1.Spatial-temporal distribution of newly detected HIV/AIDS cases among aged 15 years or older women in China, 2010-2016.
F F CHEN ; W GUO ; Q Q QIN ; C CAI ; Y CUI
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(6):739-744
Objective: To identify the spatial clustering and its temporal trends among newly detected female HIV/AIDS cases aged 15 years or older, in China from 2010 to 2016. Methods: Newly detected HIV/AIDS cases among aged 15 years or older women in China during 2010-2016 were collected, to describe their demographic characteristics, changing trends and spatial autocorrelation. This program was conducted at county level, using the ArcGIS 10.3. Results: The number of newly detected HIV/AIDS cases among aged 15 years or older women was increasing annually from 16 603 to 26 196 in 2010 and in 2016. As the main route proportion of heterosexual transmission increased from 84.25% (13 988/16 603) in 2010 to 96.29%(25 224/26 196) in 2016. Both the number and proportion of HIV/AIDS cases among elderly women ≥50 years of age increased significantly from 17.82%(2 959/16 603) to 38.10%(9 981/26 196) in 2016. Results from spatial analysis demonstrated a county-level clustered distribution of HIV/AIDS cases across the country with a rising global Moran's I value=0.55 over the years (Z=51.46, P<0.001), which was concentrating on western and southern China, covering 9 provinces/autonomous regions/municipalities (Yunnan, Guangxi, Sichuan, Xinjiang, Guizhou, Guangdong, Chongqing, Henan and Hunan). The temporal trends of hot spots differed by age groups, with the trend of epidemic shifting towards western border and southern coastal regions among women aged 15-49 years old, while the elderly women aged ≥50 years old were spreading northward from the southwestern regions. Conclusion: Our findings indicated that an increasing trend of clusters appeared on HIV epidemic among newly detected female HIV/AIDS cases aged 15 years or older in China, particularly in the western and southern regions. Prevention and intervention strategies should target on women according to their age distribution, particularly in regions with increasing trend of HIV epidemics.
Adolescent
;
Adult
;
Age Distribution
;
Aged
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Epidemics
;
Female
;
HIV Infections/ethnology*
;
Humans
;
Middle Aged
;
Spatial Analysis
;
Young Adult
2.Association and interaction of pre-pregnant body mass index and gestational weight gain of women on neonatal birthweight.
Y J LIN ; Q Y CAI ; Y Y XU ; H Y LIU ; W H HAN ; Y WANG ; Y TAN ; H Y XIONG ; A Q HU ; Y J ZHENG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(6):770-775
Objective: To investigate the association between maternal pre-pregnant body mass index and gestational weight gain, as well as their interaction on neonatal birthweight. Methods: We built a cohort in Anqing Municipal Hospital from January 2014 to March 2015, enrolling pregnant women who decided to give birth in this hospital. All women were asked to fill a questionnaire for basic information collection. Medical information of both pregnant women and their newborns were obtained through electronic medical record. Chi-square analysis, multinomial logistic regression, multiplicative and additive interaction methods were used to analyze the association between pre-pregnant body mass index and gestational weight gain as well as their interactions on birth weight of the neonates. Results: A total of 2 881 pregnant women were included in this study. Of the 2 881 newborns, 359 (12.46%) were small for gestational age (SGA) and 273 (9.48%) were large for gestational age (LGA). After adjusting the possible confounding factors, results from the multinomial logistic regression showed that pre-pregnancy underweight women were more possible to deliver SGA (aRR=1.33, 95%CI: 1.02-1.73). If the gestational weight gain was below the recommended criteria, the risk of SGA (aRR=1.64, 95%CI: 1.23-2.19) might increase. Pre-pregnancy overweight/obese could increase the risk of being LGA (aRR=1.86, 95%CI: 1.33-2.60). Maternal gestational weight gain above the recommendation level was associated with higher rates of LGA (aRR=2.03, 95%CI: 1.49-2.78). Results from the interaction analysis showed that there appeared no significant interaction between pre-pregnancy BMI and gestational weight on birthweight. Conclusion: Pre-pregnancy body mass index and gestational weight gain were independently associated with neonatal birthweight while pre-pregnancy BMI and gestational weight gain did not present interaction on birthweight.
