Objective:To investigate the characteristics of nosocomial infection and relative risk factors, and provide the basis for the management and control of nosocomial infection.Methods:A cross-sectional survey was conducted on all inpatients with nosocomial infection in the First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University from 0:00 to 24:00 on September 18, 2018.Results:There were 2 766 inpatients in the survey day, and the detection rate was 100%. The number of nosocomial infections was 57, with a current incidence rate of 2.06% (57/2 766), and the number of infections was 60, with a secondary incidence rate of 2.17% (60/2 766). The departments with the highest infection rates were neurosurgery department and intensive care units (ICU), which were 9.92% (13/131) and 9.38% (6/64) respectively. The lower respiratory tract at the infected site was the first, accounting for 50.00% (30/60). The main pathogens of nosocomial infection were gram-negative bacteria. The incidence of nosocomial infection was higher in patients with age ≥60 years ( χ2 value was 18.22 , P<0.001), ventilator( χ2 value was 37.84 , P<0.001), urinary tract intubation ( χ2 value was 180.57 , P<0.001), diabetic nephropathy ( χ2 value was 34.71 , P<0.001), and hemodialysis ( χ2 value was 368.60 , P<0.001) with statistically significant differences (all P<0.05). Conclusions:The focus should be on the prevention and treatment of lower respiratory tract infection inpatients in the intensive care unit of neurosurgery, and medic should develop preventive measures to avoid the occurrence of nosocomial infection according to the risk factors of patients with age ≥60 years, ventilator, urinary tract intubation, diabetic nephropathy, and hemodialysis to shorten hospital stay and costs.

Objective To investigate the clinical value of serum procalcitonin (PCT) in the diagnosis and treatment of the patients with high fever of acute illness.Methods A total of 285 febrile patients suffered from acute illness were divided into the conventional group (n =122) and the PCT group (n =163).The routine blood examination and serum level of C-reactive protein (CRP) detection were carried out for the dignosis of these febrile patiens of two groups,and in addition,serum PCT determination was carried out in the patients of PCT group.The diagnosis was comnfirmed by etiology or immunologic assays.Routine guidelines of administrating antibiotics were used for treatment in the conventional group.Whereas the antibiotic therapy given to patients of PCT group was guided by the serum PCT levels.Two groups were compared in respect of the antibiotics costs,duration of treatment with antibiotics,percentage of patients treated with antibiotics,efficiency of antibiotics treatment and the mortality rate.The patients of PCT group were further divided as per inflammatory markers of bacterial infection into three subgroups,namely bacterial infection group,viral infection group and non-infection group.At last,the relationship between serum PCT level and the prognosis of patients was analyzed.Results The cost of antibiotics,percentage of patients treated with antibiotics,and course of antibiotics treatment were (Y) (3586.5 ± 703.3),95.08％ and (15.01 ± 11.21) days,respectively in conventional group,whereas (Y) (1871.2 ± 433.5),54.60％,(11.22 ±7.10) days in PCT group with statistically significant difference between two groups (P ＜ 0.01),but there were no significant differences in clinical efficiency and mortality between groups (P ＞ 0.05).Serum PCT (1.12 ± 0.88) ng/ml in bacterial infection group was higher than that in both virus infected group (0.21 ± 0.1 1) ng/ml and non-infected group (0.18 ± 0.13) ng/ml.There was no statistics difference in serum PCT level between virus infected group and non-infected group (P ＞ 0.05).The diagnosis of bacterial infection with serum PCT was better than other inflammatory markers because serum PCT had high sensitivity,specificity,positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV).Conclusions Serum PCT level was reliable to differentiate the nature of acute infection with high fever and to evaluate the prognosis by emergency physicians.There was an important significance for rational use of antibiotics by the guidance of PCT levels.

