAO ; Guonian LI ; Xianyi LUO ; Meng LUO ; Zhengzheng WEN ; Qiuqi LI ; Yihan LIU ; Linlin YANG ; Rui ZUO ; Wenxin DANG ; Fang MI ; Xiaoyan WANG ; Zhigang CHEN ; Fan LIU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(4):166-173
ObjectiveMicrotube associated protein-2 (MAP-2), alpha-tubulin (α-tubulin), and synaptophysin (SYP) are important proteins in neuronal signal communication. This paper observed the effects of modified Zhigancao Tang on the expression of serum α-Synuclein (α-Syn) and its oligomers, MAP-2, α-tubulin, and SYP of patients with liver and kidney deficiency of Parkinson's disease (PD), analyzed their correlation, and evaluated the therapeutic effect of modified Zhigancao Tang in patients with liver and kidney deficiency of PD based on α-Syn transmission pathway mediated by neuronal communication in vivo. MethodsA total of 60 patients with PD who met the inclusion criteria were randomly divided into a treatment group (30 cases) and a control group (30 cases). Both groups were treated on the basis of PD medicine, and the treatment group was treated with modified Zhigancao Tang. Both groups were treated for 12 weeks. The changes in UPDRS score, TCM syndrome score, and expression of serum α-Syn and its oligomers, MAP-2, α-tubulin, and SYP were observed before and after 12 weeks of treatment in each group. The correlation between the above-mentioned serum biological indexes and the levels of serum α-Syn and its oligomers was analyzed. ResultsAfter treatment, the TCM syndrome score, UPDRS score, UPDRS-Ⅱ score, and UPDRS-Ⅲ score of the treatment group were significantly decreased (P<0.05, P<0.01). The UPDRS score, UPDRS-Ⅱ score, and UPDRS-Ⅲ scores in the treatment group were significantly decreased compared with those in the control group after treatment (P<0.05). After treatment, the total effective rate of the control group was 63.3% (19/30), and that of the treatment group was 86.7% (26/30). The clinical effect of the observation group was better than the control group (Z=-2.03, P<0.05). The total effective rate of the observation group was better than that of the control group, and the difference was statistically significant (χ2=5.136, P<0.05). After treatment, the oligomer level of serum α-Syn and MAP-2 level in the treatment group were significantly decreased (P<0.05, P<0.01). The levels of serum α-Syn and its oligomers, as well as α-tubulin in the treatment group, were significantly decreased compared with those in the control group after treatment (P<0.05, P<0.01). Serum α-Syn was correlated with serum MAP-2 and α-Syn oligomer in patients with PD (P<0.05, P<0.01) but not correlated with serum SYP . Serum α-Syn oligomers of patients with PD were correlated with serum MAP-2 and α-tubulin (P<0.05, P<0.01) but not correlated with serum SYP level. Serum SYP of patients with PD was correlated with serum MAP-2 (P<0.05). ConclusionModified Zhigancao Tang has a therapeutic effect on patients with liver and kidney deficiency of PD by inhibiting the production of α-Syn oligomers and intervening α-Syn microtubule transport pathway in vivo.
