1.Development and validation of the sarcopenia composite index: A comprehensive approach for assessing sarcopenia in the ageing population.
Hsiu-Wen KUO ; Chih-Dao CHEN ; Amy Ming-Fang YEN ; Chenyi CHEN ; Yang-Teng FAN
Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore 2025;54(2):101-112
INTRODUCTION:
The diagnosis of sarcopenia relies on key indicators such as handgrip strength, walking speed and muscle mass. Developing a composite index that integrates these measures could enhance clinical evaluation in older adults. This study aimed to standardise and combine these metrics to establish a z score for the sarcopenia composite index (ZoSCI) tailored for the ageing population. Additionally, we explore the risk factors associated with ZoSCI to provide insights into early prevention and intervention strategies.
METHOD:
This retrospective study analysed data between January 2017 and December 2021 from an elderly health programme in Taiwan, applying the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia criteria to assess sarcopenia. ZoSCI was developed by standardising handgrip strength, walking speed and muscle mass into z scores and integrating them into a composite index. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to determine optimal cut-off values, and multiple regression analysis identified factors influencing ZoSCI.
RESULTS:
Among the 5047 participants, the prevalence of sarcopenia was 3.7%, lower than the reported global prevalence of 3.9-15.4%. ROC curve analysis established optimal cut-off points for distinguishing sarcopenia in ZoSCI: -1.85 (sensitivity 0.91, specificity 0.88) for males and -1.97 (sensitivity 0.93, specificity 0.88) for females. Factors associated with lower ZoSCI included advanced age, lower education levels, reduced exercise frequency, lower body mass index and creatinine levels.
CONCLUSION
This study introduces ZoSCI, a new compo-site quantitative indicator for identifying sarcopenia in older adults. The findings highlight specific risk factors that can inform early intervention. Future studies should validate ZoSCI globally, with international collaborations to ensure broader applicability.
Humans
;
Sarcopenia/physiopathology*
;
Male
;
Aged
;
Female
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Hand Strength
;
Taiwan/epidemiology*
;
ROC Curve
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Risk Factors
;
Walking Speed
;
Geriatric Assessment/methods*
;
Prevalence
;
Muscle, Skeletal
;
Middle Aged
2.Machine learning to risk stratify chest pain patients with non-diagnostic electrocardiogram in an Asian emergency department.
Ziwei LIN ; Tar Choon AW ; Laurel JACKSON ; Cheryl Shumin KOW ; Gillian MURTAGH ; Siang Jin Terrance CHUA ; Arthur Mark RICHARDS ; Swee Han LIM
Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore 2025;54(4):219-226
INTRODUCTION:
Elevated troponin, while essential for diagnosing myocardial infarction, can also be present in non-myocardial infarction conditions. The myocardial-ischaemic-injury-index (MI3) algorithm is a machine learning algorithm that considers age, sex and cardiac troponin I (TnI) results to risk-stratify patients for type 1 myocardial infarction.
METHOD:
Patients aged ≥25 years who presented to the emergency department (ED) of Singapore General Hospital with symptoms suggestive of acute coronary syndrome with no diagnostic 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) changes were included. Participants had serial ECGs and high-sensitivity troponin assays performed at 0, 2 and 7 hours. The primary outcome was the adjudicated diagnosis of type 1 myocardial infarction at 30 days. We compared the performance of MI3 in predicting the primary outcome with the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) 0/2-hour algorithm as well as the 99th percentile upper reference limit (URL) for TnI.
RESULTS:
There were 1351 patients included (66.7% male, mean age 56 years), 902 (66.8%) of whom had only 0-hour troponin results and 449 (33.2%) with serial (both 0 and 2-hour) troponin results available. MI3 ruled out type 1 myocardial infarction with a higher sensitivity (98.9, 95% confidence interval [CI] 93.4-99.9%) and similar negative predictive value (NPV) 99.8% (95% CI 98.6-100%) as compared to the ESC strategy. The 99th percentile cut-off strategy had the lowest sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and NPV.