Birth Weight
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Body Mass Index
;
Body Weight
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Cohort Studies
;
Female
;
Gestational Weight Gain
;
Humans
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Infant, Small for Gestational Age
;
Logistic Models
;
Obesity/epidemiology*
;
Overweight/epidemiology*
;
Pregnancy
;
Pregnancy Complications
;
Pregnant Women
;
Risk Factors
;
Thinness/epidemiology*
;
Weight Gain
3.Exposure-preceding-outcome regarding time sequence among cohort studies in real world.
L L LIU ; Y N HE ; Q Y CAI ; N Q ZHAO ; Y J ZHENG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(6):858-861
One of the commonly accepted merits of cohort studies (CSs) refers to the exposure precedes outcome superior to other observational designs. We use Directed Acyclic Graphs to construct a causal graph among research populations under CSs. We notice that the substitution of research population in place of a susceptible one can be used for effect estimation. Its correctness depends on the outcome-free status of the substituted population and the performance of both screening and diagnosis regarding the outcomes under study at baseline. The temporal precedence of exposure over outcome occurs theoretically, despite the opposite happens in realities. Correct effect estimate is affected by both the suitability of population substitution and the validities of outcome identification and exclusion.
Causality
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Cohort Studies
;
Confounding Factors, Epidemiologic
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Epidemiologic Methods
;
Mass Screening
;
Research Design
4.A structural classification of strategies for confounding control in research design.
Y N HE ; L L LIU ; Q Y CAI ; N Q ZHAO ; Y J ZHENG
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(7):999-1002
Confounding affects the causal relation among the population. Depending on whether the confounders are known, measurable or measured, they can be divided into four categories. Based on Directed Acyclic Graphs, the strategies for confounding control can be classified as (1) the broken-confounding-path method, which can be further divided into single and dual broken paths, corresponding to exposure complete intervention, restriction and stratification, (2) and the reserved-confounding-path method, which can be further divided into incomplete exposure intervention (in instrumental variable design and non-perfect random control test), mediator method and matching method. Among them, random control test, instrumental variable design or Mendelian randomized design, mediator method can meet the requirements for controlling all four types of confounders, while the restriction, stratification and matching methods are only applicable to known, measurable and measured confounders. Identifying the mechanisms of confounding control is a prerequisite for obtaining correct causal effect estimates, which will be helpful in research design.
Causality
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Confounding Factors, Epidemiologic
;
Humans
;
Models, Statistical
;
Random Allocation
;
Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
;
Research Design
5.Prevalence of antiretroviral drug resistance in treatment-naive injecting drug users infected with HIV-1 in Guangzhou, 2008-2015.
L Q XU ; Z G HAN ; Y L ZHANG ; H WU ; K GAO ; Q M LI ; H F XU ; Y S CAI ; Y XIA
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2019;40(2):196-201
Objective: To understand the prevalence of drug resistance in treatment-naive injecting drug users (IDUs) infected with HIV-1 in Guangzhou. Methods: HIV-1 RNA were extracted from the serum specimens of the newly confirmed HIV-1 positive IDUs living in Guangzhou, being infected through injecting drug use and receiving no antiretroviral therapy at the time of confirmation during 2008-2015. Full sequence of pol protease (PR) gene and partial sequence of reverse transcriptase (RT) gene were amplified by nested reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (nested-PCR) and sequenced. After that, data were submitted to the HIV resistance database of Stanford University for drug resistance analysis. Results: Among the 518 HIV-1 infected IDUs, HIV-1pol gene segments were successfully obtained from the serum samples of 407 HIV-1 infected IDUs (78.57%) aged 18-64 (37.44±8.14) years. Among them, males accounted for 89.68% (365/407), those of Han ethnic group accounted for 89.93% (366/407), the unmarried accounted for 55.28% (225/407), and those with education level of junior high school or below accounted for 83.78% (341/407). The distribution of subtypes was predominated by CRF07_BC (47.18%, 192/407), followed by CRF01_AE (23.83%, 97/407), CRF08_BC (22.85%, 93/407), and other subtypes (6.14%, 25/407). The overall prevalence of drug resistance was 3.44% (14/407). The prevalence of drug resistance to protease inhibitors, nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors and non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors were 1.47%(6/407), 0.25% (1/407) and 1.72% (7/407) respectively. The mutation rate was 12.29% (50/407). No major drug resistance mutation was detected in protease and nucleoside reverse transcriptase regions. Higher rate of V179E mutation in the non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase region was detected in other subtypes and subtype CRF07_BC. Mutation seemed to have occurred in all 8 cases of subtype CRF55_01B in other subtypes. The highest mutation rate of E138A was detected in subtype CRF08_BC (3.23%). Two cases were resistant to all four drugs of NNRTIs. Conclusions: The prevalence of drug resistance in treatment-naive HIV-1 positive IDUs remained at a relatively low level during 2008-2015, in Guangzhou. Most infections were sensitive to existing antiviral drugs. However, drug resistance surveillance in IDUs infected with HIV should be strengthened to prevent the prevalence of multi-drug resistance and cross drug resistance.