7.Comparison of the modified Kadish, AJCC T and Dulguerov T staging systems for olfactory neuroblastoma: analysis of the SEER database
Huanhuan LYU ; Xin WEN ; Jingtao LIN ; Ruihua FANG ; Rui HE ; Mengyu CHEN ; Yihui WEN ; Weiping WEN
Chinese Journal of Otorhinolaryngology Head and Neck Surgery 2025;60(6):646-653
Objective:To compare the Kadish T staging, AJCC T staging, and Dulguerov T staging system in terms of their impact on surgical treatment selection and survival prognosis in patients with olfactory neuroblastoma (ONB).Methods:The cases of pathologically confirmed ONB from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2000 and 2018 were collected and screened. Tumors were staged according to Kadish staging system, AJCC T staging and Dulguerov T staging guidelines. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to calculate 5-and 10-year overall survival rates for different stages, and the log-rank test was used to detect statistically significant differences. Multivariate analysis was performed using Logistic regression and Cox regression models to explore factors influencing surgical treatment choices and prognosis in ONB patients.Results:A total of 519 ONB patients with complete data available for analysis were included in the study. Multivariate analysis revealed that tumor staging, age, and marital status were closely associated with surgical treatment selection. The 10-year survival rates for patients in stage A, B, and C were 74.1%, 68.7%, 55.0%, respectively. The multivariate analysis failed to show a significant prognostic gradient between adjacent stages in any of the three staging systems.Conclusions:The selection of surgical treatment for ONB is influenced by clinical characteristics such as tumor stage and age. The commonly used Kadish, AJCC T, and Dulguerov T staging systems do not significantly differentiate prognosis between adjacent stages, highlighting the need for the development of a more accurate and comprehensive staging system.
8.A case of hepatoblastoma easily misdiagnosed as hemangioma
Wen QIAN ; Rui HE ; Nan ZHANG ; Li LI ; Hongjin WU ; Bin ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Plastic Surgery 2025;41(2):179-182
This paper reports a case of hepatoblastoma that is inclined to misdiagnosis and missed diagnosis. The patient, a 6-month-old male, was admitted to Dermatology Department of Children’s Hospital of Nanjing Medical University and Beijing Children’s Hospital successively, because of a erythema on the neck for 6 months and a mass in the neck for 3 months. Abdominal ultrasonography and CT indicated the possibility of hepatic hemangioma, but further examination of alpha fetoprote and other indicators suggested hepatic malignant tumor. Therefore, surgery was performed to remove the liver mass, and postoperative pathology revealed hepatoblastoma. Postoperative chemotherapy was combined, and follow-up was conducted six months after the end of chemotherapy, with no recurrence of the disease. This article summarized the diagnosis and treatment process of this case and combined with literature review to provide experience for clinicians in the diagnosis and treatment of relevant cases.
9.YOLOX-SwinT algorithm improves the accuracy of AO/OTA classification of intertrochanteric fractures by orthopedic trauma surgeons.
Xue-Si LIU ; Rui NIE ; Ao-Wen DUAN ; Li YANG ; Xiang LI ; Le-Tian ZHANG ; Guang-Kuo GUO ; Qing-Shan GUO ; Dong-Chu ZHAO ; Yang LI ; He-Hua ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(1):69-75
PURPOSE:
Intertrochanteric fracture (ITF) classification is crucial for surgical decision-making. However, orthopedic trauma surgeons have shown lower accuracy in ITF classification than expected. The objective of this study was to utilize an artificial intelligence (AI) method to improve the accuracy of ITF classification.
METHODS:
We trained a network called YOLOX-SwinT, which is based on the You Only Look Once X (YOLOX) object detection network with Swin Transformer (SwinT) as the backbone architecture, using 762 radiographic ITF examinations as the training set. Subsequently, we recruited 5 senior orthopedic trauma surgeons (SOTS) and 5 junior orthopedic trauma surgeons (JOTS) to classify the 85 original images in the test set, as well as the images with the prediction results of the network model in sequence. Statistical analysis was performed using the SPSS 20.0 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA) to compare the differences among the SOTS, JOTS, SOTS + AI, JOTS + AI, SOTS + JOTS, and SOTS + JOTS + AI groups. All images were classified according to the AO/OTA 2018 classification system by 2 experienced trauma surgeons and verified by another expert in this field. Based on the actual clinical needs, after discussion, we integrated 8 subgroups into 5 new subgroups, and the dataset was divided into training, validation, and test sets by the ratio of 8:1:1.