CONCLUSION
The MI3 algorithm was accurate in risk stratifying ED patients for myocardial infarction. The 99th percentile URL cut-off was the least accurate in ruling in and out myocardial infarction compared to the other strategies.
Humans
;
Male
;
Female
;
Emergency Service, Hospital
;
Middle Aged
;
Electrocardiography
;
Machine Learning
;
Singapore
;
Chest Pain/blood*
;
Troponin I/blood*
;
Myocardial Infarction/blood*
;
Risk Assessment/methods*
;
Aged
;
Algorithms
;
Acute Coronary Syndrome/blood*
;
Adult
;
Sensitivity and Specificity
3.Risk-based screening programmes for cancer diagnosis: A systematic review with narrative synthesis.
Yong Yi TAN ; Sara TASNIM ; Mohammad Fahmy Bin FADZIL ; Xin Rong NG ; Sabrina Kw WONG ; Jo-Anne Elizabeth MANSKI-NANKERVIS ; Joseph Jao-Yiu SUNG ; Joanne NGEOW
Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore 2025;54(10):644-663
INTRODUCTION:
Risk-based screening (RBS) has emerged as a promising alternative to age-based cancer screening. However, evidence regarding real-world implementation outcomes remains fragmented. Thus, a systematic review was conducted to evaluate the implementation metho-dologies and outcomes of RBS programmes across different cancer types.
METHODS:
MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, Web of Science, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials and Scopus were systematically searched from their respective dates of inception up to 8 July 2024. Prospective and rando-mised controlled trials (RCTs), which implement the RBS of cancer in an asymptomatic population, or studies retrospectively evaluating the outcomes of the same were included. Geographic distribution, population characteristics, RBS methodology, diagnostic accuracy and clinical outcomes were narratively synthesised.
RESULTS:
Among the 33 included studies (i.e. 21 prospective cohort, 8 RCTs, 3 retrospective and 1 non-RCT), sample sizes ranged from 102 to 1,429,890 participants. Most RBS trials were conducted in China (n=7, 21.2%), followed by the Netherlands (n=4, 12.1%) then the US, Australia and Sweden (n=3, 9.8%). Studies predominantly examined colorectal (27.3%), breast (21.2%) and prostate cancer (18.2%). Three main stratification approaches emerged: algorithmic (48.5%), validated risk models (39.4%) and physician assessment (9.1%). Implementation outcomes showed higher uptake in moderate-risk (75.4%) compared to high-risk (71.3%) and low-risk groups (67.9%). Five studies demonstrated cost-effectiveness with increased quality-adjusted life years, while 12 studies showed superior or non-inferior cancer detection rates compared to traditional screening.
CONCLUSION
The RBS of cancer has the potential to optimise healthcare resource allocation while minimising harm and increasing receptiveness for patients. More work is needed to evaluate long-term outcomes prior to the scaling of RBS programmes.
Humans
;
Early Detection of Cancer/methods*
;
Neoplasms/diagnosis*
;
Risk Assessment
;
Mass Screening/methods*
4.Prediction method of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation based on multimodal feature fusion.
Yongjian LI ; Lei LIU ; Meng CHEN ; Yixue LI ; Yuchen WANG ; Shoushui WEI
Journal of Biomedical Engineering 2025;42(1):42-48
The risk prediction of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) is a challenge in the field of biomedical engineering. This study integrated the advantages of machine learning feature engineering and end-to-end modeling of deep learning to propose a PAF risk prediction method based on multimodal feature fusion. Additionally, the study utilized four different feature selection methods and Pearson correlation analysis to determine the optimal multimodal feature set, and employed random forest for PAF risk assessment. The proposed method achieved accuracy of (92.3 ± 2.1)% and F1 score of (91.6 ± 2.9)% in a public dataset. In a clinical dataset, it achieved accuracy of (91.4 ± 2.0)% and F1 score of (90.8 ± 2.4)%. The method demonstrates generalization across multi-center datasets and holds promising clinical application prospects.
