Objective:To forecast the indicators on maternal and child health of China in 2020.Methods: Based on Surveillance data of the indicators on the maternal and child health in China since the 1990s,forecasting models were found using auto-regressive method,and the indicators on maternal and child health in China in 2020 were forecasted using the models after they had been tested and valued.Results: Auto-regressive models on infant mortality rate(IMR),under-5 mortality rate(U5MR) and maternal mortality(MMR) were found.The models and their parameters passed statistical tests,and their mean absolute error was 5% or so and determination coefficients were all more than 90%.Conclusion: The IMR of China in 2020 was forecasted to be 6.35‰,the U5MR 7.37‰ and the MMR 22.21/100 000.

Anxiety Disorders ; etiology ; therapy ; Breast Neoplasms ; complications ; therapy ; Humans ; Medicine, Chinese Traditional ; Qi

Objective To discuss the influence of the smooth of bile duct examined by choledochoscope during the coInnlon bile duct exploration on the biliary tract theology.Methods Forty patients who were to undergo common bile duct exploration were divided into the control group and the test group with 20 eases in each group.The smooth of the distal common bile duct was examined by choledochoscope in the test group while by routine method in the control group.The T tube drainage volume for 24 h,the pressure,flow volume and resistance of common bile duct and amylase content of drainage were monitored in the two groups within 72 h.Results The T tube drainage volume of the second day increased.the pressure and the resistance of the common bile duct decreased,the flow volunle and amylase content of drainage reduced in the control group,which had statistical difference from those of the test group(P＜0.05).Condusion Avoidance of damaging examination of the distal common bile duct,monitoring of the pressure;flow volume and resistance of the common bile duct within 72 h after operation contributed to the confirmation of the time for clamping T tube early.

Objective To evaluate the clinical application of contrast-enhanced digital subtraction MRI in vertebral metastases.Methods 50 patients with vertebral metastases were scanned by contrast-enhanced T_1WI with an injection of Gd-DTPA(0.1 mmol/kg).Digital subtraction were performed between post-contrast-enhanced images and pre-contrast-enhanced images.Vertebral metastases were evaluated by means of a contrast to noise ratio(CNR) and signal to noise ratio(SNR),and boundaries were compared between subtraction MRI images and conventional contrast T_1WI MR images.Results Contrast-enhanced digital subtraction MRI images were better than conventional contrast T_1WI MR images in showing the lesions. All lesions had a higher CNR and SNR on subtraction MR imaging than that on conventional contrast T_1WI MR images.CNR was 155.05 ? 24.73(mean ? standard error) for subtraction MR imaging and11.11?14.26 for conventional contrast T_1WI MR images,(t=35.65,P

Objective:To explore influence of risk factors of ischemic cerebral stroke (ICS)on its onset.Methods:A total of 350 patients diagnosed as ICS were selected as stroke group among 12241 >40 years people from Dongli dis- trict of Harbin city,another 350 >40 years non-ICS people,who were randomly selected from the same district, were enrolled as control group.ICS risk factors were compared between two groups,multi-factor Logistic regres- sion analysis was used to analyze independent risk factors for ICS.Results:(1)There were no significant difference in age,nationality,education,marriage and professions between two groups except food taste (P<0.01); (2) Multifactor Logistic regression analysis indicated that hypertension (OR=5.853,95%CI:3.188~10.673),hyper- lipidemia (OR=5.601,95%CI:2.378~ 9.635),carotid artery plaque (OR=4.963,95%CI:2.350~9.843), heart disease (OR=4.568,95%CI:2.535~7.745),hyperhomocysteinemia (OR=4.076,95%CI:3.001~8.270), apparent overweight (OR=3.421,95%CI:1.598~6.476)and family history of cerebrovascular diseases (OR=3.065,95%CI:2.543~4.236)were independent risk factors for ICS in both groups (P<0.01 all).According to OR value from big to small,risk factors for ICS were hypertension,hyperlipidemia,carotid artery plaque,heart disease,hyperhomocysteinemia,apparent weight and family history of cerebrovascular diseases respectively.Conclu-sion:Besides traditional risk factors like hypertension,dyslipidemia and family history of cerebrovascular diseases, other risk factors such as carotid artery plaque,heart disease,family history of cerebrovascular disease and apparent overweight are also important risk factors for stroke.