RESULTS:
The mean average precision at the intersection over union (IoU) of 0.5 (mAP50) for subgroup detection reached 90.29%. The classification accuracy values of SOTS, JOTS, SOTS + AI, and JOTS + AI groups were 56.24% ± 4.02%, 35.29% ± 18.07%, 79.53% ± 7.14%, and 71.53% ± 5.22%, respectively. The paired t-test results showed that the difference between the SOTS and SOTS + AI groups was statistically significant, as well as the difference between the JOTS and JOTS + AI groups, and the SOTS + JOTS and SOTS + JOTS + AI groups. Moreover, the difference between the SOTS + JOTS and SOTS + JOTS + AI groups in each subgroup was statistically significant, with all p < 0.05. The independent samples t-test results showed that the difference between the SOTS and JOTS groups was statistically significant, while the difference between the SOTS + AI and JOTS + AI groups was not statistically significant. With the assistance of AI, the subgroup classification accuracy of both SOTS and JOTS was significantly improved, and JOTS achieved the same level as SOTS.
CONCLUSION
In conclusion, the YOLOX-SwinT network algorithm enhances the accuracy of AO/OTA subgroups classification of ITF by orthopedic trauma surgeons.
Humans
;
Hip Fractures/diagnostic imaging*
;
Orthopedic Surgeons
;
Algorithms
;
Artificial Intelligence
10.Early prediction and warning of MODS following major trauma via identification of cytokine storm: A prospective cohort study.
Panpan CHANG ; Rui LI ; Jiahe WEN ; Guanjun LIU ; Feifei JIN ; Yongpei YU ; Yongzheng LI ; Guang ZHANG ; Tianbing WANG
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):391-398
PURPOSE:
Early mortality in major trauma has decreased, but MODS remains a leading cause of poor outcomes, driven by trauma-induced cytokine storms that exacerbate injuries and organ damage.
METHODS:
This prospective cohort study included 79 major trauma patients (ISS >15) treated in the National Center for Trauma Medicine, Peking University People's Hospital, from September 1, 2021, to July 31, 2023. Patients (1) with ISS >15 (according to AIS 2015), (2) aged 15-80 years, (3) admitted within 6 h of injury, (4) having no prior treatment before admission, were included. Exclusion criteria were (1) GCS score <9 or AIS score ≥3 for TBI, (2) confirmed infection, infectious disease, or high infection risk, (3) pregnancy, (4) severe primary diseases affecting survival, (5) recent use of immunosuppressive or cytotoxic drugs within the past 6 months, (6) psychiatric patients, (7) participation in other clinical trials within the past 30 days, (8) patients with incomplete data or missing blood samples. Admission serum inflammatory cytokines and pathophysiological data were analyzed to develop machine learning models predicting MODS within 7 days. LR, DR, RF, SVM, NB, and XGBoost were evaluated based on the area under the AUROC. The SHAP method was used to interpret results.
RESULTS:
This study enrolled 79 patients with major trauma, and the median (Q1, Q3) age was 51 (35, 59) years (52 males, 65.8%). The inflammatory cytokine data were collected for all participants. Among these patients, 35 (44.3%) developed MODS, and 44 (55.7%) did not. Additionally, 2 patients (2.5%) from the MODS group succumbed. The logistic regression model showed strong performance in predicting MODS. Ten key cytokines, IL-18, Eotaxin, MCP-4, IP-10, CXCL12, MIP-3α, MCP-1, IL-1RA, Cystatin C, and MRP8/14 were identified as critical to the trauma-induced cytokine storm and MODS development. Early elevation of these cytokines achieved high predictive accuracy, with an AUROC of 0.887 (95% CI 0.813-0.976).
CONCLUSION
Trauma-induced cytokine storms are strongly associated with MODS. Early identification of inflammatory cytokine changes enables better prediction and timely interventions to improve outcomes.
Humans
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Prospective Studies
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Middle Aged
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Male
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Female
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Adult
;
Aged
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Cytokine Release Syndrome/etiology*
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Adolescent
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Young Adult
;
Aged, 80 and over
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Wounds and Injuries/complications*
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Cytokines/blood*
;
Multiple Organ Failure/diagnosis*
;
Machine Learning


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