Humans
;
Atrial Fibrillation/diagnosis*
;
Machine Learning
;
Deep Learning
;
Risk Assessment/methods*
5.Restorative strategies for complex crown-root fractures in the esthetic zone: a risk assessment based on the restoration-tooth-periodontium interface.
Ao SUN ; Baiping FU ; Huiyong ZHU
Journal of Zhejiang University. Medical sciences 2025;54(5):573-582
Complex crown-root fractures in the esthetic zone refer to a type of dental trauma occurring in the anterior region, characterized by concurrent fractures involving both the crown and the root, with associated pulp exposure and periodontal tissue injury. These injuries consistently exhibit critical anatomical features, including a fixed palatal fracture location below the alveolar crest, compromised residual tooth structure, and frequent encroachment of the biological width. To predict treatment outcomes, a risk assessment framework based on the restoration-tooth-periodontium interface was developed. Resistance risk was evaluated by assessing the type of residual dentin ferrule and the length of the root within the alveolar bone, while periodontal risk was assessed according to gingival phenotype and alveolar bone morphology. Based on these risk dimensions and the principles of aesthetics, stability, and minimally invasive treatment, a diagnostic classification system was established to categorize fractures into three types: favorable, intervention and high-risk. Type-specific management strategies were proposed: for favorable cases, crown lengthening combined with deep margin elevation to reduce periodontal risk is recommended; for intervention cases, orthodontic extrusion or surgical extrusion is applied to simultaneously address both ferrule deficiency and biological width violation; for high-risk cases, extraction followed by implant restoration is advised due to limited root preservation value. The presented classification enables clinicians to adopt a scientific and structured approach to treatment planning for these complex crown-root fractures in the aesthetic zone.
Humans
;
Tooth Fractures/therapy*
;
Tooth Root/injuries*
;
Risk Assessment
;
Tooth Crown/injuries*
;
Periodontium
;
Esthetics, Dental
;
Dental Restoration, Permanent/methods*
6.Construction and Validation of a Prognostic Nomogram Model for Chronic Myeloid Leukemia Patients.
Li-Ying LIU ; Zheng GE ; Ji-Feng WEI ; Li-Na ZHAO ; Zhi-Mei CAI
Journal of Experimental Hematology 2025;33(3):745-752
OBJECTIVE:
To screen factors affecting the prognosis of chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) patients, and construct a nomogram model for event-free survival (EFS).
METHODS:
To screen out meaningful variables by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis in CML patients, and construct a nomogram model using R software. The nomogram was validated using consistency index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, area under the ROC curve (AUC), calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and risk stratification analysis.
RESULTS:
This study analyzed data from 116 CML patients. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that age, peripheral blood basophil percentage, BCR-ABL1 IS at 3 months, and red blood cell distribution width (RDW) were independent prognostic factors of EFS. Subsequently, a nomogram was constructed based on the above predictors. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.733(95%CI : 0.676-0.790). The AUC values for predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year EFS rate were 0.765, 0.855, and 0.827, respectively. The results of the calibration curve and DCA curve showed that the predictive model had good consistency, as well as strong clinical utility. The patients were stratified into high-risk group and low-risk group based on the total score of the model, there was a significant difference in EFS between the two groups (P < 0.001).
CONCLUSION
Age, peripheral blood basophil percentage, BCR-ABL1 IS at 3 months, and RDW were associated with the prognosis of CML patients. The nomogram model constructed in this study can accurately predict the prognostic status of CML patients, but its widespread application still requires external and prospective validation.
Nomograms
;
Leukemia, Myelogenous, Chronic, BCR-ABL Positive/mortality*
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Erythrocyte Indices
;
Risk Assessment/methods*
;
Fusion Proteins, bcr-abl/genetics*
;
Basophils
;
Leukocyte Count
;
Humans
7.Risk assessment tools for 0-6 years old children unintentional injuries: A systematic literature analysis.