Objective:To explore advantage of intravascular ultrasound (IVUS) guiding coronary intervention .Meth‐ods:A total of 100 patients with left main (LM) lesion were selected and equally divided into IVUS group (n=50 , received stent implantation under IVUS guidance ) and control group [n=50 ,received stent implantation after coro‐nary angiography (CAG) evaluation without IVUS examination ) .Instant condition after stent implantation and fol‐low-up results after 12 months were compared between two groups .Results:There were no significant difference in general data ,percentages of LM opening ,body part and tail lesions ,different types of plaques between two groups , P>0.05 all .During hospitalization ,there were no significant difference in percentage of emergency coro‐nary artery bypass grafting (0% vs .4% ) and mortality (0% vs .4% ) between IVUS group and control group (P>0.05) .However ,after 12 months ,compared with control group ,there were significant reductions in incidence rates of in-stent restenosis (16% vs .4% ) and late stent malapposition (34% vs .6% ) in IVUS group , P< 0.05 ,<0.01. Conclusion:IVUS guiding left main lesion intervention is helps to select more appropriate therapeutic plan , reduce tissue injury and improve long -term therapeutic effect .

Objective To analyze the prognostic indicators in gastric cancer patients underwent radical resection.Methods Clinical data of 257 patients with gastric cancer underwent radical resection from Jan. 2003 to Oct. 2008 in our hospital were analyzed retrospectively. Univariate analysis using Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank analysis,multivariate analysis using COX proportion risk model were performed. Results Univariate analysis indicated that tumor site (P <0. 05) .Borrmann type (P <0. 01) .histological type (P <0. 01),depth of infiltration (P < 0. 01 ) , lymph node metastasis rate ( P < 0. 01 ) , tumor size ( P < 0. 01 ) ,complication ( P < 0. 01 ) and accessorial chemotherapy (P<0. 01) influenced the patients' prognosis. Cox regression analysis indicated that lymph node metastasis rate, depth of infiltration, Borrmann type and tumor size were the independent risk factors of prognosis(P<0. 05). The relative risk will increase 3.374 times,2. 337 times,1.657 times and 1.580 times with each additional level of lymph node metastasis, depth of infiltration, Borrmann type and tumor size. Conclusions There are various factors influencing the prognosis of gastric cancer,of which lymph node metastasis rate is the most important prognosis indicator.

Objective:To explore the clinicopathologic features and diagnostic criteria of hepatosplenic T-cell lymphoma (HSTCL). Methods: Three cases of HSTCL were seached for morphology, immunophenotypings, Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) in situ hybridization and T-cell receptor? (TCR?) gene rearrangement. Results: In the bone marrow, the infiltrative pattern of tumour cells was interstitial and sinusoidal infiltration in one case,while the other two cases showed diffuse infiltration. In the liver of one case and the spleen of another case, tumour cells respectively showed sinusoidal infiltration. The immunophenotyping: three cases showed strongly positive for CD3 and TIA-1, but negative for Granzyme B, CD56 and TCR?. EBV in situ hybridization was not detected in all the cases. TCR? monoclonal rearrangements were detected in two cases. Conclusion: HSTCL is a rare entity which is classified into peripheral T cell lymphomas. And it is regarded as a subset of unactived cytotoxic T-cell lymphomas. The negative results of EBV in situ hybridization and the presentation of TCR? gene monoclonal rearrangements may be helpful in diagnosis and differential diagnosis of HSTCL. These three cases showed similar characters to those of international cases reported.

Objective:To evaluate angioimmunoblastic T-cell lymphoma(AITL) completely, we gave in-depth investigation of histopathological features, specific immunochemical markers, antigen receptor gene rearrangements and in situ hybridization for Epstein-Barr virus (EBV). Methods: 15 cases of typical AITL displayed effacement of the normal lymph node architecture partially or completely, abundance of arborizing high endothelial vessels, infiltration of polymorphic cells and hyperplastic atypical T lymphocytes with or without clear cytoplasm. Clinical characteristics, histological manifestations, and immunohistochemical staining for CD3, CD20, CD4,CD21, CXCL13, CD10, and BCL6 were analyzed. Polymerase chain reaction for immunoglobulin heavy chain (IgH) and T cell receptor ? (TCR?) rearrangements and in situ hybridization for Epstein-Barr virus encoded RNA (EBER-1) were performed.Results: Histologically, we found eight cases with regressed lymphoid follicles, six with absence of follicles and one with hyperplastic follicles with interfollicular lesions. We also found eight cases displaying aggregation of clear cells, four infiltration of large lymphoid cells, five abundant epithelioid histiocytes. CD20 staining showed hyperplasia of large B cells in four cases. CD21 expression exihibited extrafollicular expansion of follicular dendritic cell meshworks in 11 cases (73.3%), partially with a tendency of perivascular distribution. Positive rate for CXCL13 and CD10 are 73.3% and 6.7% respectively. Monoclonal rearrangements of TCR? were detected in 6/15 (40%) of cases, IgH rearrangements in 7/15 (46.7%), of which five were monoclonal, while two oligoclonal. 8 out of 15 cases (53.3%) contained EBV-positive cells. Among the four cases with large B cell proliferation, three were EBV-positive. Conclusion: AITL display great complexity and diversity clinicopathologically. Only when we recognize such diversity, can we reasonably apply and properly evaluate immunochemical markers and molecular techniques, and thus give a correct diagnosis.