BACKGROUND:Several reports have demonstrated that metabolic disorders and physiopathologic changes accompany with urinary diversion.But these metabolic disorders caused by bladder reconstruction using intestinal tract are related to type and length of intestinal canal.OBJECTIVE:To investigate the histological change of reservoir mucosa and to assess effects on metabolic state in patients with a Roux-y sigmoid neobladder.DESIGN,TIME AND SETTING:A retrospective case analysis was performed at the Department of Urinary Surgery,the 184 Hospital of Chinese PLA between June 2000 and November 2008.PARTICIPANTS:The experimental group comprised 33 bladder carcinoma patients,21 males and 12 females,averaging 64 years of age.The control group consisted of 25 subjects who had no sigmoid colon diseases confirmed by gastroenterological endoscopy.METHODS:Patients with bladder carcinoma received radical cystectomy and bladder reconstruction using Roux-y sigmoid neobladder which controlled urination with anal sphincter.Prior to and after neobladder drainage tube removal,serum levels of electrolyte,creatinine,and urea nitrogen were detected.Before and 36 months after surgery,reservoir mucosa from 13 patients with bladder carcinoma was pathologically examined.For the control group,the thickness of sigmoid colon mucosa and the numbers of intestinal glands were determined.MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES:Electrolyte,renal function,acid-base balance,mucosal layer thickness,numbers of intestinal glands prior to and after surgery,as well as prior to and after drainage tube extraction.RESULTS:After surgery,electrolyte,creatinine,and urea nitrogen were all normal in 30 patients.There was no significant difference in serum electrolyte,creatinine,and urea nitrogen between prior to and after surgery.Mild acid poisoning was found in 3 patients.Microscopic observation results revealed that sigmoid colon mucosa in the control group did not change significantly after surgery,and it basically kept the normal tissue structure;in the experimental group,sigmoid colon mucosa that was(577.6±169.4)μm prior to surgery was thinned(412.5±114.7)μm(P＜0.05),intestinal glands were loosely arranged,interstitial substance became less,and the number of intestinal glands per high-fold visual field that was(26.4±3.5)/high-fold visual field prior to surgery was decreased(15.2±2.7)/high-fold visual field(P＜0.05),after surgery.In addition,intestinal villus in the neobladder was gradually atrophied,and no enterocyte proliferation and malignant changes were found after surgery.CONCLUSION:After Roux-y sigmoid neobladder application,colon mucosa was gradually thinned,intestinal glands were loosely arranged,interstitial substance became less,the number of glands per high-fold visual field was decreased,and body metabolism produced no changes.

Objective To assess metabolic state in patients with Roux-y sigmoid neobladder.Methods The study comprised 33 patients(21 men and 12 women) with Roux-y sigmoid neobladder after oneological sur-gery.All enrolled patients were treated by the same protocol.Before and after withdrawing the catheter , serum e-lectrolytes, ereatinine and urea were analysed and used to assess the effect.Results All 33 patients were evalu-able.Before and after withdrawing the catheter , serum electrolytes, creatinine and urea were normal values and there was no signifcant difference(P >0.05).Three patients developed mild metabolic acidosis.Conclusions The Roux-y sigmoid neobladder is a feasible , safe and effective method for continent urinary diversion.This surgi-cal technique had no signifcant effect on metabolic state.

OBJECTIVETo investigate the features of clinicopathology and prognosis in young gastric cancer patients.

METHODSClinicopathological data of 90 young gastric cancer patients (≤40 years old) who received radical gastrectomy in the Department of General Surgery of Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University from January 2013 to December 2014 were retrospectively analyzed. Survival data were obtained by follow-up and the last follow-up time was October 2016. Log-rank test and Cox regression model were used to analyze the risk factors of prognosis and these factors included gender, age, tumor size, degree of differentiation, histological type, Lauren pattern, T stage, N stage, vessel carcinoma embolus, clinical symptom, anemic condition, CA19-9 level, et al.

RESULTSThe median age of 90 patients was 35 years old, of whom, 20(22.2%) patients were ≤30 years old and 70(77.8%) patients were between 31 and 40 years old. There were 70(77.8%) female patients, 38(42.2%) patients with anemia, 11(12.8%) patients with elevated CA19-9 level and 9(10.0%) patients with family history of gastrointestinal tumors. The mean time of all the patients from presence of symptom to consultation was 8.2 months. Postoperative pathology revealed 65(72.2%) patients with poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma, 6(6.7%) patients with mucinous adenocarcinoma, 9(10%) patients with signet-ring cell carcinoma, and 10(11.1%) patients with papillary-canalicular adencarcinoma. Sixty-nine (76.7%) patients were diagnosed as advanced gastric cancer and 67(74.4%) patients were involved with lymphatic metastasis when they visited our hospital. Univariate analysis showed that gender (P=0.021), tumor size (P=0.001), depth of tumor infiltration (P=0.016), lymphatic metastasis (P=0.000), vessel carcinoma embolus (P=0.001), elevated CA19-9 level (P=0.001), and anemia (0.024) were statistically related with postoperative survival. Multivariate analysis showed that lymphatic metastasis was an independent risk factor of the poor prognosis of young patients (HR:2.774, 95%CI:1.435 to 5.364, P=0.002).