Yang YUAN ; Li LI ; Guoqing HU
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(1):130-142
OBJECTIVES:
Injuries are the leading cause of death among children and adolescents. Although numerous risk assessment tools for unintentional injuries in children have been developed and published both domestically and internationally, there is currently no global consensus on standardized use. This study aims to systematically characterize existing unintentional injury risk assessment tools for children aged 0-6 years, with the goal of informing scientific tool selection and optimization.
METHODS:
Relevant literature published up to January 2025 was retrieved from CNKI, Wanfang, PubMed, and Web of Science. An information extraction form was developed to gather data on the basic features of each assessment tool, assessment format, scoring methods and criteria, dimensions assessed, reliability and validity, and types of unintentional injuries covered.
RESULTS:
A total of 50 risk assessment tools for unintentional injuries among children aged 0-6 years were included. Among them, 35 tools assessed two or more types of unintentional injuries. Regarding assessment format, 38 tools relied on caregiver self-report, 2 on investigator interviews, 3 on direct observation by investigators, and 7 used multiple methods. The tools covered four major dimensions: knowledge, attitude, behavior, and environment. Eleven tools covered 3 dimensions, while only one tool addressed all 4. Nineteen tools provided clear scoring methods, 14 included criteria for risk determination, and only 11 had both scoring methods and risk criteria. Twenty-eight tools lacked both. Twenty-two tools had been evaluated for reliability and/or validity. Among the 25 English-language tools, only 3 had been translated into Chinese.
CONCLUSIONS
Currently, no existing tool comprehensively assesses all major types of unintentional injuries for children under six years of age. It is recommended that practitioners select appropriate tools based on specific needs. In addition, improvements should be pursued, such as translating and validating English-language tools, developing quantitative scoring methods and criteria for tools tailored to Chinese children for important but underrepresented injury types (e.g., road traffic injuries, drowning).
Humans
;
Infant
;
Child, Preschool
;
Child
;
Risk Assessment/methods*
;
Accidental Injuries/prevention & control*
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Wounds and Injuries/epidemiology*
;
Reproducibility of Results
8.COMPERA 2.0 risk stratification in patients with severe aortic stenosis: implication for group 2 pulmonary hypertension.
Zongye CAI ; Xinrui QI ; Dao ZHOU ; Hanyi DAI ; Abuduwufuer YIDILISI ; Ming ZHONG ; Lin DENG ; Yuchao GUO ; Jiaqi FAN ; Qifeng ZHU ; Yuxin HE ; Cheng LI ; Xianbao LIU ; Jian'an WANG
Journal of Zhejiang University. Science. B 2025;26(11):1076-1085
COMPERA 2.0 risk stratification has been demonstrated to be useful in patients with precapillary pulmonary hypertension (PH). However, its suitability for patients at risk for post-capillary PH or PH associated with left heart disease (PH-LHD) is unclear. To investigate the use of COMPERA 2.0 in patients with severe aortic stenosis (SAS) undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR), who are at risk for post-capillary PH, a total of 327 eligible SAS patients undergoing TAVR at our institution between September 2015 and November 2020 were included in the study. Patients were classified into four strata before and after TAVR using the COMPERA 2.0 risk score. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. Survival analysis was performed using Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank test, and Cox proportional hazards regression model. The study cohort had a median (interquartile range) age of 76 (70‒80) years and a pulmonary arterial systolic pressure of 33 (27‒43) mmHg (1 mmHg=0.133 kPa) before TAVR. The overall mortality was 11.9% during 26 (15‒47) months of follow-up. Before TAVR, cumulative mortality was higher with an increase in the risk stratum level (log-rank, both P<0.001); each increase in the risk stratum level resulted in an increased risk of death (hazard ratio (HR) 2.53, 95% confidential interval (CI) 1.54‒4.18, P<0.001), which was independent of age, sex, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), hemoglobin, albumin, and valve type (HR 1.76, 95% CI 1.01‒3.07, P=0.047). Similar results were observed at 30 d after TAVR. COMPERA 2.0 can serve as a useful tool for risk stratification in patients with SAS undergoing TAVR, indicating its potential application in the management of PH-LHD. Further validation is needed in patients with confirmed post-capillary PH by right heart catheterization.