Adolescent
;
Adult
;
Child
;
Drug Resistance, Viral/genetics*
;
Drug Users
;
Genes, pol/genetics*
;
Genotype
;
HIV Infections/psychology*
;
HIV-1/isolation & purification*
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Mutation
;
Prevalence
;
RNA, Viral/genetics*
;
Young Adult
6.Knowledge, related behavior and on AIDS/HIV infection among rural adults with Derung minority, in Yunnan province, 2016.
Y N CAI ; Y L MA ; H B LUO ; M Y XIAO ; J NIU ; L J SONG ; X H LI ; L R FU ; Z Y ZHANG ; Q H DAI ; Y L ZHANG ; M H JIA
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(4):483-486
Objective: To understand the related risk behaviors, knowledge and status of HIV/AIDS infection among rural adults of Derung minority, to provide relevant messages for the development of HIV/AIDS intervention strategy in this minority group. Methods: We used system sampling method to conduct a cross-sectional survey in 6 administration villages of Derung Township, Gongshan Derung and Nu Autonomous County in Nujiang Lisu Autonomous Prefecture of Yunnan Province, with a sample size estimated as 383. Adult residents with Derung minority in six villages of Gongshan County were involved, with relevant information collected through door-to-door visit. HIV antibody was tested and SPSS 17.0 was used for statistical analysis. Results: Information on 394 valid respondents was collected, with age as between 18 and 65 (34.39±9.74), 80.7% (318/394) as married, 54.0% (213/394) having had primary school education, 13.2% (52/394) as migrant workers. In this population, the overall HIV infection rate appeared as 0.5% (2/400), mainly through sexually transmission. The rate of awareness on HIV/AIDS was 69.8% (275/394), mainly through free publicized materials 50.0% (197/394). Rates on premarital sexual behavior on multiple sexual partners in the past year, on temporary sexual partners in the past year, having commercial sexual experiences in the past year and ever used condoms when engaging in casual sex, were 6.4% (60/366), 18.0%(66/366), 5.7%(21/366), 1.9%(7/366) and 8.0%(25/311), respectively. Conclusions: Few numbers of HIV infections were identified among the migrating workers with Derung minority, with sexual transmission as the major route, along with the increased number of rural migrant workers and the low rates both on AIDS knowledge and condom use, accompanied by the high risk sexual behavior appeared in this rural adult residents of Derung minority. Relative strategies on HIV/AIDS intervention and control should be developed.
Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome
;
Adult
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Condoms
;
Cross-Sectional Studies
;
HIV Infections/epidemiology*
;
Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice
;
Humans
;
Infections
;
Risk-Taking
;
Rural Population/statistics & numerical data*
;
Sexual Behavior
;
Sexual Partners
;
Surveys and Questionnaires
;
Transients and Migrants
7.Seasonal distribution of patient hospitalization due to asthma exacerbation in 7 geographic areas in China.
J T LIN ; B XING ; H P TANG ; L YANG ; Y D YUAN ; Y H GU ; P CHEN ; X J LIU ; J ZHANG ; H G LIU ; C Z WANG ; W ZHOU ; D J SUN ; Y Q CHEN ; Z C CHEN ; M HUANG ; Q C LIN ; C P HU ; X H YANG ; J M HUO ; X W YE ; X ZHOU ; P JIANG ; W ZHANG ; Y J HUANG ; L M DAI ; R Y LIU ; S X CAI ; J Y XU ; J Y ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(11):1477-1481
Objective: To understand the seasonal distribution of patient hospitalization due to asthma exacerbation in 7 geographic areas in China. Methods: This was a retrospective study which involved patients hospitalized for asthma exacerbation in 29 hospitals throughout 7 geographic areas in the mainland of China (northeast, north, central, east, south, northwest and southwest). The numbers of asthmatic patients and total inpatients of the respiratory department of each hospital were recorded. The monthly ratio of asthmatic patients to the total inpatients in every area was calculated and compared. Results: During the study period, 6 480 patients were admitted for asthma exacerbation, accounting for 3.14% of all the 206 135 patients admitted to the respiratory departments in the 29 hospitals. The ratio of asthmatic patients to total inpatients in the northeast area (5.61%) was highest, and the ratio in east area was lowest (1.97%). Statistical analysis showed that the difference among different areas was significant (P<0.000 1). In most areas, both the number and proportion of hospitalized asthmatic patients peaked in spring (February-April) and autumn (September-October). In the northeast area, east area and south area, the peaks in spring were more obvious, while in the north area and southwest area, the peaks in autumn were more obvious. In the northwest area the peaks occurred in winter (December-January) and summer (June-August), respectively. The differences in hospitalization due to asthma among different months were significant in the northeast, north, and southwest areas (P<0.005). Conclusion: The number of patients hospitalized for asthma exacerbation fluctuated with season in different areas in China. In most areas, more asthmatic patients were admitted to hospitals in spring and autumn.