CONCLUSIONSThe majority of young gastric cancer cases are female with poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma. Most patients are diagnosed as advanced gastric cancer with lymphatic metastasis when they visit hospital at the first time. The lymphatic metastasis is an independent risk factor of prognosis in young gastric cancer patients.

Objective To investigate the prognostic factors of radical gastrectomy for stage Ⅲ gastric cancer and predictive value of metastatic lymph node ratio for prognosis.Methods The retrospective case-control study was conducted.The clinicopathological data of 995 patients with stage Ⅲ gastric cancer who were admitted to the Zhongshan Hospital of Fudan University between January 2003 and December 2014 were collected.There were 690 males and 305 females,aged from 20 to 75 years,with an average age of 61 years.After clinical staging according to results of preoperative accessory examinations,patients with early gastric cancer underwent D1+ lymphadenectomy,patients with advanced gastric cancer underwent D2 lymphadenectomy and patients with serosa invasion underwent D2+ lymphadenectomy.Observation indicators:(1) treatment situations;(2) follow-up and survival situations;(3) prognostic factors analysis after operation;(4) stratified analysis:① stratified analysis of tumor pathological N staging;② stratified analysis of number of lymph node dissected;③ stratified analysis of tumor pathological TNM staging;(5) receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.Patients were followed up using outpatient examination and telephone interview to detect postoperative survival up to January 2016.The overall survival time was from the operation data to last follow-up or time of death.Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as Mean±SD.The survival rate and curve were respectively calculated and drawn by the Kaplan-Meier method and Log-rank test was used for survival analysis.The COX proportional hazard model was used for univariate and multivariate analysis.The ROC curve and area under curve (AUC) were used to check the accuracy of number of positive lymph nodes and metastatic lymph node ratio for prognosis.Comparison of the AUC was analyzed by the Z test.Results (1) Treatment situations:of 995 patients underging gastrectomy,677 underwent distal gastrectomy,85 underwent proximal gastrectomy,233 underwent total gastrectomy.There were 117 undergoing D1+ lymphadenectomy and 878 undergoing D2 lymphadenectomy or D2+ lymphadenectomy.The number of lymph node dissected,number of positive lymph nodes,metastatic lymph node ratio were 27± 12,10± 9 and 0.41±0.28,respectively.(2) Follow-up and survival situations:995 patients were followed up for (35± 32)months.During the follow-up,the 1-,3-,5-year overall survival rates were 77.9％,47.8％,36.2％.(3) Prognostic factors analysis after operation:results of univariate analysis showed that sex,tumor histological type,vascular embolus,degree of tumor invasion,tumor pathological N staging,number of lymph node dissected,metastatic lymph node ratio,tumor pathological TNM staging were related factors affecting prognosis of radical gastrectomy for stage Ⅲ gasteric cancer (hazard ratio =0.817,1.486,1.268,2.173,1.957,1.737,3.357,2.169,95％ confidence interval:0.686-0.973,1.059-2.086,1.074-1.497,1.195-3.954,1.480-2.588,1.390-2.170,2.476-4.602,1.740-2.704,P＜0.05).Results of multivariate analysis showed that sex,tumor histological type,tumor pathological N staging,number of lymph node dissected,metastatic lymph node ratio,tumor pathological TNM staging were independent factors affecting prognosis of radical gastrectomy for stage Ⅲ gastric cancer (hazard ratio =0.805,1.476,0.237,1.475,3.811,3.600,95％ confidence interval:0.673-0.963,1.049-2.087,0.083-0.678,1.140-1.909,2.259-6.428,1.317-9.839,P＜0.05).(4) Stratified analysis:of the 995 patients,the postoperative l-,3-,5-year overall survival rates were 93.7％,69.6％,60.5％ in the patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ≤ 0.1,86.9％,60.6％,44.3％ in the patients with 0.1 ＜ metastatic lymph node ratio ≤0.4 and 64.3％,28.9％,21.0％ in the patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ＞ 0.4,showing a statistically significant difference (x2 =121.300,P＜0.05).There were statistically significant differences between patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ≤0.1 and patients with 0.1＜ metastatic lymph node ratio ≤0.4,between patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ≤0.1 and patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ＞0.4 (x2=7.580,65.320,P＜0.05).There was a statistically significant difference between patients with 0.1 ＜ metastatic lymph node ratio ≤0.4 and patients with metastatic lymph node ratio＞0.4 (x2 =80.806,P＜0.05).