Humans
;
Aortic Valve Stenosis/complications*
;
Aged
;
Hypertension, Pulmonary/mortality*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Risk Assessment/methods*
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
;
Retrospective Studies
9.Developing a polygenic risk score for pelvic organ prolapse: a combined risk assessment approach in Chinese women.
Xi CHENG ; Lei LI ; Xijuan LIN ; Na CHEN ; Xudong LIU ; Yaqian LI ; Zhaoai LI ; Jian GONG ; Qing LIU ; Yuling WANG ; Juntao WANG ; Zhijun XIA ; Yongxian LU ; Hangmei JIN ; Xiaowei ZHANG ; Luwen WANG ; Juan CHEN ; Guorong FAN ; Shan DENG ; Sen ZHAO ; Lan ZHU
Frontiers of Medicine 2025;19(4):665-674
Pelvic organ prolapse (POP), whose etiology is influenced by genetic and clinical risk factors, considerably impacts women's quality of life. However, the genetic underpinnings in non-European populations and comprehensive risk models integrating genetic and clinical factors remain underexplored. This study constructed the first polygenic risk score (PRS) for POP in the Chinese population by utilizing 20 disease-associated variants from the largest existing genome-wide association study. We analyzed a discovery cohort of 576 cases and 623 controls and a validation cohort of 264 cases and 200 controls. Results showed that the case group exhibited a significantly higher PRS than the control group. Moreover, the odds ratio of the top 10% risk group was 2.6 times higher than that of the bottom 10%. A high PRS was significantly correlated with POP occurrence in women older than 50 years old and in those with one or no childbirths. As far as we know, the integrated prediction model, which combined PRS and clinical risk factors, demonstrated better predictive accuracy than other existing PRS models. This combined risk assessment model serves as a robust tool for POP risk prediction and stratification, thereby offering insights into individualized preventive measures and treatment strategies in future clinical practice.
Humans
;
Female
;
Pelvic Organ Prolapse/epidemiology*
;
Middle Aged
;
Risk Assessment/methods*
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Multifactorial Inheritance
;
Aged
;
Risk Factors
;
Genome-Wide Association Study
;
Genetic Predisposition to Disease
;
Case-Control Studies
;
Adult
;
Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide
;
Genetic Risk Score
;
East Asian People
10.Navigating the evolving diagnostic and therapeutic landscape of low- and intermediate-risk prostate cancer.
Fabio ZATTONI ; Fabio MATRONE ; Roberto BORTOLUS ; Gianluca GIANNARINI
Asian Journal of Andrology 2024;26(6):549-556
In this nonsystematic review of the literature, we explored the changing landscape of detection and treatment of low- and intermediate-risk prostate cancer (PCa). Through emphasizing improved cancer assessment with histology classification and genomics, we investigated key developments in PCa detection and risk stratification. The pivotal role of prostate magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) in the novel diagnostic pathway is examined, alongside the benefits and drawbacks of MRI-targeted biopsies for detection and tumor characterization. We also delved into treatment options, particularly active surveillance for intermediate-risk PCa. Outcomes are compared between intermediate- and low-risk patients, offering insights into tailored management. Surgical techniques, including Retzius-sparing surgery, precision prostatectomy, and partial prostatectomy for anterior cancer, are appraised. Each technique has the potential to enhance outcomes and minimize complications. Advancements in technology and radiobiology, including computed tomography (CT)/MRI imaging and positron emission tomography (PET) fusion, allow for precise dose adjustment and daily target monitoring with imaging-guided radiotherapy, opening new ways of tailoring patients' treatments. Finally, experimental therapeutic approaches such as focal therapy open new treatment frontiers, although they create new needs in tumor identification and tracking during and after the procedure.
Humans
;
Prostatic Neoplasms/pathology*
;
Male
;
Magnetic Resonance Imaging
;
Prostatectomy/methods*
;
Risk Assessment
;
Watchful Waiting
;
Prostate/diagnostic imaging*
;
Image-Guided Biopsy/methods*

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