Asthma
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Hospitalization/statistics & numerical data*
;
Humans
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Seasons
8.A novel prognostic index for oral cancer in Fujian province.
J F WU ; L S LIN ; F CHEN ; F Q LIU ; L J YAN ; X D BAO ; J WANG ; R WANG ; L K LIN ; Y QIU ; X Y ZHENG ; Z J HU ; L CAI ; B C HE
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2018;39(6):841-846
Objective: To explore the survival factors and construct a prognostic index (PI) for oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC). Methods: From January 2004 to June 2016, a total of 634 patients with pathologically confirmed OSCC were recruited in a hospital of Fujian. The clinical and follow-up data of all the patients with pathologically confirmed OSCC were collected to identify the factors influencing the prognosis of OSCC. All the patients were randomly divided into two groups: modeling group (modeling dataset, n=318) and validation group (validation dataset, n=316). Randomization was carried out by using computer-generated random numbers. In the modeling dataset, survival rates were calculated using Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Cox regression model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of prognosis factors. An PI for OSCC patients prognostic prediction model was developed based on β value of each significant variable obtained from the multivariate Cox regression model. Using the tertile analysis, patients were divided into high-risk group, moderate-risk group, and low-risk group according to the PI, the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Harrell's c-statistic (C index) were used to evaluated the model's predictability. Results: Results from the multivariate Cox regression model indicated that aged ≥55 years (HR=2.22, 95%CI: 1.45-3.39), poor oral hygiene (HR=2.12, 95%CI: 1.27-3.54), first diagnosis of lymph node metastasis (HR=5.78, 95%CI: 3.60-9.27), TNM stage Ⅲ-Ⅳ (stage Ⅰ as reference) (HR=2.43, 95%CI: 1.10-5.37) and poor differentiation (well differentiation as reference) (HR=2.53, 95%CI: 1.60-4.01) were the risk factors influencing the prognosis of OSCC. The PI model had a high predictability in modeling group and validation group (AIC and C index were 1 205.80, 0.700 2 and 1 150.47, 0.737 3). Conclusion: Age, poor oral hygiene, first diagnosis of lymph node metastasis, TNM stage and histological grade were factors associated with the prognosis of OSCC, and the PI model has a certain significance in the clinical treatment of OSCC.
Carcinoma, Squamous Cell/therapy*
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Humans
;
Lymphatic Metastasis
;
Middle Aged
;
Mouth Neoplasms/therapy*
;
Prognosis
;
Proportional Hazards Models
;
Risk Factors
;
Survival Rate
;
Treatment Outcome
9.Parasitological and molecular detection of human fascioliasis in a young man from Guizhou, China
Chen, M.X. ; Zhang, R.L. ; Xu, X.N. ; Yu, Q. ; Huang, D.N. ; Liu, W. ; Chen, S.H. ; Song, P. ; Lu, Y. ; Cai, Y.C. ; Ai, L. ; Chen, J.X.
Tropical Biomedicine 2020;37(No.1):50-57
A 24-year-old man born in Guizhou province was diagnosed with obstructive jaundice and bile duct stones in 2013. Four living trematodes were found during laparotomy and cholecystectomy. Based on the morphology and molecular genetics analysis of internal transcribed spacer and pcox1 genes of the flatworm specimens, the trematodes from the patient were confirmed to be Fasciola hepatica. This report provided the clinical and molecular diagnosis information on human fascioliasis, which is an emerging sanitary problem still ignored in China. Human fascioliasis constantly occurs due to climatic changes and frequency of human travel. Therefore, it deserves more attention from physicians working in both developing and developed countries.