① Stratified analysis of tumor pathological N staging:the average metastatic lymph node ratio was 0.09 in the 132 stage N1 patients,who were divided into the patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ≤ 0.1 and ＞ 0.1.The postoperative 1-,3-,5-year overall survival rates were 92.2％,68.6％,59.1％ in the 108 patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ≤ 0.1 and 79.2％,32.8％,21.9％ in the 24 patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ＞0.1,respectively,showing a statistically significant difference (x2 =14.499,P＜0.05).The average metastatic lymph node ratio was 0.23 in the 265 stage N2 patients,who were divided into the patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ≤0.2 and ＞0.2.The postoperative 1-,3-,5-year overall survival rates were 92.3％,73.8％,61.0％ in the 138 patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ≤0.2 and 76.5％,40.1％,22.2％ in the 127 patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ＞0.2,respectively,showing a statistically significant difference (x2 =42.536,P＜0.05).The average metastatic lymph node ratio was 0.56 in the 598 stage N3 patients,who were divided into the patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ≤0.4 and ＞0.4.The postoperative 1-,3-,5-year overall survival rates were 88.5％,62.8％,47.0％ in the 194 patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ≤ 0.4 and 64.3％,29.8％,21.0％ in the 404 patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ＞0.4,respectively,showing a statistically significant difference (x2 =51.860,P＜ 0.05).② Stratified analysis of number of lymph node dissected:7 of 117 patients with the number of lymph node dissected ＜ 15 had metastatic lymph node ratio ≤0.1,who were divided into patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ≤0.4 and ＞0.4.The postoperative 1-,3-,5-year overall survival rates were 78.2％,40.0％,28.6％ in the 44 patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ≤0.4 and 78.1％,18.7％,12.9％ in the 73 patients with metastatic lymph node ratio＞0.4,respectively,showing a statistically significant difference (x2 =4.727,P＜0.05).③ Stratified analysis of tumor pathological TNM staging:of 262 patients with stage Ⅲa gastric cancer,the postoperative 1-,3-,5-year overall survival rates were 88.5％,65.0％,54.3％ in the 230 patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ≤0.4 and 77.5％,35.4％,29.5％ in the 32 patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ＞0.4,respectively,showing a statistically significant difference (x2 =6.132,P＜0.05).Of 296 patients with stage Ⅲb gastric cancer,the postoperative 1-,3-,5-year overall survival rates were 84.4％,60.7％,42.7％ in the 200 patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ≤ 0.4 and 59.9％,26.8％,21.7％ in the 96 patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ＞0.4,respectively,showing a statistically significant difference (x2 =23.699,P＜0.05).Of 437 patients with stage Ⅲ c gastric cancer,the postoperative 1-,3-,5-year overall survival rates were 84.7％,59.9％,38.7％ in the 133 patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ≤0.4 and 64.0％,27.9％,18.3％ in the 304 patients with metastatic lymph node ratio ＞0.4,respectively,showing a statistically significant difference (x2=36.215,P＜ 0.05).(5) ROC curve:ROC curves of postoperative overall survival rates in patients with stage Ⅲ gastric cancer were drawn using the number of positive lymph nodes and metastatic lymph node ratio,of which AUC were 0.619 (95％ confidence interval:O.588-0.649) and 0.706 (95％ confidence interval:0.677-0.734),showing a statistically significant difference (Z=8.842,P＜0.05).Conclusions Sex,tumor histological type,tumor pathological N staging,number of lymph node dissected,metastatic lymph node ratio,tumor pathological TNM staging are independent factors affecting prognosis of radical gastrectomy for stage Ⅲ gastric cancer.There is different prognosis of patients with different metastatic lymph node ratios in the subgroup of the same tumor pathological TNM staging,number of lymph node dissected,tumor pathological TNM staging.Compared with tumor pathological N staging,metastatic lymph node ratio has a more accurate predictive value for prognosis.

Objective To investigate the expression and clinical significance of pro-inflammation S100A9 protein in intestinal type gastric cancer.Methods We retrospectively analyzed the clinicopathological materials of the 278 patients who were diagnosed as Lauren classification intestinal gastric cancer and underwent surgical treatment between January and December 2008 at the Department of General Surgery,Zhongshan Hospital Fudan University.Immunohistochemistry was used to analyze the expression of S100A9 protein in tumor tissues and para-tumor tissues.Results High expression of S100A9 protein was associated with the depth of tumor invasion (P =0.013),lymph node metastasis (81.4％,53.9％,47.3％ vs.84.7％,69.3％,60.7％,x2 =4.220,P =0.041) and TNM stage (P =0.010).The overall survival rate of these patients with high expression of S100A9 protein was significantly lower than those with low expression of S100A9 protein.In stage Ⅲ/Ⅳ patients,the overall survival rate of these patients with high expression of S100A9 protein was significantly lower than those with low expression of S100A9 protein.Moreover,for those patients who received postoperative chemotherapy,the prognosis of the patients with high expression of S100A9 protein was poorer than those with low expression.By multivariable analysis,the expression of S100A9 protein was not an independent risk factor for the prognosis of intestinal gastric cancer patients.Conclusions High expression of S100A9 protein in intestinal gastric cancer was associated with poor prognosis.

Objective:To investigate the clinical efficacy of a new 3D printed guide plate in the minimally invasive treatment of fresh closed Achilles tendon rupture.Methods:From January 2019 to January 2020, 14 fresh closed Achilles tendon ruptures were treated by minimally invasive surgery at Department of Foot and Ankle Surgery, Xuzhou Renci Hospital. There were 13 males and one female, with an average age of 39.1 years (from 18 to 63 years). The rupture of the Achilles tendon body, 3 cm in length on average, was located 2 to 6 cm above the attachment of the calcaneal tuberosity. The ruptured Achilles tendon was repaired by suture with the aid of the new 3D printed guide plate. After operation, in cooperation of the Rehabilitation Department, we performed rehabilitation exercise under the guidance of the concept of Enhanced Recovery After Surgery (ERAS). The length of incision, operation time, intraoperative blood loss, ankle function at the last follow-up and follow-up complications were recorded.Results:In this cohort, incision length averaged 2.5 cm (from 2.0 to 3.5 cm), operation time 45 min (from 30 to 60 min), and intraoperative blood loss 15 mL (from 10 to 20 mL). The 14 patients were followed up for 13 to 16 months (average, 14 months) after operation. In one patient, the epidermis at the incision edge became black and necrotic, which was healed after dressing change. Follow-ups observed no such complications as suture rejection, sural nerve injury, or Achilles tendon re-rupture. The American Orthopaedic Foot and Ankle Society (AOFAS) ankle-hindfoot scores at the last follow-up averaged 98 points (from 93 to 99 points), yielding 13 excellent cases and one good case; according to the Arner-Lindholm evaluation, the efficacy was excellent in 12 cases, good in one and poor in one.Conclusion:The minimally invasive treatment of fresh closed Achilles tendon rupture with our new 3D printed guide plate has exhibited advantages of minimally invasive incision, limited complications, simple manipulation, good functional recovery of the ankle joint and strong reproducibility of surgical operations.

Objective:To investigate the clinical characteristics and surgical treatment of enteric Behcet′s disease with acute abdomen.Methods:The clinical data and follow-up results of 9 patients with enteric Behcet′s disease with acute abdomen treated surgically were analyzed retrospectively.Results:All patients in this group had abdominal pain, with bloody stool in one case, failure to exhaust and defecation in 1 case. Physical examination revealed abdominal mass in 2 cases, peritonitis sign in 5 cases and tenderness of the right lower abdomen in 1 case. The causes of operation were pathological perforation of ileocecal region, pathological perforation of small intestine, acute appendicitis, ileum fistula, intestinal stenosis and obstruction and massive hemorrhage of lower digestive tract.In this group, laparotomy or laparoscopy were done in these cases, including ileocecal resection in 2 cases, partial resection of small intestine in 3 cases, laparoscopic appendectomy in 1 case and right colon colectomy in 3 cases. Incision infection occurred in 1 case, anastomotic leakage in 1 case and adhesive intestinal obstruction in 1 case occurred after operation. The median follow-up time of 8 cases was 7.5 years, and Behcet′s disease recurred in 4 cases, but no recurrence of enteric Behcet disease was found.Conclusions:Intestinal perforation, bleeding and obstruction are the main causes of intestinal Behcet′s disease with acute abdomen, and emergency surgery is an important means of treatment, moreover, nutrition support and drug therapy are the important supportive therapy to control this disease.

OBJECTIVETo establish an evaluation model of peritoneal metastasis in gastric cancer, and to assess its clinical significance.

METHODSClinical and pathologic data of the consecutive cases of gastric cancer admitted between April 2015 and December 2015 in Department of General Surgery, Zhongshan Hospital of Fudan University were analyzed retrospectively. A total of 710 patients were enrolled in the study after 18 patients with other distant metastasis were excluded. The correlations between peritoneal metastasis and different factors were studied through univariate (Pearson's test or Fisher's exact test) and multivariate analyses (Binary Logistic regression). Independent predictable factors for peritoneal metastasis were combined to establish a risk evaluation model (nomogram). The nomogram was created with R software using the 'rms' package. In the nomogram, each factor had different scores, and every patient could have a total score by adding all the scores of each factor. A higher total score represented higher risk of peritoneal metastasis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to compare the sensitivity and specificity of the established nomogram. Delong. Delong. Clarke-Pearson test was used to compare the difference of the area under the curve (AUC). The cut-off value was determined by the AUC, when the ROC curve had the biggest AUC, the model had the best sensitivity and specificity.

RESULTSAmong 710 patients, 47 patients had peritoneal metastasis (6.6%), including 30 male (30/506, 5.9%) and 17 female (17/204, 8.3%); 31 were ≥ 60 years old (31/429, 7.2%); 38 had tumor ≥ 3 cm(38/461, 8.2%). Lauren classification indicated that 2 patients were intestinal type(2/245, 0.8%), 8 patients were mixed type(8/208, 3.8%), 11 patients were diffuse type(11/142, 7.7%), and others had no associated data. CA19-9 of 13 patients was ≥ 37 kU/L(13/61, 21.3%); CA125 of 11 patients was ≥ 35 kU/L(11/36, 30.6%); CA72-4 of 11 patients was ≥ 10 kU/L(11/39, 28.2%). Neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) of 26 patients was ≥ 2.37(26/231, 11.3%). Multivariate analysis showed that Lauren classification (HR=8.95, 95%CI:1.32-60.59, P=0.025), CA125(HR=17.45, 95%CI:5.54-54.89, P=0.001), CA72-4(HR=20.06, 95%CI:5.05-79.68, P=0.001), and NLR (HR=4.16, 95%CI:1.17-14.75, P=0.032) were independent risk factors of peritoneal metastasis in gastric cancer. In the nomogram, the highest score was 241, including diffuse or mixed Lauren classification (54 score), CA125 ≥ 35 kU/L (66 score), CA72-4 ≥ 10 kU/L (100 score), and NLR ≥ 2.37 (21 score), which represented a highest risk of peritoneal metastasis (more than 90%). The AUC of nomogram was 0.912, which was superior than any single variable (AUC of Lauren classification: 0.678; AUC of CA125: 0.720; AUC of CA72-4: 0.792; AUC of NLR: 0.613, all P=0.000). The total score of nomogram increased according to the TNM stage, and was highest in the peritoneal metastasis group (F=49.1, P=0.000). When the cut-off value calculated by ROC analysis was set at 140, the model could best balanced the sensitivity (0.79) and the specificity (0.87). Only 5% of patients had peritoneal metastasis when their nomogram scores were lower than 140, while 58% of patients had peritoneal metastasis when their scores were ≥ 140(χ=69.1, P=0.000).

CONCLUSIONThe risk evaluation model established with Lauren classification, CA125, CA72-4 and NLR can effectively predict the risk of peritoneal metastasis in gastric cancer, and provide the reference to preoperative staging and choice of therapeutic strategy.

Antigens, Tumor-Associated, Carbohydrate ; blood ; Area Under Curve ; CA-125 Antigen ; blood ; CA-19-9 Antigen ; blood ; Female ; Humans ; Leukocyte Count ; statistics & numerical data ; Logistic Models ; Lymphocytes ; pathology ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Neoplasm Metastasis ; diagnosis ; Neutrophils ; pathology ; Nomograms ; Peritoneal Neoplasms ; secondary ; Prognosis ; ROC Curve ; Retrospective Studies ; Risk Assessment ; methods ; Risk Factors ; Sensitivity and Specificity ; Stomach Neoplasms ; blood ; classification ; diagnosis ; pathology